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First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January...

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First Quarter presentation 2020 May 7 2020
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Page 1: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

First Quarter presentation 2020May 7 2020

Page 2: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Agenda• Highlights

• Financials

• Operational review/Strategy

• Prospects and Market update

Page 3: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

• Improved results driven by increased earnings in the chemical tanker tanker markets

• EBITDA of USD 66 mill, compared with USD 58 mill in 4Q19

• EBITDA of USD 58 mill from Odfjell Tankers compared with USD 50 mill 4Q19

• EBITDA of USD 8 mill from Odfjell Terminals compared to USD 8 mill 4Q19

• Net result of USD -4 mill compared to USD -10 mill last quarter

• Adjusted for non-recurring items, net results were USD 1 mill in 1Q20 compared to adjusted net results of USD -7 mill last quarter

• Spot rates on main tradelanes improved by 6% compared to 4Q19, and our COA raterenewals were up 5% in 1Q20

• Attractive refinancing secured for Odfjell Terminals USA, positioning the Houston terminal for accretive growth

• We did not have any operational disturbance or unexpected cost from the IMO 2020 transition

• We are so far not experiencing significant disruptions in our operations from the Covid-19 virus, but we do expect that demand will be negatively affected by a global economic impact that will follow the Pandemic

Highlights

“1Q20 showed continued improvement in our underlying results, but the emergence ofthe Covid-19 pandemic is beginning to impact COA volumes and creates uncertainty forfuture market developments, and we are taking precautionary measures for thecompany. We are expecting to report slightly weaker results in 2Q20. We are pleased tohave reached an important milestone by refinancing our terminals in USA whichenables the terminals to be self-funded, and capable of executing our growth plans atthe Houston terminal’’.

Kristian Mørch, CEO Odfjell SE

(USD mill, unaudited) 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 1Q19 FY19 FY18

Odfjell Tankers 223.1 214.2 215.6 240.2 218.3 871.3 850.8

Odfjell Terminals 17.9 16.4 18.0 17.5 17.6 69.8 91.0

Revenues* 243.2 232.7 235.3 259.3 238.3 949.5 950.5

Odfjell Tankers 49.9 44.7 50.1 57.8 39.7 184.4 108.7

Odfjell Terminals 6.2 6.0 7.8 8.1 6.7 26.7 24.0

EBITDA* 56.8 51.4 58.0 66.2 47.2 213.4 135.3

EBIT 14.4 25.9 11.7 24.3 7.0 59.0 (76.4)

Net result (10.2) (1.1) (10.0) (4.4) (15.4) (36.6) (210.8)

EPS** — (0.01) (0.13) (0.06) (0.20) (0.47) (2.68)

ROE*** (6.1%) (7.6%) (5.6 %) (0.5%) (10.5 %) (6.4 %) (29.8%)

ROCE*** 2.8% 2.7% 2.8 % 5.1 % 1.4 % 2.8 % (8.1%)*Includes figures from Odfjell Gas** Based on 78.6 million outstanding shares*** Ratios are annualized

Key figures, USD mill

3

1. Proportional consolidation method

Page 4: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Agenda• Highlights

• Financials

• Operational review/Strategy

• Prospects and Market update

Page 5: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

USD mill Tankers Terminals Total*

4Q19 1Q20 4Q19 1Q20 4Q19 1Q20Gross revenue 216.7 240.3 18.0 17.5 235.3 259.3Voyage expenses (85.9) (102.4) — — (86.7) (103.2)Pool distribution (13.5) (16.1) — — (13.5) (16.1)Timecharter Earnings 117.3 121.8 18.0 17.5 135.1 140.0TC expenses (8.8) (8.4) — — (8.8) (8.4)Operating expenses (34.8) (34.6) (6.8) (6.6) (42.4) (41.8)Operating expenses - IFRS 16 adjustments (5.6) (5.6) — — (5.6) (5.6)

