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274 Chapter – 8 FINANCIAL REFORMS IN BANKING SECTOR AND THEIR CRITICAL EVALUATION 8.1. INTRODUCTION From the study on financial reforms it reveals that the initiation of reforms in the early 1990s, the Indian economy has achieved high growth in an environment of macroeconomic and financial stability. The period has been marked by broad based economic reform that has touched every segment of the economy. These reforms were designed essentially to promote greater efficiency in the economy through promotion of greater. As a result of the growing openness, India was not insulated from exogenous shocks since the second half of the 1990s. These shocks, global as well as domestic, included a series of financial crises in Asia, Brazil and Russia, 9/11 terrorist attacks in the US, border tensions, sanctions imposed in the aftermath of nuclear tests, political uncertainties, changes in the Government, and the current oil shock. Nonetheless, stability could be maintained in financial markets. Indeed, inflation has been contained since the mid-1990s to an average of around five per cent, distinctly lower than that of around eight per cent per annum over the previous four decades. Simultaneously, the health of the financial sector has recorded very significant improvement. India's path of reforms has been different from most other emerging market economies: it has been a measured, gradual, cautious, and steady process, devoid of many flourishes that could be observed in other countries. I shall argue in this paper that the reforms in the financial sector and monetary policy framework have been a key component of the overall reforms that provided the foundation of an increased price and financial stability. Reforms in these sectors have been well- sequenced, taking into account the state of the markets in the various segments.
Transcript

274

Chapter – 8

FINANCIAL REFORMS IN BANKING SECTOR AND THEIR CRITICAL

EVALUATION 8.1. INTRODUCTION

From the study on financial reforms it reveals that the initiation of reforms in the

early 1990s, the Indian economy has achieved high growth in an environment of

macroeconomic and financial stability. The period has been marked by broad

based economic reform that has touched every segment of the economy. These

reforms were designed essentially to promote greater efficiency in the

economy through promotion of greater. As a result of the growing openness,

India was not insulated from exogenous shocks since the second half of the

1990s. These shocks, global as well as domestic, included a series of financial

crises in Asia, Brazil and Russia, 9/11 terrorist attacks in the US, border

tensions, sanctions imposed in the aftermath of nuclear tests, political

uncertainties, changes in the Government, and the current oil shock.

Nonetheless, stability could be maintained in financial markets. Indeed, inflation

has been contained since the mid-1990s to an average of around five per cent,

distinctly lower than that of around eight per cent per annum over the previous

four decades. Simultaneously, the health of the financial sector has recorded

very significant improvement.

India's path of reforms has been different from most other emerging market

economies: it has been a measured, gradual, cautious, and steady process,

devoid of many flourishes that could be observed in other countries. I shall argue

in this paper that the reforms in the financial sector and monetary policy

framework have been a key component of the overall reforms that provided the

foundation of an increased price and financial stability. Reforms in these sectors

have been well- sequenced, taking into account the state of the markets in the

various segments.

275

The main objective of the financial sector reforms in India initiated in the early

1990s was to create an efficient, competitive and stable financial sector that

could then contribute in greater measure to stimulate growth. Concomitantly, the

monetary policy framework made a phased shift from direct instruments of

monetary management to an increasing reliance on indirect instruments.

However, as appropriate monetary transmission cannot take place without

efficient price discovery of interest rates and exchange rates in the overall

functioning of financial markets, the corresponding development of the money

market, Government securities market and the foreign exchange market

became necessary. Reforms in the various segments, therefore, had to be

coordinated. In this process, growing integration of the Indian economy with the

rest of the world also had to be recognised and provided for.

Against this backdrop, the coverage of this paper is threefold. First, I will give a

synoptic account of the reforms in financial sector and monetary policy. Second,

this is followed by an assessment of these reforms in terms of outcomes and the

health of the financial sector. Finally, lessons emerging from the Indian

experience for issues of topical relevance for monetary authorities are

considered in the final Section.

8.2. FINANCIAL SECTOR AND MONETARY POLICY: OBJECTIVES AND

REFORMS

Till the early 1990s the Indian financial sector could be described as a classic

example of “financial repression”. Monetary policy was subservient to the fiscal.

The financial system was characterised by extensive regulations such as

administered interest rates, directed credit programmes, weak banking

structure, lack of proper accounting and risk management systems and

lack of transparency in operations of major financial market participants (Mohan,

2004b). Such a system hindered efficient allocation of resources. Financial sector

reforms initiated in the early 1990s has attempted to overcome these

weaknesses in order to enhance efficiency of resource allocation in the economy.

Simultaneously, the Reserve Bank took a keen interest in the development of

276

financial markets, especially the money, government securities and forex

markets in view of their critical role in the transmission mechanism of monetary

policy. As for other central banks, the money market is the focal point for

intervention by the Reserve Bank to equilibrate short-term liquidity flows on

account of its linkages with the foreign exchange market. Similarly, the

Government securities market is important for the entire debt market as it

serves as a benchmark for pricing other debt market instruments, thereby aiding

the monetary transmission process across the yield curve. The Reserve Bank

had, in fact, been making efforts since 1986 to develop institutions and

infrastructure for these markets to facilitate price discovery. These efforts by the

Reserve Bank to develop efficient, stable and healthy financial markets

accelerated after 1991. There has been close co-ordination between The

Central Government and the Reserve Bank, as also between different

regulators, which helped in orderly and smooth development of the financial

markets in India.

The major contours of the financial sector reforms in India were found as under including:

• Removal of the erstwhile existing financial repression

• Creation of an efficient, productive and profitable financial sector

• Enabling the process of price discovery by the market determination of interest

rates that improves allocate efficiency of resources

• Providing operational and functional autonomy to institutions

• Preparing the financial system for increasing international competition

• Opening the external sector in a calibrated manner; and

• Promoting financial stability in the wake of domestic and external shocks.

The financial sector reforms since the early 1990s could be analytically classified

into two phases.1 The first phase - or the first generation of reforms - was

aimed at creating an efficient, productive and profitable financial sector which

would function in an environment of operational flexibility and functional

277

autonomy. In the second phase, or the second generation reforms, which started

in the mid-1990s, the emphasis of reforms has been on strengthening the

financial system and introducing structural improvements. Against this brief

overview of the philosophy of financial sector reforms, let me briefly touch upon

reforms in various sectors and segments of the financial sector.

8.3. INDIAN BANKING SECTOR AND FINANACIAL REFORMS

The main objective of banking sector reforms was to promote a diversified,

efficient and competitive financial system with the ultimate goal of improving

the allocative efficiency of resources through operational flexibility, improved

financial viability and institutional strengthening. The reforms have focussed on

removing financial repression through reductions in statutory pre- emptions, while

stepping up prudential regulations at the same time. Furthermore, interest rates

on both deposits and lending of banks have been progressively deregulated (Box

I).

As the Indian banking system had become predominantly government owned by

the early 1990s, banking sector reforms essentially took a two pronged

approach. First, the level of competition was gradually increased within the

banking system while simultaneously introducing international best practices in

prudential regulation and supervision tailored to Indian requirements. In particular,

special emphasis was placed on building up the risk management

capabilities of Indian banks while measures were initiated to ensure

flexibility, operational autonomy and competition in the banking sector.

Second, active steps were taken to improve the institutional arrangements

including the legal framework and technological system. The supervisory

system was revamped in view of the crucial role of supervision in the

creation of an efficient banking system.

Measures to improve the health of the banking system have included (i)

restoration of public sector banks' net worth through recapitalization where

needed; (ii) streamlining of the supervision process with combination of on-

278

site and off-site surveillance along with external auditing; (iii) introduction of risk

based supervision; (iv) introduction of the process of structured. The then RBI

governer Mr. Reddy (2002) noted that the approach towards financial sector

reforms in India has been based on five principles: (i) cautious and appropriate

sequencing of reform measures; (ii) introduction of mutually reinforcing norms; (iii)

introduction of complementary reforms across monetary, fiscal and external

sectors; (iv) development of financial institutions; and (v) development of financial

markets and discretionary intervention for problem banks through a prompt

corrective action (PCA) mechanism; (v) institutionalisation of a mechanism

facilitating greater coordination for regulation and supervision of financial

conglomerates; (vi) strengthening creditor rights (still in process); and (vii)

increased emphasis on corporate governance.

Consistent with the policy approach to benchmark the banking system to

the best international standards with emphasis on gradual harmonization, all

commercial banks in India are expected to start implementing Basel II with effect

from March 31, 2007 – though a marginal stretching beyond this date should

not be ruled out in view of the latest indications on the state of preparedness.

Recognising the differences in degrees of sophistication and development of the

banking system, it has been decided that the banks will initially adopt the

Standardized Approach for credit risk and the Basic Indicator Approach for

operational risk. After adequate skills developed, both by the banks and also by

the supervisors, some of the banks may be allowed to migrate to the Internal

Rating Based (IRB) Approach. Although implementation of Basel II will require

more capital for banks in India, the cushion available in the system - at

present, the Capital to Risk Assets Ratio (CRAR) is over 12 per cent - provides

some comfort. In order to provide banks greater flexibility and avenues for

meeting the capital requirements, the Reserve Bank has issued policy guidelines

enabling issuance of several instruments by the banks viz., innovative

perpetual debt instruments, perpetual non-cumulative preference shares,

redeemable cumulative preference shares and hybrid debt instruments.

279

The major reforms in Banking Sector are summarized as below:

A. Competition Enhancing Measures 1. Granting of operational autonomy to public sector banks, reduction of

public ownership in public sector banks by allowing them to raise

capital from equity market up to 49 per cent of paid-up capital.

2. Transparent norms for entry of Indian private sector, foreign and

joint-venture banks and insurance companies, permission for

foreign investment in the financial sector in the form of Foreign

Direct Investment (FDI) as well as portfolio investment, permission to

banks to diversify product portfolio and business activities.

3. Roadmap for presence of foreign banks and guidelines for mergers

and amalgamation of private sector banks and banks and NBFCs.

4. Guidelines on ownership and governance in private sector banks.

B. Measures Enhancing Role of Market Forces

1. Sharp reduction in pre-emption through reserve requirement,

market determined pricing for government securities, disbanding of

administered interest rates with a few exceptions and enhanced

transparency and disclosure norms to facilitate market discipline.

2. Introduction of pure inter-bank call money market, auction-based

repos-reverse repos for short-term liquidity management, facilitation

of improved payments and settlement mechanism.

3. Significant advancement in dematerialization and markets for

securitized assets are being developed.

C. Prudential Measures

1. Introduction and phased implementation of international best practices

and norms on risk-weighted capital adequacy requirement,

accounting,

280

i

ncome recognition, provisioning and exposure.

2. Measures to strengthen risk management through recognition of

different components of risk, assignment of risk-weights to various

asset classes, norms on connected

3. Lending, risk concentration, application of marked-to-market principle

for investment portfolio and limits on deployment of fund in sensitive

activities.

4. 'Know Your Customer' and 'Anti Money Laundering' guidelines,

roadmap for Basel II, introduction of capital charge for market risk,

higher graded provisioning for NPAs, guidelines for ownership

and governance, securitization and debt restructuring

mechanisms norms, etc.

D. Institutional and Legal Measures

1. Setting up of Lok Adalats (people’s courts), debt recovery

tribunals, asset reconstruction companies, settlement advisory

committees, corporate debt restructuring mechanism, etc. for quicker

recovery/ restructuring.

2. Promulgation of Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial

Assets and Enforcement of Securities Interest (SARFAESI)

Act, 2002 and its subsequent amendment to ensure creditor

rights.

