+ All Categories
Home > Documents > FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction...

FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction...

Date post: 22-Aug-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
45
www.londonmetric.com FULL YEAR RESULTS Year Ended March 2017
Transcript
Page 1: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

www.londonmetric.com

FULL YEAR RESULTS Year Ended March 2017

Page 2: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

AGENDA

Highlights

Strategy

Financial

Investment

Property

Outlook

Questions

2

Page 3: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

HIGHLIGHTS

Page 4: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

ERV growth

3.8% Distribution +5.6%

Key Highlights Adopting a true REIT strategy

• Portfolio positioned for continued structural change

• Distribution exposure1 up to 64%

• Retail park exposure1 down to 13%

• Strong portfolio metrics delivering

• Like for like income growth 4.6%

• TPR 7.4% vs IPD 4.6%

• Financial metrics aligned to our real estate strategy

• £95m equity raise now fully allocated

• £130m private placement

Investments and development commitments2

£235m c80% distribution

4

Topped up NIY

5.4% Unchanged on 2016

WAULT

12.8 years Boosted by new lettings at 18.2 years

Occupancy

99.6% Consistent over last four years

1. Including developments and post year end activity 2. Includes £69m of development capex, £19m capex on existing assets and £58m of commitments

Page 5: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Financial Highlights Year to 31 March 2017

Net Rental Income

£81.8m +5.3%

5

EPRA Earnings

£51.0m +5.3%

Dividend Progression

+3.4% 109% dividend cover

EPRA NAV

150p H1: -3.2% H2: +4.8%

Earnings Yield4

5.5% Unchanged over 12 months

March 2017 March 2016 % change

EPRA Earnings per share 8.2p 7.8p +5.1%

Dividend per share 7.50p 7.25p +3.4%

EPRA NAV per share 150p 148p +1.4%

Recurring Profit1 £51.0m £48.5m +5.3%

Reported Profit £63.0m £82.7m

Total Accounting Return2 6.4% 11.5%

LTV3 30% 38%

1. EPRA Earnings

2. Calculated as Dividend paid in year and increase in EPRA NAV (excluding net placing proceeds) as a percentage of opening EPRA NAV

3. LTV includes deferred consideration on sales exchanged prior to year end (2017:£14.3m, 2016: £10.2m)

4. EPRA Earnings for the year divided by opening EPRA NAV

Page 6: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

STRATEGY REVIEW

Page 7: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Investment Strategy Income growth with structural support

7

Repetitive and reliable income is increasingly attractive

Long income with Indexation provides the bedrock of certainty

Avoiding dilutive income leakage

Income –

Contractual

Structural calls are delivering strong income growth

Urban and regional logistics rents are trending very positive

High terminal value locations will continue to outperform

Income – Structural

Short cycle activity creates alpha upside and future long income

Provides an attractive margin of safety over market pricing

Delivering fit for purpose, modern long let real estate

Asset management

and dev’t

Page 8: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Our Portfolio Aligned to the structurally winning sectors

8

As at 31 March 2017 Net

Initial

Yield1

H1

TPR (%)

H2

TPR (%)

Total

Property

Return (%)

Distribution

£950m2 5.0 +2.8 +7.0 +9.9

Convenience & leisure

£156m 5.3 +3.3 +8.3 +11.9

Long Income JVs

£115m 6.6 +2.1 +7.5 +9.6

Retail parks

£202m2 5.9 0.0 +4.2 +3.9

Office & Residential

£111m 5.9 -6.2 -0.5 -6.7

Total Portfolio

£1,534m 5.4 +1.5 +5.9 +7.4

64%

8%

8%

13%

7%

1. Topped up NIY on investment portfolio

2. Including developments

3. March 2017 valuation adjusted for post period end activity

May

2017 £1,516m3

Page 9: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

9

Rental Income Profile Delivering long term repetitive & dependable income

98.6%

1.4%

Net Income

Income Leakage

24%

28%

43%

5%

Fixed Indexed Linked

Market Review No review

1%

39%

27%

16%

17%

0-3 yrs 4-10 yrs 11-15 yrs

16-20 yrs >20 yrs

Contractual Rent Reviews Unexpired Lease Terms Income Leakage

11.6

12.7 13.1

12.8 12.8

10.5

11.0

11.5

12.0

12.5

13.0

13.5

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

95.0%

99.6% 99.7% 99.3% 99.6%

92.0%

94.0%

96.0%

98.0%

100.0%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Occupancy Rate (% rent roll) WAULT (years)

