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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1 Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY11 4QFY10 % chg (qoq) 1QFY10 % chg (yoy) Net Sales 493.1 464.0 6.3 327.8 50.4 EBITDA 39.6 32.8 20.9 50.0 (20.7) EBITDA margin (%) 8.0 7.1 15.2 PAT 23.0 (5.4) - 22.0 4.5 Source: Company, Angel Research Finolex Cables posted a strong 50.4% growth in top-line for 1QFY2011 to Rs493cr (Rs328cr), which exceeded our expectations. Sales growth was backed by robust performance registered by the electrical cables segment, which grew 41.0% yoy during the quarter to Rs296cr (Rs210cr). However, OPM was muted at 8.0% (15.2%) though sequentially it improved by 97bp from 7.1% in 4QFY2010 to 8.0% in 1QFY2011. With strong growth in demand, we remain positive on the company. We maintain a Buy on the stock owing to attractive valuations. Strong top-line growth, sluggish margins: 1QFY2011 sales increased with the electrical cables segment recording strong growth. Copper rods and others segments sales also surged, increasing 68.2% and 513.3% yoy, respectively. However, higher raw material costs hit OPM, which stood at 8.0% for 1QFY2011. Outlook and Valuation: Going ahead, we expect demand for low-tension (LT) cables to remain strong given the positive outlook in the user industries. The EHV and HT cables plants are expected to start contributing by FY2012E. We expect sales to log a CAGR of 23.2% over FY2010-12E to Rs2,458cr. However, OPM is expected to remain under pressure. Hence, we revise our OPM estimates from 10.2% to 10.0% in FY2011E and 10.4% to 10.2% in FY2012E. We expect PAT to register a CAGR of 57.4%. At current levels, the stock is trading at 9.9x FY2011E and 6.2x FY2012E EPS. Hence, we maintain a Buy on the stock, with a Target Price of Rs85. Key Financials Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 1,342 1,619 2,048 2,458 % chg (3.1) 20.7 26.5 20.0 Net Profit (35) 58 90 143 % chg - - 56.2 58.5 EBITDA (%) 7.6 12.2 10.0 10.2 EPS (Rs) (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3 P/E (x) - 15.5 9.9 6.2 P/BV (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 RoE (%) - 9.3 13.3 18.6 RoCE (%) 6.8 17.1 15.9 17.9 EV/Sales (x) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 EV/EBITDA (x) 8.3 4.3 4.4 3.7 Source: Company, Angel Research BUY CMP Rs58 Target Price Rs85 Investment Period 12 Months Stock Info Sector Bloomberg Code FNXC@IN Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 35.1 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 13.5 FII / NRIs / OCBs 6.2 Indian Public / Others 45.1 Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex 5.1 21.4 22.5 Finolex Cables 11.2 53.7 (27.3) Face Value (Rs) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Power Cables Avg. Daily Volume Market Cap (Rs cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low 2 18,220 5,461 FNXC.BO 891 0.9 71/36 181596 Jai Sharda 022 - 39524568 Ext 305 [email protected] Finolex Cables Performance Highlights 1QFY2011 Result Update | Power Cables August 10, 2010
Transcript
Page 1: Finolex Cables

Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY11 4QFY10 % chg (qoq) 1QFY10 % chg (yoy)

Net Sales 493.1 464.0 6.3 327.8 50.4

EBITDA 39.6 32.8 20.9 50.0 (20.7)

EBITDA margin (%) 8.0 7.1 15.2 PAT 23.0 (5.4) - 22.0 4.5

Source: Company, Angel Research

Finolex Cables posted a strong 50.4% growth in top-line for 1QFY2011 to Rs493cr (Rs328cr), which exceeded our expectations. Sales growth was backed by robust performance registered by the electrical cables segment, which grew 41.0% yoy during the quarter to Rs296cr (Rs210cr). However, OPM was muted at 8.0% (15.2%) though sequentially it improved by 97bp from 7.1% in 4QFY2010 to 8.0% in 1QFY2011. With strong growth in demand, we remain positive on the company. We maintain a Buy on the stock owing to attractive valuations.

