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Budget, 1978 Folder Citation: Collection: Office of Staff Secretary; Series: 1976 Campaign Transition File; Folder: Budget, 1978; Container 1 To See Complete Finding Aid: http://www.jimmycarterlibrary.gov/library/findingaids/Staff_Secretary.pdf
Transcript
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Budget, 1978

Folder Citation: Collection: Office of Staff Secretary; Series: 1976 Campaign Transition File;

Folder: Budget, 1978; Container 1

To See Complete Finding Aid:

http://www.jimmycarterlibrary.gov/library/findingaids/Staff_Secretary.pdf

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December 10, 1976

BUDGET ACTIONS NEEDED IMMEDIATELY AFTERJANUARY 20, 1977

Two factors suggest that President Carter should submithis revisions of the 1978 budget to the Congress by February15, 1977. First, he has made a commitment to do so and,second, the timing of the congressional budget process issuch (Tab A) that the Carter budget for fiscal year 1978should be submitted by around February 15 if it is to havemaximum influence on the outcome of the congressional budgetprocess. The following discussion assumes that PresidentCarter will aim for a February 15 transmittal. As will beseen, the schedule required to make a February 15transmittal is very tight. It would be very desirable, ifagreement can be reached with the Congress, to transmit therevisions at least a few days later than February 15.

There are 26 days (including Saturdays and Sundays)between January 20 and February 15, and at least three ofthese days will be needed for proofing and printing theapproved budget document. This extreme shortage of timeconditions the nature of the decisions that can be made, andmakes it essential that actions that must be taken to assuretimely transmittal of the Carter budget be planned andcarried out on schedule.

These actions are:

1. Decide upon a fiscal policy within the contextof an overall economic policy for calendaryears 1977 and 1978 -- and taking into accountPresident Carter's fiscal objectives forfiscal year 1979 and later years.

2. Decide upon the economic assumptions needed tomake estimates of receipts and major outlays.(Tab B.)

3. Decide upon tax policy and receipts estimates.(Tab C.)

4. Decide upon broad program levels and outlaytotals.

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5. Reach agreement with the Congress on what theCongress will accept on February 15, and whatit will accept later, as the appropriatedocumentation to support the new President'sbudjet proposals.

6. It all of the information needs of theCongress cannot be met in the three weeks thatwill be available after January 20, develop(and reach agreement with the Congress on) aphased plan for providing limited data withinthe scope of the February 15 report, with moreextensive backup to follow.

7. Decide upon the allocation of the budgettotals among their various parts (i.e.,agencies and programs), which -- in turnrequires determining:

(a) the degree of participation by agencies(presumably, the maximum consistent withthe time available). With a February 15deadline, it might be necessary to limitthis participation to discussions withCabinet officers, major agency heads, andtheir immediate staff. (In thisconnection, it would be very useful forall Carter Administration appointees todepartments and major agencies tofamiliarize themselves as quickly and asthoroughly as they can with the recentbudgets and the November current servicesestimates for their departments andagencies.)

(b) guidelines (e.g., specific dollar targets)for the agencies, to set limits on whatthey should request; and

(c) whether to support or ~ithdraw, in wholeor in part, the rescissions and deferralsthat will be pending before the Congress.

8. Prepare, on the schedule agreed upon by theCongress, the documentation (e.g., the budgetsupplementals, amendments, rescission anddeferral messages, and computer data tapes)needed to support the February 15 budget.

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This supporting information must be ataccount-level detail -- or finer.

9. Draft, revise, and obtain clearance of thedocument that will be President Carter'sbudget. A suggested outline of such adocument is shown at Tab D.

The fifth and eighth points are prerequisite to timelyreview by the Congress of the new President'srecommendations: The seventh through ninth points pertainto the major part of the budget preparation process in theexecutive branch. These points are the main focuses of theremainder of this memorandum.

The Setting

The situation that the new Administration will face isas follows. The Ford budget will include:

specific appropriations requests, along withproposed statutory language, for programsunder existing substantive law; and

proposals to modify existing substantive lawor to enact new laws (both of which areidentified in the budget as "proposed forlater transmittal").

The budget will also include a list of budget restraintproposals from measured current services levels. Inaddition, OMB staff will be tracking all deviations -- bothrestraint and additions. This will permit a calculation ofbudget totals that are roughly comparable to currentservices estimates.

