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4
Who We Are…
Established by the GoI in 1997
Lead private capital to commercially viable infrastructure projects; promote public-private partnerships
Bring innovation to private financing in Indian infrastructure
Provide policy advice to encourage private financing in infrastructure
We are a specialty financial institution focused only on infrastructure fundingWe are a specialty financial institution focused only on infrastructure funding
With a balance sheet size in excess of Rs. 17,000 Crore, and NIL NPAs, IDFC ranks amongst the largest financial institutions focused on financing Indian infrastructure
With a balance sheet size in excess of Rs. 17,000 Crore, and NIL NPAs, IDFC ranks amongst the largest financial institutions focused on financing Indian infrastructure
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‘Financing a Project’ …2
How does Joe Blo Inc. finance a chemical factory?
Joe Blo Inc.
Lenders
ChemFac
Equity
Equity Returns
Debt
Debt Repayment
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‘Financing a Project’ …3
Such financing is also called:– Balance Sheet Financing, or– Recourse Financing
Here the project ‘Lenders’ have a low level of due-diligence on the project itself, but a high level of due diligence on Joe Blo Inc.!
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‘Project Finance’
How does Joe Blo Inc. finance an airport?
Joe Blo Inc.
Lenders
Airport
Equity
Equity Returns
Debt
Debt Repayment
Other Equity Investors
Other Lenders/ Bondholders
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Project Finance Defined
“Raising of funds to finance an economically separable capital investment project in which the providers of
funds look primarily to cash flow from the project to service their debt and
provide returns on their equity”
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Emergence of Project Financing:
Appropriate techniques for projects with high capital requirements and a complex risk profile
Payouts are based only on the projects’ own assets and cash flows stream
Creditors rely on the ability of the project for repayment of related debt obligations, non-recourse debt
Multi-source financing: syndicated commercial banks, bonds, ECAs, multilaterals
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Why Project Finance?
Isolate ‘Risk’Project ‘Transparency’Greater ‘Leverage’Control/ Ownership issues
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Characteristics of Project Finance
Complex contractual arrangements
Limited or non-recourse financing
Risk management strategies and techniques
Changing perceptions, new innovations
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Demand Supply Gap
Annual investment needs in Urban Infrastructure alone are about Rs.
400 billion* as against an availability of Rs. 50 billion,
(excluding new mass transit and township development projects)
*give or take a few hundred billion!
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Equity
Sponsor/ CorporateEquity FundsFinancial InstitutionsMulti-lateral Institutions
World Bank, IFC
Public
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Debt
BanksFIsDebt FundsMultilateral Institutions
World Bank, ADB, IADB
Export Credit Agencies (ECA)Public
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Principles of Risk Management
Allocate project-specific risks to parties best able to bear them
Control performance risks through incentive contracts
Use market-hedging instruments (derivatives) for covering market-wide risks (interest and exchange rate fluctuations)
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Risk Management
Base Value
2
2
0
5.184802
13.600926
0.15
Goods Traffic Growth Scenario
Tariff Growth Scenario
Project Cost Sensitivity Factor
Variable Operating Expenses as per KRC norms (per MT)
Fixed Operating Expenses as per KRC norms
Percentage of Traffic Startup
Min DSCR, with DSRA0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0
Base Value: 1.1
1 3
1 3
0.1 –0.1
4.89606 4.89606
13.600926 12.981576
0 0.3
Project IRR
Cumulative
Probability
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
1.0
–0.1000 0.0000 0.1000 0.2000 0.3000 0.4000
EV=0.1028
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Oh What A Web!Concession Agreement
Government & Project SPV
SHA
Equity Investors
Equity Investment Agreements
With Pvt Equity Investors
Construction/O&M Contracts
Project SPV & Contractors/ Operators
DLA/ Substitution
Project SPV, Promoters,
Lenders, Government
State Support Agreement
Government & Project SPV
Loan Agreements
Lenders & Project SPV
Inter-Creditor Agreements
Inter-se the LendersPledges & Hypothecations
Lenders & Promoters Site Lease Agreement
Project SPV & Land Owner
TRA Agreement
Trustee Bank, SPV, LendersBank Guarantees etc
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Service Provision Options
Infrastructure Services
Status Quo:Govt creates assets & provides services
Privatization:Private Sector
creates assets & provides services
Commercialization:Govt creates assets
& hands over to Pvt Sector to
provide services
PPP/ PFPI
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How Much Time Did They Take?