Page 10: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

10

Delivering Long Term Shareholder Returns Our key focus is to drive earnings

Distribution

Exposure (%)

20%

28%

40%

52%

62%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Lfl Income

Growth (%)

Earnings

Growth (pps)

3.5% 3.4%

2.9% 3.1%

4.6%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

3.9 4.2

6.6

7.8 8.2

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Net Rental

Income (£m)

45.5

58.5

70.9 77.7

81.8

-

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

Page 11: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

FINANCIAL REVIEW

Page 12: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Income Statement1

12

31 March 2017 31 March 2016

Net rental income £81.8m £77.7m

Administrative costs (EPRA cost ratio 16%) £(13.4)m £(13.8)m

Finance costs £(18.4)m £(16.7)m

EPRA earnings £51.0m £48.5m

EPRA EPS 8.2p 7.8p

DPS 7.50p 7.25p

Earnings Dividend Cover 109% 107%

1. Proportionally consolidated basis

Page 13: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Balance Sheet1

13

31 March 2017 31 March 2016

Property portfolio £1,533.8m £1,520.9m

Cash £46.1m £46.7m

Bank debt £(527.7)m £(637.9)m

Fair value of derivatives £(23.6)m £(23.9)m

Other net assets /(liabilities) £(21.7)m £(7.6)m

Net Assets £1,006.9m £898.2m

EPRA Adjustments £23.6m £23.9m

EPRA Net assets £1,030.5m £922.1m

EPRA NAV per share 149.8p 147.7p

1. Proportionally consolidated basis

Page 14: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Movements in EPRA NAV1

14

NAV per share (p)

147.7 148.6 148.6 149.8

8.2 7.3

3.4

1.3 0.9

130.0

135.0

140.0

145.0

150.0

155.0

160.0

EPRA NAV Mar '16 EPRA Earnings Dividend Paid Property

Movements

Corporate EPRA NAV Mar '17

1.7

2.0

1. Property movements reflect +3.4p of revaluation and -0.9p of property costs and loss on sales.

2. Corporate includes debt/hedging break costs and share based awards.

Page 15: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Financing activity Increasing finance flexibility

Debt Metrics1 31 Mar 2017 31 Mar 2016

Gross Debt £527.7m £637.9m

Undrawn facilities £299.7m £69.9m

Loan to Value2 30% 38%

Average cost of finance 3.5% 3.5%

Marginal cost of debt 1.5% 1.8%

Average maturity 5.2 years 5.6 years

Hedging3 87% 84%

1. Proportionally consolidated basis 2. LTV includes deferred consideration on sales completed prior to year end (2017:£14.3m, 2016: £10.2m) 3. Assuming existing facilities are fully utilised 4. Based on total drawn debt

• £130m private debt placement – 52%4 of debt unsecured

• £95m equity placing

15

Page 16: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

77.7 81.8

87.3 88.3 94.8

7.9 6.9

5.5

1.0 Committed

Firepower

5.1

Pipeline

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

Income Progression

16

(£m)

Net rental

Income

Mar 16

Disposals Net Rental &

Contracted

Income at

Mar 17

Contracted rent

potential

Development &

Acquisition

Income1

PPE

activity2

Warrington

Bedford

Developments3

1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until March 2018 3. Committed developments consists of anticipated income not yet contracted

Page 17: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Delivering Financial Management

17

Warrington

Bedford

Debt Maturity

(years)

3.0

3.7

4.2

5.6

5.2

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

Interest Cover Ratio

(x)

Cost of Debt

(%)

2.2

2.9

4.0

5.0

4.5

-

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

4.0

3.9

3.7

3.5 3.5

3.2%

3.3%

3.4%

3.5%

3.6%

3.7%

3.8%

3.9%

4.0%

4.1%

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

Loan to Value Ratio

(%)