3. Setting up of Credit Information Bureau of India Limited (CIBIL) for

information sharing on defaulters as also other borrowers.

4. Setting up of Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL) to act

as central counter party for facilitating payments and settlement

system relating to fixed income securities and money market

instruments.

281

E. Supervisory Measures

1. Establishment of the Board, for Financial Supervision as the apex

supervisory authority for commercial banks, financial institutions and

non-banking financial companies.

2. Introduction of CAMELS supervisory rating system, move

towards risk-based supervision, consolidated supervision of financial

conglomerates, strengthening of off- site surveillance through control

returns.

3. Recasting of the role of statutory auditors, increased internal

control through strengthening of internal audit.

4. Strengthening corporate governance, enhanced due diligence on

important shareholders, fit and proper tests for directors.

F. Technology Related Measures

Setting up of INFINET as the communication backbone for the

financial sector, introduction of Negotiated Dealing System (NDS) for

screen-based trading in government securities and Real Time Gross

Settlement (RTGS) System.

8.4. MONETARY POLICY FRAMEWORK

The basic emphasis of monetary policy since the initiation of reforms has

been to reduce market segmentation in the financial sector through

increased interlinkages between various segments of the financial market

including money, government security and forex market. The key policy

development that has enabled a more independent monetary policy

environment as well as the development of Government security market

was the discontinuation of automatic monetization of the government's

fiscal deficit since April 1997 through an agreement between the Government

and the Reserve Bank of India in September 1994. In order to meet the

challenges thrown by financial liberalization and the growing

282

complexities of monetary management, the Reserve Bank switched from

a monetary targeting framework to a multiple indicator approach from

1998-99. Short-term interest rates have emerged as the key indicators, of

the monetary policy stance. A significant shift is the move towards

market-based instruments away from direct instruments of monetary

management. In line with international trends, the Reserve Bank has put in

place a liquidity management framework in which market liquidity is

managed through a mix of open market (including repo) operations

(OMOs), changes in reserve requirements and standing facilities, reinforced

by changes in the policy rates, including the Bank Rate and the short

term (overnight) policy rate. In order to carry out these market operations

effectively, the Reserve Bank has initiated several measures to strengthen

the health of its balance sheet.

Over the past few years, the process of monetary policy formulation

has become relatively more articulate, consultative and participative with

external orientation, while the internal work processes have also been re-

engineered. A recent notable step in this direction, is the constitution of a

Technical Advisory Committee on Monetary Policy comprising external

experts to advise the Reserve Bank on the stance of monetary policy.

Following the reforms, the financial markets have now grown in size, depth

and activity paving the way for flexible use of indirect instruments by

the Reserve Bank to pursue its objectives. It is recognised that stability

in financial markets is critical for efficient price discovery. Excessive volatility

in exchange rates and interest rates masks the underlying value of these

variables and gives rise to confusing signals. Since both the exchange rate

and interest rate are the key prices reflecting the cost of money, it is

particularly important for the efficient functioning of the economy that they

be market determined and be easily observed. The Reserve Bank has,

therefore, put in place a liquidity management framework in the form of

a liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) for the facilitation of forex and

money market transactions that result in price discovery sans excessive

volatility. The LAF coupled with OMOs and the Market Stabilization

283

Scheme (MSS) has provided the Reserve Bank greater flexibility to

manage market liquidity in consonance with its policy stance. The

introduction of LAF had several advantages.

1. First and foremost, it helped the transition from direct instruments

of monetary control to indirect and, in the process, certain dead

weight loss for the system was saved.

2. Second, it has provided monetary authorities with greater flexibility in

determining both the quantum of adjustment as well as the rates by

responding to the needs of the system on a daily basis

3. Third, it enabled the Reserve Bank to modulate the supply of

funds on a daily basis to meet day-to-day liquidity mismatches.

4. Fourth, it enabled the Reserve Bank to affect demand for funds

through policy rate changes.

5. Fifth and most important, it helped stabilize short-term money market

rates.

8.5. REFORMS IN MONETARY POLICY FRAMEWORK

1. Twin objectives of “maintaining price stability” and “ensuring

availability of adequate credit to productive sectors of the economy to

support growth” continue to govern the stance of monetary policy,

though the relative emphasis on these objectives has varied

depending on the importance of maintaining an appropriate balance.

2. Reflecting the increasing development of financial market and

greater liberalization, use of broad money as an intermediate

target has been de-emphasized and a multiple indicator approach

has been adopted.

3. Emphasis has been put on development of multiple instruments to

transmit liquidity and interest rate signals in the short-term in a flexible

and bi-directional manner.

284

4. Increase of the interlinkage between various segments of the

financial market including money, government security and forex

markets. Instruments Move from direct instruments (such as,

administered interest rates, reserve requirements, selective credit

control) to indirect instruments (such as, open market operations,

purchase and repurchase of government securities) for the conduct

of monetary policy.

5. Introduction of Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF), which operates

through repo and reverse repo auctions, effectively provide a corridor

for short-term interest rate. LAF

6. has emerged as the tool for both liquidity management and also as

a signalling devise for interest rate in the overnight market.

7. Use of open market operations to deal with overall market

liquidity situation especially those emanating from capital flows.

8. Introduction of Market Stabilization Scheme (MSS) as an additional

instrument to deal with enduring capital inflows without affecting

short-term liquidity management role of LAF.

Developmental Measures 1. Discontinuation of automatic monetization through an

agreement between the Government and the Reserve Bank.

Rationalization of Treasury Bill market.

2. Introduction of delivery versus payment system and deepening of

inter-bank repo market.

3. Introduction of Primary Dealers in the government securities market

to play the role of market maker.

4. Amendment of Securities Contracts Regulation Act (SCRA), to create

the regulatory framework.

5. Deepening of government securities market by making the interest

rates on such securities market related. Introduction of auction of

government securities. Development of a risk-free credible yield curve

285

in the government securities market as a benchmark for related

markets.

6. Development of pure inter-bank call money market. Non-bank

participants to participate in other money market instruments.

7. Introduction of automated screen-based trading in government

securities through Negotiated Dealing System (NDS). Setting up of

risk-free payments and system in government securities through

Clearing Corporation of India Limited (CCIL). Phased introduction of

Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) System.

8. Deepening of forex market and increased autonomy of Authorized

Dealers.

Institutional Measures

1. Setting up of Technical Advisory Committee on Monetary Policy

with outside experts to review macroeconomic and monetary

developments and advise the Reserve Bank on the stance of

monetary policy.

2. Creation of a separate Financial Market Department within the RBI.

Given the growing role played by expectations, the stance of monetary

policy and its rationale are communicated to the public in a variety of

ways. The enactment of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget

Management Act, 2003 has strengthened the institutional mechanism

further: from April 2006 onwards, the Reserve Bank is no longer

permitted to subscribe to government securities in the primary market. The

development of the monetary policy framework has also involved a great

deal of institutional initiatives to enable efficient functioning of the money

market: development of appropriate trading, payments and settlement

systems along with technological infrastructure.

286

Financial Markets The success of a framework that relies on indirect instruments of monetary

management such as interest rates, is contingent upon the extent and

speed with which changes in the central bank's policy rate are transmitted

to the spectrum of market interest rates and exchange rate in the economy

and onward to the real sector. Given the critical role, played by financial

markets in this transmission mechanism, the Reserve Bank has taken a

number of initiatives to develop a pure inter-bank money market. A

noteworthy and desirable development has been the substantial migration

of money market activity from the uncollateralized call money

segment to the collateralized market repo and collateralized borrowing

and lending obligations (CBLO) markets. The shift of activity from

uncollateralized to collateralized segments of the market has largely

resulted from measures relating to limiting the call market transactions

to banks and primary dealers only. This policy-induced shift is in the interest

of financial stability and is yielding results.

Concomitantly, efforts have been made to broaden and deepen the

Government securities market and foreign exchange market so as to

enable the process of efficient price discovery in respect of interest rates and

the exchange rate.

It is pertinent to note that the phased approach to development of financial

markets has enabled RBI's withdrawal from the primary market since April

1, 2006. This step completes the transition to a fully market based

system in the G-sec market. Looking ahead, as per the

recommendations of the Twelfth Finance Commission, the Central

Government would cease to raise resources on behalf of State

Governments, who, henceforth, have to access the market directly. Thus,

State Governments' capability in raising resources will be market

determined and based on their own financial health. In order to ensure a

smooth transition to the new regime, restructuring of current institutional

287

processes has already been initiated (Mohan, 2006c). These steps are

helping to achieve the desired integration in the conduct of monetary

operations.

Summing up, reforms were designed to enable the process of efficient price

discovery and induce greater internal efficiency in resource allocation within

the banking system. While the policy measures in the pre-1990s period

were essentially devoted to financial deepening, the focus of reforms in

the last decade and a half has been engendering greater efficiency and

productivity in the banking system.

Reforms in the monetary policy framework were aimed at providing

operational flexibility to the Reserve Bank in its conduct of monetary

policy by relaxing the constraint imposed by passive monetization of the

fisc.

Liberalisation Measures

1. Authorized dealers permitted to initiate trading positions, borrow

and invest in overseas market subject to certain specifications

and ratification by respective Banks’ Boards.

2. Banks are also permitted to fix interest rates on non-resident

deposits, subject to certain specifications, use derivative products for

asset-liability management and fix overnight open position limits

and gap limits in the foreign exchange market, subject to ratification

by RBI.

3. Permission to various participants in the foreign exchange

market, including exporters, Indians investing abroad, FIIs, to avail

forward cover and enter into swap transactions.

4. without any limit subject to genuine underlying exposure.

5. FIIs and NRIs permitted to trade in exchange-traded derivative

6. Contracts, subject to certain conditions.

7. Foreign exchange earners permitted to maintain foreign currency

288

accounts. Residents are permitted to open such accounts within the

general limit of US $ 25, 000 per year.

8.6 ASSESSMENT AND IMPACT OF BANKING SECTOR REFORMS

An assessment of the banking sector shows that banks have experienced strong

balance sheet growth in the post-reform period in an environment of operational

flexibility. Improvement in the financial health of banks, reflected in significant

improvement in capital adequacy and improved asset quality, is distinctly visible.

It is noteworthy that this progress has been achieved despite the adoption of

international best practices in prudential norms. Competitiveness and productivity

gains have also been enabled by proactive technological deepening and flexible

human resource management. These significant gains have been achieved even

while renewing our goals of social banking viz. maintaining the wide reach of the

banking system and directing credit towards important but disadvantaged sectors

of society. A brief discussion on the performance of the banking sector under the

reform process is given below.

8.6.1 SPREAD OF BANKING

The banking system’s wide reach, judged in terms of expansion of branches and

the growth of credit and deposits indicate continued financial deepening (Table 8.1 &8.2). The population per bank branch has not changed much since

the1980s, and has remained at around 16,000.

In the Post-reform period, banks have consistently maintained high rates of

growth in their assets and liabilities. On the liability side, deposits continue to

account for about 80 per cent of the total liabilities. On the asset side, the shares

of loans and advances on the one hand and investments on other hand have

seen marked cycles, reflecting banks’ portfolio preferences as well as growth

cycles in the economy. The share of loans and advances declined in the second

half of 1990s responding to slowdown in investment demand as well as

tightening of prudential norms.