G&A (16.9) (15.1) (3.4) (2.7) (20.2) (17.8)EBITDA 50.1 57.8 7.8 8.1 58.0 66.2Depreciation (24.2) (22.4) (5.3) (5.3) (29.9) (28.1)Depreciation - IFRS 16 adjustments (13.0) (13.7) (0.1) (0.1) (13.2) (13.8)Impairment (2.4) — (0.7) — (3.1) —Capital gain/loss — — (0.2) (0.1) (0.1) —EBIT 10.5 21.8 1.4 2.7 11.7 24.3Net interest expenses (19.9) (21.1) (1.3) (1.2) (21.3) (22.2)Other financial items 0.1 (5.0) — (0.2) 0.1 (5.2)Net finance (19.9) (26.0) (1.2) (1.3) (21.2) (27.4)Taxes (0.1) (1.0) (0.4) (0.3) (0.5) (1.3)Net results (9.4) (5.2) (0.2) 1.0 (10.0) (4.4)EPS (0.12) (0.07) (0.00) 0.01 (0.13) (0.06)Voyage days 6,216 6,234 — 6,216 6,234

Income statement1 – Odfjell Group by division Financials

51. Proportional consolidation method *Total Includes contribution from Gas Carriers

Key quarterly deviations:

Gross revenues increased due to stronger freight rates and higher bunker costs

Voyage expenses increased due to transition to new IMO 2020 compliant fuel

Rate increases led to improved TCE compared to 4Q19

Part of lower G&A due to favorable development in USD/NOK during the quarter

Higher interest expenses related to tap issues on two outstanding bonds in February.

Negative M-t-M value of derivatives portfolio of USD 5 mill

Reduced revenues in Odfjell Terminals more than compensated from lower costs led to a positive net profit during the quarter

Adjusted for non-recurring items related to the M-t-M valuation of derivatives, adjusted net results for 1Q20 was USD 1 mill compared to adjusted net results of USD -6 mill previous quarter

Page 6: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Financials

6

Assets, USD mill 4Q19 1Q20

Ships and newbuilding contracts 1,403.0 1,428.1Right of use assets 207.9 247.5Investment in associates and JVs 161.6 161.0Other non-current assets/receivables 23.0 20.6Total non-current assets 1,795.5 1,857.3Cash and cash equivalent 100.8 121.1Other current assets 122.0 115.8Total current assets 222.8 236.9Total assets 2,018.3 2,094.2

Equity and liabilities, USD mill 4Q19 1Q20Total equity 551.2 513.3Non-current liabilities and derivatives 26.8 59.7Non-current interest bearing debt 973.5 920.4Non-current debt, right of use assets 167.3 206.8Total non-current liabilities 1,167.6 1,186.9Current portion of interest bearing debt 158.7 220.3Current debt, right of use assets 46.3 48.0Other current liabilities and derivatives 94.5 125.7Total current liabilities 299.5 393.9Total equity and liabilities 2,018.3 2,094.2

1. Equity method

Balance sheet 31.03.20201 – Odfjell Group

Cash position improved following tap issues on bonds concluded in January

Short-term interesting bearing debt increased as bond maturity in January 2021 classified as short-term debt

Increased deriviatives portfolio as we hedged part of our currency and interest rate exposure during the quarter

1Q20 equity ratio of 27.9% excluding debt related to right of use assets

Page 7: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Cash flow, USD mill 4Q19 1Q20 FY19 FY18Net profit (9.8) (4.5) (35.9) (209.3)Adjustments 38.9 41.9 147.5 104.6Change in working capital (8.5) (1.5) (7.3) (20.6)Other 4.2 (4.2) (5.6) 167.9Cash flow from operating activities 24.8 31.7 98.7 42.6Sale of ships, property, plant and equipment — 4.1 2.0 —Investments in non-current assets (57.4) (47.6) (146.8) (193.9)Dividend/ other from investments in Associates and JV's — — — 81.1Other — 2.3 (1.0) 14.0Cash flow from investing activities (57.4) (41.2) (123.1) (98.8)New interest bearing debt 101.5 71.1 370.0 301.3Repayment of interest bearing debt (67.6) (27.4) (367.1) (267.8)Payment of operational lease debt (12.1) (12.1) (45.0)Dividends — — — (14.6)Other — — — (1.2)Cash flow from financing activities 21.8 31.6 (42.1) 17.7Net cash flow* (10.7) 20.4 (66.6) (39.0)

