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FiREapps Q3 2017 Each quarter, FiREapps analyzes the earnings calls of 1,200 publicly traded North American and European companies as part of a continued effort to provide insight into how currency impacts organizations. The companies included in this data set are large multinational firms doing business in more than one currency with at least 15 percent of their revenue coming from overseas. A Survey of North American & European Corporate Earnings CURRENCY IMPACT REPORT™ The data included in this report refers only to companies that reported FX impacts in earnings calls.
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Page 1: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017

Each quarter, FiREapps analyzes the earnings calls of 1,200 publicly traded North American and European

companies as part of a continued effort to provide insight into how currency impacts organizations. The

companies included in this data set are large multinational firms doing business in more than one currency

with at least 15 percent of their revenue coming from overseas.

A Survey of North American & European Corporate Earnings

CURRENCY IMPACT REPORT™

The data included in this report refers only to companies that reported FX impacts in earnings calls.

Page 2: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 2 of 17Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved. 012618

Overview

FiREapps Q3 2017 CURRENCY IMPACT REPORT™

Page 3: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

Quantified Negative Currency Impact (Billions)

Number of Companies Reporting Negative Currency Impact

European Companies North American Companies

Q3 2017 saw the largest amount of collective negative currency impacts to European companies since Q3 2015. Up $3.54 billion from last quarter, European multinationals reported $4.27 billion in losses due to FX. In addition to an increase in FX impacts, European companies also saw an increase in the number of companies reporting negative currency impacts during earnings calls.

In contrast, North American companies saw a decrease in quantified negative impacts, the number of companies reporting impacts and the average earnings per share (EPS) impact (page 6).

Q3 SHOWS LARGEST EUROPEAN FX IMPACTS SINCE 2015

Q3 2015

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

Q2 2016

Q3 2016

Q4 2016

Q1 2017

Q2 2017

Q3 2017

0 10 20 30 40

$4.27

$0.73

$0.23

$2.53

$3.86

$3.36

$3.15

$2.91

$4.73

$7.94

$6.47

$6.71

$10.26

$10.47

$6.70

$7.44

$5.28

$19.29 $24.02

$33.94

$16.88 $20.03

$6.90

$6.81 $10.67

$36.85

0

84

168

252

336

420

Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017

122

251228

296

263

296

400409399

68

220213245

218225

338357353

51

46

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 3 of 17Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

5262

7145

1531

54

Page 4: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

EUR CNY JPY CAD GBP

CNY EUR IDR BRL JPY

CNY KRW IDR EUR MXN

EUR KRW CNY JPY IDR

CAD IDR RUB TRY ARS

CNY IDR EUR BRL MXN

CNY KRW IDR ZAR MXN

KRW EUR TRY IDR AUD

1 2 3 4 5

Top 5 Volatile G20 Currencies

1 2 3 4 5

Q4 2016

Q2 2017

Q1 2017

Q3 2017

Top 5 Volatile Currencies as Weighted by GDP Percentage

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 4 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Q4 2016

Q2 2017

Q1 2017

Q3 2017

Page 5: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 5 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Currency Impact on North American Corporate Earnings

FiREapps Q3 2017 CURRENCY IMPACT REPORT™

Page 6: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

$9

$18

$27

$36

Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017

22.73

4.19 3.67 4.10 4.185.83

3.261.21

4.00

18.66

28.94

16.9519.29

33.94

16.88

6.90 6.817.94

6.47 6.71

1.01

Negative Currency Impact to North American Companies (Billions)

Q3 2014

Q4 2014

Q1 2015

Q2 2015

Q3 2015

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

Q2 2016

Q3 2016

Q4 2016

Q1 2017

Q2 2017

Q3 2017

$0.00 $0.03 $0.06 $0.09 $0.12

$0.03

$0.04

$0.03

$0.04

$0.04

$0.05

$0.06

$0.07

$0.12

$0.03

$0.08

$0.06

$0.03

Average EPS Impact Reported by North American Companies

Industry Standard MBO of Less than $0.01 EPS Impact

Currency Impact on North American Corporate Earnings

A collective $1.01 billion loss was reported by North American companies that quantified negative FX impacts for Q3 2017 — down $5.7 billion from Q2 2017.