289

TABLE8.1 : PROGRESS OF COMMERCIAL BANKING IN INDIA(1969-2005)

Source : Reserve Bank of India

TABLE 8.2: PROGRESS OF COMMERCIAL BANKING IN INDIA (2005-10)

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

No. of Commercial Banks

73 154 272 284 298 288

No. of Bank Offices of which

8,262 34,594 60,570 64,234 67,868 68,339

Rural and semi-urban bank offices Population per Office (’000s)

5,1726

4

23,227

16

46,550

14

46,602

15

47,693

15

47491

16

Per capita Deposit (Rs.)

88 738 2,368 4,242 8,542 16,699

Per capita Credit (Rs.)

68 457 1,434 2,320 4,555 10,135

Priority Sector Advances@ (per cent)

15 37 39 34 35 40

Deposits (per cent of National Income)

16 36 48 48 54 65

Source: Reserve Bank of India

1969 1980 1991 1995 2000 2005 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

No. of Commercial Banks No. of bank Offices Of which Rural and semi-urban bank Offices Population per Office (‘000s) Per capita Deposit (Rs.) Per capita Credit (Rs.) Priority Sector Advances@ (percent) Deposits (per cent of National Income)

73 8262

5,172

64 88

68

15

16

154 34594

23,227

16 738

457

37

36

272 60,570

46,550

14

2368

1434

39

48

284 64,234

46,602

15

4242

2320

34

48

298 67,868

47,693

15

8542

4555

35

54

288 68,339

47,491

16

16699

10135

40

65

290

With investment demand again picking up in the past 3-4 years, bank’s credit

portfolio has witnessed sharp growth, Bank’s investment in gilts have accordingly

seen a significant decline in the past one year, although it still remains above the

minimum statutory requirement. Thus, while in the 1990s, grater investments and

aversion to credit risk exposure may have deterred banks from undertaking their

‘core function’ of financial intermediation viz., accepting deposits and extending

credit, they seem to have struck a grater balance in recent years between

investments and loans and advances. The improved atmosphere for recovery crated

in the recent years seems to have induced banks to put grater efforts in extending

loans.

8.6.2 CAPITAL POSITION AND ASSET QUALITY

Since the beginning of reforms, a set of micro-prudential measures have

been stipulated aimed at imparting strength to the banking system as well

as ensuring safety. With regard to prudential requirements, income

recognition and asset classification (IRAC) norms have been

strengthened to approach international best practice. Initially, while it was

deemed to attain a CRAR of 8 per cent in a phased manner, it was

subsequently raised to 9 per cent with effect from 1999-2000.

The overall capital position of commercial banks has witnessed a marked

improvement during the reform period (Table 8.3 ). Illustratively, as at

end-March 2005, 86 out of the 88 commercial banks operating in India

maintained CRAR at or above 9 per cent. The corresponding figure for

1995-96 was 54 out of 92 banks. Improved capitalisation of public sector

banks was initially brought through substantial infusion of funds by

government to recapitalise these banks. Subsequently, in order to mitigate

the budgetary impact and to introduce market discipline, public sector

banks were allowed to raise funds from the market through equity

issuance subject to the maintenance of 51 per cent public ownership.

291

Ownership in public sector banks is now well diversified. As at end-March

2005, the holding by the general public in six banks ranged between40 and

49 per cent and in 12 banks between 30 and 49 per cent. It was only in

four banks that the Government holding was more than 90 per cent.

TABLE 8.3:

DISTRIBUTION OF COMMERCIAL BANKS ACCORDING TO RISK-WEIGHTED CAPITAL ADEQUACY (NUMBER OF BANKS)

Year Below 4 per cent

Between 4-9 per cent*

Between 9-10 per cent@

Above 10 per cent

Total

1995-96 8 9 33 42 92 2000-01 3 2 11 84 100 2004-05 1 1 8 78 88 2009-10 2 1 15 82 97 Source: Reserve Bank of India

8.6.3 NON-PERFORMING LOANS (NPL) OF SCHEDULED COMMERCIAL BANKS

Despite tightening norms, there has been considerable improvement in the

asset quality of banks. India transited to a 90-day NPL recognition norm

(from 180-day norm) in 2004. Nonetheless, non-performing loans (NPLs), as

ratios of both total advances and assets, have declined substantially and

consistently since the mid-1990s (Table 8.4& 8.5 ).

Improvement in the credit appraisal process, upturn of the business cycle, new

initiatives for resolution of NPLs (including promulgation of the Securitisation and

Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest

(SARFAESI) Act), and greater provisioning and write-off of NPLs enabled by

greater profitability, have kept incremental NPLs low

292

TABLE –8.4 NON-PERFORMING LOANS (NPL) OF SCHEDULED COMMERCIAL BANKS

(1996-97 To 2004=05) (per cent)

Source Reserve Bank of India

These two tables indicate that the Indian banks are more stringent norms for

recovery of loans and they have less over dues and NPAs. The Gross and Net

NPAs of Indian banking system in 1991 were 11.0 and 9.5 which has been

tremendously reduced up to 1.1 % and 0.9%. The NPAs of the assets also come

down from 6.1% to 0.5% during the period of 1991 to 2010. Indian banks have

shown the eye-catching progress in NPA management during the period of

financial reforms. Thus it is proved that the Indian banks have made Significant

Improvement in Asset quality , despite tightening of norms since mid-1990’s

Year Gross NPL/ advances

Gross NPL/ Asset

Net NPL/ Advance

Net NPL/ Assets

1 2 3 4 5 1990-91 1996-97 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05

18.4 15.7 14.4 14.7 12.7 11.4 10.4 8.8 7.2 5.2

11.0 7

6.4 6.2 5.5 4.9 4.6 4

3.3 2.6

9.5 8.1 7.3 7.6 6.8 6.2 5.5 4.4 2.9 2

6.1 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3 1.9 1.2 0.9

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TABLE 8.5:

NON-PERFORMING LOANS (NPL) OF SCHEDULED COMMERCIAL BANKS

(2004-5 To 2010-11) (Per cent)

Gross NPA to Advances

Gross NPA to Assets

Net NPA to Advances

Net NPA to Net Assets

2004-05 7.2 3.3 2.9 1.2 2005-06 5.2 2.6 2 0.9 2006-07 6 2.1 1.4 .09 2007-08 6 2 1.4 .08 2008-09 5.8 1.8 1.1 0.6 2009-10 5.5 1.6 1.00 0.5 2010-11 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.4

Source Reserve Bank of India. TABLE :8.6 GROSS AND NET NPAs OF SCHEDULED COMMERCIAL BANKS BANK GROUP-WISE

Year Advances Non-performing assets (NPAs) Gross Net Gross Net

Amount As Percentage

of gross advances

As Percentage

of total assets

Amount As Percentage

of net advances

As Percentage

of Total Assets

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Scheduled Commercial Banks

1997-98

352696 325522 50815 14.4 6.4 23761 7.3 3.0

1998-99

399436 367012 58722 14.7 6.2 28020 7.6 2.9

1999-00

475113 444292 60408 12.7 5.5 30073 6.8 2.7

2000-01

558766 526328 63741 11.4 4.9 32461 6.2 2.5

2001-02

680958 645859 70861 10.4 4.6 35554 5.5 2.3

2002-03

778043 740473 68717 8.8 4.1 29692 4.0 1.8

2003-04

902026 862643 64812 7.2 3.3 24396 2.8 1.2

2004-05

1152682 1115663 59373 5.2 2.5 21754 2.0 0.9

2005-06

1551378 1516811 51097 3.3 1.8 18543 1.2 0.7

2006- 2012510 1981237 50486 2.5 1.5 20101 1.0 0.6

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07 2007-08

2507885 2476936 56309 2.3 1.3 24730 1.0 0.6

2008-09

3038254 3000906 68973 2.3 1.3 31424 1.1 0.6

Public Sector Banks 1997-98

284971 260459 45653 16.0 7.0 21232 8.2 3.3

1998-99

325328 297789 51710 15.9 6.7 24211 8.1 3.1

1999-00

379461 352714 53033 14.0 6.0 26187 7.4 2.9

2000-01

442134 415207 54672 12.4 5.3 27977 6.7 2.7

2001-02

509368 480681 56473 11.1 4.9 27958 5.8 2.4

2002-03

577813 549351 54090 9.4 4.2 24877 4.5 1.9

2003-04

661975 631383 51537 7.8 3.5 19335 3.1 1.3

2004-05

877825 848912 48399 5.5 2.7 16904 2.1 1.0

2005-06

1134724 1106288 41358 3.6 2.1 14566 1.3 0.7

2006-07

1464493 1440146 38968 2.7 1.6 15145 1.1 0.6

2007-08

1819074 1797401 40452 2.2 1.3 17836 1.0 0.6

2008-09

2283473 2260156 45156 2.0 1.2 21033 0.9 0.6

Old Private Sector Banks 1997-98

25580 24353 2794 10.9 5.1 1572 6.5 2.9

1998-99

28979 26017 3784 13.1 5.8 2332 9.0 3.6

1999-00

35404 33879 3815 10.8 5.2 2393 7.1 3.3

2000-01

39738 37973 4346 10.9 5.1 2771 7.3 3.3

2001-02

44057 42286 4851 11.0 5.2 3013 7.1 3.2

2002-03

51329 49436 4550 8.9 4.3 2598 5.2 2.5

2003-04

57908 55648 4398 7.6 3.6 2142 3.8 1.8

2004-05

70412 67742 4200 6.0 3.1 1859 2.7 1.4

2005-06

85154 82957 3759 4.4 2.5 1375 1.7 0.9

2006-07

94872 92887 2969 3.1 1.8 891 1.0 0.6

2007-08

113404 111670 2557 2.3 1.3 740 0.7 0.4

2008-09

130352 128512 3072 2.4 1.3 1165 0.9 0.5

New Private Sector Banks

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Rs in Crores

1997-98

11173 11058 392 3.5 1.5 291 2.6 1.1

1998-99

14070 13714 871 6.2 2.3 611 4.5 1.6

1999-00

22816 22156 946 4.1 1.6 638 2.9 1.1

2000-01

31499 30086 1617 5.1 2.1 929 3.1 1.2

2001-02

76901 74187 6811 8.9 3.9 3663 4.9 2.1

2002-03

94718 89515 7232 7.6 3.8 1365 1.5 0.7

2003-04

119511 115106 5983 5.0 2.4 1986 1.7 0.8

2004-05

127420 123655 4582 3.6 1.6 2353 1.9 0.8

2005-06

232536 230005 4052 1.7 1.0 1796 0.8 0.4

2006-07

325273 321865 6287 1.9 1.1 3137 1.0 0.5

2007-08

412441 406733 10440 2.5 1.4 4907 1.2 0.7

2008-09

454713 446824 13911 3.1 1.8 6253 1.4 0.8

Foreign Banks In India 1997-98

30972 29652 1976 6.4 3.0 666 2.2 1.0

1998-99

31059 29492 2357 7.6 3.1 866 2.9 1.1

1999-00

37432 35543 2614 7.0 3.2 855 2.4 1.0

2000-01

45395 43063 3106 6.8 3.0 785 1.8 0.8

2001-02

50631 48705 2726 5.4 2.4 920 1.9 0.8

2002-03

54184 52171 2845 5.3 2.4 903 1.7 0.8

2003-04

62632 60506 2894 4.6 2.1 933 1.5 0.7

2004-05

77026 75354 2192 2.8 1.4 639 0.8 0.4

2005-06

98965 97562 1928 1.9 1.0 808 0.8 0.4

2006-07

127872 126339 2263 1.8 0.8 927 0.7 0.3

2007-08

162966 161133 2859 1.8 0.8 1247 0.8 0.3

2008-09

169716 165415 6833 4.0 1.5 2973 1.8 0.7

Note : 1. Data for 2008-09 are provisional. 2. Data on scheduled commercial banks & public sector banks for 2004-05 include the impact of conversion of a non-banking entity into a banking entity.

