EUROPEAN COMMISSION - Research DG – May 2008FP7 /1

Claus Brüning

Climate Change and Environmental Risks - UnitClimate Change and Environmental Risks - Unit Environment DirectorateEnvironment Directorate

DG Research, European CommissionDG Research, European Commission

WMO/UNEP Ozone Research Manager MeetingWMO/UNEP Ozone Research Manager MeetingGeneva, 19-21 May 2008Geneva, 19-21 May 2008

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Introduction

The 6th Frame Work Programme for Research and technological

Development (FP6, 2002-2006)

Stratospheric research priorities under FP6 (2002-2006)

Stratospheric research projects supported under FP6

The 7th Framework programme for Research and technological

Development (FP7, 2007-2013)

Stratospheric research priorities under FP7, second call (2008)

Future stratospheric research activities in FP7

Conclusions

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FP6 (2002-2006) sub-priorityGlobal Change and Ecosystems

budget: 700 Mill €

Objectives: Support of integrated multidisciplinary research, sustainability to be

integrated in all areas of research, especially Energy, Transport and Agriculture implemented mainly through Integrated Projects (IPs)

I. Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion and carbon sinks

II. Water cycle, including soil-related aspects

III. Biodiversity and ecosystems

IV. Mechanisms of desertification and natural disasters

V. Strategies for sustainable land management, including coastal zones, agricultural land and forests

VI. Operational forecasting and modelling including global climatic change observation systems

VII. Complementary research

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FP6 (2002-2006) sub-priorityGlobal Change and Ecosystems

Area I: Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion and carbon sinks

Research priorities

I.1 Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinksI.2 Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impactsI.3 Climate dynamics and variabilityI.4 Prediction of climate change and its impactsI.5 Stratospheric ozone and climate interactionsI.6 Adaptation and mitigation strategies

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FP6 (2002-2006) sub-priorityGlobal Change and Ecosystems

I.5. Stratospheric Ozone and Climate Interactions

Core objectives

• Future stratospheric ozone levels

• Impact of Climate Change on the Stratosphere

• UV Radiation

• Aviation impacts on the UTLS

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FP6 (2002-2006) sub-priorityGlobal Change and Ecosystems

IP SCOUT-O3 (Stratosphere-Climate links with emphasis on the UTLS)

Co-ordinator: John Pyle, University of Cambridge, UK

59 Partners, budget 15 Mill €, 5 years duration, 1 May 2004

Core Objectives: Ozone variability at mid-latitudes Inter-annual variability in polar processes Tropical UTLS and transport processes Stratospheric dynamics and trends Stratosphere/Troposphere coupling – past and future Predictions of ozone recovery Past UV changes, variability and trends

http://www.ozone-sec.ch.cam.ac.uk/scout_o3/index.html

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FP6 (2002-2006) sub-priorityGlobal Change and Ecosystems

IP GEOMON (Global Earth Observation and MONitoring)

Co-ordinator: Philippe Ciais, CEA, FR

38 Partners, budget 6,2 Mill €, 4 years duration, 1 February 2007

Core Objectives: unify and harmonize the main Europeans networks of surface and aircraft-

based measurements support data gathering at existing networks (NDACC) coordinate access to data and data-products at a common data centre integrate surface measurements with those of satellites develop new methodologies to use these data for satellite validation enable new ground-based measurements complementary to satellites reduce biases and random errors in satellite observation

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7th Framework Programme (2007-2013) Indicative budget for Programme Cooperation

Total budget for Programme Cooperation 32.365 Health 6.050 Food, Agriculture and Biotechnology 1.935 Information and Communication Technologies 9.110 Nanosciences, Nanotechnologies, Materials and new Production Technologies 3.500 Energy 2.300 Environment (including Climate Change) 1.900 Transport (including Aeronautics) 4.180 Socio-economic Sciences and the Humanities 610 Space 1.430 Security 1.350

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Climate Change, pollution and risks

Sustainable management of resources

Environmental Technologies

-Conservation and sustainable management of natural and man-made resources- Evolution of marine environments

- Earth observation- Forecasting methods and assessment tools

- Pressures on environment and climate- Environment and health- Natural Hazards

- Technologies for observation, prevention, mitigation,…, of the natural and man-made environment-protection, conservation and enhancement of cultural heritage, including human habitat- Technology assessment, verification, testing

Earth observation and assessment tools

Environment (incl. Climate Change)

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6.1 Climate Change, pollution and risks

6.1.1 Pressures on environment and climate 2nd call 2008: budget 42 Mill€

Objective: to understand the key processes controlling the dynamics of the climate-human-earth system and to predict its future evolution as a basis for policy making

area 1: The Earth System and Climate: Functioning and abrupt changes area 2: Emissions and Pressures: natural and anthropogenic - Climate-chemistry interactions in the Stratosphere related to ozone depletion area 3: The Global Carbon cycle - GreenHouse Gas budget

area 4: Future Climate

area 5: Climate Change Natural and Socio-economic Impacts

area 6. Response strategies: Adaptation, Mitigation and Policies

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6.1 Climate Change, pollution and risks

6.1.2 Environment and Health 2nd Call 2008: budget 20 Mill€ I

area 1: Health effects of exposure to environmental stressors - Quantification of changing surface UV radiation levels and its impact on human health

area 2: Integrated approaches for environment and health risk assessment

area 3: Delivery of methods and decision support tools for risk analysis and policy development

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Future stratospheric research activities in FP7(indicative)

Atmospheric chemistry and climate change interactions

Links between climate change, atmospheric pollution, UV-radiation and its impacts on ecosystems

Direct and indirect effects of natural and anthropogenic aerosols and cloud-climate feedbacks, and future precipitation changes

Lower-middle atmosphere interactions

Global change and radiation transfer

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Conclusions

Climate change already has and will further cool the stratosphere.

A cooler stratosphere over polar regions will lead to an increase in the amount of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs).

PSCs plus high concentration of halogen components are responsible for polar ozone depletion and the Antarctic ozone hole.

Therefore there is a (high) risk that Climate Change and high concentration of halogen (chlorine) components in the stratosphere will cause the development of an ozone hole over arctic polar region in spring time.

For this reason it is essential that the Montreal Protocol, the reduction of emissions CFCs, HCFCs etc. is implemented consequently.

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Information

EU research: http://ec.europa.eu/research

Seventh Framework Programme: http://ec.europa.eu/research/fp7

European Research Council: http://ec.europa.eu/erc/index_en.cfm

Info on programmes and projects: http://www.cordis.lu/

RTD info magazine: http://ec.europa.eu/research/rtdinfo/

Information requests: http://ec.europa.eu/research/enquiries/