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Forecasting NOAA’s
Future
Forecasting NOAA’s
Future
Vice Admiral Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr., U.S. Navy (Ret.)Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans & AtmosphereD.C. Chapter of AMSFebruary 27, 2006
Vice Admiral Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr., U.S. Navy (Ret.)Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans & AtmosphereD.C. Chapter of AMSFebruary 27, 2006
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 2
Menu
NOAA Vision & Mission
Current Events
NOAA Opportunities
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 3
NOAA’s Vision
An informed society that uses a comprehensive understanding of the role of the oceans, coasts and atmosphere in the global ecosystem to make the best social and economic decisions
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 4
NOAA’sMission & Goals
To understand and predict changes in the Earth’s environment and to conserve and manage coastal and marine resources to meet the Nation’s economic, social and environmental needsMission Goals:
Protect, restore, and manage the use of coastal and ocean resources through an ecosystem approach to management
Understand climate variability and change to enhance society’s ability to plan and respond
Serve society’s needs for weather and water information Support the Nation’s commerce with information for safe,
efficient, and environmentally sound transportation Provide critical support for NOAA’s mission
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 5
Current Events
NOAA Budget
Hurricane Response
Science in the Media
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 6
$3.6$3.6$3.3$3.2
$2.4
$2.8$3.1
$3.4
$3.9$3.9$3.7
$3.3$3.3$3.1
$2.4
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
President’s Budget Enacted
NOAA Budget
($ in Billions)
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 7
Current EnvironmentAppropriations Reorganization a
Surprise
NOAA will now be considered by both the Senate and House subcommittees with:
=$16.5B FY ‘06 budget request
=$5.6B FY ’06 budget request
=$3.6B FY ’06 budget request
Although budget allocations should cover all of the requests, it is ultimately up to the Subcommittees to divvy up the money
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 8
Summary by Line Office
$ in millions
Line OfficeFY 06
Enacted
FY 07 Current
Program
Net Program Increase
FY 07 President’s
Budget
Percent Change (over Current
Program)
NOS $590.5 $369.1 $44.1 $413.1 11.9%
NMFS $811.5 $656.6 $81.1 $737.7 12.4%
OAR $379.6 $310.4 $38.2 $348.7 12.3%
NWS $848.2 $838.4 $43.5 $881.9 5.2%
NESDIS $952.2 $916.4 $117.4 $1,033.9 12.8%
PS/Other $491.0 $385.1 $21.0 $406.1 5.5%
Total $3,911.5 $3,338.8 $345.4 $3,684.1 10.3%
*Total includes financing adjustments
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 9
Hurricane Response
One NOAA response Forecasts Wetland assessment (satellites) Citation flights – digital imagery NRTs – NOAA Ships Oil spill response Environmental assessment cruises
August 31, 2005 provided by NOAA
Levee breakLevee break
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 10
Science in the Media
Max Mayfield
Robert Ricks
NWS Lead Meteorologist, Gerry Bell
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 11
NOAA Opportunities
GEOSS
NWS Tiger Teams
NOAA Education
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 12
NOAA
NOAA’s mission is complex, involving biological, chemical, and physical issues—all intertwined.
Large-scale (regional to global) multidisciplinary studies are necessary to achieve understanding of our environment.
A collective NOAA is critical to completing our mission and solving the major environmental challenges that face our nation and planet.
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 13
GEOSSIntegrated Observations & Data
Management
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 14
GEO Moves ForwardWorking Towards Implementation
Received approval for formal GEO organization and 10-year implementation plan
Held GEO-I in May 2005, and GEO-II in December 2005 New GEO Secretariat Director, Jose Achache Agreed to 2006 Work Plan and adopted a budget Formally created GEO Committees GEONETCast as tangible near term project to implement GEOSS United States announced intention to move GOES satellite to a
position to help offset the lack of sounder data over South America
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 15
USGEONear-Term Opportunities
USGEO focusing on 6 Near-Term Opportunities Disasters Drought / National Integrated Drought Information System Land Observation Air Quality Sea Level Data Management
Currently developing plans for all the Near-Term opportunities
Will be available for public review in the next several months
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 16
Near Term Opportunity
Disasters—Tsunami Warning System
USGEO Near-Term Opportunity
Improved tsunami and coastal inundation forecast and warning capability
GEO Near-Term Effort Working Group on Tsunami
Activities continuing to provide integration observation requirements to the Indian Ocean Tsunami Early Warning System effort
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 17
Near Term Opportunity
National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)
Identifies critical gaps in the nation’s infrastructure, which inhibit our ability to most effectively reduce the impact of drought Early opportunities to address gaps include:
Improvements in the frequency, timeliness, and density of key observations
Creation of an Internet portal to provide a drought early warning system Establishment of a NIDIS operations office to ensure optimization of
existing Federal, state, local and private sector observations and information delivery
Tracks to GEOSS and IEOS benefit areas Water Resource Management Disasters Sustainable Agriculture Climate Variability and Change
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 18
Near Term Opportunity
Land ObservingIdentifies three enhancements that would be the basis of a functional GLOS:
Mid-decadal global data set of high resolution (30m) satellite imagery in 2006
Global land data base at high resolution (30m) and the seasonal collection of such data (i.e., continuity of Landsat-type observations)
Extension of a network (Global Integrated Trends Analysis Network) that combines ground data and earth observations from aircraft and space to evaluate land cover trends
Tracks to GEOSS and IEOS benefit areas: Terrestrial Ecosystems Climate Variability and Change Disasters Biodiversity Sustainable Agriculture/Combating Desertification
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 19
Near Term Opportunity
Air QualityNoting that more than one-third of the U.S. population lives in areas that have unhealthy air quality (AQ), causing an estimated tens of thousands of deaths and costing society more than $100B, this plan identifies need for:
Integrated Observation-Model Air Quality Fields Systems for Utilizing Observations to Improve AQ Forecasts Assessments of Key Air Quality Processes Improved Emissions Inventories Improved International Transport Assessments
Tracks to GEOSS and IEOS benefit areas: Human Health Weather Forecasting Climate Variability and Change
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 20
NWS Tiger Teams
IT Consolidation Team
Concept of Operations Prototype Team
Aviation Demonstration Team
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 21
NOAA Education
NOAA’s Environmental Literacy Grants (new in 2005)Ernest F. Hollings Undergraduate Scholarship Program (new in 2005)
110 students coming this summer! 2006 applications due out this spring!
Interagency Ocean Education Coordination (new in 2006) Expand NOAA’s Authority for Education
NOAA Organic Act – build on education authorization in the 2006 appropriations bill
Forecasting NOAA's Future—AMS DC Chapter 22
The Future is Bright!
NOAA is: An Effective, Successful Organization With World-wide
Recognition Composed of Talented, Experienced & Dedicated People Critical to Meeting the Nation’s & the World’s Economic &
Environmental Challenges Organizationally Positioned to Provide Leadership Where Science Gains Value
Questions?
Questions?