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Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Date post: 19-Nov-2014
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Fulcrums are natural points of confluence “Magnets”. Professional traders and market makers use pivot points to identify important support and resistance levels.
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Page 1: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips
Page 2: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Accolades for Todd Hanson Ph.D.

Page 3: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Fulcrums:Fixed price points that

act like magnets

Page 4: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

What is a Fulcrum?• The support about which a lever turns

• Statistically to be points of inflexion

To fine tune our trading plan—in volatile, liquid instruments we add the Fulcrum grid:

• 00: aka “the figure” fulcrum

• 20: - pips over “the figure”

• 50: aka “half the figure” fulcrum

• 80: - pips over “the figure”

Fulcrums

Page 5: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Fulcrum Examples

EURUSD EURJPY

1.4000 134.00

1.4020 134.20

1.4050 134.50

1.4080 134.80

1.4100 135.00

Page 6: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Fulcrum Examples

Page 7: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

FulcrumsNatural Support and Resistance

Page 8: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Making Use of Fulcrums

• Fulcrums are natural points of confluence “Magnets”

• Prices gravitate from fulcrum to fulcrum so entering At or Near a fulcrum is key

• When entering the trade, look for the opportunity where the pair exhausts itself on a retracement to the last passed fulcrum

• When possible, avoid entering trades that are at midpoints between fulcrums

Page 9: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Fulcrum Key

Fulcrums “Midpoint Danger Area”

0090

8065

5035

2010

00

You are allowed +/- 3 PIPS from the Fulcrums

Page 10: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Pivot Points:Calculated Support and Resistance;

We all see them because we all use them

Page 11: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Forex Pivot Points

• Professional traders and market makers use pivot points to identify important support and resistance levels.

• Simply put, a pivot point and its support/resistance levels are areas at which the direction of price movement can possibly change.

Page 12: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

BEGINNING OF TRADING DAYWORK SHEET• DATE:

• Important News: Let’s see if there are any important news that happen for the past few hours:

• Important Economic Indicators/numbers for today

• Key Supports/ Resistance Levels/ pivot

Use calculator and 5pm (NYC) prior day close

Resistance 3 = High + 2*(Pivot - Low)

Resistance 2 = Pivot + (R1 - S1)Resistance 1 = 2 * Pivot - LowPivot Point = ( High + Close + Low )/3Support 1 = 2 * Pivot - HighSupport 2 = Pivot - (R1 - S1)Support 3 = Low - 2*(High - Pivot)

S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3

EURUSD

GBPUSD

EURJPY

USDJPY

Page 13: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Forex Pivot Point Trading Tips

Here are some easy to memorize tips that will help you to make smart pivot points trading decisions.

• If price at PP, watch for a move back to R1 or S1.

• If price is at R1, expect a move to R2 or back towards PP.

• If price is at S1, expect a move to S2 or back towards PP.

• If price is at R2, expect a move to R3 or back towards R1.

• If price is at S2, expect a move to S3 or back towards S1.

• If there is no significant news to influence the market, price will usually move from P to S1 or R1.

• If there is significant news to influence the market price may go straight through R1 or S1 and reach R2 or S2 and even R3 or S3.

• R3 and S3 are a good indication for the maximum range for extremely volatile days but can be exceeded occasionally.

• Pivot lines work well in sideways markets as prices will most likely range between the R1 and S1 lines.

• In a strong trend, price will blow through a pivot line and keep going

Page 14: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

PIVOT

S1

S2

S3R3

R2

R1

Forex Pivot Point Trading Tips

Page 15: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

DAILYPIVOT

PRI

CE

RANGE

Forex Pivot Point Trading Tips

Page 16: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Confluence:Where two, three, the more the better,

of the Hanson puzzle pieces come together

Page 17: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Confluence – Noun

1. a place where rivers flow into one another

2. a gathering [Latin confluereto flow together]

Market Confluence

Page 18: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

Points of Confluence

Points of Confluences that we look for include:– Moving Averages

– Support and Resistance on the chart

– Fulcrums

– Previous High/Low Points

– Breakdown & Retest levels

– Pivot Points

Page 19: Forex Fulcrums and Pivot Points Trading Tips

False Confluence

Traders often imagine false confluence as a result of the following pitfalls:– Wishful thinking

– Picking tops and bottoms

– Impatience or need to be in a trade

– Trading too many pairs at once

– Fear and Greed


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