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Financial Statement Analysis 111

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    Financial Statement Analysis

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    Financial Statement Analysis

    Assessment of the firms past, present and

    future financial conditions

    Done to find firms financial strengths and

    weaknesses

    Primary Tools:

    Financial Statements

    Comparison of financial ratios to past,

    industry, sector and all firms

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    Objectives of Ratio Analysis

    Standardize financial information for

    comparisons

    Evaluate current operations

    Compare performance with past

    performance

    Compare performance against otherfirms or industry standards

    Study the efficiency of operations

    Study the risk of operations

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    Uses for Ratio Analysis

    Evaluate Bank Loan Applications

    Evaluate Customers Creditworthiness

    Assess Potential Merger Candidates

    Analyze Internal Management Control

    Analyze and Compare Investment

    Opportunities

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    Horizontal, Vertical, & Trend

    Analysis

    Horizontal Analysis = calculating the Rupee

    change and % change in financial statement

    amounts across time

    Vertical Analysis (Common Size Analysis) =

    changing all Rupee values for accounts to %

    values. Trend Analysis = Using the first year as a

    base year, calculate future year Rupee values as

    a ratio.

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    Types of Ratio Analysis

    Time Series Analysis or Trend Analysis

    Measures a firms performance over time

    Cross Sectional Analysis

    Compares the firms ratios with an industry

    standard or with its competitors ratios.

    Sources:

    U.S. Department of Commerce

    Dun & Bradstreet

    Robert Morris Associates

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    Types of Ratios

    Financial Ratios: Liquidity Ratios

    Assess ability to cover current obligations

    Leverage Ratios

    Assess ability to cover long term debt obligations

    Operational Ratios:

    Activity (Turnover) Ratios

    Assess amount of activity relative to amount of

    resources used

    Profitability Ratios

    Assess profits relative to amount of resources

    used

    Valuation Ratios: Assess market price relative to assets or earnings

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    Liquidity Ratios

    Current Ratio Current Assets / Current Liabilities

    Current Assets include Cash, Marketable Securities, Accounts

    Receivable and Inventory

    Current Liabilities include Accounts Payable, Debt Due within one

    year, and Other Current Liabilities

    1:2.175.1555

    92.1870

    sLiabilitieCurrent

    AssetsCurrent

    RatioCurrent

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    Liquidity Ratios

    Quick Ratio or Acid Test Current Assets minus Inventory / Current Liabilities

    A more precise measure of liquidity, especially if

    inventory is not easily converted into cash.

    1:46.075.1555

    53.720

    Inventory-

    sLiabilitieCurrent

    AssetsCurrentRatioQuik

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    Liquidity Ratios

    Cash Ratio

    17.075.1555

    08.26

    SecuritiesMarketable

    sLiabilitieCurrent

    CashRatioCash

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    Liquidity Ratios

    Days77360/94.369,3

    39.150,192.870,1

    expensesoperatingDaily

    InventoryAsMeasure

    Average

    setsCurrentInterval

    Interval Measure

    Calculated to asses a firms ability to meet its regular

    cash outgoings

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    Leverage Ratios

    Leverage ratios measure the extent to which a firm hasbeen financed by debt.

    Leverage ratios include:

    Debt Ratio

    Debt--Equity Ratio

    Generally, the higher this ratio, the more risky a creditor

    will perceive its exposure in your business. Thus, high

    leverage ratios make it more difficult to obtain credit

    (loans).

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    Leverage Ratios Cont.

    Leverage ratios also include the Interest-coverage Ratio, Fixed coverage Ratio etc,.

    In contrast to the leverage ratios discussed onprevious slide, the higher the Interest

    Coverage Ratio (Times-Interest-Earned Ratio),

    the more credit worthy the firm is, and the

    easier it will be to obtain credit (loans).

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    Total Debt Ratio

    Proportion of interest bearing debt in the

    Capital structure.

    In general, the lower the number, the better.

    0.64687.1901

    06.229,1

    Assets

    Net

    DebtTotalRatioDebt

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    Debt-Equity Ratio

    The Debt-Equity Ratio indicates the percentage of total

    funds provided by creditors versus by owners.