43

32

36

38

30

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

Page 18: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

INVESTMENT REVIEW

Page 19: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Investment Market Outlook Income continues to take centre stage

• Investment market tale of two halves

• H1 impacted by Brexit uncertainty

• H2 bounced back and increased liquidity

• Market increasingly selective

• Lot size, geography, over renting and lease lengths

• Asset level calls take on greater importance

• Performance will continue to polarise

• Real estate returns to be dominated by income & income growth

• Investor demand strong in the logistics market

• But…..increasingly selective in the retail market

19 1. Source: Gerald Eve

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Q1 2

016

Q2 2

016

Q3 2

016

Q4 2

016

Q1 2

017

Industrial investment (£bn)1

Page 20: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Investment Focus Investing in the right structural calls

• Continued rotation out of multi-let retail into distribution

• Selling mature retail parks once business plans complete

• Investing in structurally supported distribution

• Building a portfolio of end to end logistics

• Targeting urban logistics where value underscored by strong terminal value

• Progressing committed developments at attractive yield on

costs

• 70%+ distribution by end of this financial year

20

Urban logistics portfolio1

£185m Increased from 8 assets to 26 assets

Committed short cycle development

£58m Spent within 9 months

Urban logistics acquisitions in year

£97m PPE £24m completed

Retail, leisure & residential disposals

£148m 6.1% NIY

1. Including PPE transactions

Page 21: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Distribution acquisitions Deploying cash into the most attractive subsector of distribution - urban logistics

21

• Building an end to end logistics portfolio

• Urban logistics portfolio of £185m across 26 assets

• 15 investments for £98m at 6.2%

• 78% acquired off market

• £24m of PPE investments and a further £43m in legals

Urban Logistics

Leeds

• £11.9m (2 assets)

• 6.0% NIY

• Siemens & Vision Alert

• 3 yrs & 15 yrs WAULTs

Dartford

• £6.3m

• 6.0% NIY

• Antalis

• 10 yrs WAULT

Stevenage

• £7.3m

• 6.25% NIY

• Dixons Carphone

• 9yrs WAULT

Basildon

• £3.8m

• 6.5% NIY

• Modular Heating

• 4yrs WAULT

PPE - £24 million

• £23.9m (3 assets)

• 6.0% NIY

• Crawley, Coventry &

Huyton

26 urban logistics assets

Page 22: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Distribution developments Delivering short cycle big box developments at attractive yield on costs

22

Amazon, Warrington

• Delivered 357,000 sq ft warehouse

• Let to Amazon 5 weeks post PC

• New 15 year lease

• CPI uplifts

• 7.1% yield on cost

Eddie Stobart, Dagenham

• New 180,000 sq ft modern warehouse

• Working in partnership with existing tenant

• New 26 year lease on 436,000 sq ft

• RPI uplifts

• 5.7% yield on cost

Poundworld, Wakefield

• Delivered 527,000 sq ft warehouse

• Let to Poundworld

• New 15 year lease

• RPI uplifts

• 6.3% yield on cost

Page 23: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Disposals Monetising mature assets to reinvest into higher growth opportunities

23

• Rotation out of mature retail parks

• 10 mature retail assets for £127.6m1, NIY: 6.3%

• 1 leisure asset for £9.1m, NIY: 5.5%

• Retail Park portfolio reduced from 27% two years’ ago to 13% today

• PPE, three assets sold for £41.1m at NIY: 5.3%

Retail and Leisure

• 21 disposals for £10.8m1

• 12 sold / under offer PPE

• 91 sold / under offer

• 58 remaining

Residential

Loughborough

• Sold post period end

• £32.5m

• 4.3% NIY

Kings Lynn

• Sold Sept 16

• £24.0m

• 5.8% NIY

Christchurch

• Sold Mar 17

• £34.5m

• 5.7% NIY

Bedford

• Sold Mar 17

• £14.3m

• 5.9% NIY

Moore House JV

• Residential

• LM Share: 40%

1. Investment values shown are LondonMetric’s share

Page 24: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

PROPERTY REVIEW

Page 25: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Distribution Portfolio1

