Front Matter Source: Operations Research, Vol. 17, No. 3 (May - Jun., 1969), pp. i-x Published by: INFORMS Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168373 . Accessed: 09/05/2014 12:59 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 169.229.32.138 on Fri, 9 May 2014 12:59:31 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
Transcript
Front MatterSource: Operations Research, Vol. 17, No. 3 (May - Jun., 1969), pp. i-xPublished by: INFORMSStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168373 .
Accessed: 09/05/2014 12:59
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp
.JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].
.
INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research.
http://www.jstor.org
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OPERATIONS RESEARCH The Journal of the Operations Research Society of America
EDITOR
HUGH J. MISER, University of Massachusetts Address all correspondence to the EDITOR, or
MRS. HELEN N. WILSON, Executive Editorial Assistant, Box 525, Windsor, CT 06095
ASSOCIATE EDITORS EGON BALAS, Carnegie-Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania RICHARD W. COTTLE, Stanford University, Stanford, California WALTER L. DEEMER, U.S. Arms Control & Disarmament Agency, Washington, D.C. JAMES M. DOBBIE, Arthur D. Little, Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts LAWRENCE J. DONDERO, Research Analysis Corporation, McLean, Virginia RICHARD V. EVANS, Case Westem Reserve University, Cleveland, Ohio RAOUL J. FRPEMAN, Systems Applications Inc., Beverly Hills, California MURRAY GREYSON, Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, California JOSEPH 0. HARRISON, JR., National Bureau of Standards, Washington, D.C. HARRY P. HATRY, The Urban Institute, 1900 L St., N.W., Washington, D.C. G. RONALD HERD, Kaman Sciences Corporation, Bethesda, Maryland ROBERT HERMAN, General Motors Research Laboratories, Warren, Michigan WILLIAM J. HORVATH, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan RONALD A. HOWARD, Stanford University, Stanford, California T. C. Hu, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin JULIAN KEILSON, University of Rochester, Rochester, N.Y. M. J. L. KIRBY, Dalhousie University, Halifax, N.S., Canada CORDELL B. MOORE,- General Dynamics, Fort Worth, Texas MARCEL F. NEUTS, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York N. U. PRABHU, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York E. S. QUADE, The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California PAUL RANDOLPH, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, New Mexico WILLIAM A. REINKE, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland MAURICE W. SASIENI, Unilever House, London, E.C.4, England ANDREW SCHULTZ, JR., Cornell University, Ithaca, New York MARTIN K. STARR, Ed., Management Science, Columbia University, New York, N.Y. CLAYTON J. THOMAS, Operations Analysis, USAF Hdq., Washington, D.C. WILLIAM E. WILKINSON, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina PETER B. WILSON,' Canadian National Railways, 'Montreal, Quebec
MANUSCRIPTS of papers and Letters to the Editor should be submitted to the Editor or to one of the Associate Editors. Submission of a manuscript is considered to be a representation that it has been neither copyrighted nor published, that it is not being submitted for publication elsewhere, and that, if the work results from a military contract, it has been released for open publication. Announcements should be sent to the Editor of the BULLETIN, PAUL GRAY, Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, California 94025.
MANAGING EDITOR AND ADVERTISING MANAGER CHARLES P. CHADSEY
Research Analysis Corporation McLean, Virginia 22101
Copyright ? 1969 by the Operations Research Society of America. Published bimonthly by the Operations Research Society of America at Mount Royal
and Guilford Avenues, Baltimore, Maryland 21202. Second-class postage paid at the Post Office at Baltimore, Maryland 21202, and at
additional mailing offices. Subscription orders should be addressed to the Operations Research Society of
America, 428 East Preston Street, Baltimore, Maryland 21202. Subscription Rate: $12.50 per volume ($13.50 outside U; S. and Canada).
Back Issues: Volumes 1 through 13 are available only from Kraus Reprint Cor- poration, 16 East 46th Street, New York, New York 10017. Volumes 14 to date are available from ORSA at the above address.
Reprints of individual articles are not available from the SOCIETY.