Rules of the Game

Under a long-standing interpretation of the Budget andAccounting Act, the appropriations requests and relatedproposed statutory language included in a President's budgetcan be modified only by Presidential transmittal of revisedappropriation language. (Tab E.) Appropriation requestsand the language supporting them are presented in account­level detail. Similarly, except for routine release ofdeferred funds, withdrawal or modlfication of proposed

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rescissions and deferrals (Tab F) that are pending beforethe Congress requires formal Presidential action, viz.,formal transmittal of a supplementary rescission or deferralmessage. Here, too, account-level detail is required.

On the other hand, proposals to modify substantive lawor to enact new laws could be withdrawn by ignoring them orby specifically rejecting them in the new, abbreviatedbudget submission to the Congress. (Tab G.) Proposals fornew laws (and changes in proposals to modify substantivelaw) could also be made by outlining them in the abbreviatedbudget submission -- with proposed specific legislativelanguage (and 5-year projections of estimated budgetauthority and outlays) to be submitted at a later date.

Supporting Data

Under requirements stemming from the CongressionalBudget Act of 1974, the Congress insists upon having bothappropriation requests and substantive legislation proposalssupported by rather extensive accounting detail, generallyat well below the account level. OMB is already beingpressed by the Congressional Budget Office for access todetail on the Ford budget earlier than January 17, the dateon which that budget is scheduled to be transmitted. (Theinformation is needed to permit the President's budgetrequest to be distributed among the legislative committeesand the appropriations subcommittees.)

Supporting data for Carter's February 15 budget cannotbe provided on February 15 in the detail that normallyaccompanies the President's budget in January unless the newPresident agrees with most of the Ford budget. It iscritically important, therefore, that an understanding bereached between the President-elect (and his immediatestaff) and the congressional leadership (including theChairmen of the Appropriations and Budget Committees) onwhat will be acceptable. Staff consultations involving theTransition Team, OMB, the Congressional Budget Office, andthe Appropriations and Budget Committees would be a usefulcomplement.

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Agency Participation

Ideally, the translation of a President's overallbudget policy into program decisions would involve virtuallyevery major policy official in the Government.Institutional procedures have been established for assuringthat the views of each agency head on that agency's budgetrequest are communicated to the President when he makes hisbudget decisions and, conversely, that agency policyofficials and staff, and members of the Congress have aclear understanding of what the President's position is onexecutive branch appropriations requests. These procedureswork well, but they are time consuming -- so much so, infact, that it is doubtful that they can be completed if theFebruary 15 transmittal date is to be met.

Serious risks are inherent in the shortcuts that mustbe taken to make this transmittal date. For example, if theCarter budget is not specified at a low level of detail,there will be an inclination on the part of agencies,interest groups, and the Congress to attribute Presidentialsupport to their preferred initiatives. As a result, unlessthe Presidential imprimatur is established firmly on budgetdetail, the 1978 budget totals may tend to creep upwardbeyond the intended level. (Here is where the newcongressional budget procedures are likely to be a valuedally of the President.)

Moreover, the House and Senate AppropriationsCommittees will begin overview hearings on the 1978 budgetin the last week of January. Agency hearings before thoseCommittees will begin shortly thereafter. Decisions on theCarter budget must somehow involve at least Cabinet andmajor agency participation so as to gain their understandingand support of the budget, and to provide a basis for thebudget justifications required by the AppropriationsCommittees. Support in general will be uncertain andproblematic if detailed budget decisions are not made inconjunction with the Cabinet and agency heads.

Nonetheless, the short time available for preparing therevised budget will limit seriously the terms on whichagencies can participate in the decision process.Specifically, giving agencies unconstrained freedom topropose revisions in their budgets is inconsistent withtransmitting a revised budget on February 15; their budgetrequests could not go through even a hurried Presidentialreview process in time. For this reason, ground rules

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(i.e., restraints) under wnich agency recommendations are tobe submitted will have to be developed. Possible guidelinesinclude: (a) specific dollar targets for each major agency,and (b) zero change from agency base amount determined bydeciding which Ford proposals are not acceptable, but thedevelopment of final ground rules may not be possible untilafter the Ford budget is available.

