Forecasting Or Envisioning:National Transport Sector

Harun al Rasyid LubisProdi Teknik Sipil FTSL ITB

FGD IPTEKS LP4 - ITB Bandung 22 Maret 2014

Background on Transport Development1. Automobile industry Urbanization Challenges

2. Environmentalism (green transportation system and sustainable development concept)

Trend on transport technology development

3. Computer and ITS (Intelligent Transportation System)

4. Soft issue: Institutional, Legal, Market Vrs. Regulation

5. Source of fund & Financing scheme ( public, private, hybrid )

6. Railway Cases &. Challenges : Regional and National ITB direction ?

CHRONOLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS INCREASEBIGGEST CONTAINER SHIP

Range Capacity Draft

TEUs TEUs Meters1 Feeder (100-499) 322 1960 6,242 Feedmax (500-999) 735 1966 8,293 Handy (1.000-1.999) 1405 1968 10,604 Sub Panamax (2.000-2.999) 2254 1969 13,235 Panamax (3.000 +) 3075 1985 16,166 Post Panamax (4,000 +) 4625 1988 17,207 Post Panamax Plus1 (5,000 +) 5225 1995 17,588 Post Panamax Pus 2 (6,000 +) 6375 1996 18,139 Post Panamax Pus 3 (7,000 +) 7250 1997 18,92

10 Post Panamax Pus 4 (8,000 +) 8050 2001 19,5011 P. Pan Plus 5 (Clement Maersk) 9600 2002 20,8012 P. Pan Plus 5 (Axel Maersk) 9310 2003 20,9913 Suez Max (Gudrum Maersk) 10150 2005 21,8614 Post Suez Max (Emma Maersk) 15200 2006 23,7015 Corea STX (under development) 22000 2012 26,79

Class (TEUs )Year

Construction

Emma Maersk Crankshaft and Operators

Intelligent Transport System

• Air passenger transport• Toll road (depend .....)• Seaport (commercial port)• Coal train / Railway• Intercity bus ( travel ?)

• Subsidized toll-road / bridge ?• Public transport (BRT)• Passenger train (urban & Intercity)• High speed train

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RULE of THUMBNatural Law of Transport Market

Costestable(Market)

Highly regulated(subsidized)

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GovernmentRegional Authorities

Ministries, Central Authorities

Regulator ( safety, economic )

Service Providers: •State-Owned operator•Private Operator

•Contractors•Consultant•Industries

Infrastructure Manager

Shareholders:•State Owned Enterprise•Public Organization•Private Companies

Infrastructure Services Organizations

•State Owned Enterprises•Joint Ventures•Private Companies

Other Stakeholders

• Customers•Social Alliances•Employees

Future Organisation Structure of Railways and Interactions between Various Subsystems.

❶. The service to the customer. ❷. Multi Annual Contracts: essential for providing Public Service (2.1) and for the maintenance and development of the infrastructure (2.2). ❸. Intramodal competition. ❹. Intermodal competition.

3

Road Access Charges

Road system

Infrastructure

Operator 1, 2, etc.

Government

Customers

Railw

ay sy

stem

MACs

Track Access Charges

Road Operator 1, 2, etc.

Public Service

RailRegulatorIntramodal competition

Intermodal com

petition

Publ

ic s

pher

e

Priv

a te

sphe

re

2

4

2.1

1

2.2 Infrastructure Manager

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ISU-ISU UTAMA YANG HARUS DICAKUP

Lochman, CER, 2012

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CASES & CHALLENGESArah Restrukturisasi KA Dunia

Belum Ada model Bisnis KA dunia yg terunggul utk bisa ditiru, namun konvergensi sdh mulai terlihat menuju integrasi vertical (antara rel dan roda) dan regionalisasi usaha

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Railway & Universities1. Education ,2. Future Leader3. R &D APA YANG TERJADI:

KA lupa mereka butuh universitasNyaris tidak ada kerjasama

Dana penelitian hampir nihil Gangguan komunikasi ? (berhenti bicara dengan universitas)Menarik diri dan jaga jarak untuk berhubungan dgn Kampus

KAMPUS lupa akan pentingnya Kereta apiMata ajar transportasi kereta api nyaris berhenti

Berhenti melakukan penelitian relGangguan komunikasi ? (berhenti berbicara dengan KA)

Cari peluang lain ? (Jalan raya & angkutan udara)

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Strategy Technology Transfer

1. Mengalir saja, tanpa strategy

2. Lewat Mekanisme pasar

3. Takstis dan strategic transfer teknologi (terencana)

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(SOUTH KOREA) HST TRANSFER OF TECHNOLLOGY( STRATEGI TRANSFER TEKNOLOGI KA CEPAT KOREA)

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TRANSFER TEKNOLOGI KA CEPAT KOREA

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PAIRING LOCAL DENGAN PEMASOK ASING

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BAGAIMANA TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER DI CHINA ?

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INISIATIF PEMERINTAH ADALAH KUNCI

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• Universitas Berkomitmen untuk berinteraksi secara berkelanjutan, keterlibatan, minat ?

Dan perhatian terhadap, transportasi kereta api Mengidentifikasi dan mendukung se efektif mungkin ”champion" di kampus Mempekerjakan dan mendukung dosen yg tertarik rel Mengembangkan program dan prinsip-prinsip pengajaran, kurikulum

transportasi kereta api dan rekayasa Mendorong dan mendukung minat siswa dalam menempuh karirdi kereta api

• Industri Mengembangkan kemitraan antara kereta api, pemasok dan pemerintah Fokus pada sejumlah universitas Menjangkau dengan ajakan yang bermakna spesifik Berkomitmen pada program berkelanjutan dan mencari dukungan secara

selektif ? Agar dapat mempertahankan fokus dari universitas ' Konsisten, dalam upaya rekrutmen berkelanjutan dan program magang

APA YANG BISA KITA LAKUKAN

ITB DIRECTION ?

School ofbasic sci & tech

NewMission

School ofSoc. Sci’s & Humanities

Students have to acquire sensitivity to cultural and regional differencesThey need to appreciate the financial, political ad security forces at play internationally

Students are encouraged to understand the human past and examine social, economic, and political change over time and the cutural and institutional context in which Science and technology are rooted

SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, ECONOMY, AND THE SOCIETYReform Higher Education ( M.A. Pedju, 2012)

Solving

SegregatedBy

Tradition

Traditionallysegregated

TPPSSST HST

SegregatedBy

Tradition

Basic Sciencesand

Engineering/Technology

Humanitiesand

Social Sciences

complexreal societal

needs/problems

STS

CENTERS

• Act as point of entry for the knowledge, experience, and wisdom from the real world to university;

• Facilitate interdisciplinary approach to problem solving that is essential to solve complex problems found in development projects;

• Provide an interaction place for government, industry, and academics;

• Carry out research and studies to solve complex problems;

• Educate and incubate start-up technology based companies;

• Discover, develop, and create new theories;

• Publish and disseminate knowledge

• May become home for graduate degree programs.

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