64%2 of portfolio providing end to end logistics

25

Mega Distribution

• 7 assets, 4.7m sq ft

• £24.8m rent (av £5.30 psf)

• Average NIY3 4.8%

• WAULT 14.2 years

• ERV growth +3.3%

• Reviews +9.1%4 above previous passing

Regional Distribution

• 12 assets, 2.9m sq ft

• £17.2m rent (av £6.20 psf)

• Average NIY3 5.0%

• WAULT 13.7 years

• ERV growth +8.1%

• Reviews +9.8%4 above previous passing

Urban Logistics2

• 26 assets, 1.8m sq ft

• £11.7m rent (av £6.60 psf)

• Average NIY3 5.7%

• WAULT 8.5 years

• ERV growth +9.5%

• Reviews +16.9%4 above previous passing

1. As at 31 March 2017 2. Adjusted to include for PPE transactions and Crawley development 3. Topped up NIY 4. 5 yearly uplift on rent reviews

Page 26: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Retail Portfolio1

Portfolio biased to management light and long income

26

Retail Parks

• 10 assets, 0.7m sq ft

• £13.0m rent (av £17.90 psf)

• Average NIY 5.9%2

• WAULT 11.1 years

• 10 rent reviews settled

• 6.3%3 ahead of previous passing

JV Long Income

• 27 assets, 0.5m sq ft

• £7.9m rent (av £16.60 psf)

• Average NIY 6.6%2

• WAULT 11.7 years

• 8 rent reviews settled

• 9.5%3 ahead of previous passing

Convenience & Leisure

• 19 assets, 0.6m sq ft

• £8.8m rent (av £16.10 psf)

• Average NIY 5.3%2

• WAULT 18.9 years

• 9 rent reviews settled

• 8.2%3 ahead of previous passing

1. All numbers as at 31 March 2017 2. Topped up NIY 3. 5 yearly uplift on rent reviews

Page 27: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Asset Management Activity

27

No. Area

(000 Sq Ft)

£m

uplift

% above

previous

passing

LFL rental

growth

WAULT

(Years)

New Lettings 33 1,238 5.83 n/a1 2.9 18.2

Rent Reviews 36 4,118 1.34 4.6 (9.5)2 1.7 -

FY 17 69 5,356 7.1 4.6 (9.5)2 4.6 -

New lettings excl Dagenham – WAULT 13.5 years & average incentive of 15 months3

New lease lengths >15yrs = 44% , >10yrs = 80%

Return on asset management capex +7.1%

1. As new lettings involved material new space, comparison against previous passing has not been provided. Previous passing rent on the lettings was £5.0 million 2. Number in brackets is on a 5 yearly basis 3. Rental uplift from lettings was 10.6% above ERV. Excluding the Eddie Stobart regear at Dagenham, ERV uplift was 2.6% 4. Rent reviews were undertaken at 4.3% above ERV

Page 28: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Committed and Pipeline Developments Short cycle and derisked

28

Stoke

• New 137,000 sq ft pre-let to Michelin

• New 15 year lease with fixed uplifts

• In discussions on remaining 137,000 sq ft

• Committed - PC Q1 2018

• £23m total cost

• 6.3% yield on cost1

Crawley

• New c110,000 sq ft development

• New 15 year lease agreed on 30%

• Strong interest on remaining 75,000 sq ft

• Committed - PC Q4 2017

• £20m total cost

• 6.3% yield on cost1

Bedford

• Planning for up to 700,000 sq ft

• Conditional exchange & currently

purifying purchase conditions

• Land purchase expected by end 2017

• £61m total cost

• 7.0% yield on cost1

1. Based on anticipated rents

Page 29: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

FY 2017 Property Performance Relative outperformance

29

Total Return Income Return Capital Return

FY to March 17 LMP IPD LMP IPD LMP IPD

Distribution 9.9 8.1 5.3 5.2 4.4 2.8

Retail 6.1 2.8 6.2 5.1 -0.1 -2.3

Core Portfolio 8.8 5.7 2.9

Total Portfolio 7.4 4.6 5.6 4.7 1.7 -0.1

LMP Distribution outperformance 180 bps

LMP Retail outperformance 330 bps

Page 30: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

OUTLOOK

Page 31: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Occupier Outlook UK most sophisticated online shopping market

