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Foresights and InnovationForesights and InnovationSharing SingaporeSharing Singapore’’s Experiences Experience
31 March 2009, Helsinki
Ms. SIM Phei SunnStrategist, Futures Group
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CONTENTCONTENT
singapore context
futures group & network
process
outputs & contributions
lines of inquiry
video
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SingaporeSingapore
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• Singapore’s economy grew by 1.1% in 2008
• GDP is SGD 257bn (USD 170bn)
• Very open economy, total trade is 3.5x GDP
Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI
singapore context
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Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI
innovation
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http://www.international.ac.uk/resources/Insead200809.pdf
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http://www.itif.org/files/2009-atlantic-century.pdf
http://www.bcg.com/impact_expertise/publications/files/Innovation_Imperative_in_Manufacturing_March_2009.pdf
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CONTENTCONTENT
singapore context
futures group & network
process
outputs & contributions
lines of inquiry
video
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Futures Group founded in May 2006
“It is proposed that a unit be set up to strategiseon MTI-family wide direction and look at future big ideas... … The unit would focus on big ideas with concrete feasibility and economic impact…”
- MTI Leadership Nov 2005
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We are the trendwatchers,
network builders, and
idea generatorsfor the Singapore economy of the future
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PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICEPUBLIC SERVICE DIVISION
SECURITY SOCIALECONOMIC
Ministry of Defence
Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Ministry of Trade & Industry
Ministry of Finance
Ministry of Transport
Ministry of the Environment and Water Resources
Ministry of Education
Ministry of Communications, Youth and Sports
Ministry of Health
Ministry of Information, Communications and the Arts
Ministry of Home Affairs
Ministry of National Development
Ministry of Manpower
Ministry of Law
singaporesingapore public servicepublic service
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National Security Coordination Secretariat(Horizon scanning & foresights capabilities)
Strategic Policy Office(National scenarios & methodologies)
singaporesingapore governmentgovernmentfutures networkfutures network
Ministry of Trade and Industry Futures Group(Trends and economic implications)
Infocomm Development Authority(ICT trends and implications)
Ministry of Manpower(Workforce and labour trends)
Ministry of Defence(Security and military issues)
Economic Development Board(New economic clusters/ industries)
Energy Market Authority(Energy trends & scenarios)
Singapore Tourism Board(Tourism trends & scenarios)
………
Bro
ad-ba
sed
Nic
he to
pics
Pioneers
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CONTENTCONTENT
singapore context
futures group & network
process
outputs & contributions
lines of inquiry
video
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Ground Sensing,Validation
Analysis,Ideation,KnowledgeSharing
DeskResearch1 2
3
FG Process
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• Literature, Publications
• Web Scans
• Blogs, Videos, RSS Feeds
Ground Sensing,Validation
Analysis,Ideation,KnowledgeSharing
DeskResearch1 2
3
FG Process
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• Interviews, Networks with private sector & external agencies
• Foresight Sessions with experts
• Conferences, Seminars, Study Trips
Ground Sensing,Validation
Analysis,Ideation,KnowledgeSharing
DeskResearch1 2
3
FG Process
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• Genesis & Genesis Plus Brainstorming
• Presentations to senior management & decision-makers
• Ideas, Projects & Experiments
• Other Meetings & Workshops
Ground Sensing,Validation
Analysis,Ideation,Knowledge Sharing
DeskResearch1 2
3
FG Process
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CONTENTCONTENT
singapore context
futures group & network
process
outputs & contributions
lines of inquiry
video
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Outputs & Contributions
Emerging Strategic Issues
S. Korea Finland
Talent Strategies
Rise of theRest Video
Future ofGlobal Demand
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Research Project Teams/ Inputs
Country Highlights Methodology
FG Blog
Communications
Lines of Inquiry
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CONTENTCONTENT
singapore context
futures group & network
process
outputs & contributions
lines of inquiry
video
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Little
RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS
ECONOMY
PEOPLECOMMUNITIES
TOOLS &TECHNOLOGIES
GLOBALCITY
GoldRed
Participation
Green
Silver
Cities I
Talent
Food
!Disaster
PortablePower
Trash
Deviant
Youth
Data VisualizationSmart City
Cities II
Enterprises
$2,000
No-frills
Alternative Spaces
UNDERGROUND;FLOATING
iBody
3D Mfg
Space
CognitiveScience
LINES OF INQUIRYTrends (5-10 years)
Economic Implications?Jobs? Growth? So what?
