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Foreign Language Foreign Language Study in AmericaStudy in America
Where it’s Going, Where it’s Been, and What’s Being Studied
Just how many high school Just how many high school language students are we language students are we
talking about here?talking about here?Percentage of Public High School Students Enrolled in a Foreign Language in the US Over 30 Year Period
(from Table 256)
0
10
20
30
40
50
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Years
Pe
rce
nta
ge
28.4% in
1970
44% in
2000
55% increase in language study over 30 years!
Which children (and how many of Which children (and how many of them) them) spoke a second spoke a second
language at home?language at home?
Largest percen
t increas
e (13.64
%)
Largest percent
decrease (12.75%)
Students with foreign born Students with foreign born parents in 2003:parents in 2003:
Elementary and High School Students with atleast one Foreign Born Parent by Race in 2003: Table 213
20.0
7.2
13.6
91.0
65.6
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
White White, nonhispanic
Black Asian Hispanic
Race
Perc
en
tag
e
College students with at least one foreign born parent by race in 2003 (from table 213)
16.69.3
22.2
92.4
61.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
White White, non-Hispanic
Black Asian Hispanic
race
perc
en
tag
e
Languages studied in high Languages studied in high schoolschool
(of all students enrolled in a language)(of all students enrolled in a language)Hish School Students By Language Studied and By Year (from table 256)
-0.1000
0.0000
0.1000
0.2000
0.3000
0.4000
0.5000
0.6000
0.7000
0.8000
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Year
Per
cen
tag
e
Spanish
French
Japanese
43.5%increase
44% decrease
48% in 1970
69% in 2000
33% in 1970
18% in 2000
.21% in 1970
302% increase!!
.86% in 2000
Same data, different format:Same data, different format:
High School Students By Language Studied and By Year (from table 256)
0.0000
0.1000
0.2000
0.3000
0.4000
0.5000
0.6000
0.7000
0.8000
1970 1974 1978 1982 1985 1990 1994 2000
Year
Per
cen
tag
e
Spanish
French
Japanese
43.5%
302%
44%
Enlargement of DataEnlargement of Data
Increase in high school Japanese language study
Which languages do you think Which languages do you think have the highest enrollment?have the highest enrollment?
Higher Education Enrollment in Top Five Foreign Languages in 2002: Table 271
0.0000
0.2000
0.4000
0.6000
Spanish French German Italian Russian
Language
Per
cent
age
55%
14%6%
5% 1%
Language Enrollment from Language Enrollment from 1970-20021970-2002
Higher Education Enrollment in Top Five Foreign Languages: Table 271
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Per
cen
tag
e
Spanish
French
German
Italian
Russian
The influence of nonimmigrant The influence of nonimmigrant Latino students on Spanish Latino students on Spanish language study in American language study in American
universities:universities:Nonimmigrant Students From Latin America Studying in U.S.
Compared to College Students Taking Spanish (Tables 269 & 271)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Years
Perc
en
tag
e o
f S
tud
en
ts
Nonimmigrant Students from Latin America
College Students Taking Spanish
From ’85 to ’95, Spanishlanguage study went up by almost 30%.
During same period, the percentage of nonimmigrant Latin American students dropped 28%.
Over next 7 years the percentage of Latino Students went back up 12%…
while the
percentage of Spanish students stayed fairly constant.
The influence of nonimmigrant The influence of nonimmigrant European students on Euro European students on Euro language study in American language study in American
universities:universities: From ’85 to ’95, European language study decreased by 30%
During same period, thepercentage of nonimmigrant Europeanstudents rose by 49%.
Over next 7 years the percentage of European students stayed fairly constant…
while thepercentage of language students declined by 16%.
Nonimmigrant Students From Europe Studying in U.S. Compared to College Students Taking A European Language*
(Tables 269 & 271)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Years
Per
cen
tag
e o
f S
tud
ents
Nonimmigrant Students from Europe
College Students Studying a European Language
*European languages looked at:French, Italian, German, Portuguese, Russian.
The influence of nonimmigrant The influence of nonimmigrant Japanese students on Japanese Japanese students on Japanese
language study in American language study in American universities:universities:
Nonimmigrant Students from Japan Studying in U.S. Compared to College Students Taking Japanese
(Tables 269 & 271)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Years
Perc
en
tag
e o
f S
tud
en
ts
Nonimmigrant Students from Japan
College Students Taking Japanese
From ’85 to ’95, Japaneselanguage study went up by another 68%. During same period, the percentage of nonimmigrant Japanesestudents jumped up163%.
Over next 7 years the percentage of Japanese language students dropped almost 5%…
while the percentage of nonimmigrant Japanese students fell by 18%.
89%
9.5%
The influence of nonimmigrant The influence of nonimmigrant Saudi Arabian students on Arabic Saudi Arabian students on Arabic
language study in American language study in American universities:universities:
Nonimmigrant Students From Saudi Arabia Studying in U.S. Compared to College Students Taking Arabic
(Tables 269 & 271)
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Years
Perc
en
tag
e o
f S
tud
en
ts
Nonimmigrant Students from Saudi Arabia
College Students Taking Arabic
From ’85 to ’95, Arabiclanguage study rose by 15%.
During same period, the percentage of nonimmigrant Saudistudents dropped 61.5%
Over next 7 years the percentage of Saudi students went back up another 6%…percentage of Arabic students went up by 95%!
10.5%
33%
while the
Current trend of high school Current trend of high school language study vs. the futurelanguage study vs. the future
Percentage of Public High School Students Enrolled in a Foreign Language in the US Over
30 Year Period (from Table 256)y = 0.7305x - 1417.5
R2 = 0.7342
0
10
20
30
40
50
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Years
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Percentage of Public High School Students Enrolled in a Foreign Language in the US Over
30 Year Period (from Table 256)y = 0.7305x - 1417.5
R2 = 0.7342
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Years
Pe
rce
nta
ge
43.8% in 2000
50.8% projected in 2010
1) R squared value is .73, which isn’t terribly far off from .8, which is
considered“acceptably linear”.
2) We are only forecasting 10 years into the future from the last year of data (2000), which isn’t an unreasonable amount of time.
3) 2010 is less than 4 years away from where we are today. It seems reasonable to us that over the next 4 years roughly 50% of all high school kids will study a foreign language of some kind.
Therefore we are fairly-to-quite confident in this prediction.