Improved underlying operating cash flow driven by stronger rates

Took delivery of one newbuilding during the quarter which was financed in full by new debt

Cash position improved to USD 121 mill from USD 102 mill following tap issues concluded in January

1. Equity method2. * After FX effects

Financials

7

Cash flow – 31.03.20201 – Odfjell Group

Page 8: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

8

USD per metric tonne

40.8 39.3 40.0 40.1

50.1

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

USD

mill

2Q191Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20

412 410350 330

602 558 582 564 564492 515

451

0100200300400500600700

3Q191Q19 4Q194Q18 1Q202Q19

455

Average Platts bunker cost by fuel type

Bunker costs after bunker adjustment clauses was USD 50 mill, an increase from the previous quarter driven by the transition to VLSFO. This was more than compensated for by higher freight rates

Bunker adjustment clauses hedged 51% of our total volumes during the quarter

Bunker costs dropped quickly in February and will lead to lower bunker costs in 2Q20

We have hedged 25% of our uncovered bunker exposure (about 12.5% total volumes) at an average price of USD 345 per tonne for VLSFO and USD 442 per tonne for MGO

Financials

HFO SingaporeMGO Rotterdam

VLSFO SingaporeVLSFO Rotterdam

Gross bunker cost 47.4 46.9 47.0 46.0 60.3Financial hedging (0.4) (0.6) (0.1) 0.1 —Adj. Clauses (1.2) (1.8) (1.7) (1.3) (4.9)3rd party vessels (5.1) (5.3) (5.1) (4.7) (5.4)Net bunker cost 40.8 39.3 39.8 40.1 50.1

Bunker expenses – 31.03.2020 – Odfjell Tankers

Page 9: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

9

Scheduled repayments and planned refinancing, USD mill

Gross debt ending balance, USD mill

Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020

We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

We expect to refinance 2Q20 and 3Q20 balloons on similar terms as today

Refinanced the USD 200 mill debt maturity in Odfjell Terminals USA JV with a USD 250 mill revolving facility and USD 65 mill accordion option

855 703

-200-400

2000

400600800

1 0001 2001 4001 600

20212020 2022 2023

1 0211 209

Ending balance year-endRepayment Planned vessel financing

0

50

100

150

200

4Q214Q202Q20 3Q20 1Q21 3Q212Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23

Bond Balloon Leasing/sale-leaseback Secured loans

Debt to increase in 2020 due to delivery of four newbuildings during the year

Focus remain on reducing debt to lower ourbreak-even levels…

Timing of reaching our targets are market dependent

Debt development – Corporate and chemical tankers

Page 10: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

We have secured financing for all chemical tanker newbuildings and no equity instalments remains

The third newbuilding was delivered in January and the sixth and last newbuilding is scheduled for delivery in October 2020

We have no capital commitments for chemical tankers beyond 2020

Other chemical tanker investments for the next three years amounts to about USD 11 mill, mainly related to installation of ballast water treatment systems.

We expect the average annual docking capitalization to be about USD 15 million in the years ahead

Planned expansion capex for Odfjell Terminals is USD 32 mill of which the majority relates to our Houston terminal. Planned maintenance capex amounts to USD 32 mill, but this also includes maintenance that will improve efficiencies and operations at our terminals.

USD mill 2020 2021 2022

Chemical Tanker newbuildings

Hudong 1 x 49,00 dwt (USD 60 mill) 42 — —

Hudong 2 x 38,000 dwt (USD 58 mill) 87 — —

Total 129 — —

Instalment structure - Newbuildings

Debt installment 129 — —

Equity installment — — —

Tank Terminals (Odfjell share)*

Planned expansion capex 8 16 8

* Tank Terminals to be self-funded meaning no cash flow from Odfjell SE to meet guided capital expenditures – Tank terminal Capex listed in table is expansions that will impact our P&L10

Capital expenditure programme – 31.03.2020

Planned expansion capex is fully financed through new debt facility plus operating cash flow

Page 11: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Agenda• Highlights

• Financials

• Operational review/Strategy

• Prospects and Market update

Page 12: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

COA rates and spot rates improved on main tradelanes this quarter. Our stance to not pursue low COA rates in present market remains intact