Strong top-line growth, sluggish margins: 1QFY2011 sales increased with the electrical cables segment recording strong growth. Copper rods and others segments sales also surged, increasing 68.2% and 513.3% yoy, respectively. However, higher raw material costs hit OPM, which stood at 8.0% for 1QFY2011.

Outlook and Valuation: Going ahead, we expect demand for low-tension (LT) cables to remain strong given the positive outlook in the user industries. The EHV and HT cables plants are expected to start contributing by FY2012E. We expect sales to log a CAGR of 23.2% over FY2010-12E to Rs2,458cr. However, OPM is expected to remain under pressure. Hence, we revise our OPM estimates from 10.2% to 10.0% in FY2011E and 10.4% to 10.2% in FY2012E. We expect PAT to register a CAGR of 57.4%. At current levels, the stock is trading at 9.9x FY2011E and 6.2x FY2012E EPS. Hence, we maintain a Buy on the stock, with a Target Price of Rs85.

Key Financials

Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E

Net Sales 1,342 1,619 2,048 2,458

% chg (3.1) 20.7 26.5 20.0

Net Profit (35) 58 90 143

% chg - - 56.2 58.5

EBITDA (%) 7.6 12.2 10.0 10.2

EPS (Rs) (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3

P/E (x) - 15.5 9.9 6.2 P/BV (x) 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 RoE (%) - 9.3 13.3 18.6 RoCE (%) 6.8 17.1 15.9 17.9 EV/Sales (x) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 EV/EBITDA (x) 8.3 4.3 4.4 3.7

Source: Company, Angel Research

BUY CMP Rs58 Target Price Rs85

Investment Period 12 Months Stock Info

Sector

Bloomberg Code FNXC@IN

Shareholding Pattern (%)

Promoters 35.1

MF / Banks / Indian Fls 13.5

FII / NRIs / OCBs 6.2

Indian Public / Others 45.1

Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

Sensex 5.1 21.4 22.5

Finolex Cables 11.2 53.7 (27.3)

Face Value (Rs)

BSE Sensex

Nifty

Reuters Code

Power Cables

Avg. Daily Volume

Market Cap (Rs cr)

Beta

52 Week High / Low

2

18,220

5,461

FNXC.BO

891

0.9

71/36

181596

Jai Sharda 022 - 39524568 Ext 305

[email protected]

Finolex Cables Performance Highlights

1QFY2011 Result Update | Power Cables

August 10, 2010

Page 2: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 2

Exhibit 1: 1QFY2011 Performance Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY2011 4QFY2010 % chg (qoq) 1QFY2010 % chg (yoy) FY2010 FY2009 % chg

Net Sales 493.1 464.0 6.3 327.8 50.4 1,618.7 1,341.5 20.7

Consumption of RM 397.2 374.8 6.0 232.8 70.6 1,221.1 1,057.4 15.5

(% of Sales) 80.6 80.8

71.0

75.4 78.8

Staff Costs 15.6 13.1 19.2 15.7 (0.6) 59.2 53.3 11.1

(% of Sales) 3.2 2.8

4.8

3.7 4.0

Other Expenses 40.6 43.3 (6.1) 29.3 38.8 143.2 132.8 7.8

(% of Sales) 8.2 9.3

8.9

8.8 9.9

Total Expenditure 453.4 431.2 5.2 277.8 63.2 1,423.5 1,243.5 14.5

Operating Profit 39.6 32.8 20.9 50.0 (20.7) 195.2 98.1 99.1

OPM (%) 8.0 7.1

15.2

12.1 7.3

Interest 4.0 3.9 1.8 4.9 (18.7) 16.9 25.3 (33.2)