Earnings per share (EPS) impact reported by North American companies has continued to hover around $0.03-$0.04 mark over the past five quarters, with companies reporting an average EPS impact of $0.03 for Q3 2017.1

1Impacts are likely to be underestimates: most companies with currency headwinds generally do not report them and only 38 percent of the companies that reported negative impacts actually quantified their losses.

Page 7: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 7 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Top Currencies Referenced by North American Companies as Impactful

BRL 4.3%

AUD 8.5%

CAD 14.9%

GBP 23.4%

EUR 48.9%

CAD 7.0%

BRL 7.0%

CNY 11.6%

JPY 16.3%

EUR 27.9%

GBP 30.2%

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

The euro was the most referenced currency in Q3 2017 earnings calls as being impactful to North American companies. The euro has continued to take a top spot, generally mentioned as the most impactful or second most impactful currency over the past three quarters, and this quarter it was also the most volatile G20 currency as weighted by GDP percentage (page 4).

The British pound was the next most referenced currency in earnings reports, followed by the Canadian dollar, Australian dollar and Brazilian real. The Canadian dollar and the British pound were also included in the top five most volatile currencies weighted by GDP percentage (page 4).

CAD 7.3%

BRL 7.3%

CNY 9.1%

JPY 12.7%

GBP 27.3%

EUR 36.4%

Q1 2017

AUD 4.2%JPY

6.3%

CNY 8.3%

CAD 8.3%

BRL 8.3% EUR

31.3%

GBP 33.3%

Q2 2017

Page 8: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 8 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Average Negative Impact to North American Companies (Millions)

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017

$39$52$51$57$62$63

$98

$218

$169$177$164

$146

$37$42

68

220213

245218225

338357353

170

279

215202

0

75

150

225

300

375

Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017

42

9287105

109115

166201239

74

102

8793

26

128126140

109110

172156

11496

177

128109

Number of North American Companies Reporting Negative Currency Impacts

Number of Companies Quantifying Size of Impact

Number of Companies Not Quantifying, but Reporting Impact

62% Did Not Quantify

68N.A. Negative

Impacts

38% Did Quantify

Percentage of North American Companies Quantifying Impacts

Page 9: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 9 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Most Impacted North American Industries

21 43 5Q3

2017

Q2 2017

Q4 2016

Medical Equipment & Supplies

Electronic Instruments & Controls

Scientific & Technical Instruments

Business Services

Misc. Capital Goods

Medical Equipment & Supplies

Business Services

Misc. Capital Goods

Scientific & Technical Instruments

Q1 2017

Business Services

Electronic Instruments & Controls

Misc. Capital Goods

Medical Equipment & Supplies

Scientific & Technical Instruments

Auto & Truck Parts

Biotechnology & Drugs

Biotechnology & Drugs

Medical Equipment & Supplies

Business Services

Electronic Instruments & Controls

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2012 Q1 2012 Q4 2013 Q3 2014 Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q1 2016 Q4 2017 Q3

14%

25%

16%18%22%

31%

43%49%50%

64%63%

46%

23%

41%47%

25%26%26%19%

14%

33%

23%

At 14 percent, the number of North American companies reporting impacts that fielded analyst questions on FX during Q3 2017 earnings calls is the lowest it has been since Q3 2012 and is down 11 percent from the previous quarter.

Percentage of North American Companies Reporting Impacts That Fielded Analyst Questions

Page 10: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 10 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Currency Impact on European Corporate Earnings

FiREapps Q3 2017 CURRENCY IMPACT REPORT™

Page 11: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 11 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q2 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017

1.52

2.742.54

4.73

2.913.14

3.36

3.86

2.53

0.23

0.73

4.27

Negative Currency Impact to European Companies (Billions)

In the third quarter of 2017, 54 of the 350 Europe-based multinationals analyzed by FiREapps reported negative currency impacts to their earnings (headwinds).

Of the corporations reporting headwinds, 26 quantified their impacts, nearly seven times more than Q2 2017, accounting for a collective loss of €3.63 billion ($4.27 billion) due to FX.2

2 Impacts are likely to be underestimates as most companies with currency headwinds generally do not report them.

Currency Impact on European Corporate Earnings

Page 12: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

JPY 6.4%

BRL 6.4%

CNY 10.6%

GBP 12.8%

USD 19.1%

EUR 44.7%

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 12 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Top Currencies Referenced by European Companies as Impactful

AUD 4.3%

BRL 8.7%

CNY 13.0%

EUR 17.4%

GBP 56.5%

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

For the second quarter in a row, the euro was most mentioned as being impactful to European corporations.