4Q-16

1Q-20

1Q-15

2Q-16

1Q-16

2Q-15

3Q-16

4Q-15

4Q-19

3Q-15

1Q-17

2Q-17

3Q-17

4Q-17

1Q-18

2Q-18

3Q-18

4Q-18

1Q-19

2Q-19

3Q-19

Contract coverage

COA rates Spot rates

Contract coverage reduced during the quarter

We have taken a clear stance to not renew COA rates at unsustainable levels in 2020…

Average COA rate renewals in 1Q20 was up 5%

Our current COA ratio enables Odfjell to take advantage of opportunities in the spot market

COA rates vs spot rate development in main tradelanes

Spot rates on main tradelanes increased by 6% during the quarter driven by stronger rates ex Europe to US and US to Far East

Rates ex US to Europe and ex US to South America dropped compared to previous quarter

Rates excludes CPP cargoes

Comments:

56% 54%

70%

55% 57% 60% 61% 58% 61% 60% 59%55% 55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

48%

3Q164Q15 2Q161Q16 3Q174Q16 1Q17 1Q192Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q202Q19 3Q19

51%

4Q19

49% 50% 52%

AverageCOA coverage

Operational review/Strategy

* Main tradelanes includes US Gulf to Far East, Europe and South America, Europe to US Gulf and Middle East to Asia 12

Page 13: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

60

80

100

120

140

160

2008 20122009 2010 2011 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

17.6%

3.3%

Chemical tanker spot earnings index (midcycle = 100)Source: Clarkson Platou

Odfix indexOdfix average 2008-2018

0,0

6,0

3,0

4Q17

0,4

1Q18 1Q193Q18

3,6

4Q18 3Q192Q19

0,5 0,43,3

0,4

4Q19 1Q20

3,40,5

3,5

3,0

3,8 3,8 3,73,4

3,73,3

2Q18

3,1 2,9

Mill

ion

tonn

es

3,3

0,5

3,3

0,50,4

3,2

0,5

3,0 3,23,1

Volumes carried by Pool & Commercial mgt Volumes carried (Odfjell owned Inc. TC/BB)

164253

212

128

288 348 336 2287 000

0

7 500

450

5 500

6 000

6 500

8 000

6 636

4Q18 2Q19 3Q19

6 216

4Q19

6 544

1Q20

7 148

6 308169

2Q18

7 636

1Q18 1Q193Q18

7 434

6 706

7 6667 400

6 2436 274

7 284 7 133 7 025 7 044

6 2346 293

Voyage days (Total inc. Pool & Commercial mgt)Voyage days (Odfjell owned inc. TC & BB)

Off-hire days RHA (Odfjell owned)

Operational review/Strategy

ODFIX underperformed the general market index this quarter. This is driven by:Slower rate developments in tradelanes not reflected in market indexMarket index not accurately reflecting higher spot rates relative to bunker costs in

4Q19. This is updated in 1Q20.

Volumes normalised due to:3Q19 and 4Q19 volumes were artificially lower driven by geopolitical eventsHigher volumes on back-hauls compared to 4Q19, as several voyages involved vessels

sailing empty on the back-hauls due to strong front haul rates

Odfjell Tankers volume developmentObservations

ODFIX versus chemical tanker spot rates Odfjell Tankers voyage days development

13

Tankers: Volumes normalised in 1Q20 and we experienced larger variations in freight rates per tradelane this quarter

Page 14: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

14

Operational review/Strategy

Covid-19 has caused some operational challenges, but our performance remains intact. Shore staff working remotely has not impacted efficiency of our operations

Covid-19

Crew

Newbuilds

Crew changes virtually impossible – Crew supplying countries in lockdown – Airline capacity reduced by 90%

Odfjell Corona measures in place on vessels since mid-January – Home office solutions implemented since February

Only minor delays expected for newbuilds – Fourth newbuilding delivered, but full crew expected within May

Status 6 May

No Odfjell crew infected by the virus

No LTIs (Lost Time Injury) since August 2019

The Odfjell fleet is 100% operational

No increase in unscheduled off-hire

All operational KPI’s are stable

Corona clauses implemented in all COAs and spot fixtures

Port closure and restrictions - Increased waiting due to ullage constraints – Changed trading patterns

Page 15: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

15

Operational review/Strategy

Our major presence in key hubs enables us to consolidate cargoes to optimise utilisation and free up short-term capacity to trade stronger CPP & Vegoil markets

Low utilisation?

