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© 2017 Programmatic Mechanics Page1 The Four Problems Solved by RTB Real-time bidding (RTB) or what has become known as programmatic technology allows instantaneous decision making with regard to which ad will show on a website. Instead of deciding in advance which assets the ad server will display, now the decision can be made as the user loads the website page. The ad server runs an auction to sell the ad space in real time, forming an online ad exchange driven by a Sell Side Platform (SSP). Not surprisingly, this technology has seen strong adoption and continues to thrive today. While the technology was developed in early 2007 it wasn’t until later that the market began adopting at scale. The technology is now used by much of the market and the amount of money spent through RTB continues to increase each yea, as seen in Figure 1. 1 RTB technology provides solutions to numerous problems that plague publishers and advertisers trying to buy and sell digital ad space. On the publisher’s side, RTB technology solves issues of forecasting and unsold inventory. On the advertiser’s side, RTB manages issues of distrust and control. Forecasting Issues As display advertising became a ‘must buy’ for digital agencies, all major advertisers began purchasing inventory. The most prestigious brands started cutting up-front deals with their favorite publishers. All of the leading online publishers established ‘yield management’ teams who were tasked with ensuring the rates created enough demand to fill the supply. These teams would use data from the ad server, as well as other third party applications, to determine how many impressions were available in each section. They would then price out the inventory (available impressions) in the interest of maximizing revenue. Some publishers pulled talent from the airline industry, as they were the most advanced in supply/demand analysis and inventory management. The yield management team would use historical data to determine how many visitors on each page. Using spreadsheets, advanced database techniques, or third party software, these teams Figure 1: US RTB Digital Display Ad Spend
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Page 1: Four Problems Solved by RTB v7progmechs.com/.../uploads/2017/11/WP_Four-Problems … ·  · 2017-11-01The RTB exchange provided solutions to these four issues, but the agencies we’re

©2017ProgrammaticMechanics

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TheFourProblemsSolvedbyRTBReal-time bidding (RTB) or what has become known as programmatic technology allowsinstantaneous decision making with regard to which ad will show on a website. Instead ofdeciding in advance which assets the adserverwill display,now thedecision canbemade as the user loads the website page.Theadserverrunsanauctiontosell theadspace in real time, forming an online adexchangedrivenbyaSellSidePlatform(SSP).Not surprisingly, this technology has seenstrong adoption and continues to thrivetoday.

Whilethetechnologywasdevelopedinearly2007 it wasn’t until later that the marketbegan adopting at scale. The technology isnow used by much of the market and theamount of money spent through RTBcontinues to increase each yea, as seen inFigure1.1

RTB technology provides solutions tonumerousproblemsthatplaguepublishersandadvertiserstryingtobuyandselldigitaladspace.Onthepublisher’sside,RTBtechnologysolvesissuesofforecastingandunsoldinventory.Ontheadvertiser’sside,RTBmanagesissuesofdistrustandcontrol.

ForecastingIssues

As display advertising became a ‘must buy’ for digital agencies, all major advertisers beganpurchasing inventory. The most prestigious brands started cutting up-front deals with theirfavoritepublishers.Allofthe leadingonlinepublishersestablished ‘yieldmanagement’teamswhoweretaskedwithensuringtheratescreatedenoughdemandtofillthesupply.Theseteamswouldusedatafromtheadserver,aswellasotherthirdpartyapplications,todeterminehowmany impressions were available in each section. They would then price out the inventory(availableimpressions)intheinterestofmaximizingrevenue.Somepublisherspulledtalentfromtheairlineindustry,astheywerethemostadvancedinsupply/demandanalysisandinventorymanagement.

Theyieldmanagementteamwouldusehistoricaldatatodeterminehowmanyvisitorsoneachpage.Usingspreadsheets,advanceddatabasetechniques,orthirdpartysoftware,theseteams

Figure1:USRTBDigitalDisplayAdSpend

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wouldestimatehowmanyadimpressionswouldbeavailableforsaleinthefuture.Salesteamswould,inturn,approachthemarketandselltheinventory,inpieces,toanyadvertiserwillingto

pay the premium prices. To avoidconstantly providing ‘make-goods’, orfuture inventory due to under delivery,the yield management team wouldforecast 5%-10% less than the exactamount they anticipated. The inventorywould vary by day and the forecastedinventory vs. sold inventory would looklikethechartinFigure2.

Unpredictability, an inherentcharacteristic of the Internet, creates afar larger loss of revenue than shownabove.TheInternetprovidesthemostupto theminute informationpossible, andwhenmajoreventshappenwebsitescansee 10x the traffic they had forecasted.Thesupplyspikecanoccuronaweatherwebsite as a northeaster approaches, anewswebsiteduringanaturaldisaster,agossipwebsiteafterthesuddendeathofamajorcelebrity.Theadvertisersdonotwant‘unevendelivery’,meaningthepublishercannotdeliveralloftheimpressionsfora12-weekcampaigninonesingleday.Thismeansthatwhenaspikeof10xoccurs,eveniftheyieldteamanticipatesthisbased on the morning numbers, they cannot deliver more than 2x or 3x the amount theypredicted.ThemonetizationofthatdaywouldlooklikeFigure3totheleft:

Depending on circumstance,this could equate to lostrevenuesanywherefromtensof thousands of dollars toseveralmillion, alldue to theinability to monetizeinventoryinonesingleday.