    This ratio indicates the extent to which the business relieson debt financing (creditor money versus owners equity).

    1.83

    81.972

    06.229,1

    Worth

    Equity

    Net

    DebtTotalRatioDebt

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    Interest Coverage Ratio

    interest coverage ratio indicates the extent to which

    earnings can decline without the firm becoming unable

    to meet its annual interest costs.

    Also called the Times-Interest-Earned Ratio, thiscalculation shows how many times the firm could pay

    back (or cover) its annual interest expenses out of

    earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT).

    2.446.143

    61.342Coverage

    Interest

    EBITRatioInterest

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    Interest Coverage Ratio

    2.746.143

    59.4161.342Coverage

    Interest

    EBITDARatioInterest

    DA = Depreciation and Amortization expenses

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    Fixed Coverage Ratio (OR)

    Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)

    Principal repayments are added to interest payments

    RateTax-1

    DividendPref.repaymentLoan

    RateTax-1

    repaymentLoan

    rentalsLeaseCoverage

    Coverage

    Interest

    EBITDARatioFixed

    Interest

    EBITDARatioFixed

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    Activity Ratios

    Activity ratios measure how effectively a firm is using its

    resources, or how efficient a company is in its operations

    and use of assets.

    In general, the higher the ratio, the better.

    Activity ratios include:

    Inventory turnover

    Accounts receivable turnover

    Average collection period. Total assets turnover

    Fixed assets turnover

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    Inventory TurnoverRatio

    The inventory turnover ratio indicates how fast a firm is

    selling its inventories

    This ratio indicates how well inventory is being managed,

    which is important because the more times inventory can

    be turned (i.e., the higher the turnover rate) in a given

    operating cycle, the greater the profit.

    days

    Avg

    CostRatioInventory

    42TurnoverInventory

    360HoldingInventoryofDays

    8.6

    2/)81.746126.244(

    66.053,3

    Inventory

    SoldGoodsofTurnover

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    Inventory TurnoverRatio Cont.

    In the absence of information. Instead of CGS

    we can use Sales

    In the case of CGS and Inventory both are

    valued at cost. While the sales are valued atmarket prices

    Therefore better to use CGS

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    Accounts Receivable Turnover

    The accounts receivable turnover ratio, indicates the

    average length of time it takes a firm to collect credit sales

    (in percentage terms), i.e., how well accounts receivable

    are being collected.

    If receivables are excessively slow in being converted to

    cash, liquidity could be severely impaired.

    7.718.483

    23.717,3

    AR

    AR

    TurnoverR

    Avg

    Sales

    Avg

    SalesCreditA

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    Average Collection Period

    The average collection period is the average length of

    time (in days) it takes a firm to collect on credit sales.

    days47Turnover

    360CP

    ARA

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    Net Assets Turnover

    The total assets turnover ratio, indicates how efficiently

    a firm is using all its assets to generate revenues.

    This ratio helps to signal whether a firm is generating asufficient volume of business for the size of its asset

    investment

    times1.951901.87

    3,717.23Turnover

    AssetsNet

    SalesAssetsNet

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    Profitability Ratios

    Profitability ratios measure managementsoverall effectiveness as shown by returnsgenerated on sales and investment.

    Profitability ratios include

    Gross profit margin

    Operating profit margin Net profit margin

    Return on total assets (ROA)

    Return on stockholders equity (ROE)

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    Gross Profit Margin

    The gross profit margin is the total margin available to cover

    operating expenses and yield a profit. This ratio indicates

    how efficiently a business is using its labor and materials in

    the production process, and shows the percentage of net

    sales remaining after subtracting cost of goods sold.

    The higher the ratio, the better. A high gross profit margin

    indicates that a firm can make a reasonable profit on sales,

    as long as it keeps overhead costs under control.

    17.9%or0.1793,717.23

    663.57

    ProfitMargin

    Sales

    GrossGP

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    Operating Profit Margin

    The Operating Profit Margin measures profitability without

    concern for taxes and interest.

    The higher the ratio, the better. A high operating profit

    margin indicates that a firm can make a reasonable profit

    on sales, as long as it does good tax planning.