Low utilisation? Full utilisation

Position list Odfjell Tankers 1 May 2020

Ship released with available capacity to trade markets with better short-term fundamentals

Crude, CPP and Vegoil rates development Odfjell Tankers CPP suited tonnage

1-jan-20 1-feb-20 1-mar-20 1-apr-20 1-mai-200

100

20

40

60

80

120

140

160

180

USD/

Day

Soy OilLR2 MRLR1 Palm Oil

Floating storage for crude and product tankers has reduced supply across the tanker segments

CPP has remained fairly resilient driven by trader demand taking advantage of arbitrages

Chemical crackers sourcing attractively priced naphtha feedstocks contributing with end-user demand

We have increased our participation in the CPP market in 2Q20

Odfjell operates 7 coated MR tankers and one LR1 tanker that is employed in the Straits Tankers pool

8 Poland class super-segregators and 4 MR sized newbuilds from Hudong are fit to trade CPP

Our versatile stainless steel Handysize chemical tankers adds flexibility to swing between segments

Vessel Dwt Vessel DwtBow Sea 49 592 Bow Pioneer 75 000Bow Summer 49 492 Flumar Brazil 55 452Bow Saga 49 559 Bow Triumph 53 188Bow Sirius 49 539 Bow Trident 53 188Bow Star 49 487 Bow Tribute 53 188Bow Sky 49 479 Bow Trajectory 53 188Bow Spring 49 429 Bow Elm 46 098Bow Orion 49 000 Bow Lind 46 047Bow Olympus 49 000Bow Odyssey 49 000Bow Optima 49 000

Source: Odfjell SE, Clarksons Platou

Page 16: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

16

93%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1Q182Q17 4Q173Q17 1Q19 1Q202Q 18 4Q183Q18 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19

EBITDA margins improved further driven by effects from improved operations and continued strong storage demand countering declining throughput

Together with our JV partner, plans and growth plans are now in place in Houston, where both investments to increase utilisation of available land and improve efficiency and operations will commence in 2020 and throughout 2022

LG's exit from Asia is ongoing and three terminals remains. Odfjell SE may consider to tag along on a sale of its ownership in the terminals in China

Operational review/Strategy

94% 95% 99% 99% 98% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

3Q194Q17 1Q18 4Q182Q18 1Q202Q193Q18 1Q19 4Q19

Odfjell Terminals: Utilisation development Odfjell Terminals Houston quarterly utilisation

Odfjell Terminals: EBITDA and margin developmentComments

0

10

20

30

40

50

0

5

10

15

2Q172Q16

USD

mill

3Q171Q17

%

3Q16 4Q16 4Q17 1Q18 3Q182Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20

EBITDA margin EBITDA

Terminals: Continued improvement in margins following reorganisation of Odfjell Terminals – Higher storage occupancy countered by lower throughput

16

Page 17: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Agenda• Highlights

• Financials

• Operational review/Strategy

• Prospects and Market update

Page 18: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Covid-19 has so far had limited overall effect on chemical tankers as it has impacted key areas at different times – COA volumes began to weaken end-1Q20

The chemical industry is considered as an essential industry, therefore production was kept up and there was no immediate reaction to the pandemicThe pandemic accelerated in regions at different times has kept seaborne trade fairly resilient in the initial phases of the pandemic where pockets of demand was still found Exports of excess cargoes originally meant for domestic consumption mitigated reduced import volumes in the initial phase in both China and EuropeWe started to see a weakening sentiment and volumes in our markets towards the end of the first quarter which could spill over to the 2nd quarter We serve various industries. Some industries like pharma, home supplies and packaging has seen increased demand, some are unaffected, major consumers of chemicals like the auto and construction