One way to approach this task would be to concentrateon the deviations from current services levels in the Fordbudget. The President, the OMB Director, and the Cabinetand major agency heads could decide:

those reductions or increases they wish toagree to;

those they wished to restore (or decrease) toa current services level; or

those cases deserving special treatment,either because neither the proposed level northe current services level is deemedappropriate, or because the new Administrationwishes to propose new programs or newreductions not included in the Ford budget.

As a practical matter, the third category should be held toa minimum for a February 15 presentation.

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Next Steps

As is suggested above, the February 15 transmittal datemeans that, unless there are only minor changes or a limitednumber of changes from the Ford budget, the document that issubmitted then will have to be a summary version, withsupporting detail to follow. A schedule consistent withthis approach, and with a March 15 completion date fortransmittal of the supporting detail, is shown at Tab H.

Clearly, any decisions that can be made by thePresident-elect and his designees before January 20 willease the crunch that will follow January 20. This isparticularly true for the decisions concerning economicassumptions, receipts estimates, and major programs. Evenwhen all the decisions have been made, there will remain thetime-consuming task of translating them into the words andfigures required under the congressional budget process.

8 Attachments

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A

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December 10, 1976

Tab A

KEY DATES IN THE CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET PROCESSFOR FISCAL YEAR 1978

The key dates of the congressional budget processduring the first six months of calendar year 1977 are:

The Congress receives the Ford budget January 17

Appropriations/Budget Committees' overviewhearings late January

Appropriations Committees begin agencyhearings ................................•. early February

The Congress receives the Carter budgetproposals February 15

The Congress receives the detailedsupporting documentation for the Carterbudget March 15

Appropriations Committees and substantivecommittees report to Budget Committeeson recommended spending levels ......•..•.• March 15

Congressional Budget Office submits reportto Budget Committees on fiscal policyand national budget priorities April 1

Budget Committees hold hearings .•.......... March IS-April 15

Budget Committees report first concurrentresolution on the budget for 1978 totheir respective Houses April 15

Legislative committees report bills onnew budget authority ..•................... May 15

The Congress completes action on thefirst concurrent resolution May 15

Appropriations Committees report bills ...•. early June

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A-2

The congressional budget process places significantconstraints upon both the timing and format of a Carterbudget for fiscal year 1978. The work on the firstconcurrent resolution for 1978 begins in the Appropriationsand legislative committees soon after the Congress convenes.These committees prepare reports to be submitted to theHouse and Senate Budget Committees by March 15 identifyingspecific funding decisions under consideration for 1978. Inaddition, the Congressional Budget Office is required tosubmit by April 1 a report on fiscal policies and nationalbudget priorities.for the budget year. The report takesinto account proposals included in the President's budget.It, together with the committee reports, was intended to bea major resource for the Budget Committees in theirformulation of the first concurrent resolution. Actually,April 1 proved to be much too late. Last year, the formalreport by CBO was dated March 15, and earlier versions weremade available to the Budget Committees.

If the Carter budget is to have its maximum influenceupon this initial stage of the process, the budget proposalsmust reach the Congress by February 15. While it isarguable that Administration proposals need not be reflectedin the committee reports to be considered in laterdeliberations on the first concurrent resolution, they willhave less influence if they are not available forconsideration by the committees before these reports arefiled. Administration proposals must reach the Congress bymid-March at the very latest if the transition budget is tohave significant impact upon Budget Committee hearings.These hearings are the key point in formulation of the firstconcurrent resolution.

Remaining Congressional Review of the 1977 Budget

Although the congressional budget process does notidentify specific dates for further review of 1977, the 94thCongress adjourned without acting upon certain 1977 issues-- including Temporary Employment Assistance, highereducation, health programs funding, and 1977 paysupplementals. In a spring supplemental, the Congress willbe relating later action on these issues to the SecondConcurrent Resolution for 1977.

While the main focus of attention now is on the fiscalyear 1978 budget, the Carter proposals might suggest changesin budget authority, outlays, or receipts for fiscal year

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A-3

1977 that, if accepted by the Congress, would put budgetauthority, outlay, or revenue totals out of line with thesecond concurrent resolution targets. In this event, theCongress would be required to pass a third concurrentresolution for 1977 before action would be taken on thespring supplemental appropriations bill. (Of course, theCongress could independently choose to breach the secondresolution totals and pass a third resolution.)