The U.S. dollar is the second most referenced currency as being impactful, followed by the British pound and Chinese yuan, which have been mentioned as impactful currencies for the previous three quarters as well. The Brazilian real and Japanese yen also made appearances as currencies that impacted European companies.

BRL 5.0%

MXN 10.0%

EUR 15.0%

CNY 20.0%

GBP 50.0%

Q1 2017

RUB 6.3%

BRL 6.3%

JPY 12.5%

CNY 18.8%

GBP 25.0%

EUR 31.3%

Q2 2017

Page 13: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 13 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

20

40

60

80

100

Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q4 2016 Q3 2017

28

2710

4326

5442

433618

26

458191720

91023

54

31

15

5145

7162

5246

41

52% Did Not Quantify

54EU Negative

Impacts

48% Did Quantify

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017

$164.10$182.20

$45.60

$316.00

$203.00$198.00

Average Negative Impact to European Companies (Millions)

Number of European Companies Reporting Negative Currency Impact

Percentage of European Companies Quantifying Impacts

Number of Companies Quantifying Size of Impact

Number of Companies Not Quantifying, but Reporting Impact

Page 14: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 14 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Most Impacted European Industries

21 43 5

Q3 2017

Q2 2017

Q4 2016

Electronic Instruments & Controls

Aerospace & Defense

Misc. Fabricated Products

Personal & Household Products

Retail & Apparel Airlines

Q1 2017

Medical Equipment & Supplies Beverages

Biotechnology & Drugs

Chemical Manufacturing

Electronic Instruments & Controls

0%

19%

38%

56%

75%

Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q4 2016 Q3 2017

30%

40%

14%

23%25%

33%

53%

67%

56%

22%

In Q3 2017 earnings calls, 30 percent of European companies that quantified impacts fielded analyst questions, as compared to 40 percent in Q2 2017.

Auto & Truck Parts

Electronic Instruments & Controls

Auto & Truck Parts

Misc. Capital Goods

Auto & Truck Parts

Misc. Capital Goods

Auto & Truck Parts

Biotechnology & Drugs

Biotechnology & Drugs

Percentage of European Companies Reporting Impacts That Fielded Analyst Questions

Page 15: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 15 of 17 Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Comparison of Q3 2017 Currency Impact to North American

& European Companies

FiREapps Q3 2017 CURRENCY IMPACT REPORT™

Page 16: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

54 European

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 16 of 17Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved.

Average Quantified Negative Currency Impact in Q3 2017 (Millions)

North America Europe

Mill

ions

(USD

)

0

48

96

144

192

240

$164

$39

$5.28 Billion Total Negative Q3 Impact

Size of Quantified Negative Currency Impact in Q3 2017 (Billions)

122Q3 North American &

European Negative Impacts

68 North American

Number of Companies Reporting Negative Currency Impacts in Q3 2017

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

30%14%

North America Europe

Summary: FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report™› The total quantified negative impact in Q3 2017 was nearly 30 percent lower than Q2 2017, totaling $5.28 billion, with $4.27 billion of that impact reported by European companies.

› 122 North American and European companies reported global headwinds in Q3 2017. Of those, 52 (42.6 percent) quantified their impact.

› The euro was most mentioned as being impactful by both North American corporates and European companies.

› North America saw a decrease in the number of companies reporting negative currency impacts, while European companies saw an increase.

Percentage of Companies Reporting Impacts That Fielded Analyst Questions in Q3 2017

Billi

ons

(USD

)

0

2

3

5

6

$4.27

$1.01

North America Europe

Page 17: FiREapps Q3 2017 · FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 6 of 17 $9 $18 $27 $36 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014 Q3 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q1 2016 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q3 2017 22.73

FiREapps Q3 2017 Currency Impact Report | 17 of 17Copyright © 2018 RimTec Inc. All rights reserved. 012618

FiREapps is the leading provider of corporate currency analytics and FX exposure management technologies. Established in 2006, FiREapps developed the first solution to automate foreign exchange exposure management for multinational companies. Through a combination of software solutions and expert analysis, FiREapps helps companies ensure they’re accurately measuring and managing their FX exposures. Numerous Fortune 500 companies rely on FiREapps technology to help them reduce FX risk and increase efficiency every day.

FiREapps is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, with offices in Portland, London and Frankfurt.


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