Depreciation 9.8 8.3 18.3 9.5 2.8 37.2 38.8 (3.9)

Other Income 5.9 4.9 19.1 10.8 (45.9) 24.1 23.8 1.2

PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 31.7 25.5 24.4 46.3 (31.6) 165.2 57.8 185.7

Extr. Income/(Expense) (3.6) (23.9)

(19.0)

(76.0) (87.9)

PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 28.1 1.5 1,713.5 27.4 2.7 89.2 (30.1) -

(% of Sales) 5.7 0.3

8.3

5.5 (2.2)

Provision for Taxation 5.1 6.9 (26.1) 5.4 (4.3) 31.5 5.4 483.0

(% of PBT) 18.2 447.7

19.6

35.4 (18.0)

Reported PAT 23.0 (5.4) - 22.0 4.5 57.6 (35.5) -

PATM(%) 4.7 (1.2)

6.7

3.6 (2.6)

Equity shares (cr) 15.3 15.3

15.3

15.3 15.3

EPS (Rs) 1.5 (0.4) - 1.4 4.5 3.8 (2.3) -

Adjusted PAT 26.6 18.6 43.2 41.0 (35.2) 133.7 52.4 155.0

Source: Company, Angel Research

Segment-wise performance

The electrical cables segment posted strong growth of 41.0% yoy to Rs296cr (Rs210cr) mainly on the back of higher realisations. EBIT for the segment came in at Rs36.2cr, implying EBIT margin of 12.2%, which fell 867bp yoy mainly owing to higher raw material costs. However, sequentially EBIT margins increased by 288bp.

The communication cables segment registered a 20.4% yoy decline in sales to Rs42.7cr (Rs53.7cr). Margins of the segment fell from 15.0% in 1QFY2010 to 8.1% in FY2011, with EBIT coming in at Rs3.5cr (Rs8.1cr).

The copper rods segment posted sales of Rs339cr (Rs201cr) and EBIT of Rs3.7cr (Rs2.2cr). However, most of these sales were inter-segmental in nature. Margins of the segment came in flat yoy, at 1.1%.

Sales of the others segment grew to Rs55.7cr (Rs9.1cr). A substantial portion of the sales was inter-segmental. The segment recorded EBIT of Rs0.7cr in 1QFY2011, vis-à-vis a loss of Rs0.6cr in 1QFY2010.

Page 3: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 3

Exhibit 2: Segment-wise performance Y/E March (Rs cr) 1QFY2010 4QFY2010 1QFY2011 % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy)

Total Revenues

A) Electrical Cables 210.2 263.0 296.4 12.7 41.0

B) Comm. Cables 53.7 86.0 42.7 (50.3) (20.4)

C) Copper Rods 201.4 266.8 338.7 27.0 68.2

D) Others 9.1 74.6 55.7 (25.4) 513.3

Total 474.3 690.3 733.6 6.3 54.7

Less: Inter-Seg. Rev 146.6 226.4 240.5 6.3 64.1

Net Sales 327.8 464.0 493.1 6.3 50.4

EBIT Margin (%)

A) Electrical Cables 20.9 9.3 12.2 288bp (867bp)

B) Comm. Cables 15.0 15.7 8.1 (757bp) (689bp)

C) Copper Rods 1.1 0.9 1.1 17bp 1bp

D) Others (6.3) 1.1 1.2 5bp 744bp

Source: Company, Angel Research

Sales on a strong growth curve

The company has recorded a consistent increase in top-line since 3QFY2009, when it was hit by the global economic crisis. Since then, sales have more than doubled, increasing from Rs238cr in 3QFY2009 to Rs493 in1QFY2011. In the future too, the company looks to posting strong sales growth mainly on the back of demand revival in the economy.