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In operations research the exceptionally able person reaches his full potential only by close daily contact with his peers. Lambda offers this kind of environment. We specialize in solving those problems that place a premium on intellectual power and practical creativity-choice between competing systems, allocation of limited resources, optimization of in- vestment strategies . . . -and we have found that a small team of outstanding analysts can make greater contributions to solv- ing our clients' complex problems than can a large group with mixed capabilities.
This approach to operations research has won Lambda high regard in government and industry, and we now seek several analysts to help meet new demands for our services. We require quite fine quantitative skills (preferably at the Ph.D. level), interest in working on real and complex prob- lems, and ability to implement models on the computer. Relevant experience is helpful; originality and practicality are more important. All staff members must be able to obtain Top Secret clearances. Compensations and benefits are in keeping with our search for the exceptional.
If you're head and shoulders above your crowd, you may not be reaching your full potential. Write to J. N. Killalea for our new booklet.
LAMBDA A 1501 Wilson Boulevard Arlington, Va. 22209
An Equal Opportunity Employer
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OPERATIONS ANALYSTS Interested in guiding corporate resources
STATISTICAL for the attainment of advanced systems now ... and for the future, will find stim-
E N G I N E E R ulating career opportunities at GRUMMIAN
Join a staff of Operations Analysts who The successful applicant will be responsible for the statis- enjoy a broad spectrum of programs such tical test design of experimental mechanical systems, as: Military Aircraft, Space, Civil Systems, implementation of the test plan and data analysis. Commercial Aircraft & Ocean Systems.
Emphasis at this time is on: The individual we need will have the maturity and experi- * Strategic & Tactical Weapons ence to identify the decision risk inherent in a test pro- * Military Support Programs gram and be able to aid management in accessing the * Communication, Command & Control cost/benefit tradeoff. Statistical support in the areas of reliability, quality control, marketing and operations re- forispace, air, landn&tsea bad sytes search will also be required. Must have B.S. degree with Individuals with Imagination and broad 2 to 3 years' experience in experimental design. Please arose system eprec e ncldin sen yorrsm oSeMLuhi. Deopnt proven ability to: forecast future needs, send your resume to Bruce McLaughlin, Development deieatraiecnet o uflSn Laboratories. USM Corporation, Balch Street, Beverly, devise alternative concepts for furfilling Mass.01915S. them, choose criteria for measuring ef- Mass, 0 1 91 5.
fectiveness, evaluate the alternatives and estimate costs, are invited to arrange an immediate interview by sending a com- prehensive resume to
USM Corporation Mr. Robert 0. Gustafson, E J' .Research/Systems/Manufacturing Operations Analysis Staff, GR-24. 'WV GRUMMAN AIRCRAFT
An Equal Opporfunity Employer ENGINEERING CORPORATION Bethpage * Long Island * New York, 11714
An Equal Opportunity Employer
OPERATIONS RESEARCH MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Allied Chemical seeks talented and imag- Successful candidates should have 3 to 1 0 inative individuals to join its Corporate Op- years of Industrial Operations Research ex- erations Research Department. The Opera- perience, an MS or PHD degree in Opera- tions Research function at Allied is well tions Research or a related field, and the established and has a proven and success- ability to communicate effectively with all ful record of accomplishment. This is attrib- levels of management. uted largely to management support, in- Openings currently exist for the following terest, and involvement in the Operations positions: Research and Management Sciences areas. * Projects Managers Specific areas of concentration include Strategic Planning, Finance, Marketing, * Senior Consultants Venture Analysis, Traffic and Distribution, * Senior Analysts Production and Inventory Control, and Proc- ess Simulation.
Submit resume in confidence to: P. J. Accardo Manager, Operations Research Allied Chemical Corporation * Allied Chemical New York, N. Y. 10006 Corporation
David W. Miller and Martin K. Starr, both at Columbia University
The new second edition of this widely adopted text con- tinues in the tradition of the original book. It offers a basic understanding of decision theory, operations research, and other recent developments of importance to executives and students of business management. All materials have been expanded and coverage is now com,pletely up-to-date, highly unified, and broad in scope.
The authors present the means of determining when an operations research problem exists, how to recognize the appropriate decision classification for that problem, how to approach problems of each class in accord with present theory, when it may be worthwhile to seek specialized assistance, and how the results may be evaluated.
