FIVE GOOD REASONS FOR

FORESIGHTAUGUSTA MARIA PACI

CNR - DEPARTMENT OF CHEMICAL SCIENCES AND MATERIALS TECHNOLOGIES

12TH JUNE 2018

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INDEX

1. THE FUTURE WE WANT

2. PLACE SCIENCE, RESEARCH AND INNOVATION AS

A WHOLE SOCIETY SYSTEM

3. ACTIVATE YOUR PERSONAL THINK THANK

4. ADDRESS GLOBAL CHALLENGES

5. USE SCENARIOS TO CONNECT PEOPLE

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1. THE FUTURE WE WANT:BUILDING EMERGING CONTEXTS

Report:

Investing in

the

European

future we

want

ManuFUTURE

Vision 2030

A Competitive,

Sustainable

and Resilient

European

Manufacturing

Report of the

ManuFUTURE –

EU High-Level

Group, April 2018

Mazzuccato

Report on

Mission

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EU STRATEGIC REPORTS

RECREATE FORESIGHT ELEMENTS

Drivers

Level of Circularity

Links public-private

Megatrends

Urbanization

Migration of production and

Consumption

2. PLACE SCIENCE, RESEARCH AND INNOVATION IN THE WHOLE SOCIETY SYSTEM

…TO ACT STRATEGICALLY NEW OUTREACH FOR INDUSTRY 4.0, RESEARCH

PROGRAMMES AND PROTOTYPES, SMART COMMUNITIES – WEBPLATFORMS, SOCIAL

MEDIA … BUT ALSO

• NEW PERSONAL NEEDS AND VALUES, (EMOTIONS, PERSONAL AMUSEMENT, MOTIVATIONS)

• POPULAR ASPECTS TO NURTURE PEOPLE HOPE, POPULAR FEELINGS AND SOCIETAL AWARENESS

• PEOPLE – TECHNOLOGY VALUES (CONNECTIVITY, EMOTIONS, SENTIMENTS)

• BEHAVIORAL ASPECTS EMERGING FROM TECHNOLOGIES (AI)

• PRO-ACTIVE ROLES OF PEOPLE, BEYOND INDUSTRY TASKS

• HIGH ADDED VALUE SYMBOLS

• SENSE-MAKING/ TRUST/ RESPONSIBILITY

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3. ACTIVATE YOUR PERSONAL THINK THANK

• THESE SCENARIOS REVEAL LARGE

OVERLAPS IN TERMS OF

PARTICIPATION TO PROMINENT

MODELS AND HELP

• TO FORMULATE CHOICES

• TO CHANGE THROUGH

BREAKTHROUGH

• TO PERSONALIZE KEY ASPECTS

Contribute to Policies for society and humans

Ref. BOHEMIA FORESIGHT STUDY 2018. The Two Reports

- New Horizons: Future Scenarios for Research and Innovation Policies in Europe;-New Horizons: Data from the Delphi survey

https://ec.europa.eu/research/foresight/index.cfm?pg=strategic

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4. ADDRESS GLOBAL CHALLENGES

• THE PLASTICS STRATEGY AND THE

CIRCULAR ECONOMY ARE IN THE

INTEREST

OF ALL PEOPLE AND AT MULTILEVEL

• EUROPE CAN BE A MORAL, SOCIAL

AND TECHNOLOGICAL LEADER AND

CONTRIBUTE TO THE FUTURE OF

WORK?

• FACTSHEETS ON THE STRATEGY FOR

PLASTICS IN A CIRCULAR ECONOMY

GIVE A WAY

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https://ec.europa.eu/commission/publications/factsheets-

european-strategy-plastics-circular-economy_en

5. USE SCENARIOS TO CONNECT PEOPLE EU ACADEMY OF COMMUNITIES OF THINKERS OF THEIR OWN FUTURE:

• NATURE INSPIRED

MANUFACTURING

• THE FUTURE OF THE WORK

• CIRCULAR ECONOMY

• BIO ECONOMY

• URBAN EUROPE

• …

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• STAKEHOLDERS WORKSHOPS

• POLICY BRIEFS

• SCENARIOS

• SOCIAL MEDIA

• ….

MOMENTUMINITIATIVES

CONCLUDING REMARKS

• FORESIGHT CAN BE A POWERFUL TOOL FOR ADVANCE YOUR THOUGHTS

• TRENDS PERSEVERE.

• BY SEEING THEM YOU CAN THINK STRATEGICALLY ABOUT THE NEED TO ACT TO CHANGE THINGS.

• SCENARIOS HELP EACH OF US TO FIT IN THE CHANGE: YOU CAN HAVE A CHOICE AND USE SCENARIOS

• TECHNICALLY SPEAKING: A) 'PERSEVERANCE SCENARIOS', IN WHICH THE FUTURE IS DRIVEN BY

MEGATRENDS AND THE BASIC PRINCIPLES AND STRUCTURES OF OPERATION OF OUR ECONOMIES AND

SOCIETIES RESIDE REMAIN STABLE; B) 'CHANGE SCENARIOS', IN WHICH THE EU LEADS THE

TRANSFORMATIONS TOWARDS 'THE FUTURE WE WANT'

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The author thanks: Dr. Robbert Fisher, the whole Recreate Consortium and the Scientific Advisors; Dr. Fabiana Scapolo, Joint Research

Centre (JRC) - EC and Dr. Nikolaos Kastrinos of the EC DG Research & Innovation for driving the Strategic Foresight culture; to the

Manufuture Initiative for the continuity in inspiring and promoting collaborations for the future of manufacturing offering the overall framework

for a common vision towards 2030

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THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION-

QUESTIONS?

augustamaria.paci@cnr.it

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3. ACTIVATE YOUR PERSONAL THINK THANK

• SCENARIOS REVEAL LARGE

OVERLAPS IN TERMS OF

PARTICIPATION TO PROMINENT

MODELS

• SCENARIOS HELP TO FORMULATE

CHOICES

• CHANGE SCENARIOS ARE

BREAKTHROUGH

• KEY ASPECTS ARE PERSONALIZED

Contribute to Policies for society and humans

• A rapid switch to low-carbon energy is reducing the risk of climate change, and

• society is adopting the models of the circular economy: Recycle and re-use, rent and share rather than buy and toss, design for sustainability.

• A new social contract, funded by resultant productivity gains, provides a basic income and a ‘social budget’ for all.

• Living a productive, healthy 100 years is growing common, as healthcare now prevents and manages disease holistically, and regulation permits a healthier work-life balance.

• Education, digital job markets and productivity-enhancing technologies create new work opportunities.

• The growing cities have become laboratories of good governance, and transport is more efficiently organised. All this has made society, and the world at large, more secure.

Ref. BOHEMIA FORESIGHT STUDY 2018. The Two Reports

- New Horizons: Future Scenarios for Research and Innovation

Policies in Europe

- New Horizons: Data from the Delphi survey

https://ec.europa.eu/research/foresight/index.cfm?pg=strategic

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5. USE SCENARIOS TO CONNECT PEOPLE EU ACADEMY OF COMMUNITIES OF THINKERS OF THEIR OWN FUTURE:

• NATURE INSPIRED MANUFACTURING

• THE FUTURE OF THE WORK

MONIKA KISS OF EPRS | EUROPEAN PARLIAMENTARY RESEARCH SERVICE THE FUTURE OF THE WORK

HTTP://WWW.EUROPARL.EUROPA.EU/THINKTANK/EN/DOCUMENT.HTML?REFERENCE=EPRS_BRI(2017)599426

• … CIRCULAR ECONOMY

• … BIO ECONOMY

• … URBAN EUROPE

• …

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