Exhibit 3: Sales trend

374

238

327 328405 422

464 493

(40.0)

(20.0)

-

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2QFY

09

3QFY

09

4QFY

09

1QFY

10

2QFY

10

3QFY

10

4QFY

10

1QFY

11

(%)

(Rs

cr)

Sales (LHS) yoy Growth (RHS)

Source: Company, Angel Research

Margins under pressure, but stabilising

Post 3QFY2009, when the company posted losses at the operating level, margins improved to 16.5% in 2QFY2010 on the back of low-cost inventory. However, since then, margins have been declining and for 1QFY2011 came in at 8.1% mainly on account of the company’s decision to not fully pass on the higher copper prices. On a positive note, margins improved in 1QFY2011 sequentially.

Page 4: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 4

Exhibit 4: Margins trend

Source: Company, Angel Research

Profit set to improve going ahead

The company’s PAT has been fluctuating in the past few quarters mainly on the back of the erratic OPM and forex losses. In 1QFY2011, the company posted PAT of Rs23cr. Going ahead PAT is expected to further rise with the company improving its sales and forex losses tapering off.

Exhibit 5: Profit trend

2

(47)

3

22 29

12

(5)

23

(60)(50)(40)(30)(20)(10)

0 10 20 30 40

2QFY

09

3QFY

09

4QFY

09

1QFY

10

2QFY

10

3QFY

10

4QFY

10

1QFY

11

(Rs

cr)

Source: Company, Angel Research

Management call – Key takeaways

The electrical cables segment volumes grew by around 10.0% yoy, whereas

the communication cables segment volumes grew by around 5.0%. The

copper rods segment recorded a strong 24.0% increase in volumes.

Growth of the electrical cables segment was primarily driven by the high-

voltage and power cables.

Construction of one part of the EHV plant, the joint venture of the company

with J-Power Systems, may get a bit delayed. However, the venture is expected

to be in a position to offer most of its products as per schedule.

The high-tension (HT) cables plant has received all the major approvals and

started sales. However, volumes are currently subdued. Management expects

this plant to pick up in the coming months.

 

(5)

0

5

10

15

20

(10)0

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

2Q

FY0

9

3Q

FY0

9

4Q

FY0

9

1Q

FY1

0

2Q

FY1

0

3Q

FY1

0

4Q

FY1

0

1Q

FY1

1

(%)

(Rs

cr)

EBITDA (LHS) OPM (RHS)

Page 5: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 5

The company expects margins to improve in the ensuing quarters and targets

to end the fiscal with OPM of nearly 10.0%.

Investment Arguments

Poised for high growth going ahead: Finolex Cables is poised to register robust growth over the next few years owing to strong growth in the existing LT cables segment and entry into the HT and extra high voltage (EHV) cables verticals. In LT cables, we expect the organised players to gradually gain market share as their distribution reach expands and customers increasingly demand higher quality and branded wires. Entry into the HT cables segment gives accessibility to the generation and distribution segment, where the market opportunity is estimated at Rs37,000cr over the next 10 years.

Tax benefits from Roorkee plant to help turnaround of the company: The company has shifted a major chunk of production to its Roorkee plant, which avails excise duty and income tax benefits. Owing to this, we expect excise duty and tax rates for the company to remain low at 9% and 22.0% respectively, in FY2012E. The company has further increased capacity of this plant by 50%. The proximity to the growing north Indian markets and tax benefits availed by this plant are expected to boost the turnaround of the company.

Major capex already undertaken: The company has already incurred the major capex required to register growth over the next 4-5 years. Thus, on account of high operating leverage and strong sales growth, we expect the company to increase its net profit to Rs143cr in FY2012E from Rs58cr in FY2010.

Outlook and Valuation

We maintain our positive outlook on the company given its strong growth prospects as demand from the user industries strengthens. The company’s entry into the HT and EHV cables segments looks promising, with the HT cables plant expected to start contributing to top-line earlier than we had anticipated. Going ahead, with comfortable volumes, we expect the company to improve its margins from current levels of 8.0% in the quarter.

