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FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis
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Page 1: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Session 19Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm &

Financial Statement Analysis

Page 2: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Roots = Financing Activities

Trunk & Branches = Investing Activities

Fruit = Operating Activities

Businesses are like Fruit Trees

Page 3: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Statement of Cash Flows

Operating Working capital, day-to-day

transactions Direct versus indirect methods

Investing Non-current assets—mainly PP&E and

marketable securities Financing

Debt, equity and dividends paid

Page 4: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Accounting’s Perfect Storm

IFRS Adoption Convergence Completion

Including Financial Statement Reformating

Private Company Financial Reporting PCC FRF

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 5: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Target Your Efforts

Solvency assurance

Wealth enhancement

Performance improvement

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 6: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Start with the 3 P’s

Planning

Processing

Presenting

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 7: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Include the Trifecta: Q-S-T

Q: Quantitative analysis

S: Strategic assessment

T: Tactical feasibility

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 8: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Tools for Financial Statement Analysis

Ratio analysis Trend analysis Common-size analysis Base period analysis Comparative analysis Horizontal and vertical analyses

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 9: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

A Financial Statement Approach

Look for key relationships Focus on spending drivers Don’t overlook the Statement of

Cash Flows Remember to measure trends Tell a story

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 10: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Guidelines for a Presentation

Clarity Accuracy Simplicity Visually friendly Limit page content

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 11: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Cash Flow Red-Flags

Receivable and inventory growth rate exceeds sales growth rate

Payables growth rate exceeds inventory growth rate

Current liabilities grow faster than sales

Sustained operating losses (negative net income)

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 12: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Cash Flow Red-Flags (cont’d)

Negative operating cash flow Capital expenditures exceed operating

cash flow Sustained capital expenditures

reductions Sustained sales of marketable

securities in excess of purchases Substantial shift from long to short

term borrowing Dividend reduction or elimination

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 13: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Cash Sufficiency Ratio

Cash Flow From Operations + Interest + TaxesPPE + Debt Servicing + Taxes + Dividends

Should be greater than 1 Can easily disaggregate Different footprints for different

development stages FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 14: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Cash Conversion Cycle

Cash conversion cycle Days in payables ≥ DSO + Days in

inventory

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 15: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Typical Common Ratios

Solvency & liquidity Earnings Performance

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 16: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Ratio Analysis

General guidelines: Be consistent Ascertain contents of numerator

and denominator Apply common sense…

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 17: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Trend Analysis

Static analysis is virtually useless

Trend direction is key Combine with other approaches

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 18: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Common-size Analysis

Helpful for size discrepancies Keyed to sales or total assets Helpful for industry comparisons

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 19: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Base Period Analysis

Combines trending and percentage analysis

Select representative base year and set the index at 100

Measure subsequent periods in terms of the base year

Helpful for industry comparisons Eliminates size bias

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 20: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Comparative Analysis Cautions

Timing variances GAAP variances Conservative vs. Aggressive GAAP Management attitude…”win at all

cost!” Size Geographic venues

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 21: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Horizontal and Vertical Analysis

The most basic…and most powerful analytical tool

Key element in fraud detection Keeps the organization under

control

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 22: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Horizontal Analysis

Period versus period changes Value changes Percentage changes

Look for irregularities

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 23: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Horizontal Analysis - Example

2009 2008 $ Change % Change

Current Assets $400 $300 $100 33%

Total Assets $2,500 $2,200 $300 14%

Current Liabilities $200 $150 $50 33%

Long-term Debt $1,600 $1,500 $100 7%

Equity $700 $550 $150 27%

Total Liabilities & Equity $2,500 $2,200 $300 14%

ABC CompanyPartial Balance Sheets

2008 and 2009

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 24: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Vertical Analysis

Relationships within the same period: Numerical relationships Percentage relationships

Look for irregularities

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015

Page 25: FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015 Session 19 Cash Flows, The Perfect Storm & Financial Statement Analysis.

Vertical Analysis - Example

$ % $ %

Current Assets $400 16% $300 14%

Total Assets $2,500 100% $2,200 100%

Current Liabilities $200 8% $150 7%

Long-term Debt $1,600 64% $1,500 68%

Equity $700 28% $550 25%

Total Liabilities & Equity $2,500 100% $2,200 100%

ABC CompanyPartial Balance Sheets

2008 and 2009

2009 2008

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING - BUS 020 - SPRING 2015


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