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8.6.4 COMPETITION AND EFFICIENCY

In consonance with the objective of enhancing efficiency and productivity of

banks through greater competition - from new private sector banks and

entry and expansion of several foreign banks - there has been a

consistent decline in the share of public sector banks in total assets of

commercial banks. Notwithstanding such transformation, the public sector

banks still account for nearly three-fourths of assets and income. Public

sector banks have also responded to the new challenges of competition, as

reflected in their increased share in the overall profit of the banking sector.

This suggests that, with operational flexibility, public sector banks are

competing relatively effectively with private sector and foreign banks.

Public sector bank managements are now probably more attuned to the

market consequences of their activities. Shares of Indian private sector

banks, especially new private sector banks established in the 1990s, in

the total income and assets of the banking system have improved

considerably since the mid-1990s (Table8.7 ). The reduction in the asset

share of foreign banks, however, is partially due to their increased focus on

off-balance sheet non-fund based business.

Income of public sector banks have been increased during last 15 years in

absolutely terms and they have shown the declining in the share of public sector

banks from 82.5% in 1995 to 66.7% in 2009-10.

Similarly the Expenditure share of the public sector banks also declined from

84.2% in 1995 to 68.5% in 2009-10. The public sector banks have shown the

declining trend in share of Total assets, share in net profit and also the share in

gross profit during this period of financial reforms. This is because the private

sector banks and foreign banks have entered in the market in very aggressive

way and shown tremendous performance. The public sector banks have

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improved their business performance as well as service quality during the last 10

years and now they are at comfortable position.

After the financial reforms the government has given the permission to private

sector banks to open their offices in India. Accordingly more than 30 to 35 new

private sector banks have been opened up in India during last 20 years. The

new private sector banks have shown tremendous growth in terms of income,

total assets, net profit. TABLE NO. 8.7

Bank Group-wise Shares ( %) Particulars 1995-96 2000-01 2009-10

PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS Income 82.5 78.4 66.7 Expenditure 84.2 78.9 68.5 Total Assets 84.4 79.5 69.9 Net Profit -39.1 67.4 62.1 Gross Profit 74.3 69.9 60.3 NEW PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS: Income 1.5 5.7 19.3 Expenditure 1.3 5.5 19.5 Total Assets 1.5 6.1 17.2 Net Profit 17.8 10.0 17.7 Gross Profit 2.5 6.9 18.7 FOREIGN BANKS: Income 9.4 9.1 9.5 Expenditure 8.3 8.8 7.3 Total Assets 7.9 7.9 8.4 Net Profit 79.8 14.8 15.5 Gross Profit 15.6 15.7 16.7 8.6.5 CREDIT DELIVERY Given that the Indian financial system is still predominantly bank based,

bank credit continues to be of great importance for funding different sectors of

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the economy. Consequent to deregulation of interest rates and substantial

reduction in statutory pre-emptions, there was an expectation that credit flow

would be correspondingly enhanced. In the event, banks continued to show a

marked preference for investments in government securities with no reduction

in the proportion of their assets being held in investments in government

securities, until recently, when credit growth picked up in 2003-04. From the

year 2007-08 the credit delivery has been reduced due to recession at India and

at world level. With the shift in approach from micro management of credit

through various regulations, credit allocation targets, and administered

interest rates, to a risk based system of lending and market determined

interest rates, banks have to develop appropriate credit risk assessment

techniques. Apart from promoting healthy credit growth, this is also critical for

the efficiency of monetary management in view of the move to use of indirect

instruments in monetary management.

The stagnation in credit flow observed during the late 1990s, in retrospect,

was partly caused by reduction in demand on account of increase in real interest

rates, turn down in the business cycle, and the significant business

restructuring that occurred during that period. A sharp recovery has now

taken place.

8.6.6 MONETARY POLICY : IMPACTS

The table 8.8 below, reveals that the Indian economy has shown significant

growth in GDP of 6.3 % in 1992 to 1998 and it has increased up to 8.8 %

from 2003 to 2008. This eye-catching growth in GDP was emerged after the financial reforms from 1991 to 2010. The impact of global slowdown from 2008 to 2010 was not

much on the Indian economy. Thus the indian economy has shown the

acceleration in GPD Growth, Reduction in Inflation, Stable Inflation expectation,

Financial Stability after the financial reforms.

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TABLE NO. 8.8 MONETARY POLICY : IMPACTS

TABLE8.9 :CAPITAL TO RISK – WEIGHTED ASSETS RATIO ( CRAR )

End March Distribution of Commercial Bank According to CRAR ( Number of Banks )

Below Between Between Above Total Total Core ( Tier I ) 4% 4-9 % * 9-10 % 10 % @ Banks CRAR CRAR

1996 8 9 33 42 92 8.7 N.A. 2001 3 2 11 84 100 11.4 8.5 2009 - - 1 78 79 132 8.9 March 2010

- - 1 70 87 14.1 9.7

*: Relates to 4 -8 % before 1999-2000, @: Relates to 8-10 % before 1999-2000

8.6.7 CAPITAL TO RISK – WEIGHTED ASSETS RATIO

The above table8.9, reveals that the asset quality of Indian banks especially after

the financial reforms has shown tremendous progress and the CRAR both of Tier

I and Tier II of Indian banking system were more than the required 9% by the

international standards. This proves that the Indian banking system has

positively responded to the financial reforms. It is to be noted that in India Tier I

core CRAR does not include items such as intangible assets and deferred tax

assets that are now sought to be deducted. All Commercial Banks in India are

Basel – II Compliant effect to March – 2009. The CRAR of Indian banks was

higher at 14.0 % during 2008-09 and 2009-10, under Basel II norms than 13.2

% under existing norms.

Period ( Averages ) GDP Growth ( % )

WPI Inflation ( % )

1951-60 3.6 1.2 1961-70 4.0 6.4 1971-80 2.9 9.0 1981-90 5.6 8.2 1991-92 ( Crisis Year ) 1.4 13.7 1992-1998 6.3 7.2 1998-2003 7.1 5.0 2003-2008 8.8 5.5 2008-10 ( Global Financial Crisis ) 7.0 5.6

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8.6.8 PROGRESS OF PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS

TABLE NO. 8.10 PROGRESS OF PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS ( compound Growth Per cent, 2001-2010 )

Particulars New private Public Sector All Sector Banks @ Banks Banks

No.of Branches 26.47 2.5 3.1 No.of Employees 29.54 -1.1 2.0 Net Profits 28.40 16.7 20.2 Deposits 35.51 17.9 18.8 Advances 34.66 26.8 26.7 @: Data pertain to growth recorded by 4 major private sector banks ( ICICI Banks, HDFC Bank, UTI/AXIS Bank, HDFC Bank, Centurian Bank Of Punjab )

The above table8.10, reveals that the Indian banks have shown tremendous

progress in terms of number of branches, net profit, deposits and advances. The

above growth rate shows that the new private sector banks have shown better

performances in terms of all performance indicators. Whereas, average

performance of all banking sector shows that there is a growth of 3.1% and 2 %

in terms of number of new branches and employment provided to the young

graduates. As far as profits of all bank is are concern it is 35.51% for new private

banks, 17.9% for public sector banks and profits of all banks are concern it is

20.2%. Loans and Deposits have also been significantly increased by all banks.

It is around 40% more than the growth in deposit in all the banks. It means

during the financial reforms Indian banks have provided best services to the

customer and played important role in the development of Indian economy

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8.6.9 PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY INDICATORS

TABLE NO 8.11 :PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY INDICATORS (% ) INDICATOR

Year PSBs

New private Banks

ForeignBanks

ALL Commercial Banks

Cost/ Income 2001-01 66 49 57 64 Ratio 2009-10 45 48 38 44 Intermediation 2000-01 2.7 1.7 3.4 2.7 Cost 2009-10 1.5 2.2 2.8 1.7 Net Interest Margin

2000-01 2.8 2.0 3.5 2.8

2009-10 2.1 2.8 3.9 2.4

Return on Assets

2000-01 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.5

2009-10 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.0

* : Ratio of Operating expenses to total income less interest expenses.@ : Ratio of operating expenses to total assets.

The above table 8.11, reveals that the Indian banks have shown tremendous

progress in terms of productivity and efficiency indicators ROA during the last ten

years the ROA was 0.5% in 2001 which has been doubled up to 1 % during the

year 2009-10. Whereas the other performance indicators namely cost /income

ratio, intermediation cost ratio, net interest margin shows decline during this ten

years.

The Cost income ratio of all commercial banks have been reduced from 64% to

44 % during the last years because the increase in the cost of the funds and

operational cost and more falling rate the growth of income. Similarly the net

interest margin of all commercial banks has been reduced from 2.8% in 2001 to

2.4% in the year 2009.10. it was mainly because of the reduced rate of interest

on advances as well as rates on investment by the banks. These signs have

shown that though the income has been reduced, and cost has been increased,

it was because of the matching the international standards for asset quality,

management of NPAs and provisioning norms. The banks Shown the temporary

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bad effect on their balance sheets, but in long run the Indian banks have shown

tremendous progress in all aspects because growth in Indian economy and the

strategic policies made by the Indian banks.

8.6.10 STRESS TESTS: TABLE NO. 8.12: STRESS TESTS

Resilience to substantial increases in NPAs Particulars Gross NPAs/ CRAR ROA Gross Advances ( % ) ( % ) ( % )

March 2009 2.44 13.2 1.02 March 2010baseline 3.44 13.1 0.95 ( 65 % increase in NPAs )

Stress on baseline : further increase in NPAs 50 % increase in NPAs 5.15 12.4 0.65

100 % increase in NPAs 6.87 11.7 0.31 150 % increase in NPAs 8.59 10.9 -ve Source:- Financial Stability Report, March 2010, RBI

From the above table we can see that by the end of March, 2010 there is

resilience to substantial increase in NPAs. The Gross NPA has been increased

significantly in 2010 over the year 2009 and on the other hand the CRAR and

ROA have been decreased during the last one year. The increase in NPA level

is showing the positive trend and also the ROA showing negative growth during

the corresponding period.

8.7. EMERGING ISSUES

This review of financial sector reforms and monetary policy has documented the

calibrated and coordinated reforms that have been undertaken in India

since the 1990s. In terms of outcomes, this strategy has achieved the broad

objectives of price stability along with reduced medium and long term inflation

expectations; the installation of an institutional framework and policy reform

promoting relatively efficient price discovery of interest rates and the exchange

rate; phased introduction of competition in banking along with corresponding

improvements in regulation and supervision approaching international best

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practice, which has led to notable improvement in banking performance and

financials. The implementation of these reforms has also involved the

setting up or improvement of key financial infrastructure such as payment and

settlement systems, and clearing and settlement systems for debt and forex

market functioning. All of this financial development has been achieved with the

maintenance of a great degree of financial stability, along with overall

movement of the economy towards a higher growth path.