The timing for transmittal of Carter revisions in thebudget is, therefore, even more critical with respect tofiscal year 1977 than to fiscal year 1978. The Congress canbegin a substantive review of the fiscal year 1977 budgetupon its return -- two weeks before the Ford budget for 1978is submitted. Moreover, it could choose to take appropriateaction on the third 1977 resolution before completing actionon 1978, thus giving Appropriations Committees the go-aheadon the spring supplemental. A worsening of the economicoutlook over tne next several months might prompt immediatecongressional consideration of revisions to the SecondConcurrent Resolution for 1977. In fact, as indicated inOMB's recently-issued current services estimates and in CBODirector Rivlin's recent testimony before the House BudgetCommittee, the probability that the receipts estimatescontained in the Second Concurrent Resolution for fiscalyear 1977 are $5 billion to $10 billion too high may requirethat the Second Concurrent Resolution be amended.

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B

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December la, 1976

Tab B

ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS

Economic assumptions significantly affect the budgetoutlook. Thus, the first priority in developing revisedestimates for a Carter Administration budget should be toestablish an economic forecast consistent with President­elect Carter's fiscal policy and reflecting the views of hiseconomic advisors. This process should be completed beforeJanuary 20.

Under the system that is currently in effect, theAdministration's assumptions are developed by first askingCEA, Treasury, and OMB staff (known collectively as "Troika3") to forecast the economic outlook consistent with thefiscal policy assumptions provided by the policy-levelofficials. This forecast is then reviewed at the AssistantSecretary level (Troika 2). It is then reviewed by theEconomic Policy Board, which makes recommendations to thePresident for his consideration. (In the Kennedy andJohnson Administrations, the Director of OMB, the Chairmanof the Council of Economic Advisers, and the Secretary ofthe Treasury -- Troika 1 -- reviewed the Troika 2 economicassumptions and made recommendations to the President.)

A staff forecast generally requires at least 2 fulldays. The time required for the policy review depends uponthe complexity or uncertainty of the outlook, the degree towhich policy officials wish to review the staff work, andthe priority the review is accorded.

The forecast in the Ford budget will extend for 2years, through calendar year 1978.

For calendar years 1979-1982, the economic assumptionsshown in the Ford budget will not be forecasts of probableeconomic conditions but, rather, assumptions consistent withmoving toward a relatively stable price level and a higherlevel of employment. These are used for the longer-rangebudget projections for fiscal years 1979-1982.

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SENSITIVITY OF THE BUDGET TO ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS(fiscal years; in billions of dollars)

19781979Outlays

ReceiptsDeficitOutlaysReceiptsDeficit

Effect of one percentage pointhigher

annualrate of realgrowth

beginning:First quarter of CY 1977 ••••.••

-1.5+6.0-7.5-3.0+12.0-15.0First quarter

of CY 1978 ••.....-0.5+1.5-2.0-1.5+7.0-8.5

Effect of one percentage point

higher annualrate of inflation

beginning 1./: First quarter of CY 1977 ••..•.•+1.0+6.0-5.0+2.5+11.5-9.0

o:lFirst quarter of CY 1978 .•••.•.*+1. 5-1.5+1.0+6.5-5.5IN

!/ Excludes the effect of higher inflation on interest rates of discretionary programs.

* Less than $50 million •.

NOTE: If the annual rate of inflation or real growth were lower rather than higher byone percentage point, the changes in outlays and receipts would be of theopposite sign, but of similar magnitude to the figures shown above.

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December 10, 1976

Tab C

TAX POLICY AND BUDGET RECEIPTS

President Carter presumably will not propose extensivetax reform in the 1978 budget that he submits onFebr uary 15. (During the cour se of the campa ign heindicated that it would take at least a year to developsuch proposals.) This presumption needs to beconfirmed or·corrected as soon as possible. Thediscussion that follows assumes it to be correct.

Revising the January budget receipt estimates will befar less complicated than revising the outlayestimates. The following are three possibleadjustments:

(1) Change some, if not all, Ford Administration taxproposals. Relative to outlays, the number of taxproposals is likely to be small. Although theymay involve large sums, it will be fairly simple tocalculate the effect on the budget if a proposal isdeleted in its entirety.

(2) Decide on specific tax initiatives that PresidentCarter would like to include in his 1978 budget.Such proposals, including those that would becomeeffective in calendar year 1977, should be staffedout before January 21, and developed in the contextof a review of economic assumptions.

