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FM902_5

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    Balance Sheet is Stock (as of)

    Other Statements are Flow(through time)

    When analyzing, keep unusualevents in mind

    NOTES

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    What effect did the expansion haveon net operating working capital

    (NOWC)?

    NOWC98 = ($7,282 + $632,160 +$1,287,360)

    - ($524,160 + $489,600)

    = $913,042.

    NOWC97 = $793,800.

    = -Non-

    interestbearing CA

    Non-

    interestbearing CL

    NOW

    C

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    What effect did the expansion have

    on capital used in operations?

    = NOWC + Net fixed assets.

    = $913,042 + $939,790

    = $1,852,832.

    = $1,138,600.

    Operatingcapital98

    Operatingcapital97

    Operatingcapital

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    Did the expansion create additionalnet operating profit after taxes

    (NOPAT)?

    NOPAT = EBIT(1 - Tax rate)

    NOPAT98 = -$690,560(1 - 0.4)

    = -$690,560(0.6)

    = -$414,336.

    NOPAT97= $125,460.

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    What is your initial assessment ofthe expansions effect on

    operations?

    1998 1997

    Sales $5,834,400 $3,432,000NOPAT ($414,336) $125,460

    NOWC $913,042 $793,800

    Operating capital$1,852,832 $1,138,600

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    What effect did the companys

    expansion have on its net cash flowand operating cash flow?

    NCF98 = NI + DEP = -

    $519,936 + $116,960= -$402,976.NCF97= $87,960 + $18,900 =

    $106,860.OCF98 = NOPAT + DEP

    = -$414,336 + $116,960= -$297,376.OCF97= $125,460 + $18,900

    = $144,360.

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    What was the free cash flow (FCF)

    for 1998?

    FCF = NOPAT - Net capital investment

    = -$414,336 - ($1,852,832 -$1,138,600)

    = -$414,336 - $714,232

    = -$1,128,568.

    How do you suppose investorsreacted?

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    What is the companys EVA?

    Assume the firms after-tax cost ofcapital (COC) was 11% in 1997and 13% in 1998.

    EVA98 = NOPAT- (COC)(Capital)= -$414,336 -

    (0.13)($1,852,832)= -$414,336 - $240,868

    = -$655,204.EVA97 = $125,460 - (0.11)($1,138,600)

    = $125,460 - $125,246= $214.

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    Would you conclude

    that the expansion increased ordecreased MVA?

    MVA = - .

    During the last year stock pricehas decreased 73%, so marketvalue of equity has declined.Consequently, MVA has declined.

    Equity capitalsuppliedMarket valueof equity

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    Probably not.

    A/P increased 260% over thepast year, while sales increasedby only 70%.

    If this continues, suppliers maycut off trade credit.

    Does the company pay its suppliers

    on time?

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    No, the negative NOPAT showsthat the company is spendingmore on its operations than it

    is taking in.

    Does it appear that the sales price

    exceeds the cost per unit sold?

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    1. The company offers 60-day creditterms. The improved terms arematched by its competitors, sosales remain constant.

    What effect would each of these

    actions have on the cash account?

    A/R wouldCash would

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    2. Sales double as a result of thechange in credit terms.

    Short-run: Inventory and

    fixed assets to meetincreased sales. A/R , Cash. Company may have to seekadditional financing.

    Long-run: Collectionsincrease and the companyscash position would improve.

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    The expansion was financedprimarily with external capital.

    The company issued long-termdebt which reduced its financial

    strength and flexibility.

    How was the expansion financed?

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    Would external capital have been

    required if they had broken even in1998 (Net income = 0)?

    Yes, the company would stillhave to finance its increase in

    assets.

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    What happens if fixed assets are

    depreciated over 7 years (as opposedto the current 10 years)?

    No effect on physical assets.Fixed assets on balance sheet

    would decline.

    Net income would decline.Tax payments would decline.

    Cash position would improve.

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    Does the companys positive stockprice ($2.25), in the face of largelosses, suggest that investors are

    irrational?

    Common stock has limited liability.Therefore, it can never have a negative

    value. If it is expected to producefuturecash flows, it will have a positive value.

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    Why did the stock price fall

    after the dividend was cut?

    Management was signaling thatthe firms operations were in

    trouble.

    The dividend cut loweredinvestors expectations for future

    cash flows, which caused the stockprice to decline.

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    What were some other sources of

    financing used in 1998?

    Selling financial assets: Shortterm investments decreased by$48,600.

    Bank loans: Notes payableincreased by $520,000.

    Credit from suppliers: A/Pincreased by $378,560.

    Employees: Accruals increased by

    $353,600.

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    What is the effect of the $346,624

    tax credit received in 1998.

    This suggests the company paid at least

    $346,624 in taxes during the past 2years.

    If the payments over the past 2 yearswere less than $346,624 the firm would

    have had to carry forward the amountof its loss that was not carried back.

    If the firm did not receive a full refund

    its cash position would be even worse.

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    Got questions?

    Get answers!!

    Email: Voicemail:

    [email protected] (404) 651-2691

    Electronic Bulletin Board:

    http://www-cba.gsu.edu/~wwwfin/finconf/finba862/finba862.html