With increased deregulation of financial markets and increased integration of the

global economy, the 1990s were turbulent for global financial markets: 63

countries suffered from systemic banking crises in that decade, much higher

than 45 in the 1980s. Among countries that experienced such crises, the direct

cost of reconstructing the financial system was typically very high: for example,

recapitalization of banks had cost 55 per cent of GDP in Argentina, 42 per cent

in Thailand, 35 per cent in Korea and 10 per cent in Turkey. There were

high indirect costs of lost opportunities and slow economic growth in addition

(McKinsey & Co., 2010). It is therefore particularly noteworthy that India could

pursue its process of financial deregulation and opening of the economy

without suffering financial crises during this turbulent period in world

financial markets. The cost of recapitalization of public sector banks at less

than 1 per cent of GDP, is therefore low in comparison. Whereas we can be

legitimately gratified with this performance record, we now need to focus on

the new issues that need to be addressed for the next phase of financial

development.

That current annual GDP growth of around 8 per cent can be achieved in India

at an about 30 per cent rate of gross domestic investment suggests that the

economy is functioning quite efficiently. We need to ensure that we maintain this

level of efficiency and make attempt to improve on it further. As the Indian

economy continues on such a growth path and attempts to accelerate it, new

demands are being placed on the financial system.

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MAJOR ISSUES BEING FACED BY THE INDIAN BANKING INDUSTRY

Although banking sector reforms have created a high competitive and dynamic

environment for commercial banks but at the same time, these reforms have

created glaring issues that should be tackled very carefully in the era of IT and

WTO. The following are the major issues:

1. A widening gap in the productivity of various bank groups- it is a threat and

also motivation for many bank groups.

2. Widening profitability gap among bank groups under study

3. High rate of NPAs

4. Fast shifting of potential customers from public sector banks to new private

sector banks and foreign banks and hence created an issue of customer

retention for public sector banks

5. Penetration of new private sector banks and foreign banks in semi-urban and

rural areas have become survival factor for public sector banks

6. Poor quality of services by many public sector banks created issue of survival

in such a competitive environment

7. Lack of autonomy in HRM policies, especially for public sector banks

8. Lack of accountability

9. Loss making branches

10. Technology gap among private and public sector banks

11. Merger and acquisition

12. Privatization of public sector banks

13. Increasing customer expectations and demands

14. Threat of non-banking institutions and non-financial companies

15. Intensified competition within the banking sector, competition from global

banking giants.

8.8. VISION AHEAD

Our Vision is of an integrated banking and finance system catering to all financial

intermediation requirements of customers. Strong market players will strive to

305

uncover markets and provide all services, combining innovation, quality, personal

touch and flexibility in delivery. The growing expectations of the customers are

the catalyst for our vision. The customer would continue to be the centre-point of

our business strategy. In short, you lose touch with the customer, and you lose

everything.

It is expected that the Indian banking and finance system will be globally

competitive. For this the market players will have to be financially strong and

operationally efficient. Capital would be a key factor in building a successful

institution. The banking and finance system will improve competitiveness through

a process of consolidation, either through mergers and acquisitions through

strategic alliances.

Technology would be the key to the competitiveness of banking and finance

system. Indian players will keep pace with global leaders in the use of banking

technology. In such a scenario, on-line accessibility will be available to the

customers from any part of the globe; ‘Anywhere’ and ‘Anytime’ banking will be

realized truly and fully. At the same time ‘brick and mortar’ banking will co-exist

with ‘on-line’ banking to cater to the specific needs, of different customers.

“A vision is not a project report or a plan target. It is an articulation of the desired end results in broader terms” - A.P.J. Abdul Kalam

1. Financial Sector Reforms set in motion in 1991 have greatly changed the face

of Indian Banking. The banking industry has moved gradually from a regulated

environment to a deregulated market economy. The market developments

kindled by liberalization and globalization have resulted in changes in the

intermediation role of banks. The pace of transformation has been more

significant in recent times with technology acting as a catalyst. While the

banking system has done fairly well in adjusting to the new market dynamics,

greater challenges lie ahead. Financial sector would be opened up for greater

international competition under WTO. Banks will have to gear up to meet

stringent prudential capital adequacy norms under Basel II. In addition to WTO

and Basel II, the Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) such as with Singapore, may

306

have an impact on the shape of the banking industry. Banks will also have to

cope with challenges posed by technological innovations in banking. Banks need

to prepare for the changes. In this context the need for drawing up a Road Map

to the future assumes relevance.

2. When we talk about the future, it is necessary to have a time horizon in mind.

The Committee felt, it would be rather difficult to visualize the landscape of

banking industry say, 20 years hence due to the dynamic environment. While

Government of India brought out India Vision 2020, the Committee is of the view

that the pace of changes taking place in the banking industry and in the field of

Information Technology would render any attempt to visualize the banking

scenario in 2020, inconceivable. The entire financial services sector may

undergo a dramatic transformation.

“I am confident that India will become a Developed Nation by 2020. Come, let us strive together to turn this resolve into reality” – Atal Bihari Vajpayee

3. Liberalization and de-regulation process started in 1991-92 has made a sea

change in the banking system. From a totally regulated environment, we have

gradually moved into a market driven competitive system. Our move towards

global benchmarks has been, by and large, calibrated and regulator driven. The

pace of changes gained momentum in the last few years. Globalization would

gain greater speed in the coming years particularly on account of expected

opening up of financial services under WTO. Four trends change the banking

industry world over, viz. 1) Consolidation of players through mergers and

acquisitions, 2) Globalisation of operations, 3) Development of new technology

and 4) Universalisation of banking. With technology acting as a catalyst, we

expect to see great changes in the banking scene in the coming years. The

Committee has attempted to visualize the financial world 5-10 years from now.

The picture that emerged is somewhat as discussed below. It entails

emergence of an integrated and diversified financial system. The move towards

307

universal banking has already begun. This will gather further momentum bringing

non-banking financial institutions also, into an integrated financial system.

4. The traditional banking functions would give way to a system geared to meet

all the financial needs of the customer. We could see emergence of highly varied

financial products, which are tailored to meet specific needs of the customers in

the retail as well as corporate segments. The advent of new technologies could

see the emergence of new financial players doing financial intermediation. For

example, we could see utility service providers offering say, bill payment services

or supermarkets or retailers doing basic lending operations. The conventional

definition of banking might undergo changes.

5. The competitive environment in the banking sector is likely to result in

individual players working out differentiated strategies based on their strengths

and market niches. For example, some players might emerge as specialists in

mortgage products, credit cards etc. whereas some could choose to concentrate

on particular segments of business system, while outsourcing all other functions.

Some other banks may concentrate on SME segments or high net worth

individuals by providing specially tailored services beyond traditional banking

offerings to satisfy the needs of customers they understand better than a more

generalist competitor.

6. International trade is an area where India’s presence is expected to show appreciable

increase. Presently, Indian share in the global trade is just about 0.8%. The long term

projections for growth in international trade is placed at an average of 6% per annum.

With the growth in IT sector and other IT Enabled Services, there is tremendous

potential for business opportunities. Keeping in view the GDP growth forecast under

India Vision 2020, Indian exports can be expected to grow at a sustainable rate of 15%

per annum in the period ending with 2010. This again will offer enormous scope to

Banks in India to increase their forex business and international presence.

Globalization would provide opportunities for Indian corporate entities to expand their

business in other countries. Banks in India wanting to increase their international

308

presence could naturally be expected to follow these corporates and other trade flows in

and out of India.

7. Retail lending will receive greater focus. Banks would compete with one

another to provide full range of financial services to this segment. Banks would

use multiple delivery channels to suit the requirements and tastes of customers.

While some customers might value relationship banking, (conventional branch

banking), others might prefer convenience banking (e-banking).

8. One of the concerns is quality of bank lending. Most significant challenge

before banks is the maintenance of rigorous credit standards, especially in an

environment of increased competition for new and existing clients. Experience has shown us that the worst loans are often made in the best of times.

Compensation through trading gains is not going to support the banks forever.

Large-scale efforts are needed to upgrade skills in credit risk measuring,

controlling and monitoring as also revamp operating procedures. Credit

evaluation may have to shift from cash flow based analysis to “borrower account

behaviour”, so that the state of readiness of Indian banks for Basle II regime

improves. Corporate lending is already undergoing changes. The emphasis in

future would be towards more of fee based services rather than lending

operations. Banks will compete with each other to provide value added services

to their customers.

9. Structure and ownership pattern would undergo changes. There would be

greater presence of international players in the Indian financial system. Similarly,

some of the Indian banks would become global players. Government is taking

steps to reduce its holdings in Public sector banks to 33%. However the

indications are that their PSB character may still be retained.

10. Mergers and acquisitions would gather momentum as managements will

strive to meet the expectations of stakeholders. This could see the emergence of

4-5 world class Indian Banks. As Banks seek niche areas, we could see

309

emergence of some national banks of global scale and a number of regional

players.

11. Corporate governance in banks and financial institutions would assume

greater importance in the coming years and this will be reflected in the

composition of the Boards of Banks.

12. Concept of social lending would undergo a change. Rather than being seen

as directed lending such lending would be business driven. With SME sector

expected to play a greater role in the economy, Banks will give greater overall

focus in this area. Changes could be expected in the delivery channels used for

lending to small borrowers and agriculturalists and unorganized sectors (micro

credit). Use of intermediaries or franchise agents could emerge as means to

reduce transaction costs.

13. Technology as an enabler is separately discussed in the report. It would not

be out of place, however, to state that most of the changes in the landscape of

financial sector discussed above would be technology driven. In the ultimate

analysis, successful institutions will be those which continue to leverage the

advancements in technology in re-engineering processes and delivery modes

and offering state-of-the-art products and services providing complete financial

solutions for different types of customers.

14. Human Resources Development would be another key factor defining the

characteristics of a successful banking institution. Employing and retaining skilled

workers and specialists, re-training the existing workforce and promoting a

culture of continuous learning would be a challenge for the banking institutions.

8.9. CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF BANKS

1. The financial sector reforms ushered in the year 1991 have been well calibrated and

timed to ensure a smooth transition of the system from a highly regulated regime to a

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market economy. The first phase of reforms focused on modification in the policy

framework, improvement in financial health through introduction of various prudential

norms and creation of a competitive environment. The second phase of reforms started

in the latter half of 90s, targeted strengthening the foundation of banking system,

streamlining procedures, upgrading technology and human resources development and

further structural changes. The financial sector reforms carried out so far have made the

balance sheets of banks look healthier and helped them move towards achieving global

benchmarks in terms of prudential norms and best practices.

2. Under the existing Basel Capital Accord, allocation of capital follows a one-

size-fit-all approach. This would be replaced by a risk based approach to capital

allocation. While regulatory minimum capital requirements would still continue to be

relevant and an integral part of the three pillar approach under Basel II, the emphasis is

on risk based approach relying on external ratings as well as internal rating of each

asset and capital charge accordingly. The internal risk based approach would need

substantial investments in technology and development of MIS tools. For a rating tool

for internal assessment to be effective, past data for 3 to 5 years would be required and

as such, Indian banking system will have to build up the capabilities for a smooth

migration to the new method.

Another aspect which is included in Basel II accord is a provision for capital allocation for

operational risk. This is a new parameter and even internationally evaluation tools are

not yet fully developed. This would be another area where banking system will have to

reckon additional capital needs and functioning of its processes.

3. The financial sector reforms have brought in the much needed competition in

the market place. The competition to the existing banks came mainly from the

techno-savvy private sector banks. In the coming years, we expect to see

greater flow of foreign capital to come into the Indian banking sector. Opening

up of banking sector to global players would see banks facing global competition.

4. Technology is expected to be the main facilitator of change in the financial

sector. Implementation of technology solutions involves huge capital outlay.