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Figure3:ActualDeliveryvsForecastedAvailabilityChart2

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UnsoldForecastedInventory

Premiumpublisherswhocanselltheabilitytoreachaspecificnicheaudiencesareoftenabletosettheirpricescorrectlyastosellthrough100%oftheirinventory.Otherpublishershavetheopposite problem. The largest internet publishers, or portals to the internet, amassed suchenormoustraffictheycannotsellalloftheiradspaceateffectiverates.Thelargestportalssawthreebillionvisitsadayattimes.Threeadsonapageperdayequatesto9,000,000,000availableeachday.Iforganizationswithtoomuchinventorycoulddetermineamethodtosellthelong-tailor‘remnant’inventoryatevena$0.01CPMtheywouldmakemillionsofdollarsamonthinextrarevenue.Whileremnantsolutionswereavailable,theystillcouldnothandlethemajorityofthisunsoldinventory.

Distrust

WhenAdNetworksstartedgainingpopularitycirca2000,theyallrepresenteduniquepublishersandcouldshowdifferentiationwiththeir‘sitelists’ordomainsinwhichadswouldserve.Thebiggestpublishersbeganrunningtheiradsacrossseveraldifferentnetworks.ThisstyleofyieldmanagementwouldbecomethecoreoftheInternetpublishingbusiness.Byrotatingtheads,thenetworksbeganhavinganissueofdifferentiation,asthesamesitewouldbeavailableacrossavarietyofnetworks.Additionally,manyoftheseadnetworkswererestrictedtosellingblindlyorundisclosedinordernottounderminethepublishers’relationshipswithmarketers.

Toachievethescalenecessary,theybegantoavoiddisclosingtobuyersthedeliveryreportsbydomain.Theywouldinsisttheycouldnotsharehowthedeliveryvariedacrossthewebsitesonthe ‘site list’. This would allow them to ‘dump’ a lot of inventory on a low-quality website.FacebookappssuchasFarmville,websitessuchasmyclassmates.comanddictionary.comareclassic locationswhere youwill see network ads in volumes,which are not conveyed to theagency or more importantly the advertiser. These networks could also adjust their marginmethodologyandchargeadvertisersmarginsashighas70%-80%.

Somenetworksbeganusingotherformsoftechnologytoshowdifferentiation.Networksclaimeduniquenessby“focusingonaspecialaudience”or“providingscale”or“usingcontextualsearchtechnology,”butuntiltheadvancementoftheprogrammaticRTBexchangetherewasbasicallynodifferencebetweentheseorganizationsastheyallworkedwiththesamepublishers.

Astheseproblemsleakedoutofthebackroomsofthesenetworksandintotheearsofmediabuyers, there was a clear need for greater transparency. By handling the auction for theadvertising space on an impression-by-impression basis, the RTB exchange offered atechnologicalsolution.

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Control

Thenetworkswerethefirsttoimplementanddevelopadservingtechnologyandcontinuedtodevelop in the interestof theirownbottom lines.Thebestadvances in targetingweremadeavailabletothepublishers.Publisherscouldusetheuptodateadserverstocontrolwhattypeofadswouldshowonacertainsectionofawebsite,inaspecificgeographicallocation,orataparticular time. While advertisers could request these targeting parameters, there was nocontrolontheirsideofhowtheadswereserved.Someoneonthepublisherornetworksideneededtohandlethetrafficking.

Asthelackofcontrolbecameagrowingissueontheadvertiserside,theRTBtechnologybecameavailable.Programmaticpushedthe‘control’intothehandsofthe“buy-side”orwhatisoftenreferredtoDemand-side.Thisallowedtheadvertisertomanagehowtheywanttotargettheiradsacrosspublishers(inbulk,becoming‘exchanges’).Thiswasaclearbenefitforallinvolved,asthenewfoundconfidenceledtolargerbudgets.

TheRTBexchangeprovidedsolutionstothesefour issues,buttheagencieswe’reset intheirways and comfortable with the accustomed methods. Changing the way an entire industrybehaves takes time and takes ‘buy-in’ from big players early. How could the networks andpublishers ensure the advertisers would test this technology that offered ‘control’ and‘transparency’intopricingandtargeting?Theycreatedanauctionenvironmentpromisingthebuyerstheywouldpayonlya‘penny’morethanthenexthighestbidderforeachimpression.ThisSecondPriceAuctionmethodcreateda ‘perfect’marketallowing thenextgenerationofmediatoemerge:ProgrammaticMedia.

References1 http://www.iab.net/about_the_iab/recent_press_releases/press_release_archive/1996_pr_archive

2(or nodes, or boxes, or servers - all terms which refer to a computer, usually without a monitor and in a building with no windows somewhere relatively unpopulated) 3 Pemberton, Steve. http://homepages.cwi.nl/~steven/Talks/2011/05-07-steven-visualisation/,CWI and W3C, Amsterdam, © 2011 4 http://www.google.com/patents/US20070192356.pdf 5 http://adage.com/article/digital/real-time-bidding-account-25-display-ad-spending-2015-emarketer/238300/


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