Exhibit 6: Revised estimates Rs cr Old New % chg

FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E

Sales 1,994 2,398 2,048 2,458 2.8 2.5

EBITDA 203 250 206 250 1.3 0.1

EBITDA margin (%) 10.2 10.4 10.0 10.2

PAT 88 140 90 143 2.7 1.6

EPS (Rs) 5.7 9.2 5.9 9.3 3.3 1.4

Source: Angel Research

We expect sales to increase at a CAGR of 23.2% over FY2010-12E. However, we expect OPM to remain at 10.0% in FY2011E and 10.2% in FY2012E. PAT is expected to log a CAGR of 57.4% over FY2010-12E. We expect the company to post EPS of Rs5.9 in FY2011E and Rs9.3 in FY2012E. At current levels, the stock is trading at 9.9x and 6.2x FY2011E and FY2012E EPS, respectively. We maintain a Buy on the stock with a target price of Rs85.

Page 6: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 6

Exhibit 7: Key Assumptions

FY2011E FY2012E Remarks

Electrical cables contribution to sales (%) 66.6 68.6 Higher contribution owing to HT cables sales

Communication cables contribution to sales (%) 8.7 7.7 Decline mainly on account of lacklustre demand in JFTC

Copper rods contribution to sales (%) 19.9 18.2 Sales to be driven by improvement in the economy

Others contribution to sales (%) 4.9 5.5 CFL and switches to lead sales

OPM (%) 10.0 10.2 OPM to remain under pressure owing to high copper prices

Tax Rate (%) 20.0 22.0 Higher production in Pune plant to result in higher tax

Source: Angel Research

Exhibit 8: Peer Valuation Company Mcap CMP EPS (Rs) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%)

(Rs cr) (Rs) FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E FY11E FY12E Finolex Cables 891 58 5.9 9.3 9.9 6.2 1.3 1.1 13.3 18.6

Sterlite Technologies 3649 103 8.2 9.4 12.5 10.9 3.3 2.6 27.2 25.3

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research

Exhibit 9: One-year forward P/BV band

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research

 

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Mar-

02

Jul-02

Nov-

02

Mar-

03

Jul-03

Nov-

03

Mar-

04

Jul-04

Nov-

04

Mar-

05

Jul-05

Nov-

05

Mar-

06

Jul-06

Nov-

06

Mar-

07

Jul-07

Nov-

07

Mar-

08

Jul-08

Nov-

08

Mar-

09

Jul-09

Nov-

09

Mar-

10

Jul-10

Share

Price

(Rs

)

2.5x

2.0x

0.5x

1.0x

1.5x

Page 7: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 7

Profit and Loss Statement Y/E March (Rs cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E

Gross sales 1,185.9 1,592.9 1,501.5 1,726.6 2,202.5 2,701.5

Less: Excise duty 152.9 209.1 160.0 107.9 154.2 243.1

Net Sales 1,033.0 1,383.8 1,341.5 1,618.7 2,048.4 2,458.3

Other operating income Total operating income 1,033.0 1,383.8 1,341.5 1,618.7 2,048.4 2,458.3