(3) Economic assumptions will have a significant effecton the receipts estimates. Once the economicassumptions have been developed, Treasury staffshould be asked to develop receipts estimatesconsistent with them. Treasury can usuallygenerate revised estimates within about 48 hours.

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December 10, 1976

Tab D

SUGGESTED OUTLINE OF FEBRUARY 15 BUDGET REVISION

The budget document transmitted by President Carter onabout February 15 might consist of an introduction and fourparts, as follows:

Introduction: Nature of the Budget Revision

A brief introduction would explain that:

The congressional budget process requires extremelyrapid response from new President to Ford budget.

Only major policy issues could be addressed in thetime available.

Summary of major changes recommended by the CarterAdministration.

Part I: Message of the President

Budget overview and philosophical base.

Total changes from Ford budget due to:

revised fiscal outlook and Carterfiscal policy; and

revised program recommendations.

Major tax proposals.

Major spending proposals.

Future agenda, e.g.: (??)

tax reform; (?)

reorganization; (?)

multi-year budgeting; and (?)

possible initiatives (e.g., health insurance,welfare reform). (?)

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D-2

Part II: Current Economic Outlook and Policies

Economic assumptions.

Carter fiscal policy.

Part III: Receipts

Aspects of Ford program accepted or rejected.

Changes proposed by Carter Administration. (?)

Schedule for tax reform. (?)

Part IV: Outlays by Function

National defense.International affairs.General science, space, and technology.Natural resources, environment, and energy.Agriculture.Commerce and transportation.Community and regional development.Education, training, employment, and social serVlces.Health.Income security.Veterans benefits and services.Law enforcement and justice.General government.Revenue sharing and general purpose fiscal assistance.Interest.Allowances.Undistributed offsetting receipts.

The following is a sample table for this section:

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600: INCOME SECURITY(fiscal years~ in millions of dollars)

Subfunction and ?-1ajorProgram

General retirement and disability insurance:Social security (OASDI) .$ 50 Bonus ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••Railroad retirement .Special benefits for disabled coal miners ..Miscellaneous trust funds .

Subtotal .Federal employee retirement and disability .Unemployment insurance .Public assistance and other incomesupplements:

Supplemental security income .Maintenance assistance .Housing assistance .Food stamps .School lunch and other nutrition .Earned income credit .Refugee aid and other .

1976Actual

72,66417

3,4751,012

3

77,1728,174

19,452

5,0605,8492,4975,7752,184

808439

1977Ford Carter

request request

1978Ford --Carter

request request

t:1I

W

Subtotal 22,612Deductions for offsetting receipts -1

Total 127,409------- ------- ------- ------- -------------- ------- ------- ------- -------

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Part V: Supplementary Information and Summary Tables

Budget authority by function, subfunction, andmajor program (computer generated).

Budget authority and outlays by agency.

Budget financing and the debt.

Federal transactions in the national income accounts.

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December 10, 1976

Tab E

CHANGING PENDING APPROPRIATIONS REQUESTS

Two sections of the Budget and Accounting Act of 1921establish the legal requirements for changes to pendingappropriations:

Section 201 contains the requirement that thePresident (no one else) transmit the initiar­budget request, and requires that certaininformation be provided in a form determinedby the President.

Section 203(a) authorizes the President tomake changes in the budget that are necessaryon account of laws enacted after transmittalof the budget or that are otherwise in thepublic interest. Change proposals are to beaccompanied by a statement of the reasons forchange.

Procedures have evolved to meet these legalrequirements. Brief -- but technically precise -- formatsare used to transmit to the Congress presidential requestsfor changes to specific appropriation accounts. Additionaltechnical information and justifications supporting thebrief Presidential transmission are provided by the agenciesdirectly to the Appropriations Committees. More recently,the Congressional Budget Office has also obtained technicalinformation. The information flow that has developed overthe years meets the requirements of the Executive Office ofthe President, the executive agencies, and the various armsof the Congress dealing with appropriations matters, byproviding the information necessary to allow a preciseunderstanding by each participant of the President'sposition on a given request. At the same time, necessarysupporting technical information for congressional review isalso made available. The flow is generally understood andaccepted by the parties concerned, and the substantiveissues of appropriations requests can be dealt with withoutprocess and format considerations intruding.