31

• Consumer shopping patterns continue to change

• Technology is disrupting traditional retailing

• Store “rightsizing” continues

• Distribution & fulfilment becoming more important than stores

• Supply chains are adapting to increased:

• Online purchases

• Same and next day delivery demands

• Increasing volumes of returns

• Increasing demand across all 3 segments of logistics market

• Retailers account for c65% of demand

1. E-tail = retail business conducted online; 2015 all non food e-tail expenditure = £34bn 2. Sources: Verdict, IMRG, company disclosures (John Lewis), CBRE 3. UK population = 66m; 26m households

Online non-food sales1

20% Rising to 26% in 2020 (+£16bn)

Parcel deliveries up

18% y-o-y Average 46 per household

Take up for year to March 17

31.0m sq ft Amazon >20%

Availability as at March 17

21.1m sq ft Acute shortage of supply

Reverse logistics demand

27% Of all online sales returned

Page 32: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Market Outlook “Market uncertainty is the friend of the investor looking for long term value”

32

• Low interest rate environment creating a desperate

search for income

• Ageing population increases need for regular income

• Long income very well bid

• Real estate returns increasingly dominated by income

and income growth

• Income compounding likely to outperform hyper active strategies

• This is what a REIT was created to provide

• Polarisation of performance

• The tectonic plates in retail are shifting

• Structural calls will define the winners and losers

• Not all income is the same

Income as % of Total Returns1

2017f: 83%

2018f: 86%

2019f: 106%

2020f: 106%

2021f: 93%

Av: 95% (89% 6m ago)

1. Source: Capital Economics

Page 33: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Our Focus Aligning ourselves to the right side of the structural shifts

33

• Structural Trends

• Income is increasingly central to our total return model

• Our focus on income and terminal value provides us with comfort in uncertain times

• The retail backdrop is changing and so we have pivoted our approach

• Our sector call on logistics means we are on the right side of this change

• Real estate market

• Investing in assets that yield us more than the cost of our dividend

• A focus on locations where value will be higher in 5 years time

• A rational real estate strategy without the burden of legacy

• Compounding income with structural support

• Adopting a true REIT strategy

Page 34: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

APPENDICES

Page 35: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

First

Quarter

Second

Quarter

Third

Quarter

Fourth

Quarter

Post

Period End

35

FY 17 – Year in Review

7.25pps

dividend for

FY 16

Crawley

Development

acquired

£130m debt

private

placement

£55m

retail

park disposals Amazon

letting at

Warrington

Eddie Stobart &

Michelin

lettings

£95m Equity

Raise

£61m

Retail

disposals

2.1p Q4

dividend

Quarterly

dividend

paid

EU Referendum

£40m Urban

Logistics

acquisitions

First scrip

dividend offered

B&Q

surrenders

and full re-let

+17% POC

7.50pps

dividend for

FY 17

£12m Urban

Logistics

acquisitions

£16m

Urban

Logistics

acquisitions

Urban

Logistics

Portfolio

reaches

£100m

£16m

retail park

disposals

Sale of retail

park and

acquisition of

urban logistics

asset

1.8p Q1

dividend

1.8p Q2

dividend

1.8p Q3

dividend

Loughborough

sold for £32.5m

at 4.25% NIY

Further £24m of

urban logistics

acquisitions

Page 36: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Portfolio Metrics

36

Area Valuation

(Share) Revaluation

Surplus/(Deficit) Occupancy NIY1 WAULT (years) Rent

roll Fixed uplifts

Average rent

(£ psf)