Airports:Started in 1998-99Bidder identified in 2001SHA in 2002Concession/ FC in 2005
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How Much Time…(2)
(Industrial) Water Supply: Started in 1995-96Bidder identified in 1997Concession in 2003FC in 2004
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How Much Time…(3)
Commercial Complex:Started in May 2002Bidder identified in June 2004Government approval June 2005Concession/ FC just now…
SEZ:Started in 2002Bidder identified in 2003Approvals not yet in place…
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How Much Time…(4)
Industrial RoadsStarted in 2002Bidder identified in 2005Concession/ FC just now…
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How Much Time…(5)
How many large (> Rs. 500 Cr) projects have reached financial closure, and work commenced
Last 8-10 years of PPP4 Airports1 Water supply projectNumber of Road (NHAI/ MORTH only)Number of Telecom/ Power Projects
And how many are completedIn round figures – none
Except in Roads, Telecom, Power
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Why are the projects delayed?
Possible Reasons?FinanceInadequate Project Development
Hasten to bid?
Approval structures/ processes not being in place
Plug-and-play approach?
Social/ Environmental reasons
LAND
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Then why PPP?
PPP ProjectsTake more time, more effort, and are also – prima-facie – more cost BUT
Shortage of budgetary funds
Improvement in levels of service to users
Innovation in designs, project management and implementation of projects
Long-term operations and maintenance of assets
Focus on service to users – not just asset creation
31
Are Funds an Issue?
Yes and NoYES
Project Development FundsEquityDebt in Urban Infra (water, city roads, metro transport projects, sanitation, solid waste)
NOCommercial debt (sectors other than mentioned above)
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Inadequate Project Development
Hasten to set up project/ bidBidders/ lenders then start asking for data/ studies
Thin slice method to get all the DPRs done
Re(negotiation) of project and contract parameters along the way
33
Approval Process/ Structures
Once the bidder is identified:Land, Environmental ClearancesCabinet approvals
Searching for consensus
Legislative/ legal amendments requiredSearching for sources of Government funds/ equity/ grantsUser unwillingness to pay
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Approval Process/ Structures… (2)
Since there are no replicable frameworksEach project is a “stand-alone” experiment
Rarely is precedent used. Bangalore and Hyderabad airports are rare instances of projects using precedent
Infra Acts/ Polices have enough flexibility to…Enable frequent by-pass of their intent!
Transparency conditions are applied regardless of whether they are regular “Contracts” or BOT Projects
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Key Lessons - Roads
Bypasses on national highways and river bridges have demonstrated reasonable success
Common sense approach to traffic forecasting along with statistical analysis Emphasis on getting base year traffic right
Small state highway projects have also done well in states such as Maharashtra, MP Developed by local promoter groups with a strong ‘ears to the
ground’ philosophy
Certain large projects such have not been able to generate the expected numbers in the early years High project cost, competing routes, service roads, higher
growth rate expectations being the primary reasons
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Key Lessons - Telecom
Limited mobility not sustainable leading to migration to full mobility.
Mass-market model for the sector (based on high penetration and low ARPUs).
Consolidation in the sector.
37
Key Lessons - Power It is essential to first fix the ‘leaky bucket’
Competitiveness of tariff essential to ensure viability of a generation project.
Retail tariffs to ultimately mirror the cost of supply.