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Little
RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS
ECONOMY
PEOPLECOMMUNITIES
TOOLS &TECHNOLOGIES
GLOBALCITY
GoldRed
Participation
Green
Silver
Cities I
Talent
Food
!Disaster
PortablePower
Trash
Deviant
Youth
Data VisualizationSmart City
Cities II
Enterprises
$2,000
No-frills
Alternative Spaces
UNDERGROUND;FLOATING
iBody
3D Mfg
Space
CognitiveScience
LINES OF INQUIRYTrends (5-10 years)
Economic Implications?Jobs? Growth? So what?
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The Future of Food
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Aug 07 TodayDec 07 Mar 08 Jun 08
Food headlines in The Economist so far
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Vertical farming is a popular idea for cities• Proposed by Columbia Uni. No prototypes yet. • Estimate for 150 30-storey vertical farms to feed NYC (pop: 8 mil)/year. • China, Abu Dhabi and Korea exploring vertical farming.
Pasona O2, Tokyo
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IDEAS
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New Agriculture?
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Future CityA flourishing global Singapore
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Power of Place
Mercer Human Resource
Consulting Worldwide
Quality of Living Survey 2007
Top 50
“The ability to attract people and talent is the single biggest predictor of a city’s economic success.”
- NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg
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What Makes a Place THE PLACE
HARDWARE
SOFTWARE
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HARDWARE
Great Public Commons
3rd Places
Transport Options
Compact Grid
Neighborhoods with Soul
Hardware“ New York City has good people, and you would need to build up the infrastructure to hold them. Not the reverse.” –
Koh Lin-Net
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SOFTWAREHope
Openness
“SGP can put the infrastructure down, throw money at it, buy successful people in creativity and innovation, top up the citizens education bank accounts, invest in
broadband infrastructure, get the best Uni lecturers … the problem is we still need that extra X factor to bring us to the next level.” – Ignatius Low, ST Money Editor
Well-Being
Content and Culture
Software
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STRATEGIES 1. Broaden Catchment (1st & 3rd Touchpoints)2. Improve Climate (Openness)3. Improve Message (PR)
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iPOWERthe Future of Portable Power
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Key Secondary Battery Technologies
Low self-discharge rate
Highest Energy Density(High power, low weight)
Strengths of Li Ion
Relative low toxicity
Little memory effect(Hence should never Be fully discharged norOvercharged)
II - Developments of Secondary Batteries
Source : www.batteryuniversity.com
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Drivers for Intensified Green Car Movement
III - Growth of Green Cars
Increased Environmental
AwarenessRunaway Oil Price
InternalCombustionEngines (ICE)
Hybrid Cars
Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV)
Electric Vehicles (EV)
Battery toPower auxiliaries
Way Forward
Fuel the car’s movement
CurrentBattery (KWH)EV 50.0PHEV60 26.4PHEV40 20.8PHEV20 12.7HEV 1.5Source : www.nrel.gov&Tesla
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Most Car Manufacturers Getting into the Game
III - Growth of Green Cars
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Besides Batteries, can we also play in the game for Green Cars?
V - Ideas and Implications
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We can also catch the wave via EVs (EVs & PHEVs)
Manufacturing?
Trading?
Logistics?
Primary Research?
Testbedding?
HQ Services?Innovation?
Capitalise on our geographical location within the Asia andOur unique traits to be the leader for Green Car Movement
• One of the highest cars per capital ratio in this region• High turnover rate for cars – via COEs• Highest cost of cars in the world • Green conscious population• Small country
• Strong Government commitment to green• Strong R&D sector• Good base of electronics industry
V - Ideas and Implications
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iBody
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“…genetic, robotic, information and nano processes…are collectively creating a curve of change unlike anything we humans have ever seen.”
Joel Garreau, Radical Evolution
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Cognitive Drugs
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BioBio--regenerationregeneration
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“Enhancing PhysicalFunctionality”
47B i o ‐m a t e r i a l s
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B i o - Power
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CONTENTCONTENT
singapore context
futures group & network
process
outputs & contributions
lines of inquiry
video
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Rise of the Rest VideoRise of the Rest Video
The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is a world not marked by American
decline, but the rise of everybody else.
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Thank youThank you
Contact:[email protected]
Rise of the Rest video: http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/downloads/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mxJZ6Jhnrk
Topics presented are on-going research and do not represent official policy statements or directions.