Part I develops the theme of the relation of the executive and the organization to decision-making. Part II outlines the interrelationships of operations research and decisions., Part III explains the essential nature of model-building and categorizes models in different ways that are suitable for different purposes. Part IV is then built on the founda- tion of the first three parts; it deals with the treatment of problems by specific models as they occur in particular functional areas. Part V completes the loop of operational necessity which moves us from model-building through implementation by presenting the executive's special prob- lems of evaluation, implementation, and control of the solution.
June 1969, approx. 608 pp., $10.95 (29453-8)
For approval copy write Box 903
Orders are processed faster if title and title code appear on order
Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, N. J. 07632
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from Prentice-Hall Nonlinear Programming: A Unified Approach Willard I. Zangwill, University of California, Berkeley
Presents a unified approach to nonlinear programming for all practitioners. The unity is provided by the author's newly developed covergence theory as well as other new material introduced for the first time in this text. The wide range of topics includes geometric programming, quadratic programming, optimal control, and duality. There are applications from many fields (investment selec- tion, foreign trade, chemical equilibrium, regression anal- ysis, consumer behavior, production control, and cost-benefit analysis).
April 1969, 384 pp., $12.50 (62357-9)
A Management Guide to PERT/CPM Jerome D. Wiest and Ferdinand K. Levy,
both of Rice University This new book presents a comprehensive guide to the basic concepts and techniques of the PERT and CPM methods of network planning and scheduling. It provides a foundation for using these techniques and also shows a variety of scheduling problems to which they may be applied. A knowledge of the concepts of the book will enable the student to employ CPM and PERT success- fully. The book should appeal to the busy manager or student who wants to learn the essentials and potentials of PERT/ CPM as quickly as possible, without being burdened with needless detail.
July 1969, approx. 192 pp., paper, $4.95 (54851-1)
For approval copies write Box 903
Orders are processed faster if title and title code appear on order
Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, N. J. 07632
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Validation of Consumer Financial Characteristics: Common Stock Robert Ferber, John Forsythe, Harold W. Guthrie, E. Scott Maynes
Age Patterns of Mortality of American Negroes: 1900-02 to 1959-61 ..... ......... Marvin Zelnik The Accuracy of International Trade Data .................... Seiji Naya and Theodore Morgan Examples of Likelihoods and Comparison with Point Estimates and Large Sample Approximations
D. A. Sprott and John D. Kalbfleisch Some Aspects of the Statistical Analysis of 'Split Plot' Experiments in Completely Randomized
Layouts .............................................. Gary G. Koch Integer Programming and the Theory of Grouping ............................... H. D. Vinod The Unrelated Question Randomized Response Model: Theoretical Framework
Bernard G. Greenberg, Walt R. Simmons, Abdel-Latif A. Abul-Ela, Daniel G. Horvitz An Empirical Study of the Stabilities of Estimation and Variance Estimators in Unequal Proba-
bility Sampling of Two Units Per Stratum ............... I .... D. L. Bayless and J. N. K. Rao Planning Some Two-Factor Comparative Surveys ................ J. Sedransk and Gordon Booth Comparison of Four Ratio-Type Estimates Under a Model ...... ............ Poduri S. R. S. Rao Spectral Properties of Non-Stationary Systems of Linear Stochastic Difference Equations
Richard E. Levitan, Gregory C. Chow An Approximation to the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney Distribution
Charles H. Kraft, C. van Eeden, N. Buckle A Recurrence Relation for Distribution Functions of Order Statistics from Bivariate Distributions
Chandan Kumar Mustafi Discrete Distribution Estimators from the Recurrence Equation for Probabilities ... . C. McGilchrist Two-Sided Tolerance Limits for Normal Populations-Some Improvements ......... W. G. Howe Life Testing and Reliability Estimation for the Two Parameter Exponential Distribution
S. D. Varde A Table for Estimating the Mean of a Lognormal Distribution ..... ............ Hanspeter Thoni Critical Values for Bivariate Student T-Tests .................................... F. E. Steffens New Chebyshev Polynomial Approximations to Mills' Ratio .................. Philip Rabinowitz The Distribution of the Logarithm of the Sum of Two Log-Normal Variates ............ Joe Naus Confidence Regions for Variance Ratios of Random Models ................... L. D. Broemeling The Computation of the Unrestricted AOQL when Defective Material is Removed but not
Replaced ............................................................ Allen C. Endres
Book Reviews
For further information, please contact American Statistical Association
810 18th Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20006
vi
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This is a new position with one of the dynamic leaders in the communications indus- try. He must be interested in and capable of doing pioneering work developing new methodologies involving behavioristic model building. The individual selected for this position must be able to communicate with scientific and technical personnel of a variety of disciplines as well as with all levels of company management. The signifi- cant characteristics desired in such a person; is a high level of basic intelligence, intuition, intellectual curiosity and pragmatism. At the same time, since much of his efforts will be in quantitative areas, his experience and interests should be in one or more of the areas usually associated with a quantitative discipline.