Besides the heavy investment costs, technology applications also have a high

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degree of obsolescence. Banks will need to look for ways to optimize resources

for technology applications. In this regard, global partnerships on technology

and skills sharing may help.

5. The pressure on capital structure is expected to trigger a phase of

consolidation in the banking industry. Banks could achieve consolidation through

different ways. Mergers and acquisitions could be one way to achieve this. In

the past, mergers were initiated by regulators to protect the interests of

depositors of weak banks. In recent years, market led mergers between private

banks have taken place. It is expected that this process would gain momentum

in the coming years. Mergers between public sector banks or public sector

banks and private banks could be the next logical thing / development to happen

as market players tend to consolidate their position to remain in competition.

6. Consolidation could take place through strategic alliances / partnerships.

Besides helping banks to achieve economy of scale in operations and augment

capital base, consolidation could help market players in other ways also to

strengthen their competitiveness. The advantage could be in achieving better

segmentation in the market. Strategic alliances and collaborative approach, as

an alternative to mergers and acquisitions, could be attempted to reduce

transaction costs through outsourcing, leverage synergies in operations and

avoid problems related to cultural integration. If consolidation is taken too far, it

could lead to misuse of dominant market positions. Rapid expansion in foreign

markets without sufficient knowledge of local economic conditions could increase

vulnerability of individual banks.

7. Public Sector Banks had, in the past, relied on Government support for capital

augmentation. However, with the Government making a conscious decision to

reduce its holding in Banks, most Banks have approached the capital market for

raising resources. This process could gain further momentum when the

government holding gets reduced to 33% or below. It is expected that

pressures of market forces would be the determining factor for the consolidation

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in the structure of these banks. If the process of consolidation through mergers

and acquisitions gains momentum, we could see the emergence of a few large

Indian banks with international character. There could be some large national

banks and several local level banks.

8. Opening up of the financial sector from 2005, under WTO, would see a

number of Global banks taking large stakes and control over banking entities in

the country. They would bring with them capital, technology and management

skills. This will increase the competitive spirit in the system leading to greater

efficiencies. Government policy to allow greater FDI in banking and the move to

amend Banking Regulation Act to remove the existing 10% cap on voting rights

of shareholders, are pointers to these developments.

9. The cooperative banks have played a crucial part in the development of the

economy. The primary agricultural societies which concentrate on short-term

credit and rural investment credit institutions supported by District / State level

cooperative banks have played a crucial role in the credit delivery in rural areas.

The Urban Cooperative Banks have found their own niche in urban centres.

These institutions in the cooperative sector need urgent capital infusion to remain

as sound financial entities. Cooperative sector comes under State jurisdiction

while commercial banking operations are regulated by the Reserve Bank of India.

The duality in control had weakened the supervisory set up for these institutions.

It is expected that certain amendments to the Banking Regulation Act introduced

recently in the Parliament with the objective of strengthening the regulatory

powers of the Reserve Bank of India would pave the way for strengthening of

cooperative / financial institutions. It is expected that these banks would upgrade

skills of their staff and improve the systems and procedures to compete with

commercial bank entities.

10. Consolidation would take place not only in the structure of the banks, but

also in the case of services. For instance, some banks would like to shed their

non-core business portfolios to others. This could see the emergence of niche

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players in different functional areas and business segments such as housing,

cards, mutual funds, insurance, sharing of their infrastructure including ATM

Network, etc.

11. Rationalization of a very large network of branches, which at present has rendered

the system cost ineffective and deficient in service would take place. Most of the banks

would have adopted core-banking solutions in a fully networked environment. Back

office functions would be taken away from branches to a centralized place. While brick

and mortar branches would continue to be relevant in the Indian scenario, the real

growth driver for cost cutting would be virtual branches viz., ATMs, Internet Banking,

mobile banking, kiosks etc., which can be manned by a few persons and run on 24 x 7

basis to harness the real potential of these technological utilities, there will be strategic

alliances / partnership amongst banks and this phenomenon has already set in.

12. As we move along, the concept of branch banking will undergo changes.

Banks will find that many of the functions could be outsourced more profitably

without compromising on the quality of service. Specialized agencies could come

forward to undertake Marketing and delivery functions on behalf of banks. This

could see banking products being sold outside the four walls of a branch. Banks

would then concentrate on developing new products and earning fee based

income.

13. The composition of bank staff will change. As total computerization will

render a part of the workforce surplus, banks will go for a rightsizing exercise.

Some may resort to another round of VRS to shed excess flab while some other

may go for re-deployment to strengthen marketing arms. With greater use of

technology and outsourcing of services in different areas, the manpower

recruitment will mostly be in specialized areas and technology applications. With

commitment shifting from the organization to the profession, we could see

greater lateral movement of banking personnel. Training and skill development

will, however, continue to be key HR functions. With the age profile of staff

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undergoing changes, banks will have to focus on leadership development and

succession planning. Knowledge management will become a critical issue.

14. Management structure of banks will also undergo drastic changes in the

coming years. Instead of the present pyramid structure, the banks will move

towards reduction in tiers to ultimately settle for a flat structure. Product-wise

segmentation will facilitate speedier decision-making.

8.10. PRODUCT INNOVATION AND PROCESS RE-ENGINEERING 1. With increased competition in the banking Industry, the net interest margin of

banks has come down over the last one decade. Liberalization with Globalization

will see the spreads narrowing further to 1-1.5% as in the case of banks

operating in developed countries. Banks will look for fee-based income to fill the

gap in interest income. Product innovations and process re-engineering will be

the order of the day. The changes will be motivated by the desire to meet the

customer requirements and to reduce the cost and improve the efficiency of

service. All banks will therefore go for rejuvenating their costing and pricing to

segregate profitable and non-profitable business. Service charges will be decided

taking into account the costing and what the traffic can bear. From the earlier

revenue = cost + profit equation i.e., customers are charged to cover the costs

incurred and the profits expected, most banks have already moved into the profit =revenue - cost equation. This has been reflected in the fact that with cost of

services staying nearly equal across banks, the banks with better cost control are

able to achieve higher profits whereas the banks with high overheads due to

under-utilisation of resources, un-remunerative branch network etc., either

incurred losses or made profits not commensurate with the capital employed.

The new paradigm in the coming years will be cost = revenue - profit. 2. As banks strive to provide value added services to customers, the market will

see the emergence of strong investment and merchant banking entities. Product

innovation and creating brand equity for specialized products will decide the

market share and volumes. New products on the liabilities side such as forex

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linked deposits, investment-linked deposits, etc. are likely to be introduced, as

investors with varied risk profiles will look for better yields. There will be more

and more of tie-ups between banks, corporate clients and their retail outlets to

share a common platform to shore up revenue through increased volumes.

3. Banks will increasingly act as risk managers to corporate and other entities by

offering a variety of risk management products like options, swaps and other

aspects of financial management in a multi currency scenario. Banks will play an

active role in the development of derivative products and will offer a variety of

hedge products to the corporate sector and other investors. For example,

Derivatives in emerging futures market for commodities would be an area

offering opportunities for banks. As the integration of markets takes place

internationally, sophistication in trading and specialized exchanges for

commodities will expand. As these changes take place, banking will play a major

role in providing financial support to such exchanges, facilitating settlement

systems and enabling wider participation.

4.Bancassurance is catching up and Banks / Financial Institutions have started

entering insurance business. From mere offering of insurance products through

network of bank branches, the business is likely to expand through self-designed

insurance products after necessary legislative changes. This could lead to a

spurt in fee-based income of the banks.

5. Similarly, Banks will look analytically into various processes and practices as

these exist today and may make appropriate changes therein to cut costs and

delays. Outsourcing and adoption of BPOs will become more and more relevant,

especially when Banks go in for larger volumes of retail business. However, by

increasing outsourcing of operations through service providers, banks are

making themselves vulnerable to problems faced by these providers. Banks

should therefore outsource only those functions that are not strategic to banks’

business. instance, in the wake of implementation of 90 days’ delinquency norms

for classification of assets, some banks may think of engaging external agencies

for recovery of their dues and in NPA management.

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6. Banks will take on competition in the front end and seek co-operation in the

back end, as in the case of networking of ATMs. This type of competition will

become the order of the day as Banks seek to enlarge their customer base and

at the same time to realize cost reduction and greater efficiency.

8.11. TECHNOLOGY IN BANKING 1. Technology will bring fundamental shift in the functioning of banks. It would not

only help them bring improvements in their internal functioning but also enable

them to provide better customer service. Technology will break all boundaries

and encourage cross border banking business. Banks would have to undertake

extensive Business Process Re-Engineering and tackle issues like a) how best to

deliver products and services to customers b) designing an appropriate

organizational model to fully capture the benefits of technology and business

process changes brought about. c) how to exploit technology for deriving

economies of scale and how to create cost efficiencies, and d) how to create a

customer - centric operation model.

2. Entry of ATMs has changed the profile of front offices in bank branches.

Customers no longer need to visit branches for their day to day banking

transactions like cash deposits, withdrawals, cheque collection, balance enquiry

etc. E-banking and Internet banking have opened new avenues in “convenience

banking”. Internet banking has also led to reduction in transaction costs for

banks to about a tenth of branch banking.

3. Technology solutions would make flow of information much faster, more

accurate and enable quicker analysis of data received. This would make the

decision making process faster and more efficient. For the Banks, this would also

enable development of appraisal and monitoring tools which would make credit

management much more effective. The result would be a definite reduction in

transaction costs, the benefits of which would be shared between banks and

customers.

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4. While application of technology would help banks reduce their operating costs

in the long run, the initial investments would be sizeable. IT spent by banking

and financial services industry in USA is approximately 7% of the revenue as

against around 1% by Indian Banks. With greater use of technology solutions,

we expect IT spending of Indian banking system to go up significantly.

5. One area where the banking system can reduce the investment costs in

technology applications is by sharing of facilities. We are already seeing banks

coming together to share ATM Networks. Similarly, in the coming years, we

expect to see banks and FIs coming together to share facilities in the area of

payment and settlement, back office processing, data warehousing, etc. While

dealing with technology, banks will have to deal with attendant operational risks.

This would be a critical area the Bank management will have to deal with in

future.

6. Payment and Settlement system is the backbone of any financial market

place.

The present Payment and Settlement systems such as Structured Financial

Messaging System (SFMS), Centralised Funds Management System (CFMS),

Centralised Funds Transfer System (CFTS) and Real Time Gross Settlement

System (RTGS) will undergo further fine-tuning to meet international standards.

Needless to add, necessary security checks and controls will have to be in place.

In this regard, Institutions such as IDRBT will have a greater role to play.

8.12. RISK MANAGEMENT 1. Risk is inherent in any commercial activity and banking is no exception to this

rule. Rising global competition, increasing deregulation, introduction of

innovative products and delivery channels have pushed risk management to the

forefront of today’s financial landscape. Ability to gauge the risks and take appropriate position will be the key to success. It can be said that risk takers will survive, effective risk managers will prosper and risk averse are likely to perish. In the regulated banking environment, banks had to primarily

deal with credit or default risk. As we move into a perfect market economy, we

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have to deal with a whole range of market related risks like exchange risks,

interest rate risk, etc. Operational risk, which had always existed in the system,

would become more pronounced in the coming days as we have technology as a

new factor in today’s banking. Traditional risk management techniques become

obsolete with the growth of derivatives and off-balance sheet operations, coupled

with diversifications. The expansion in E-banking will lead to continuous

vigilance and revisions of regulations.