As at 31-Mar-17 (m sq ft) (£m) (£m) (%) (%) (%) expiry break (£m) (%) Existing

Mega distribution 4.7 477.8 (0.7) (0.2) 100.0 4.8 14.2 13.9 24.8 74.1 5.30

Regional distribution 2.9 303.4 22.1 7.8 100.0 5.0 13.7 12.4 17.2 59.7 6.20

Urban logistics 1.4 146.2 3.7 2.6 100.0 5.8 7.9 7.3 8.9 8.8 6.40

Distribution 9.0 927.4 25.1 2.8 100.0 5.0 12.9 12.3 50.9 57.8 5.70

Retail – wholly owned 0.7 197.0 (5.9) (2.9) 99.1 5.9 11.1 9.3 13.0 27.7 17.90

Retail – convenience 0.3 93.0 3.5 3.9 98.1 4.8 17.8 17.4 4.8 78.6 17.10

Long JV Income (MIPP,DFS) 1.1 114.8 3.1 0.7 100.0 6.6 11.7 11.5 7.9 13.6 16.60

Retail Subtotal 2.1 404.8 (0.5) (0.1) 99.2 5.8 12.5 11.5 25.7 32.8 17.30

Leisure 0.3 63.2 2.9 4.9 100.0 5.8 20.2 20.2 4.0 100.0 15.10

Core portfolio 11.4 1,395.4 27.5 2.0 99.7 5.3 13.1 12.4 80.6 51.8 7.60

Office 0.2 70.0 (10.0) (12.4) 96.7 6.5 7.2 7.0 4.9 60.9 22.00

Investment portfolio 11.6 1,465.4 17.5 1.2 99.6 5.4 12.8 12.1 85.5 52.4 7.90

Residential – 41.1 (3.1) (6.9) 0.5

Developments2 0.4 27.3 6.6 31.8 1.3

Total 12.0 1,533.8 21.0 1.4 87.3

1. Topped up NIY 2. Includes contracted rent at Stoke and Ipswich

Page 37: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

37

Our Income Metrics Our occupier-led approach at the centre of our decision making

Income exposure to retailers

77% of total rental income

Income exposure to PLCs

79% of total rental income

Within next 3 years

1.2% of income expires

1. Investment portfolio as at 31 Mar 2017 2. Gross rental income based on annualised rents 3. Market capitalisations as at May 2017 4. Market capitalisation of parent company

Tenant

Rent

(£m pa)

% of total

Rent

Market cap

(£bn)3

9.5 11.0 22.24

6.2 7.2 4.5

5.5 6.3 5.8

4.1 4.7 5.64

4.1 4.7 0.6

3.5 4.0 3.14

3.3 3.8 4.1

3.0 3.5 58.2

3.0 3.4 0.6

2.8 3.2 34.54

Total 45.0 51.8

Other commercial 41.8 48.2

Residential 0.5

Total 87.3

Contractual uplifts on

52.4% of portfolio

Page 38: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Top 10 Assets as at 31 March 2017

38

Name Principal occupiers

Annualised

net rent (£m)

Let by

income (%)

WAULT

(years)

Primark, Islip Primark 5.4 100 23.5

Primark, Thrapston Primark 4.1 100 15.5

Dixons Carphone, Newark Dixons Carphone 4.4 100 16.3

Argos, Bedford Argos 3.8 100 5.7

Eddie Stobart, Dagenham Eddie Stobart 4.1 100 26.5

Marlow International, Marlow Allergan, Dunn &

Bradstreet 4.9 97 7.2

Royal Mail, Daventry Royal Mail 2.5 100 6.4

Poundworld, Wakefield Poundworld 2.6 100 14.5

Marks & Spencer, Sheffield M&S 2.6 100 6.7

Kirkstall Bridge Shopping Park, Leeds Various 2.4 95 11.4

Page 39: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Investment Yields

39

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

11.0%

Retail - good

secondary

RW - prime

restricted solus

RW - prime

restricted RP

RW - secondary Distribution - prime Industrial - good

secondary

Peak yields Trough yields Mean yields Current yields 1 StdDev

Source: CBRE, May 2017 – yields assume rack rented 15 year leases let to strong covenants with open market rent reviews