Although the person's training could be in mathematics, engineering or operations re- search, a quantitative social scientist with some knowledge of model building, com- puters and simulation might be somewhat preferable. His level of academic achieve- ment should preferably be at the Master's level or beyond. (Ideally, an undergraduate degree in a behavioral science plus M.S. in Mathematics, Psychometrics, O.R., etc.)
His attitude should be research oriented. He should be able to evaluate proposed solu- tions or attacks to technical problems involving tangible as well as intangible, behav- ioristic phenomena and be able to reach intelligent decisions, even in situations which are outside his primary technical domain. (In replying for this position, please refer to RJ-601-9)
We have so many active requirements we are urgently seeking to fill, we couldn't possibly do them justice by any listing here. Our clients range from the largest firms in the world to some of the smaller newer companies. They are industrial, financial, commercial, consulting, non-profits, weapon systems, utilities and mercantile firms and are located in almost every major city in the U. S. and several major cities in Europe.
SPECIAL NOTE Accordingly, anyone Interested In any of the positions listed, or In any opportunities In the fields of operations research, management information systems, the management sciences, economics, econometrics, mathematics, statistics, data processing, patent law, and the public sciences . . . whether regarding industrial or military applications, Including non-profit groups, Is Invited to contact us.
All Inquiries treated confidentially. interested parties should send us a detailed experi- ence resume which should Include position objective, current salary, salary requirements, geographic preferences and limitations.
COMPANY CLIENTS ASSUME ALL OUR CHARGES
ijH,HALRECHT ASSOCIATES, INC. 7315 Wisconsin Avenue * Washington, D. C. 20014 * (301) 656-9170
~qhhW e will be in attendance at the ORSA Convention, June 18-20 in Denver, staying at the Brown Palace Hotel.
vii
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CAREERS AT ORI: Quantitative Economists, Psychologists, Engineers, Physicists, Mathematicians
' ''.'". i ................. / ...... ,< _ S l ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~.................rV......... .....
WE'RE NOT LOOKING FOR THINK-ALIKES
because our problems aren't solve-alikes. The challenges facing our professional staff today range from complex transportation systems analysis to the economic impact of Federal programs, from spacecraft reliability and performance to undersea warfare research. As a representative example: Right now we are breaking new ground in the design and development of large-scale management information and control systems for a foreign government. This unique program combines elements of economics, human factors pyschology, management systems engineering and computer systems analysis. ORI's past success in meeting such challenges has established the company as one of the nation's leading operations research/management systems organizations. A private, profit-making firm, ORI is staffed and managed by professionals like yourself. The environment is one in which the individual enjoys swift recognition and reward for his achievements, with every opportunity for personal and professional growth. Salaries and benefit programs are liberal. If you are a quantitative economist, human factors specialist, operations or systems analyst, engineer, mathematician or physical scientist (preferably with operations research and/or management systems experience) and want to match your abilities against some of the most taxing problems in your field, we invite your inquiry. Please send your resume to: Mr. Carlton Robinson
OPERATIONS RESEARCH INCORPORATED 1400 Spring Street, Silver Spring, Maryland 20910 (Suburb of Washington, D. C.)
