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2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Hossein Moiin
CTO, Nokia Siemens Networks
Broadband from today to 2015 and beyondChallenges and Opportunities
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Transforming lives &work
Individualisation & socialisation
Clouds/Network are the computer
Transforming all industries
Adoption
Communication technologies as transformation agents
Adaptation Absorption
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Uncertain TIMES Where are the trends leading ?
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Example: Brasilians like the Internet experience and are very enthusiastic regarding usage in future
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Would upgrade their fixed Internet access at home
Would spend more time on the mobile Internet in the future
Source: Nokia Siemens Networks Broadband study 2009
81%
63%
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Where are the bottlenecks and limitations?
Spectrum is a limited resource
The data tornado needs to be managed
Content rich apps challenge long loop copper lines
Streaming & interactivity drive need for low latency networks Cloud computing
adoption will stress the network
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
The challenge to realize the broadband opportunitiesNeed for highly scalable networks @ lowest cost per bit
Voice/data revenue growth 3% YoY
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
1200%
20150 Bn$
500 Bn$
1.000 Bn$
1.500 Bn$
2.000 Bn$
2.500 Bn$
3.000 Bn$
Broadband data and new subscribers drive growth …
2009
Voice
Data
Voice
Data
But there will be a gap between traffic and revenue growth
Traffic growthof 50% YoY
Subs growthof 10% YoY
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
The blueprint for an “indiversal” networkCustomer & value centric - evolve to the Network of One
One Agileoperation
One Simplifiednetwork
One Flexibleservice delivery
Holistic approach to efficiency and experience
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
How to meet near-term demands for broadband @home?
FTTC/B with VDSL2is the most cost effective way to satisfy the need for 50 Mbps per household
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
It becomes difficult to satisfy bandwidth hunger with today's access technologies
upstream downstream
50 50 100Mbps
Web surfing
HDTV
Video Sharing
Super HDTV
Gaming
Applications bandwidth demand100Mbps
ADSL
ADSL2+
upstream downstream
GPON
Docsis3.0
VDSL2
50 50
Access technology capabilities (today)100Mbps
100Mbps
3x HDTV
Surfing
Gaming
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Next Generation Optical Access – NGOA1)Shaping the colorful future of broadband access
One wavelength per customer: unshared 1Gbps symmetrical
Up to 100 km reach2) and high splitting factor of 1000 2)
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Technology evolution supports mobile broadbandHigh data rates in the most efficient way
The ultimate mobile broadband experience with LTE and LTE-A
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Enabling the mobile broadband experienceCapacity and coverage count
of cells carryof the traffic
for rural coverage for high capacity
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Heterogeneous Networks The Combined Benefit of Wide & Local Area
Wide Area• Majority of cells • Beyond 300 m
Medium Area• Share growing• 100-300m
Hot spots• Share growing• 10-100m
Indoor• Share growing• 1-10m
Femto
LTE
TD-LTE
LTE-ATD-LTE-A
GSM
HSPA+WiFi
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Delivering the mobile broadband experience meansmore base stations, more cell sites and higher backhaul capacity
PDH vs Ethernet:Annual Mobile Backhaul Service Charges per Connection
Source: Infonetics Research (2010)Source: ABI Research 2010
21% of CAPEX for mobile backhaul
Backhaul is going to IP/Ethernet for lowest cost per bit and to fit with all-IP services
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
Full-packet mobile backhaul networkevolution starts today via any access media
LTE ready backhaulProvide synchronization, meet latency targets and optimize connectivity between NodeBs
NG backhaulLeverage technologies like NGOA, packet microwave radio, LTE-A relaying
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Providing an “Identity” bridge between Connectivity and Applications
Applications
Connectivity
GSMGPRSEDGE
HSPALTE
WLANWiMAX
DSLPON
Mobile TVAdvertising
Payments
Social Networks
IPTV
Gaming
ID Provider
HTTPDigest
GAA/GBA
OpenID SAML
2.0
MAP
EAP RADIUS
Diameter
Identity Management
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Internet
Cellphones
Laptops
Adoption
Adaptation
Absorption
Smart Phones
eReaders
Objectsconnected
Connectedcar
A market on the moveDevelopment of smart ‘things’ & the “indiversal” network
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23
We need to work collectivelly as an industry to provide enriching services and ensure CSPs real growth.
LTE, SON and all-IP transport networks will enhance the end user broadband experience.
CSPs will have the corner stones to integrate web and network providing enriching services.
Mobile broadband is a key technology component to increase Brazilians’ digital inclusion.
2010 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Thank you
Futurecom Brazil, October 2010 04/08/23