Page 40: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Investment Activity

Acquisitions

40

Price LMP share NIY WAULT

ACQUISITIONS H1 Sector Date (£m) (£m) (%) to expiry to 1st break

Basildon Distribution May ’16 3.8 3.8 6.5 4.0 4.0

Crawley Distribution May ‘16 20.0 20.0 6.3 - -

Hemel Hempstead Distribution June ’16 8.3 8.3 6.4 8.3 8.3

TOTAL H1 32.1 32.1 6.4 6.9 6.9

ACQUISITIONS H2

Stevenage Distribution Oct ’16 7.3 7.3 6.3 8.7 3.7

Bicester Distribution Nov ’16 3.2 3.2 5.9 9.5 4.0

Helical Portfolio Distribution Nov ’16 26.0 26.0 6.5 7.0 6.5

One Stop, Wakefield Distribution Dec ’16 9.5 9.5 5.7 6.2 6.2

Antalis, Dartford Distribution Feb ’17 6.3 6.3 6.0 10.0 5.0

Vision Alert, Leeds Distribution Mar ’17 7.9 7.9 6.0 14.8 14.81

Siemens, Leeds Distribution Mar ’17 4.0 4.0 6.1 3.1 3.12

Barker & Stonehouse Distribution Nov ‘16 10.7 10.7 5.2 15.0 15.0

Hull Retail Nov ’16 9.4 4.7 7.5 11.5 11.5

Dartford Retail Nov ’16 9.0 4.5 6.2 19.5 19.5

TOTAL H2 93.3 84.1 6.2 9.8 8.6

TOTAL ACTIVITY 125.4 116.2 6.2 9.4 8.3

40

Page 41: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

41

Investment Activity

Disposals Price LMP Share NIY WAULT

Disposals H1 Sector Date (£m) (£m) (%) to expiry to 1st break

Taunton Leisure Apr ’16 9.1 9.1 5.5 22.2 22.2

The Range, Bridgwater Retail Apr ’16 4.9 2.5 5.1 16.8 16.8

Chatham Retail Apr ’16 6.9 3.5 5.6 17.2 17.2

Grimsby Retail May ’16 4.1 2.0 6.4 19.0 14.0

Fordton Retail Park, Warrington Retail August ’16 6.6 6.6 5.4 14.8 14.8

Kings Lynn Retail Sept ’16 24.0 24.0 5.8 13.3 12.7

Newry Retail Sept ’16 30.7 30.7 7.4 10.1 7.6

Moore House Residential - 9.5 3.8 2.2 - -

TOTAL H1 95.8 82.2 6.4 13.0 11.6

Disposals H2

St Albans Retail Nov ’16 5.8 5.8 6.1 3.8 3.8

DFS Maidstone Retail Jan ’17 12.0 3.7 7.5 13.2 13.2

Bedford Retail Mar ’17 14.3 14.3 5.9 8.3 8.1

Christchurch Retail Mar ’17 34.5 34.5 5.7 7.0 7.0

Hut, Warrington Distribution Nov ’16 53.7 53.7 6.5 14.0 14.0

Yeovil Land Distribution Mar ’17 0.7 0.7 - - -

Moore House Residential - 17.5 7.0 2.3 - -

TOTAL H2 138.5 119.7 6.1 10.6 10.5

TOTAL ACTIVITY 234.3 201.9 6.2 11.6 11.0

Page 42: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

42

Investment Activity PPE

Price LMP share NIY WAULT

Acquisitions Sector (£m) (£m) (%) to expiry to 1st break

TNT, Crawley Distribution 6.4 6.4 4.8 6.4 0.9

DHL, Coventry Distribution 5.7 5.7 7.0 10.0 5.0

Antolin, Huyton Distribution 11.8 11.8 6.1 15.0 15.0

TOTAL 23.9 23.9 6.0 11.7 9.1

Disposals

Morrisons, Loughborough Retail 32.5 32.5 4.3 24.8 24.8

Vue, Birkenhead Leisure 5.8 5.8 7.2 11.7 11.7

Newcastle Retail 2.8 2.8 8.0 9.0 9.0

Moore House Residential 1.6 0.7 3.3 - -

TOTAL 42.7 41.8 5.3 20.1 20.1

TOTAL ACTIVITY 66.6 65.7 5.1 16.7 15.5

42

Page 43: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Committed Developments Summary

