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Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

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© 2012 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. SPEC Barometer Press Release: Perceptions of Foreign Countries Prepared by: Ipsos Release date: 4 th May 2015
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Page 1: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

© 2012 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.

SPEC Barometer Press Release: Perceptions of Foreign Countries

Prepared by: Ipsos

Release date: 4th May 2015

Page 2: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

2

Methodology

Page 3: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

Methodology

3

Dates of polling 28th March - 7th April 2015

Sample Size 1,964

Sampling methodology Random, Multi-stage stratified using PPS

(proportionate to population size)

Universe

Data collection

methodology

Sampling error

Face-to-Face interviews at the household level

Poll funding Ipsos Limited

Kenyan adults, aged 18 and above living

in Urban and Rural areas

+/-2.2% with a 95% confidence level

(Note: Higher error-margins for sub-samples)

Page 4: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

Sample Structure Statistics

4

Region

Sample Frame statistics

(April 2015)

*Weighted data

% Population Census as at 2009

Adults (18 years +) %

Central 257 13 2,548,038 13

Coast 173 9 1,711,549 9

Eastern 293 15 2,907,293 15

Nairobi 206 10 2,042,770 10

North Eastern 94* 5 929,158 5

Nyanza 257 13 2,547,980 13

Rift Valley 484 25 4,795,482 25

Western 200 10 1,980,090 10

TOTAL 1,964 100 19,462,360 100

Page 5: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

Quality Control Measures

For at least 20% of the interviews, a supervisor is present throughout

Field managers visit at least 15% of the respondents in the sample at their households to confirm the interviews (i.e. back-checking).

After the interview data are electronically transmitted to the Ipsos Server: an independent team then makes random phone calls to 40% of the respondents to confirm that the interviews were conducted with the said respondents (i.e., telephonic back-checks).

Mobile Data Collection Platform captures GPS location (latitudes and longitudes) of interviews conducted to verify the locations of the interviewers in the field alongside allowing silent recording.

Logical data checks are made on selected questionnaire entries to ensure conformity to the sample’s statistical parameters.

5

Ipsos employs quality control measures to ensure the highest

possible integrity of obtained results/data

Page 6: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

6

Respondents’

Demographic Profile:

Page 7: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

28%

2%

30%

8%

11%

9%

10%

1%

1%

9%

22%

28%

23%

4%

4%

2%

5%

1%

2%

Catholic

Catholic Charismatic

Mainstream Protestant (ACK,…

SDA

Evangelical

Other Christian

Muslim

Refused To Answer/None

No religion

Public Sector wages/salary

Private sector wages /salary

Gains from self employment/…

Agriculture (own/household farm)

Livestock

Given money by others

Pension from previous employment

Other

Don’t Know

Refused To Answer

Demographic Profile

10%

9%

13%

25%

5%

15%

13%

10%

51%

49%

28%

29%

18%

25%

37%

63%

100%

Nairobi

Coast

Nyanza

Rift Valley

North Eastern

Eastern

Central

Western

Female

Male

18 - 24

25 - 34

35 - 44

45+

Urban

Rural

Kenyans

7

Region

Gender

Age

Setting

Religion

Nationality

Source of Household Income

Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)

Page 8: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

Demographic Profile

4%

14%

19%

14%

26%

8%

7%

3%

3%

1%

42%

33%

11%

4%

1%

1%

0%

2%

7%

No formal education

Some primary education

Primary education completed

Some secondary education

Secondary education completed

Some middle level college (not…

Completed mid-level college (Not…

Some University education

University education completed

Post Graduate (Masters, MBA, PhD)

Less than 10,000

10,001 – 25,000

25,001 – 40,000

40,001 – 55,000

55,001 – 75,000

75,001 – 100,000

100,001 and above

Has No income

RTA/DK

8

Level of Education

Monthly Household Income (ALL

members of the Household)

Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)

Page 9: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

Demographic Profile

41%

18%

11%

10%

7%

5%

5%

2%

1%

Self-Employed

Unemployed

Employed in the private sector

Peasant/herder (own farm/pasture)

Casual labour

Employed in the public sector

Student

Retired

Other

9

Employment Status

Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)

Page 10: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

10

Foreign Countries

and

Kenya’s Development

Page 11: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

“Which foreign country outside of East Africa do you think is most important for Kenya to have good relations with in order to achieve our development goals?” (By Total, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions)

11

Country

Total

(n=1,964)

CORD Supporters

(n=623)

Jubilee Supporters

(n=867) % Difference

USA 35% 47% 29% -18%

China 23% 13% 33% +20%

UK 7% 11% 4% -7%

Japan 6% 6% 6% 0%

South Africa 4% 4% 5% +1%

Germany 3% 3% 3% 0%

Nigeria 1% 1% 1% 0%

Russia 1% 1% 0% -1%

Sweden 0% 1% 0% -1%

France 0% 0% 1% +1%

Ghana 0% 0% 1% +1%

DK 11% 5% 12% +7%

None 3% 3% 2% -1%

Page 12: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

“Outside of East Africa, which country, if any, constitutes the biggest threat to Kenya’s economic and political development?” (By Total, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions)

12

Country

Total

(n=1,964)

CORD Supporters

(n=623)

Jubilee Supporters

(n=867)

%

Difference

China 28% 35% 22% -13%

USA 21% 16% 28% +8%

UK 5% 4% 5% +1%

Germany 3% 3% 3% 0%

Japan 3% 4% 3% -1%

Russia 1% 1% 1% 0%

Sweden 1% 0% 1% +1%

Nigeria 1% 1% 1% 0%

South Africa 1% 1% 1% 0%

Israel 0% 1% 0% -1%

Saudi Arabia 0% 1% 0% -1%

Netherlands 0% 0% 1% +1%

Other 2% 2% 2% 0%

Invalid 6% 7% 5% -2%

DK 20% 15% 18% +3%

None 7% 9% 7% -2%

Page 13: Foreign Relations: Perceived Impact on Kenya’s Development-Presentation

For further information contact:

Dr Tom Wolf

Social Political Consultant

[email protected]

Victor Rateng

Project Manager - Opinion Polls

[email protected]

Follow us on twitter: @IpsosKe

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