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December la, 1976

Tab F

RESCISSIONS AND DEFERRALS

Legal Requirements

The Impoundment Control Act of 1974 (31 U.S.C. 1400-1407)and the Antideficiency Act (31 U.S.C. 665) are the generallegal authorities for rescissions and deferrals.

Rescissions.--Under the Antideficiency Act(section 3679(c) (2) of the Revised Statutes, asamended) reserves may be established in apportion­ing an appropriation to effect savings wheneversavings are made possible by or through changes inrequirements or greater efficiency of operation.The Act requires recommendations for rescissionof budget authority to be made whenever it isdetermined that an amount will not be requiredto carry out the "full objectives and scope" ofthe appropriation and, hence, may be "saved." Inaddition, the President is required by the Impound­ment Control Act (section 1012) to report rescissionproposals in special messages whenever he determines:(1) that budget authority will not be required tocarry out the full objectives and scope of programsfor which it is provided; (2) that such authorityshould be rescinded for fiscal policy reasons orfor other reasons; or (3) that funds available foronly one fiscal year are to be reserved for theentire year. Unless both Houses of the Congressapprove the proposed rescission within 45 calendardays of continuous session, the funds must be madeavailable for obligation.

Deferrals.--Reserves are also permitted to beestablished under the Antideficiency Act to providefor contingencies. The President must report suchreserves to the Congress as deferrals. In addition,the Impoundment Control Act (section 1013) requiresthe reporting of deferrals by the President inspecial messages whenever the President, the Directorof OMB, or any other officer or employee of theUnited States proposes to defer budget authorityprovided for a specific purpose of project. Adeferral remains in effect unless either House ofthe Congress disapproves it.

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Each rescission proposal and deferral reported in aspecial message is identified by amount and organizationalentity. The justification and estimated effects for eachproposal are supplied in reports that accompany each specialmessage.

Rescissions Pending

Two rescissions are presently pending before the Congress;(1) $47.5 million for the Department of the Interior's heliumfund (R77-3); and (2) $6.6 million in construction and planningfunds for Corps of Engineers hopper dredges (R77-2). Bothrescissions were proposed on September 22, 1976, under theImpoundment Control Act. The 45-day period for congressionalconsideration of these rescission proposals will not end untillate in February. (The exact date depends on the congressionalrecess schedule for February.) As is noted above, the fundsmust be made available if, at the end of the full 45-dayperiod, the Congress has not completed action on a rescissionbill rescinding all or part of the amount proposed to berescinded or that is to be reserved.

Deferrals in Effect

Of the 36 deferrals reported during fiscal year 1977,35 are now in effect. (All funds reported for road construc­tion, National Park Service (D77-18) were released pursuantto Administration action.) Four of the pending deferrals(totalling $39.2 million) have section 1013 of the ImpoundmentControl Act as their only legal authority. That is, they werenot made under the Antideficiency Act to provide for contin­gencies. They are as follows:

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F-3

Deferral

Health, Education, and WelfareSpecial Institutions:

Howard University (D77-35)

Justice

Federal Prison System:Buildings and facilities (D77-21).

State

Administration of Foreign Affairs:Acquisition, operation, andmaintenance of buildings abroad(D77-22) .

TransportationCoast Guard:

Acquisition, construction, andimprovements (D77-23) .

Tota 1 .

Budget Authority($ millions)

0.5

1.9

14.2

22.6

39.2

In the area of rescissions and deferrals, the new Admin­istration will probably want to review closely the aboverescissions and the four "policy" deferrals. The remaining31 deferrals (the related funds total approximately $1,943.8million) are either routine reserves for contingencies, ordeferrals made pursuant to particular laws. They wereimplemented largely at the request of the concerned agency,and do not affect outlays.

Additional Rescissions and Deferrals Likely to be Proposedby January 20, 1977

Messages proposing additional rescissions and deferralsare likely to be transmitted by President Ford both inconnection with the 1978 budget and earlier.

Technically, all pending rescissions and deferrals remainbefore the Congress unless withdrawn by the President. Inthe usual course of events, some deferred funds are releasedroutinely. The proposed rescissions that are pending beforethe Congress when the Carter Administration takes office will,

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F-4

under the 45-day rule referred to above, automatically bemade available for obligation around mid-March (dependingupon the congressional recess schedule) if no action is takenon them by the Congress. The new Administration may want toconsider: (a) endorsing some or all of the proposals andencouraging congressional action to rescind the funds; or(b) withdrawing some or all of the proposed rescissionsofficially and releasing the funds. These actions should betaken in time to be reflected in the February 15 transmittal.