An equal opportunity employer M&F
viii
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JosEPH H. ENGEL, President THOMAS E. CAYWOOD, Vice President Communications Satellite Corp. Caywood-Schiller Associates 950 L'Enfant Plaza South, S.W. 401 N. Michigan Avenue Washington, D. C. 20024 Chicago, Illinois 60611
ROBERT E. MACHOL, Secretary KENNETH W. YARNOLD, Treasurer School of Business System Development Corporation Northwestern University 2500 Colorado Avenue 339 East Chicago Avenue Santa Monica, California 90400 Chicago, Illinois 60611
COUNCIL OF THE SOCIETY
1966-69 Past President, GEORGE SHORTLEY, Booz, Allen Applied Research, Inc., 4733 Bethesda Avenue, Bethesda, Maryland 20014
1967-70 Past President, JOHN F. MAGEE, Arthur D. Little, Inc., 35 Acorn Park, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140
1968-71 Past President, JOHN E. WALSH, Statistics Department, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Texas 75222
1966-69 WALTER L. DEEMER GEORGE E. NICHOLSON, JR. Arms Control and Disarma- Department of Statistics
ment Agency University of North Carolina New State Department Bldg. Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27515 Washington, D. C. 20451
1967-70 ERNEST KOENIGSBERG GEORGES BRIGHAM Matson Research Corporation Arthur Anderson & Company 215 Market Street 69 West Washington Street San Francisco, Calif. 94105 Chicago, Illinois 60602
1968-71 CHARLES D. FLAGLE DAVID S. STOLLER The Johns Hopkins University U.S. Office of Education School of Hygiene and Public Washington, D. C. 20202
Health Baltimore, Maryland 21205
BUSINESS OFFICE
Requests for membership information and applica- tions as well as subscriptions and orders for back issues of Society publications should be addressed to:
Operations Research Society of America 428 East Preston Street Baltimore, Maryland 21202
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OPERATIONS RESEARCH BULLETIN of the Operations Research Thc Journal of the Operations Re- Society of America search Society of America PAUL GRAY
HUGH J. MISER, Editor Stanford Research Institute The Travelers Research Corporation Menlo Park, California 94025 250 Constitution Plaza Hartford, Connecticut 06103
INTERNATIONAL ABSTRACTS IN TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE OPERATIONS RESEARCH
ROBERT HERMAN, Editor HUGH E. BRADLEY Editor GM Research Laboratories Hhe. BRALEY Editor 12 Mile and Mound Roads The Upjohn Company Warren, Michigan 48090 Kalamazoo, Michigan 49001
PUBLICATIONS IN OPERATIONS RESEARCH DAVID B. HERTZ
McKinsey & Company, Inc. 245 Park Avenue New York, New York 10017
COMMITTEES AND REPRESENTATIVES
Membership Committee* EZRA KRENDEL, Chairman
Management Science Center University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104
Education Committee* JACK R. BORSTING, Chairman
Dept. of Operations Analysis U.S. Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, California 93940
Publications Committee* ROBERT OLIVER, Chairman
Operations Research Department University of California Berkeley, California 90024
Nominating Committee* ALFRED BLUMSTEIN, Chairman
Institute for Defense Analyses 400 Army-Navy Drive Arlington, Virginia 22202
Lanchester Price Committee GEORGE SHORTLEY, Chairman
Booz, Allen Applied Research, Inc. 4733 Bethesda Avenue Bethesda, Maryland 20014
Sections Committee WILLIAM NEMEREVER, Chairman
571 North 169th Street Seattle, Washington 98133
Meetings Committee ALLAN HARBAUGH, Chairman
LTV Electro Systems Inc. Box 6118 Dallas, Texas 75222
* Standing Committees
Representative to IFORS JOHN F. MAGEE
Arthur D. Little, Inc. 35 Acorn Park Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140
Representative to the NRC HUGH J. MISER
The Travelers Research Center 250 Constitution Plaza Hartford, Connecticut 06103
Long Range Planning Committee THOMAS E. OBERBECK, Chairman
Office of Research Analyses (RRRR) Holloman AFB, New Mexico 88330
Representatives to the AAAS W. EDWARD CUSHEN
National Bureau of Standards U.S. Department of Commerce Washington, D. C. 20234
ELLIS A. JOHNSON 4819 Essex Avenue Chevy Chase, Maryland 20015
BERNARD B. WATSON (Alternate) Research Analysis Corporation McLean, Virginia 22101
Representative to the Conference Board on Mathematical Sciences ALEX M. MOOD
Public Policy Research Organization University of California Irvine, California 92664
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