2. Building up a proper risk management structure would be crucial for the banks

in the future. Banks would find the need to develop technology based risk

management tools. The complex mathematical models programmed into risk

engines would provide the foundation of limit management, risk analysis,

computation of risk-adjusted return on capital and active management of banks’

risk portfolio. Measurement of risk exposure is essential for implementing

hedging strategies.

3. Under Basel II accord, capital allocation will be based on the risk inherent in

the asset. The implementation of Basel II accord will also strengthen the

regulatory review process and, with passage of time, the review process will be

more and more sophisticated. Besides regulatory requirements, capital

allocation would also be determined by the market forces. External users of

financial information will demand better inputs to make investment decisions.

More detailed and more frequent reporting of risk positions to banks’

shareholders will be the order of the day. There will be an increase in the growth

of consulting services such as data providers, risk advisory bureaus and risk

reviewers. These reviews will be intended to provide comfort to the bank

managements and regulators as to the soundness of internal risk management

systems. 4. Risk management functions will be fully centralized and independent from the

business profit centres. The risk management process will be fully integrated

into the business process. Risk return will be assessed for new business

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opportunities and incorporated into the designs of the new products. All risks –

credit, market and operational and so on will be combined, reported and

managed on an integrated basis. The demand for Risk Adjusted Returns on

Capital (RAROC) based performance measures will increase. RAROC will be

used to drive pricing, performance measurement, portfolio management and

capital management.

5. Risk management has to trickle down from the Corporate Office to branches

or operating units. As the audit and supervision shifts to a risk based approach

rather than transaction orientation, the risk awareness levels of line functionaries

also will have to increase. Technology related risks will be another area where

the operating staff will have to be more vigilant in the coming days.

6. Banks will also have to deal with issues relating to Reputational Risk as they

will need to maintain a high degree of public confidence for raising capital and

other resources. Risks to reputation could arise on account of operational lapses,

opaqueness in operations and shortcomings in services. Systems and internal

controls would be crucial to ensure that this risk is managed well. 7. The legal environment is likely to be more complex in the years to come.

Innovative financial products implemented on computers, new risk management

software, user interfaces etc., may become patentable. For some banks, this

could offer the potential for realizing commercial gains through licensing. 8. Advances in risk management (risk measurement) will lead to transformation

in capital and balance sheet management. Dynamic economic capital

management will be a powerful competitive weapon. The challenge will be to put

all these capabilities together to create, sustain and maximise shareholders’

wealth. The bank of the future has to be a total-risk-enabled enterprise, which

addresses the concerns of various stakeholders’ effectively.

9. Risk management is an area the banks can gain by cooperation and sharing

of experience among themselves. Common facilities could be considered for

development of risk measurement and mitigation tools and also for training of

staff at various levels. Needless to add, with the establishment of best risk

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management systems and implementation of prudential norms of accounting and

asset classification, the quality of assets in commercial banks will improve on the

one hand and at the same time, there will be adequate cover through

provisioning for impaired loans. As a result, the NPA levels are expected to

come down significantly.

8.13. REGULATORY AND LEGAL ENVIRONMENT 1. The advent of liberalization and globalization has seen a lot of changes in the

focus of Reserve Bank of India as a regulator of the banking industry. De-

regulation of interest rates and moving away from issuing operational

prescriptions have been important changes. The focus has clearly shifted from

micro monitoring to macro management. Supervisory role is also shifting more

towards off-site surveillance rather than on-site inspections. The focus of

inspection is also shifting from transaction-based exercise to risk-based

supervision. In a totally de-regulated and globalised banking scenario, a strong

regulatory framework would be needed. The role of regulator would be critical

for:

a) ensuring soundness of the system by fixing benchmark standards for

capital adequacy and prudential norms for key performance

parameters.

b) adoption of best practices especially in areas like risk-management,

provisioning, disclosures, credit delivery, etc.

c) adoption of good corporate governance practices.

d) creation of an institutional framework to protect the interest of

depositors.

e) regulating the entry and exit of banks including cross-border

institutions.

Further, the expected integration of various intermediaries in the financial system

would add a new dimension to the role of regulators. Also as the co-operative

banks are expected to come under the direct regulatory control of RBI as against

the dual control system in vogue, regulation and supervision of these institutions

will get a new direction.

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Some of these issues are addressed in the recent amendment Bill to the Banking

Regulation Act introduced in the Parliament.

2. The integration of various financial services would need a number of

legislative changes to be brought about for the system to remain contemporary

and competitive. The need for changes in the legislative framework has been felt

in several areas and steps have been taken in respect of many of these issues,

such as,

i) abolition of SICA / BIFR setup and formation of a National Company

Law Tribunal to take up industrial re-construction.

Ii) enabling legislation for sharing of credit information about borrowers

among lending institutions.

Integration of the financial system would change the way we look at banking

functions. The present definition of banking under Banking Regulation Act

would require changes, if banking institutions and non-banking entities are to

merge into a unified financial system

3. While the recent enactments like amendments to Debt Recovery Tribunal

(DRT) procedures and passage of Securitisation and Reconstruction of

Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest Act, 2002 (SARFAESI

Act) have helped to improve the climate for recovery of bank dues, their

impact is yet to be felt at the ground level. It would be necessary to give

further teeth to the legislations, to ensure that recovery of dues by creditors is

possible within a reasonable time. The procedure for winding up of

companies and sale of assets will also have to be streamlined.

4. In the recent past, Corporate Debt Restructuring has evolved as an

effective voluntary mechanism. This has helped the banking system to take

timely corrective actions when borrowing corporates face difficulties. With

the borrowers gaining confidence in the mechanism, it is expected that CDR

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setup would gain more prominence making NPA management somewhat

easier. It is expected that the issue of giving statutory backing for CDR

system will be debated in times to come.

5. In the emerging banking and financial environment there would be an

increased need for self-regulation. This is all the more relevant in the context

of the stated policy of RBI to move away from micro-management issues.

Development of best practices in various areas of banks’ working would

evolve through self-regulation rather than based on regulatory prescriptions.

6. Role of Indian Banks’ Association would become more pronounced as a

self regulatory body. Development of benchmarks on risk management,

corporate governance, disclosures, accounting practices, valuation of assets,

customer charter, Lenders’ Liability, etc. would be areas where IBA would be

required to play a more proactive role. The Association would also be

required to act as a lobbyist for getting necessary legislative enactments and

changes in regulatory guidelines.

7. HR practices and training needs of the banking personnel would assume

greater importance in the coming days. Here again, common benchmarks

could be evolved. Talking about shared services, creation of common

database and conducting research on contemporary issues to assess

anticipated changes in the business profile and market conditions would be

areas where organizations like Indian Banks’ Association are expected to play

a greater role.

8. Evolution of Corporate Governance being adopted by banks, particularly

those who have gone public, will have to meet global standards over a

period of time. In future, Corporate Governance will guide the way Banks are

to be run. Good Corporate Governance is not a straight jacketed formula or

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process; there are many ways of achieving it as international comparisons

demonstrate, provided the following three basic principles are followed:-

a) Management should be free to drive the enterprise forward with the

minimum interference and maximum motivation.

b) Management should be accountable for the effective and efficient use of

this freedom. There are two levels of accountability – of management to

the Board and of the Board to the Shareholders. The main task is to

ensure the continued competence of management, for without adequate

and effective drive, any business is doomed to decline.

c) In order to enlist the confidence of the global investors and international

market players, the banks will have to adopt the best global practices of

financial accounting and reporting. This would essentially involve

adoption of judgmental factors in the classification of assets, based on

Banks’ estimation of the future cash flows and existing environmental

factors, besides strengthening the capital base accordingly.

9. When we talk about adoption of International accounting practices and

reporting formats it is relevant to look at where we stand and the way ahead.

Accounting practices being followed in India are as per Accounting Standards set

by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI). Companies are required

to follow disclosure norms set under the Companies Act and SEBI guidelines

relating to listed entities. Both in respect of Accounting Practices and disclosures,

banks in India are guided by the Reserve bank of India guidelines issued from

time to time. Now these are, by and large, in line with the Accounting Standards

of ICAI and other regulatory bodies. It is pertinent to note that Accounting

Standards of ICAI are based on International Accounting Standards (IAS) being

followed in a large number of countries. Considering that US forms 40% of the

financial markets in the world compliance with USGAAP has assumed greater

importance in recent times. Many Indian banks desirous of raising resources in

the US market have adopted accounting practices under USGAAP and we

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expect more and more Indian Financial entities to move in this direction in the

coming years.

There are certain areas of differences in the approach under the two main

international accounting standards being followed globally. Of late, there have

been moves for convergence of accounting standards under IAS and USGAAP

and this requires the standard setters to agree on a single, high-quality answer.

Discussions in the accounting circles indicate that convergence of various

international accounting standards into a single global standard would take place

by 2010.

In the Indian context, one issue which is likely to be discussed in the coming

years is the need for a common accounting standard for financial entities. While

a separate standard is available for financial entities under IAS, ICAI has not so

far come out with an Indian version in view of the fact that banks, etc. are

governed by RBI guidelines. It is understood that ICAI is seized of the matter. It

is expected that banks would migrate to global accounting standards smoothly in

the light of these developments, although it would mean greater disclosure and

tighter norms.

8.14. RURAL AND SOCIAL BANKING ISSUES

1. Since the second half of 1960s, commercial banks have been playing an

important role in the socio-economic transformation of rural India. Besides

actively implementing Government sponsored lending schemes, Banks have

been providing direct and indirect finance to support economic activities.

Mandatory lending to the priority sectors, has been an important feature of

Indian banking. The Narasimham committee had recommended for doing away

with the present system of directed lending to priority sectors in line with

liberalization in the financial system. The recommendations were, however, not

accepted by the Government. In the prevailing political climate in the country any

drastic change in the policy in this regard appears unlikely.

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2. The banking system is expected to reorient its approach to rural lending.

“Going Rural” could be the new market mantra. Rural market comprises 74% of

the population, 41% of Middle class and 58% of disposable income. Consumer

growth is taking place at a fast pace in 17113 villages with a population of more

than 5000. Of these, 9989 villages are in 7 States, namely Andhra Pradesh,

Bihar, Kerala, Maharashtra, Tamilnadu, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal. Banks’

approach to the rural lending will be guided mainly by commercial considerations

in future.

3. Commercial Banks, Co-operatives and Regional Rural Banks are the three

major segments of rural financial sector in India. Rural financial system, in future

has a challenging task of facing the drastic changes taking place in the banking

sector, especially in the wake of economic liberalization. There is an urgent need

for rural financial system to enlarge their role functions and range of services

offered so as to emerge as "one stop destination for all types of credit

requirements of people in rural/semi-urban centers.

4. Barring commercial banks, the other rural financial institutions have a weak

structural base and the issue of their strengthening requires to be taken up on

priority. Co-operatives will have to be made viable by infusion of capital. Bringing

all cooperative institutions under the regulatory control of RBI would help in better

control and supervision over the functioning of these institutions. Similarly

Regional Rural banks (RRBs) as a group need to be made structurally stronger.

It would be desirable if NABARD takes the initiative to consolidate all the RRBs

into a strong rural development entity.

5. Small Scale Industries have, over the last five decades, emerged as a major

contributor to the economy, both in terms of employment generation and share in

manufactured output and exports. SSIs account for 95% of the industrial units

and contribute about 40% of the value addition in the manufacturing sector.

There are more than 32 lac units spread all over the country producing over 7500

items and providing employment to more than 178 lac persons. The employment

generation potential and favourable capital-output ratio would make small scale

sector remain important for policy planners.

