Elisabeth Kashner, CFA, Moderator
Senior Vice President of Analytics, IndexUniverse
Anthony B. Davidow, CIMA®, Panelist
Managing Director, Portfolio Strategist, Guggenheim Investments
Scott Eldridge, CFA, Panelist
Managing Director – Portfolio Management, Caprin Asset Management
Matthew Tucker, CFA, Panelist
Managing Director, BlackRock
Fixed Income ETFs: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly
Elisabeth Kashner, CFA Moderator Senior Vice President of Analytics IndexUniverse
Fixed Income ETFs: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly
Scott Eldridge, CFA Panelist Managing Director – Portfolio Management Caprin Asset Management
Anthony B. Davidow, CIMA® Panelist Managing Director Portfolio Strategist Guggenheim Investments
Matthew Tucker, CFA Panelist Managing Director BlackRock
Stable Cash Flow Diversification
Economies of Scale
Bonds Bond Funds
Market Risk Concentration Risk
Expensive to Trade
Predictable Cash
Flows/Stable Principal Diversification Market Risk
Economies of Scale? Liquidity
Individual Bonds
Yes No Client's choice
No OTC (mostly)
SMAs Client's choice
Client's choice
Client's choice
Parital Negotiated
ETFs No Yes Yes Yes Exchange
Mutual Funds No Yes Yes Yes End-of-day
Closed-End Funds
No Yes Yes Yes Exchange
Fixed Income Vehicles
Fixed Income ETFs: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly
Matthew Tucker, CFA Panelist Managing Director BlackRock
Benchmark is divided into subsets (cells) based upon relative risk factor parameters
Portfolios are constructed by sampling bonds from each index cell
Mortgage-Backed Securities
Issuer (GNMA, FNMA, FHLMC)
Mortgage type (30 yr, 15 yr, balloon)
Coupon
Vintage (year of issuance)
Credit and Asset-Backed
Securities
Sector/issue type
Maturity/ average life
Credit rating
Call/payment structure
Sector
Ma
turity
Cell • BBB-rated • Industrial • 7–10 years
maturity
Government Bonds
Sector/issue type
Maturity
Call features
For illustrative purposes only.
Fixed Income ETF Portfolio Construction
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Fixed Income markets
Customer B
Broker A
Broker B
Customer A
Equity markets
Fixed Income ETFs Allow Investors to Trade Bonds Like Stocks
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Observable On Screen Volume
Contingent Liquidity
Underlying bond market
Secondary
Market ADV
ETF Market
Depth MARKET MAKER
INDICATIONS OF LIQUIDITY
Primary Market CREATION/REDEMPTION LIQUDITY
(UNDERLYING BASKET)
The Layers of Fixed Income ETF Liquidity
For illustrative purposes only. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Pre
miu
m / d
isc
ou
nt
(%)
HY
G p
ric
e (
$)
Source: BlackRock and Bloomberg as of March 15, 2012. There can be no assurance that an active trading market for ETF shares will develop or be maintained.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. See slide 7 for standardized performance of the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Fund (HYG).
Average
premium:
63 bps
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Price Discovery in Action – High Yield
Statistical analysis of ETF market prices and NAVs suggest a cointegrated relationship
Implies the ETF market price may lead index values and NAVs
ETF market price contains information content with respect to the level and path of the underlying bond market
Half-life (days) convergence between market price and NAV
Ticker Category September 2008–September 2009
September 2009– September 2010
September 2010–September 2011
AGG Intermediate multi-sector 1.9 4.4 1.6
BND Intermediate multi-sector 1.0 1.0 0.7
HYG High-yield 2.3 2.6 2.2
JNK High-yield 2.0 1.6 1.7
MUB Intermediate municipal 3.2 1.1 3.8
SHM Short municipal 1.3 0.6 2.4
LQD Intermediate investment-grade 3.9 1.0 0.6
TLT Long US treasury 0.2 0.3 0.2
Source: BlackRock from September 30, 2008–September 30, 2011.
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Are the Market Prices Leading NAV, or NAV Leading Prices?
iShares iBoxx $ Yield Corporate Bond Fund
Ticker HYG
Inception date April 04, 2007
Total ret 1-year (qtr-end) 8.05
Total ret annlzd 3-year (qtr-end) 12.52
Total ret annlzd 5-year (qtr-end) 7.81
Total ret annlzd 10-year (qtr-end) -
Total ret inception (qtr-end) 6.30
Market ret 1-year (qtr-end) 8.30
Market ret annlzd 3-year (qtr-end) 11.41
Market ret annlzd 5-year (qtr-end) 7.66
Market ret annlzd 10-year (qtr-end) -
Market ret inception (qtr-end) 6.29
SEC yield 5.98
SEC yield date 08/17/2012
The performance quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when sold or redeemed, may be worth more or less than the original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. Performance data current to the most recent month end may be obtained by calling toll-free 1-800-iShares (1-800-474-2737) or by visiting www.iShares.com. Shares of iShares Funds are bought and sold at market price (not NAV) and are not individually redeemed from the Fund. Brokerage commissions will reduce returns. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Standardized Performance as of June 30, 2012
Carefully consider the iShares Funds’ investment objectives, risk factors, and charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the Funds’ prospectuses, which may be obtained by calling 1-800-iShares (1-800-474-2737) or by visiting www.iShares.com. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.
Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. High yield securities may be more volatile, be subject to greater levels of credit or default risk, and may be less liquid and more difficult to sell at an advantageous time or price to value than higher-rated securities of similar maturity. The iShares Funds are distributed by BlackRock Investments, LLC (together with its affiliates, “BlackRock”). When comparing stocks or bonds and iShares Funds, it should be remembered that management fees associated with fund investments, like iShares Funds, are not borne by investors in individual stocks or bonds. Although market makers will generally take advantage of differences between the NAV and the trading price of iShares Fund shares through arbitrage opportunities, there is no guarantee that they will do so. iShares Funds are not sponsored, endorsed, issued, sold or promoted by Markit Indices Limited nor does this company make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in iShares Funds. iS-7831-0812
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION
Fixed Income ETFs: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly
Anthony B. Davidow, CIMA® Panelist Managing Director Portfolio Strategist Guggenheim Investments
The Search for Yield in a Low Interest Rate Environment Finding opportunity in the new fixed income environment requires an
opportunistic approach
LOWER Yield/
Volatility
HIGHER Yield/
Volatility
Cash/1-3
Month T-Bills
Treasuries
Ginnie Mae
Bonds
(GNMA)
Corporate
Bonds
Commercial
Mortgage-
Backed
Securities
(CMBS)
Asset-
Backed
Securities
(ABS)
High Yield
Corporate
Bonds
Source: Barclays Capital.
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. NOT TO BE SHOWN OR DISTRIBUTED TO THE PUBLIC.
Navigating the Spectrum of Fixed Income Securities
Duration Risk Managing duration risk is an important consideration for advisors
LOWER Yield/
Volatility
HIGHER Yield/
Volatility
Cash Floating Rate
Securities
Shorter-Term
(under 5 yrs)
Intermediate
–Term
Fixed
Income
(5-10 yrs)
Long-Term
Fixed Income
(10+ yrs)
Higher
Duration:
Higher Interest
Rate
Sensitivity
Source: Barclays Capital.
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. NOT TO BE SHOWN OR DISTRIBUTED TO THE PUBLIC.
Navigating the Risk Spectrum
Managing interest rate risk and credit quality will conintue to be important factors for investors
Source: Morningstar
1 2 3
4 5 6
7 8 9
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. NOT TO BE SHOWN OR DISTRIBUTED TO THE PUBLIC.
Interest Rates & Credit Quality
Drives the investment exposure
May impact the ability of a manager to deliver on the fund’s investment objective
Can influence the tax efficiency of the ETF
Issues for Consideration - Index Methodology
Trading Fixed Income ETFs
Bid/Ask spreads
Depth of the market
Utilize limit orders
Issues for Consideration - Trading
Fixed Income ETFs: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly
Scott Eldridge, CFA Panelist Managing Director – Portfolio Management Caprin Asset Management
Variables – Currency/Country
SPDR Barclays Capital International Treasury
Bond ETF (BWX)
iShares S&P/Citigroup International Treasury
Bond Fund (IGOV)
Average Maturity * 9.3 yrs 8.9 yrs
Average Duration * 7.0 6.9
Yield to Worst * 1.9% 2.1%
Underlying EUR Exposure ** 38% 54%
Greece Exposure ** 0% 3.8%
Italy Exposure ** 4.7% 8.6%
Source: *Bloomberg/Caprin Analytics as of 8/7/12
** Fund Providers/Bloomberg/Caprin Analytics as of 8/31/11
Country Exposure Matters
EUR
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
1.50
8/31/2011 11/30/2011 2/29/2012 5/31/2012
Yiel
d (
%).
...
August 31, 2011 to July 31, 2012
BWX IGOV
Total Return for Period * -1.88% -6.87%
* Assumes Trading At Day’s Last Price, Not NAV Returns
Source: Bloomberg
Multiple Variables - BABs
PowerShares Build America Bond Portfolio
(BAB)
SPDR Nuveen Barclays Capital Build America
Bond ETF (BABS)
Average Maturity 24.7 yrs 27.2 yrs
Average Duration 10.6 12.9
Yield to Worst 4.8% 5.1%
Underlying CA Exposure 22% 35%
Discount 10/14/11 0.82% -4.6%
Source: Bloomberg/Caprin Analytics as of 8/7/12
0.75
1.25
1.75
2.25
2.75
3.25
3.75
4.25
10/14/2011 11/14/2011 12/14/2011 1/14/2012 2/14/2012
Yiel
d (
%)…
.
AAAMuni10 YYield
Cal 10YSpread/AAA
Small Differences Add Up October 14, 2011 to February 16, 2012
Source: Bloomberg
* Assumes Trading At Day’s Last Price, Not NAV Returns
BAB BABS
Total Return for Period * 7.0% 16.2%
Disclosure
Caprin is a Registered Investment Advisor with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and shall not be liable for the improper or incomplete transmission of the information contained in this communication. Caprin Asset Management, L.L.C. does not assume any legal liability or responsibility for any incorrect, misleading or altered information contained herein. This communication is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. You are encouraged to seek the advice of your investment advisor for help determining the applicability to your situation of any information, suggestions or implications referenced herein.
Third party research, references thereto, or information selected from are provided for information purposes only and have not been prepared by Caprin Asset Management, LLC. The information contained herein is based upon sources which we believe to be reliable, but no representation, express or implied, is made with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information or opinions in the reports. Nothing herein shall be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy, sell or otherwise engage in a transaction in the securities or strategy described in this presentation. The presentation is not intended to provide personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific person. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.