industries are heavily affected. Therefore, the future development of these industries are key demand drivers to turn volumes in a positive directionThere are encouraging signs from China and it looks like Europe and the US are now starting to tentatively open up their economies. Still, the outlook and speed of a recovery in the global economy is highly

uncertain

Phase 1: China Phase 2: Europe Phase 3: USA

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

27/0

1/20

20

30/1

2/20

19

13/0

1/20

20

10/0

2/20

20

24/0

2/20

20

09/0

3/20

20

23/0

3/20

20

06/0

4/20

20

20/0

4/20

20

04/0

5/20

20

%

USA ChinaEurope (5)*

18

y/y growth in global port calls (total shipping) Phase 1: China Phase 2: Europe Phase 3: USA

Source: Clarksons Platou Securities, Odfjell SE* Italy, Spain, Germany, France, UK

Prospects and market update

02468

10121416182022 21,3%

Global import share

Global export share

2,5%

02468

10121416182022

5,6%

Global export share

Global import share

11,5%

02468

10121416182022

7,2%

Global import share

Global export share

12,3%

Page 19: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Oil price drop improved Chemical producers' margins and has supported high operating rates from producers demanding liquid chemicals

Methanol producer margins

Ethylene Glycol producer margins

Chemical feedstock prices (USD/tonne) MTO, PE & PS operating rates % (China)

PET & PTA operating rates % (China)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

1-sep-191-mai-191-jan-19 1-jan-20 1-mai-20

Ethane US Naphtha US Naphtha Far East-200

0

200

400

600

Jul-19 Jan-20Jan-19 Jul-19

AsiaUSA Europe

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

01.03.202001.09.2019 01.01.202001.11.2019 01.05.2020

NE Asia USA Europe

Drop in oil prices has reduced the major cost advantage for gas based US chemical producers

But US producers still produces better margins than European and Asian producers

Lower feedstock costs also for Naphtha has kept operating rates in Asia/China high for end-user products and supportive of liquid chemical tanker demand...

PTA

2019 Avg

PET (Fiber grade)

PET (Bottle grade)

60

70

80

90

100

12

Week

1510 11 1413 16 17

86%

14 1511

Week

1610 12 13 17

80%

1110 12 13 1614 15 17

84%

Week

60

70

80

90

100

10 14

Week

1211 13 15 16 17

78%

Week

10 1511 12 13 14 16 17

93%

Week

10 1211 161413 15 17

77%

MTO PE PS 2019 Avg

19Source: Odfjell SE, Argus,

Prospects and market update

Page 20: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

The positive development on the supply side continues with reduced swing tonnage and a limited orderbook

Comments

Volatile MR rates during 1Q20 but was maintained at relatively high levels. Rates accelerated towards the end of April due to floating storage demand. Strong CPP rates has also affected spot rates for chemicals on some trades positively as chemical owners are opting to trade available vessels in the CPP market

0%20%40%60%80%

100%

jun-

17

jan-

17

mai

-17

aug-

19

feb-

17

apr-1

7

jan-

19

jul-1

7

mai

-18

sep-

17ok

t-17

apr-2

0

nov-

17de

s-17

jan-

18fe

b-18

jun-

19

mar

-18

apr-1

8

nov-

19

jul-1

8au

g-18

sep-

18ok

t-18

jun-

18

nov-

18de

s-18

feb-

19m

ar-1

9ap

r-19

mai

-19

aug-

17

jul-1

9

Oct

-19

feb-

20

mar

-17

sep-

19

jan-

20

mar

-20

26,1% 22,3%

Dec-

19

Trading chemicals/Vegoil Trading CPP/Crude

20

MR/

CPP

rate

sSw

ing

tonn

age

Prospects and market update

30 00040 000

10 0000

20 000

50 000

aug-

17

apr-1

7

jul-1

7

okt-1

8

jun-

17

mai

-19

mai

-17

jun-

18

okt-1

7no

v-17

mar

-18

des-

17ja

n-18

sep-

19

jul-1

8

feb-

18

apr-1

8m

ai-1

8

sep-

18

jan-

20

nov-

18de

s-18

feb-

20

jan-

19fe

b-19

apr-2

0

mar

-19

aug-

18

feb-

17

sep-

17

nov-

19

jul-1

9au

g-19

Oct

-19

apr-1

9

mar

-20

jan-

17

mar

-17

jun-

19

Dec-

19

Ord

erbo

ok to

flee

t ra

tios

(Che

ms

& M

R)