    9.2%or0.0923,717.23342.61Margin

    SalesEBITOP

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    Net Profit Margin

    The net profit margin shows the after-tax profits per rupee of

    sales.

    The higher the ratio, the better.

    3.6%or0.0363,717.23

    134.86Margin

    Sales

    PATNP

    R t I t t (ROI) OR

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    Return on Investment (ROI) ORReturn on Capital Employed (ROCE)

    The return on total assets ratio shows the after-taxprofits per dollar of assets; this is also called return

    on investment (ROI).

    The ROI is perhaps the most important ratio of all. It

    is the percentage of return on money invested in thebusiness. The ROI should always be higher than the

    rate of return on an alternative, risk-free investment.

    The higher the ratio, the better.

    18%or0.181,901.87

    342.61

    EmployedCapital

    EBITROI

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    Return on Shareholders Equity

    The net profit margin shows the after-tax profits per

    rupee of sales.

    The higher the ratio, the better.

    20%or0.20672.81

    134.86

    Worth

    Net

    PATROE

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    Market Valuation Ratios

    Earnings per share (EPS)

    Price-earnings ratio (P/E).

    Dividend Yield

    Market to Book Ratio

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    Earnings Per Share (EPS)

    The Profitability of the common shareholders

    Investment.

    The higher the ratio, the better.

    Adjust for the bonus issues

    6.00Rs.22.50

    134.86

    goutstandin

    on sharesNo of comm

    PATEPS

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    Dividends Per Share (DPS)

    Earnings distributed to the shareholders as

    cash dividends.

    The higher the ratio, the better.

    .

    2.00Rs.22.50

    45.00

    goutstandin

    rsShareholdetoPaidDividends

    on sharesNo of commDPS

    Dividend Payout Ratio

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    Dividend Payout Ratio

    &

    Retention Ratio

    33%or0.336

    2

    DPS

    EPSRatioPayout

    Retention Ratio = 1- Payout Ratio

    Growth in Equity = Retention Ratio * ROE

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    Market Valuation Measures

    Dividend Yield

    Dividend / Market Value per Share payout declared as a percentage of the stock

    price Earnings Yield

    EPS / Market Value per Share

    Dividend and Earnings yield evaluate theshareholders return in relation to the marketvalue of the share

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    Price-Earnings Ratio

    Measure of optimism or pessimism about firms

    future.

    High PE Ratio indicates optimism

    Low PE Ratio indicates pessimism

    times4.88Rs.6

    29.25

    SharetheofValueMarketRatio/

    EPSEP

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    Market Value to Book Value Ratio

    Stock price / book value per share The number of times the market values the stock over its

    paid-in capital and retained earnings.

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    Dupont Analysis

    ROE is a closely watched number

    It is a strong measure of how well themanagement of a company creates value for itsshareholders

    The number can be misleading

    Due to its vulnerability to measures that increaseits value while making the stock risky

    Without a way of breaking down the componentsof ROE, investors could be duped into believinga company is a good investment when it is not.

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    Components of ROE

    ROE = (Net profit margin) * (Asset Turnover) * (Equity multiplier)

    Operating Efficiency Profit margin

    Asset use efficiency Total asset turnover

    Financial leverage Equity multiplier

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    Dupont Calculation

    ROE = requityShareholdeAssets

    Asset

    Sales

    Sales

    NetIncome

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    Ratio Analysis Limitations

    Financial ratios are based on accounting data,and firms differ in their treatment of such items

    as depreciation, inventory valuation, research

    and development expenditures, pension plan

    costs, mergers, and taxes. Reflects Book Value

    Does not take size differences of companies into

    account

    Identifies problem areas, but not causes

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    Limitations

    Seasonal factors can influence comparative ratios.

    A firms financial condition depends not only on the

    functions of finance, but also on many other factors

    such as

    Management, marketing, production/operations,R&D, and MIS decisions

    Actions by competitors, suppliers, distributors,

    creditors, customers, and shareholders

    Economic, social, cultural, demographics,environmental, political, governmental, legal, and

    technological trends.

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    Cautions in using Ratio Analysis

    Company differences

    Price Level

    Different Definitions Changing Situations

    Past Data


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