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6. Removalof quantitative restrictions on a large number of items under the WTO

and opening up of Indian market to greater international competition, have

thrown both challenges and opportunities for the SSI sector. Low capital base

and weak management structure make these units vulnerable to external shocks,

more easily. However the units which can adopt to the changing environment

and show imagination in their business strategy will thrive in the new

environment.

7.Instead of following the narrow definition of SSI, based on the investment in

fixed assets, there is a move to look at Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) as

a group for policy thrust and encouragement. For SMEs, banks should explore

the option of E-banking channels to develop web-based relationship banking

models, which are customer-driven and more cost-effective. Government is

already considering a legislation for the development of SME sector to facilitate

its orderly growth.

8. In the next ten years, SME sector will emerge more competitive and efficient

and knowledge-based industries are likely to acquire greater prominence. SMEs

will be dominating in industry segments such as Pharmaceuticals, Information

Technology and Biotechnology. With SME sector emerging as a vibrant sector of

the Indian economy, flow of credit to this sector would go up significantly. Banks

will have to sharpen their skills for meeting the financial needs of this segment.

Some of the Banks may emerge as niche players in handling SME finance. Flow

of credit to this Sector will be guided purely by commercial considerations as

Banks will find SMEs as an attractive business proposition.

8.15. HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT

1. The key to the success of any organization lies in how efficiently the

organization manages its’ human resources. The principle applies equally and

perhaps more aptly to service institutions like banks. The issue is all the more

relevant to the public sector banks who are striving hard to keep pace with the

technological changes and meet the challenges of globalization.

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2. In order to meet the global standards and to remain competitive, banks will

have to recruit specialists in various fields such as Treasury Management, Credit,

Risk Management, IT related services, HRM, etc. in keeping with the

segmentation and product innovation. As a complementary measure, fast track

merit and performance based promotion from within would have to be

institutionalized to inject dynamism and youthfulness in the workforce.

3. To institutionalize talent management, the first priority for the banking industry

would be to spot, recognize and nurture the talent from within. Secondly, the

industry has to attract the best talent from the market to maintain the required

competitive edge vis-a-vis global players. However, the issue of critical

importance is how talent is integrated and sustained in the banks. Therefore, a

proper system of talent management has to be put in place by all the banks.

4. As the entire Indian banking industry is witnessing a paradigm shift in systems,

processes, strategies, it would warrant creation of new competencies and

capabilities on an on-going basis for which an environment of continuous

learning would have to be created so as to enhance knowledge and skills.

5. Another important ingredient of HR management is reward and compensation

which at present do not have any linkage to skills and performance. A system of

reward and compensation that attracts, recognizes and retains the talent, and

which is commensurate with performance is an urgent need of the industry.

6. An equally important issue relevant to HRM is to create a conducive working

environment in which the bankers can take commercial decisions judiciously and,

at the same time, without fear. This calls for a re-look into the vigilance system

as it exists today, and perhaps there is a need to keep the banking industry out of

the CVC. The Banks’ Boards may be allowed to have their own system of

appropriate checks and balances as well as accountability.

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8.16. MAJOR ACTION POINTS FOR VISION AHEAD

1. Banks will have to adopt global standards in capital adequacy, income

recognition and provisioning norms.

2. Risk management setup in Banks will need to be strengthened.

Benchmark standards could be evolved.

3. Payment and settlement system will have to be strengthened to ensure

transfer of funds on real time basis eliminating risks associated with

transactions and settlement process.

4. Regulatory set-up will have to be strengthened, in line with the

requirements of a market-led integrated financial system

5. Banks will have to adopt best global practices, systems and

procedures. 6. Banks may have to evaluate on an ongoing basis, internally, the need

to effect structural changes in the organization. This will include capital

restructuring through mergers / acquisitions and other measures in the

best business interests. IBA and NABARD may have to play a suitable

role in this regard. 7. There should be constant and continual up gradation of technology in

the Banks, benefiting both the customer and the bank. Banks may

enter into partnership among themselves for reaping maximum

benefits, through consultations and coordination with reputed IT

companies.

8. The skills of bank staff should be upgraded continuously through

training. In this regard, the banks may have to relook at the existing

training modules and effect necessary changes, wherever required.

Seminars and conferences on all relevant and emerging issues should

be encouraged. 9. Banks will have to set up Research and Market Intelligence units within

the organization, so as to remain innovative, to ensure customer

satisfaction and to keep abreast of market developments. Banks will

have to interact constantly with the industry bodies, trade associations,

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farming community, academic / research institutions and initiate

studies, pilot projects, etc. for evolving better financial models. 10. Industry level initiatives will have to be taken, may be at IBA level, to

speed up reform measures in legal and regulatory environment.

8.17. GROWTH CHALLENGES FOR THE FINANCIAL SECTOR

Higher sustained growth is contributing to the movement of large numbers of

households into ever higher income categories, and hence higher

consumption categories, along with enhanced demand for financial savings

opportunities. In rural areas in particular, there also appears to be

increasing diversification of productive opportunities. Thus, the banking system has to extend itself and innovate to respond to these new demands for both consumption and production purposes. This is

particularly important since banking penetration is still low in India: there are

only about 10-12 ATMs in India per million population, as compared with

over 50 in China, 170 in Thailand, and 500 in Korea. Moreover, the deposit

to GDP ratio or the loans/GDP ratio is also low compared to other Asian

countries).

On the production side, industrial expansion has accelerated; merchandise trade

growth is high; and there are vast demands for infrastructure investment,

from the public sector, private sector and through public private partnerships.

Furthermore, it is the service sector that has exhibited consistently high

growth rates: the hospitality industry, shopping malls, entertainment industry,

medical facilities, and the like, are all expanding fast. Thus a

great degree of diversification is taking place in the economy and the

banking system has to respond adequately to these new challenges,

opportunities and risks.

In dealing with these new consumer demands and production demands

of rural enterprises and of SME's in urban areas, banks have to innovate

and look for new delivery mechanisms that economize on transaction costs

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and provide better access to the currently under- served. Innovative channels

for credit delivery for serving these new rural credit needs, encompassing

full supply chain financing, covering storage, warehousing, processing, and

transportation from farm to market will have to be found. The budding

expansion of non- agriculture service enterprises in rural areas will have to be

financed to generate new income and employment opportunities. Greater efforts

will need to be made on information technology for record keeping, service

delivery, reduction in transactions costs, risk assessment and risk

management. Banks will have to invest in new skills through new

recruitment and through intensive training of existing personnel.

It is the public sector banks that have the large and widespread reach, and

hence have the potential for contributing effectively to achieve financial

inclusion. But it is also they who face the most difficult challenges in human

resource development. They will have to invest very heavily in skill

enhancement at all levels: at the top level for new strategic goal setting; at the

middle level for implementing these goals; and at the cutting edge lower levels

for delivering the new service modes. Given the current age composition of

employees in these banks, they will also face new recruitment challenges in the

face of adverse compensation structures in comparison with the freer private

sector. Meanwhile, the new private sector banks will themselves have to

innovate and accelerate their reach into the emerging low income and rural

market segments. They have the independence and flexibility to find the

new business models necessary for serving these segments.

A number of policy initiatives are underway, to aid this overall process of

financial inclusion and increase in banking penetration. The Parliament has

passed the Credit Information Bureau Act that will enable the setting up of

credit information bureaus through the mandatory sharing of information by

banks. The Reserve Bank is in the process of issuing guidelines, for the

formation of these bureaus. As this process gathers force, it should contribute

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greatly in reducing the costs of credit quality assessment. Second,

considerable work is in process for promoting micro- finance in the country,

including the consideration of possible legislation for regulation of micro- finance

institutions. Third, the Reserve Bank has issued guidelines to banks

enabling the outsourcing of certain functions including the use of agencies

such as post offices for achieving better outreach. These are all efforts in the

right direction, but much more needs to be done to really achieve financial

inclusion in India.

The challenges that are emerging, are right across the size spectrum of

business activities. On the one hand, the largest firms are attaining economic

sizes such that they are reaching the prudential exposure limits of banks,

even though they are still small relative to the large global MNCs. On the

other hand, with changes in technology, there is new activity at the small and

medium level in all spheres of activity. To cope with the former, the largest

Indian banks have to be encouraged to expand fast, both through organic

growth and through consolidation; and the corporate debt market has to be

developed to enable further direct recourse to financial markets for the largest

firms. For serving and contributing to the growth of firms at the lower end,

banks have to strengthen their risk assessment systems, along with better risk

management. Funding new entrepreneurs and activities is a

fundamentally risky business because of the lack of a previous record and

inadequate availability of collateral, but it is the job of banks to take such risk,

but in a measured fashion. Given the history of public sector banks outlined

earlier, such a change in approach requires a change in mind set, but also

focused training in risk assessment, risk management, and marketing.

Various policy measures are in process to help this transition along. The

Reserve Bank issued new guidelines in 2004 on "Ownership and Governance in

Private Sector Banks". These guidelines have increased the minimum

capital for private sector banks to Rs.3 billion; provided enhanced guidance on

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the fit and proper nature of owners, board members and top management of

these banks; and placed limitations on the extent of dominant shareholdings.

These measures are designed to promote the healthy growth of private sector

banks and along with better corporate governance, as they assume greater

weight in the economy. An issue of relevance here is that of financial stability.

To a certain extent, the predominance of government owned banks has

contributed to financial stability in the country. Experience has shown that even

the deterioration in bank financials does not lead to erosion of consumer

confidence in such banks. This kind of consumer confidence does not extend to

private sector banks. Hence, as they gain in size and share, capital

enhancement and sound corporate governance become essential for

financial stability. Second, the lending ability of banks has been potentially

constrained by the existing provisions for statutory pre-emption of funds for

investment in government securities. A bill has been introduced in

Parliament to amend the existing Banking Regulation Act to eliminate the

minimum 25 per cent limit of investment in government securities. As the fiscal

situation improves consistent with the FRBM Act, it will, then be possible to

reduce the statutory pre-emption, enabling greater fund flow to the private sector

for growth. Third, the bill also provides for raising of capital through BASEL II

consistent innovative instruments, enabling the capital expansion of banks

needed for their growth.

8.17. CONCLUSION

The Indian banking system has witnessed a significant transformation in recent

years. The Narasimham Committee Report provided the blue print for banking

reforms in India. The reform process did open the window of opportunities for

Indian banks; however, there are a host of challenges emanating from it. To a

large extent the banking industry in India has been able to meet the role

envisaged for it by these reforms. Indian banking is fundamentally different from

banking else where and is marked by features like imperatives of social banking,

low degree of technological sophistication, a highly unionized workforce and a

cumbersome legal system. The inference is clear that banks, if not all, at least

public sector banks must develop its own body of concepts and principles

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revolving around distinctive characteristics of services marketing and tempered

with the imperatives of the Indian situation.

In the end, it can be rightly said that productivity and efficiency will be the

watchwords in the banking industry in the years ahead. Organizational

effectiveness and operational efficiency will govern the survival and growth of

profits. The future of Indian banking is both challenging and exciting. Even

though the challenges are great the Indian banking system is optimistic in facing

the challenges head-on by adopting proactive changes.

The final conclusions of entire research undertaken has been presented in

forthcoming chapter number 9. The last chapter includes the major findings of

analysis and conclusions drawns on the basis of analysis of data. This chapter

also contents the major recommendations for the improvement of Indian public

sector and private sector banks.


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