MR rates (Monthly average)

CPP rates has now been higher for a sustainable period which has stimulated high share of swing tonnage moving out of the chemical/Vegoil trade. This has had a positive effect on supply in our markets and has contributed to dampen the initial phase of slowdown in demand

1

2

3

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Jan-

96Se

p-96

May

-97

Jan-

98Se

p-98

May

-99

Jan-

00Se

p-00

May

-01

Jan-

02Se

p-02

May

-03

Jan-

04Se

p-04

May

-05

Jan-

06Se

p-06

May

-07

Jan-

08Se

p-08

May

-09

Jan-

10Se

p-10

May

-11

Jan-

12Se

p-12

May

-13

Jan-

14Se

p-14

May

-15

Jan-

16Se

p-16

May

-17

Jan-

18Se

p-18

May

-19

Jan-

20

% o

f exi

stin

g fle

et

Chemical tankers Product tankers

The orderbook to fleet ratio for chemical tankers has declined below 5%, the lowest number on record. The orderbook for product tankers also reached low levels. We continue to see limited appetite for newbuilds. The low orderbooks could dampen the effect and duration of an upcoming destocking cycle in the tanker segment, and not making them as severe as seen in 2010 and 2016

Page 21: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Mar

ket d

river

s

Future market developments are highly dependent on how the “restart” of the global economy will develop post covid-19

21

GDP growth expected to be weak in 2H20 and to rebound in 2021 by 5.8% (IMF)GDP

Strong product tanker markets will continue to reduce impact from swing tonnageSwing

tonnage

Orderbook of 4.9% gives possibilities for a quick recovery when demand normalizeReduced

fleet growth

Risk of further slowdown in volumes should impact be prolongedCovid-19

Prolonged global economic slowdown – More influx of swing tonnageRisk

factors

Prospects and market update

2% to 4%p.a.

Dependent on outcome of covid-19 for the global economy

+1%p.a. +/- Swing tonnage

Page 22: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Summary and ProspectsAnother quarter of improved results for Odfjell with adjusted net profits being in positive

territory. But Covid-19 pandemic is beginning to impact volumes and creates uncertainty for future market developments

Odfjell is adopting precautionary measures to ensure the company can withstand along-term weakness in our markets by limiting capex and evaluating alternatives to refinance January 2021 bond maturity

Odfjell has in recent years succeeded with major changes in our company and we now have a lean and competitive organization, which operate the most competitive chemical tanker platform in the world. We are therefore in position to whether potential challenging times ahead

The strong CPP market is reducing supply in the chemical tanker market and has supported our markets so far

We are expecting a slightly weaker result in 2Q20

22

Page 23: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Invitation to investor presentationDue to the Covid-19 outbreak, Odfjell will replace our CMD scheduled 9 June 2020 with an online investor presentation at the same date.

Topics will include:

Our strategy going forwardFinancial update Covid-19 impact on our operations and marketsOdfjell and ESGQ&A

Separate invitation will follow

23

Page 24: First Quarter presentation 2020Successful tap issue in ODF09 and ODF10 of NOK 300 mill in January 2020 We are actively working on alternatives to refinance NOK bond Jan-21 maturity

Thank you

Odfjell SEInvestor Relations & Research: Bjørn Kristian Røed | Tel: +47 40 91 98 68 | E-mail: [email protected]

Conrad Mohrs veg 29 | P.O. Box 6101 Postterminalen | Tel: +47 55 27 00 00 | E-mail: [email protected]

Investor Relations: Bjørn Kristian Røed | Tel: +47 40 91 98 68 | Email: [email protected]: Anngun Dybsland | Tel: +47 41 54 88 54 | Email: [email protected]

ODFJELL SE | Conrad Mohrs veg 29 | P.O. Box 6101 Postterminalen | 5892 Bergen | NorwayTel: +47 55 27 00 00 | Email: [email protected] | CRN: 930 192 503

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