Factors to attract private sector participation in the sector:
Regulatory confidence longer term regulatory tariff regime (“No Moving Goal Post”)
Legal and Administration support freedom and support from Government to disconnect consumers
Government credit risk mitigation appropriate mechanism for delivery of subsidy to be developed
Credible business plan to meet transition period funding requirements past unfunded liabilities to be taken over by Government
Credible base line data
38
Key Lessons - Urban It is essential to first fix the ‘leaky bucket’
User charge regime has to come into place - tariffs to ultimately mirror the cost of supply
Subsidy to be explicit
Large governance issues to be addressed
Factors to attract private sector participation in the sector:
Regulators to be in place
Ring-fenced ULB revenues
Legal and Administration support freedom and support from Government to disconnect consumers
Government credit risk mitigation appropriate mechanism for delivery of subsidy to be developed
Credible base line data
39
Way Forward…?
Not to rush into a Project bid/ implement approach
Get frameworks/ approvals/ funds in place before doing soCapacity building and reform should go aheadNow there is enough project experience/ expertise to set up a “precedent” basis
Adequate project preparationFunding required to do soNot too many “money bags” waiting to invest into infrastructure…
40
Small Number Of Profitable Projects
BOT
Larger Number Of Marginally Profitable Projects
Govt. ‘Leveraged’ Privatisation
Unprofitable, But Imperative
Projects
Budgetary Allocation
Maintenance Works
Dedicated Funds (Road
Fund)
Way Forward… (2)
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Concept of PFPI
Traditional Approach Asset creation funded through government borrowingsService provision and maintenance of assets by public sector
PFI ApproachAsset creation funded by private financeService provision and maintenance of assets by private sector Fundamental Tenets
Value for Money Risk Transfer to Private Sector
42
What PFPI is not .. What it is (1)
PFPI is not privatisation or disinvestment
PFPI is not about borrowing money from the private sector
PFPI is more about creating a structurein which greater value for money is achieved for services
through private sector innovation and management skills
delivering significant improvement in service efficiency levels
43
What PFPI is not .. What it is (2)
This means that Governmentno longer builds roads, it purchases miles of maintained highwayno longer builds hospitals, it buys health servicesno longer buys computers and software, but pays for managed IT services
45
An Airport Project
65 percent
35 percent
EIB loan
HERMES-securedloan
EU grant
Equity capital Subordinatedloan
AirportDevelopmentFund
approx. 50%
15%
18%
10%
6%
2%
Total Cost, 2.1 Mio Euro
48
Case Studies - 12
Garbage to GoldEasy for any self-respecting alchemist?!
Technically superior, but also more expensive
Can the returns (financial or economic) justify the higher costs?Obviously cannot be termed as the cost-equivalent of a regular power plant
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Case Study - The SWERF Project at LucknowProject to generate about 5 MW of power from MSW
Project to offer a MSW Management solution to the cityAbout 1000 TPD; of this about 750-800 Tons lifted the same dayProjected population of 25 lac in 2001Present disposal practices are far from being sanitaryWaste composition would be heterogeneous in most respects
Project had its Award process satisfactoryLoI issued on August 1996 thro’ competitive bidding Waste Supply Agreement in Feb 1997, PPA signed on July 1998, Land Lease agreement in March 1999, GoUP Guarantee in Feb 2000
Project enjoyed the commitment of its Stakeholders the LNN, UPPCL, MNES, local community, Pollution Control Board etc.
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Case Study - Structuring The ProjectFinancial closure achieved through tie-up of
Equity (Rs 20.00 crs); Senior Debt (Rs 26.50 crs); Deferred Credit (Rs 11.50 crs);Capital Subsidy (Rs 15.00 crs)
Contractual structure completed thro’ execution of Waste Supply Agreement by LNNPower Purchase Agreement with UPPCLEquipment Supply & Know-how provision agreements with Entec/ IUT/ JanbacherEPC arrangements with Jurong/ Jeevitha/ L&TO&M arrangements with Haustle
Commercial tightness ensured thro’ provisions ofContracts - Defect Liability provisions, Financial G’tee backed performance, & LD’sOfftake agreement - LC’s and Government Guarantee