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Know First • Be First • Profit First

Craig RispinBusiness Futurist & Innovation Expert

www.FutureTrendsGroup.comcraig@futuretrendsgroup.com

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People

Business Technology

Life

SciencesWork/LifeShift

Glo

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lised

Ac

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lera

tion

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The future is already here...

it’s just not very evenly distributed.

William Gibson

What’s Happening in This Photo from Singapore?

What’s Happening in This Photo from Singapore?

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Karl Fisch - TheFischBowl.blogspot.com

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Discuss with a Partner:

What Did You Find Most Surprising in the Video

“Did You Know”?

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“If change is happening on the outside faster than on the inside the end is in sight.”

-Jack Welch

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People

Business Technology

Life

SciencesWork/LifeShift

Glo

ba

lised

Ac

ce

lera

tion

Age Gap

Education Re-Engineering

Global Mobility

Free Agency

End of Retirement

Un-Bell Curve

OutrageousOutsourcing

MarketingMegatrend

Virtual Business

InnovationImperative

Speed & Size

Cloud Computing

CoITRobots Rise

Coworking

UnbreakableTech

Mobile Madness

http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732

Your mobile phone has

all of NASA in 1969. more computing power than

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How Big is Mobile Today?

7B People in the World

6B Mobile Subscribers

1B 3G/4G Subscribers

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40

60

80

100

120

Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19

Quarters Since Launch

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iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape

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iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch

Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.

Data as of CQ3:10.

Desktop Internet

AOL*

v 2.0 Launched 9/94

Mobile Internet

NTT docomo i-mode

Launched 6/99

Mobile Internet

iPhone + iTouch + iPad

Launched 6/07

~120MM+

~32MM

~9MM

Desktop Internet

Netscape*

Launched 12/94

~27MM

Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before

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40

60

80

100

Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19

Quarters Since Launch

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bers

(MM

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iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape

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iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch

Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.

Desktop Internet

AOL*

v 2.0 Launched 9/94

Mobile Internet

NTT docomo i-mode

Launched 6/99

Mobile Internet

iPhone + iTouch

Launched 6/07

~85MM

~31MM

~8MM

Desktop Internet

Netscape*

Launched 12/94

~18MM

Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge

380M

Up

20

40

60

80

100

Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19

Quarters Since Launch

Sub

scri

bers

(MM

)

iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape

7

iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch

Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.

Desktop Internet

AOL*

v 2.0 Launched 9/94

Mobile Internet

NTT docomo i-mode

Launched 6/99

Mobile Internet

iPhone + iTouch

Launched 6/07

~85MM

~31MM

~8MM

Desktop Internet

Netscape*

Launched 12/94

~18MM

Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge

468M

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600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

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hipm

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Quarters After Launch

iPad iPhone iPod

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Glo

bal U

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hipm

ents

(000

)

Quarters After Launch

iPad iPhone iPod

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Glo

bal U

nit S

hipm

ents

(000

)

Quarters After Launch

iPad iPhone iPod

First 8 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad

Source: Apple, as of CQ1:12 (8 quarters post iPad launch).

iPods Changed Media Industry iPhones Ramped Even Faster iPad Growth (3x iPhone) Leaves “Siblings” in Dust

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Money

Access

Body

Engines

Metering

Control

Security

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Partner Questions:

What’s your favorite smartphone app and why?

Do you have a mobile strategy at your organisation?

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Let’s explore trends in the wider

education world...

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Discuss:What’s The #1 Trend

Changing School Education Today?

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The Flipped Classroom

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Corporate Learning Trends

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Are You Ignoring a $US18 Billion Opportunity?

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Laura Stack-NSA Past President

“Craig, 50% of all my engagements are

now virtual or hybrid. This trend is heading your way.”

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NSA White Paper

Download it here: bit.ly/nsaawa

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NSA White Paper - Emerging Trends

Globalisation

Shifting Decision Makers

Virtual Delivery

Multimedia Sophistication

Hybrid Meetings

Information Access

Networking and Interaction

Green Meetings

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Virtual Delivery

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Virtual Delivery

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Virtual Delivery

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Hybrid Meetings...events that combines both face-to-face and virtual experience for local and remote attendees.

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19,000 Attendees / 195 Countries

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Gamification

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Offer for ILP Members:

Get Out a Business Card Now for: a LinkedIn Connection,

& Click Below for an Invitation to My Virtual Workshop:

“Make a Mobile App in 60 Minutes”

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And Now Some Awesome Entertainment for Teachers, Trainers,

Learners and Peace Lovers

Click to Next Slide for Music Video