% chg 38.1 34.0 (3.1) 20.7 26.5 20.0

Total Expenditure 912.8 1,237.9 1,239.7 1,421.7 1,842.7 2,208.4

Net Raw Materials 783.0 1,074.0 1,058.5 1,221.1 1,602.4 1,922.4

Other Mfg costs 19.7 23.6 24.4 28.4 33.7 40.5

Personnel 35.5 49.7 53.3 59.2 75.8 91.0

Other 74.6 90.5 103.5 113.1 130.8 154.5

EBITDA 120.2 145.9 101.8 197.0 205.7 250.0

% chg 39.8 21.4 (30.2) 93.5 4.4 21.5

(% of Net Sales) 11.6 10.5 7.6 12.2 10.0 10.2

Depreciation& Amortisation 26.4 26.5 38.8 37.2 45.3 46.9

EBIT 93.8 119.4 63.0 159.8 160.3 203.1

% chg 71.5 27.4 (47.2) 153.5 0.4 26.7

(% of Net Sales) 9.1 8.6 4.7 9.9 7.8 8.3

Interest & other Charges 15.9 20.4 32.4 18.7 22.8 24.2

Other Income 19.6 34.1 51.0 24.1 24.1 28.6

(% of PBT) 20.1 25.6 62.5 14.6 14.9 13.8

Share in profit of Associates - - - - - -

Recurring PBT 97.4 133.2 81.6 165.2 161.7 207.5

% chg 38.6 36.7 (38.7) 102.5 (2.1) 28.4

Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) 0.4 12.9 111.7 76.0 49.2 24.6

PBT (reported) 97.0 120.3 (30.1) 89.2 112.5 183.0

Tax 28.0 31.4 5.4 31.5 22.5 40.3

(% of PBT) 28.9 26.1 - 35.4 20.0 22.0

PAT (reported) 69.0 88.9 (35.5) 57.6 90.0 142.7

Less: Minority interest (MI) - - - - - -

Prior period items - - - - - -

PAT after MI (reported) 69.0 88.9 (35.5) 57.6 90.0 142.7

ADJ. PAT 69.0 88.9 (35.5) 57.6 90.0 142.7

% chg 37.0 28.9 - - 56.2 58.5

(% of Net Sales) 6.7 6.4 - - 4.4 5.8

Basic EPS (Rs) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3

Fully Diluted EPS (Rs) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3

% chg 37.0 28.9 - - 56.2 58.5

Page 8: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 8

Balance Sheet Y/E March (Rs cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E

SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6 30.6

Preference Capital - - - - - -

Reserves& Surplus 549.5 610.9 565.6 612.5 681.1 795.1

Shareholders Funds 580.1 641.5 596.2 643.1 711.7 825.7

Minority Interest - - - - - -

Total Loans 265.3 287.6 295.9 275.1 325.1 345.1

Deferred Tax Liability 20.8 17.5 22.1 31.9 31.9 31.9

Total Liabilities 866.2 946.6 914.2 950.1 1,068.7 1,202.8

APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 475.5 504.4 762.1 802.5 871.6 910.5

Less: Acc. Depreciation 272.7 298.9 346.5 383.7 429.0 475.9

Net Block 202.8 205.5 415.6 418.8 442.6 434.6

Capital Work-in-Progress 105.1 172.9 40.1 28.8 34.9 45.5

Goodwill - - - - - -

Investments 283.3 316.8 314.1 280.3 290.3 290.3

Current Assets 659.4 447.3 315.8 414.9 548.5 731.8

Cash 61.1 21.4 28.1 37.2 21.5 31.4

Loans & Advances 327.2 82.3 86.4 85.7 131.9 158.3

Inventories 192.3 236.1 143.6 220.9 292.6 378.2

Debtors 78.8 107.6 57.7 71.0 102.4 163.9

Other 0.0 0.0 - - - -

Current liabilities 384.4 195.9 171.4 192.6 247.5 299.4

Net Current Assets 275.0 251.4 144.4 222.3 300.9 432.4

Mis. Exp. not written off - - - - - -

Total Assets 866.2 946.6 914.2 950.1 1,068.7 1,202.8

Page 9: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 9

Cash Flow Statement Y/E March (Rs cr) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E

Profit before tax 97.0 120.3 (30.1) 89.2 112.5 183.0

Depreciation 26.4 26.5 38.8 37.2 45.3 46.9

(Inc.)/ Dec. in Working Cap. 49.7 (262.7) 141.1 (80.5) (59.6) (103.2)

Less: Other income 19.6 34.1 51.0 24.1 24.1 28.6

Direct taxes paid 28.0 31.4 5.4 31.5 22.5 40.3

Cash Flow from Operations 125.5 (181.5) 93.4 (9.8) 51.6 57.8

(Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (105.3) (96.6) (124.9) (29.1) (75.2) (49.5)

(Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments (11.1) (33.5) 2.7 33.8 (10.0) -

(Inc.)/ Dec. in loans and adv. (36.2) 244.9 (4.1) 0.7 (46.2) (26.4)

Other income 19.6 34.1 51.0 24.1 24.1 28.6

Cash Flow from Investing (133.0) 148.9 (75.3) 29.5 (107.3) (47.3)

Issue of Equity - - - - - -

Inc./(Dec.) in loans 31.0 22.3 8.3 (20.7) 50.0 20.0

Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 25.1 26.8 3.6 10.7 21.5 28.6

Others 3.4 (2.5) (16.0) 20.78 11.48 8.04

Cash Flow from Financing 9.3 (7.1) (11.4) (10.7) 40.0 (0.6)

Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 1.8 (39.7) 6.7 9.0 (15.7) 9.9

Opening Cash balances 59.2 61.1 21.4 28.1 37.2 21.5

Closing Cash balances 61.1 21.4 28.1 37.2 21.5 31.4

Page 10: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 10

Key Ratios Y/E March FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E

Valuation Ratio (x)

P/E (on FDEPS) 12.9 10.0 - 15.5 9.9 6.2

P/E (on basic, reported EPS) 12.9 10.0 - 15.5 9.9 6.2

P/CEPS 9.3 7.7 272.2 9.4 6.6 4.7

P/BV 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1

Dividend yield (%) 2.4 2.6 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.7

Market cap. / Sales 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4

EV/Sales 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4

EV/EBITDA 6.8 5.8 8.3 4.3 4.4 3.7

EV / Total Assets 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8

Per Share Data (Rs)

EPS (Basic) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3

EPS (fully diluted) 4.5 5.8 (2.3) 3.8 5.9 9.3

Cash EPS 6.2 7.5 0.2 6.2 8.8 12.4

DPS 1.4 1.5 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.6

Book Value 37.9 41.9 39.0 42.0 46.5 54.0

ROE Decomposition (%)

EBIT margin 9.1 8.6 4.7 9.9 7.8 8.3

Tax retention ratio 71.1 73.9 118.0 64.6 80.0 78.0

Asset turnover (x) 2.4 3.2 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2

ROCE (Post Tax) 15.3 20.7 15.4 18.2 19.3 20.3

Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 4.5 5.5 13.1 4.2 6.1 5.6

Leverage (x) 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3

Operating ROE 16.7 23.1 15.9 21.4 22.9 24.4

Returns (%)

ROCE (Pre-tax) 11.3 13.2 6.8 17.1 15.9 17.9

Angel ROIC 15.3 20.7 15.4 18.2 19.3 20.3

ROE 12.4 14.6 (5.7) 9.3 13.3 18.6

Turnover ratios (x)

Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.2 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.4 2.8

Asset Turnover (Net Block) 4.8 6.8 4.3 3.9 4.8 5.6 Operating Income / Invested Capital

2.4 3.2 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2

Inventory / Sales (days) 70.8 56.5 51.7 41.1 45.8 49.8

Receivables (days) 27.3 24.6 22.5 14.5 15.5 19.8

Payables (days) 38.9 39.5 48.5 43.8 39.6 40.2

WC cycle (ex-cash) (days) 78.7 78.4 45.7 41.0 52.4 60.6

Solvency ratios (x)

Gross debt to equity 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4

Net debt to equity 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3

Net debt to EBITDA 0.7 0.8 1.4 0.8 1.1 0.9 Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest)

5.9 5.8 1.9 8.5 7.0 8.4

Page 11: Finolex Cables

Finolex Cables | 1QFY2011 Result Update

August 10, 2010 11

Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.

Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information.

Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.

Disclosure of Interest Statement Finolex Cables 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No

Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)


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