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G-

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December 10, 1976

Tab G

CHANGING BASIC LEGISLATION

The Carter Administration may want to use a revisedbudget as a vehicle to withdraw legislative proposals of theFord Administration, propose changes to existing legislation,or -- possibly -- propose new legislation.

To withdraw legislative proposals of the Ford Administra­tion, it is necessary only to exclude them from revisedestimates transmitted to the Congress. Presidential supportfor the proposals is thereby removed.

To propose amending existing legislation, to propose newlegislation, or to amend proposals previously transmitted tothe Congress it is generally desirable to have the legislativeproposals or amendments thereto prepared by the time estimatesare released, or shortly thereafter. There would be no majordifficulty, however, with including an estimate of the effectsof a legislative change in the revised estimates and thenfollowing the revision later with a specific proposal.

Under section 607 of the Congressional Budget Act,proposed legislation authorizing the enactment of new budgetauthority is required to be submitted to the Congress notlater than May 15 of the year preceding the year in which suchfiscal year begins. Thus, technically, proposed changes toexisting legislation for fiscal year 1978 should have beensubmitted by May 15, 1976, and proposed new legislation forfiscal year 1979 should be submitted not later than May 15,1977. As a practical matter as it relates to the CarterAdministration, this means that any proposed new legislationfor fiscal year 1978 should be submitted before May 15, 1977,the date by which the congressional legislative committees mustreport such bills (see Tab A) for consideration by the Congress,and proposed changes to existing legislation for fiscal year1979 are due not later than May 15, 1977. However, section 607does not prevent the President from submitting legislativeinitiatives for either year at later dates.

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H

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December 10, 1976

Tab H

POSSIBLE SCHEDULE FOR PREPARATIONOF THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION BUDGET

Development of recommendations by TransitionTeams Assumed to be In

process

Study by Carter appointees to an agency ofthe agency, its recent past budgets, and itsfiscal year 1978 current services estimates .. From date of

appointment

Study of Ford budget by o~m Director andother Carter appointees, with focus onrestraint proposals and initiatives Beginning

January 15

Cabinet (and major agency) meeting to receivePresidential guidance on budget January 21

O~ instructions to agencies providing policyguidelines and reporting instructions forchanges in Ford budget January 21

Agency reports due into or,m .••..•..•.•...•.... January 27

O~ Director reviews agency reports incontext of Ford budget and its restraintproposals and initiatives January 27-

February 2

OMB Director recommends to President:

those items in Ford budget thatshould be supported;those items that should be adjusted(up or down) to current serviceslevels; andother changes in Ford budget February 3

President makes tentative decisions February 7

President discusses tentative decisions withOMB Director and agency heads February 7-8

President makes final decisions February 9

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H-2

OMB:

Submits draft budget message toPre sident .

Prepares revision of budget .

Submits galley of revised budget to GPOfor conversion to page proof .

Obtains President's approval, correctsfinal page proof, and signs off"OK to print" .

President transmits revised budget to theCon gre ss .

Agencies submit detailed supporting informa­tion to OMB consistent with revised budgetdecisions. (Changes from Ford budget toreflect only President's decisions onprograms and economic policy; technicalreestimates to be held to a minimum) .

Agencies prepare and submit to OMB formalbudget amendments and withdrawals ofdeferrals and proposed rescissions or newdeferrals and proposed rescissionsconsistent with revised budget decisions, asnecessary, and as soon as possible .

OMB reviews and processes agency submissionsof supporting information. Provides detailedbackup information to the Congress* .

OMB reviews and processes formal budgetamendments and withdrawals of deferrals and

proposed rescissions. Forwards to thePresident by .

President transmits to the Congress his formalbudget amendments and withdrawals ofdeferrals and proposed rescissions by .

February 9

February 9-11

February 11

February 13

February 15

February 15­March 1

February 15-25

March 15

March 10

March 15

* This information and the February 15 budget will meet(or can be made to meet) legal requirement for the April 10update of the budget. April 10 is too late to be useful tothe Congress for the First Concurrent Resolution.


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