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29/10/2015 Foreign Policy Diary – Yemen Crisis Update: Draggedout War
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5 (1 votes)Egypt Foreign Policy Diary 28.10.2015 - 588 views
FOREIGN POLICY DIARY – YEMEN CRISIS UPDATE: DRAGGED-OUT WAR
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The Yemen war planned as a blitzkrieg by the Arab coalition has turned into a dragged-out war drawing
resources from the coalition and directly Saudi Arabia. Mostly, the intervention has been induced by Saudi
Arabias concerns over the strengthening of Iran in the region and will to control a major regional logistical point,
the port of Aden.
The coalition Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Egypt, Morocco, Pakistan and Sudan has created
150,000-strong ground military grouping used for intervention in Yemen. The coalitions air grouping includes
over 100 war planes and helicopters.
The interesting fact is Egypt has been actively participates in the Yemeni military campaign on the Saudi Arabias
side. On the other hand, Egypt has a neutral position over the Syrian conflict. It clearly shows how tenuous and
inconstant Middle East alliances.
The Saudi-led coalition uses modern military equipment and has an advantage in the man power. But the
practice shows that it isnt enough. Numerous air raids which target civilians and socially significant facilities
dont conduct a support of the Yemeni citizens. Arab media state over 25 000 people mostly civilians have been
killed in this conflict.
So, the coalition is involving more and more resources in this intervention. On October 16, a battalion of
Sudanese troops arrived in Yemen’s southern port city of Aden. Sudan forces are armed by Chinese armaments
and equipment; small arms: rifles Type-51, Type-95, CQ, precision rifles M99, machine guns QJZ-89, automatic
grenade launchers QLZ-87 and other military systems as antitank guided missiles Hongjian-8, battle tanks Type-
96, MLRS WS-2. Also, Sudan military could use aviation Chengdu J-7, Nanchang Q-5 and Hongdu JL-8. According
to reports, Sudan military could send one more battalion to Yemen in the nearest future.
Despite this, its hard to estimate the real military balance of pro-Houthi and anti-Houthi forces. There are lots of
ground reports about the coalitions losses on the ground. The coalition forces dont have battle experience.
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29/10/2015 Foreign Policy Diary – Yemen Crisis Update: Draggedout War
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Houthi forces use skilfully the ground relief, local facilities and a concealment practice to inflict damage to
ground and air forces of the Arab coalition. Experts believe that the coalition forces wont be able to act
successfully in mountainous area and fight local guerilla. Furthermore, Saudi Arabias expectations that Iran wont
support Houthis in Yemen have been a mistake.
At the moment, Saudi Arabia and its allies arent ready to participate in the negotiations aimed on a real way to
solve the conflict. So, there are 2 main possibilities: First is ground and air forces of the Arab coalition will cut
Houthis from the external support, gain enough battle experience and inflict defeat to the Houthi forces. But its
unlikely. Its much more possible that the coalition forces wont be able to defeat decisively Hothis. It will conduct
jitters among coalition members. Separately, almost all of them have own disagreed interests in Yemen.
Nonetheless, many major world powers are interested in a normal work of the Adens port because of its
logistical importance and a stable situation on the main oil trade maritime routes. So, we could expect that the
global players will be more and more involved in the conflict. The local conflicts in the Middle East has been
turning to a big regional conflict.
Tags: egypt, foreign policy diary, middle east, saudi arabia, yemen
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Syed Umer Saqaf • 5 часов назадas far as i know Pakistan refused to be part of this dirty coalition ????
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SouthFront • час назад> Syed Umer Saqaf
As we know, Pakistan government is in favor of peaceful solution of the crisis and don't send any troops to join a Saudibacked coalition.
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29/10/2015 Foreign Policy Diary – Yemen Crisis Update: Draggedout War
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