43

Location Sq ft (‘000’)

Comment

Expected PC3 date

Rent roll / uplift (£m)

YOC2

(%)

Stoke 277 137,000 sq ft pre-let Q1’18 1.41 6.3

Dagenham 180 Fully pre-let Q2’18 0.9 5.7

Crawley 114 35,000 sq ft pre-let agreed Dec ’17 1.31 6.3

Tonbridge 53 Fully pre-let Jul ‘17 0.3 6.1

Ipswich 31 23,000 sq ft pre-let Q4 ’17 0.71 7.1

Launceston 30 Fully pre-let Q4 ’17 0.3 6.2

Total 685 4.9 6.3

1. Based on anticipated rents 2. Yield on cost 3. Practical completion

Capex (£m) Total Cost

Costs to Mar 17

FY 18

Stoke 23 8 15

Dagenham 16 1 15

Crawley 20 9 11

Tonbridge 5 2 3

Ipswich 9 4 5

Launceston 4 0 4

Total 77 24 53

Total commitments at 31 March 2017 are £58m. Excludes Bedford

development which is pipeline – see property section for further detail

Page 44: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

Debt Facilities As at 31 March 2017

Facility Drawn Maturity

Sector Lender (£m) (£m) (years) Expiry

Wholly-owned portfolio

Distribution term loan Distribution Helaba 196.2 196.2 4.7 28-Nov-21

Unsecured RCF All Syndicate 337.5 111.8 5.0 01-Apr-22

Unsecured RCF All Syndicate 106.3 35.2 4.0 01-Apr-22

Private Placement All Syndicate 65.0 65.0 6.5 21-Sept-23

Private Placement All Syndicate 40.0 40.0 7.5 21-Sept-24

Private Placement All Syndicate 25.0 25.0 11.5 21-Sept-28

Total wholly-owned 770.0 473.2 5.5

JV portfolio (LondonMetric at share)

MIPP JV (50%) Retail Deutsche Pfandbriefbank 40.9 38.0 2.8 22-Jan-20

DFS JV (30.5%) Retail M&G 16.5 16.5 2.3 23-Jul-19

Total JV portfolio 57.4 54.5 2.7

Total Group and JV 827.4 527.7 5.2

44

44

Page 45: FULL YEAR RESULTS · PPE 2 Warrington Bedford Developments3 1. Includes l-f-l income and reduction in property costs 2. Excludes Loughborough disposal which does not complete until

• L-f-l energy usage fell 6% v 2015/16

• L-f-l GHG emissions fell 17% v 2015/16

• Saved £0.3m in costs over two years

Our significantly improved sustainability performance and disclosure has been rewarded with a GRESB Green Star, EPRA sBPR Gold award and a much improved

FTSE4Good score

Responsible Business Good progress towards achieving our 2018 targets, allowing us to build on our sustainability achievements

45

• We place great importance on sustainability, reflecting the increasing investor focus on ESG

• Our Responsible Business Policy was published in 2014 following a detailed sustainability review

• Since then, in conjunction with our sustainability adviser JLL, we set two yearly targets:

• for the period 2014-16, we achieved 92% of our targets

• in the current period 2016-18, we are making good progress against our 33 targets

• Each year, we publish a Responsible Business Report on our website

Fully integrating Responsible Business across our activities

• Achieved GRESB Green

Star in FY17

• Gold Award received

from EPRA for reporting

• Significantly improved

Environmental Performance Investment

• Reported that 100% of our assets are rated ‘E’ or above

• Detailed DD on environmental matters at time of acquisition

Asset Management

• Compliant with all regulatory drivers

• Target asset improvements

• Work with occupiers to drive efficiencies

Development

• Built five BREEAM Very Good rated assets 93% of waste diverted from landfill

• Supply chain actively monitored through our Procurement Policy

• Our property activities bring significant benefits to local areas

• We engage with all stakeholders, support local causes and are community minded

Recognition

Picture: 1MW of solar installed at our Dixons DC in Newark

Community & Charity


Recommended