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FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION 06 February 2013
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Page 1: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

FY 2012ANALYST PRESENTATION

06 February 2013

Page 2: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Cautionary Statement

2

This presentation contains forward-looking statements about Mobistar, inparticular for 2013 and 2014. Although Mobistar believes these statements arebased on reasonable assumptions, these forward-looking statements are subjectto numerous risks and uncertainties, including matters not yet known to us ornot currently considered material by us, and there can be no assurance thatanticipated events will occur or that the objectives set out will actually beachieved. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materiallyfrom the results anticipated in the forward-looking statements include, amongothers, the impact of the price adjustments on the customer base resulting fromthe competitive pressure and the economic situation in Belgium, theeffectiveness of Mobistar convergent strategy including the success and marketacceptance of the voice and date abundance plans, the Mobistar TV offers, theMobistar brand and other strategic, operating and financial initiatives, Mobistar’sability to adapt to the on-going transformation of the telecommunicationsindustry, regulatory developments and constraints and the outcome of legalproceedings, risks and uncertainties related to business activity.

Page 3: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

3

Definitions

ARPU: Monthly average revenue per user is based on a rolling 12 months average taking into consideration total Incoming & outgoing revenues voice, SMS and MMM, visitor roaming ( excl.: MatMa, MVNO, IFRS, MBB )

AUPU: Monthly average usage per user, defined as total usage for the 12 previous months divided by the weighted average number of customers

M2M: =Machine-to-machine = MatMa. M2M´ cards are not included in the number of active customers since 2012

Mobile Multimedia: (MMM): Wireless high-speed internet access on handset devices

Mobile broadband (MBB): Wireless high-speed internet access through a portable modem / card, on tablets, netbooks, notebooks and laptops. (Internet Everywhere)

MTR: Mobile Termination Rate is the per minute charge paid by a telecommunications network operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator

MNP: Mobile number portability is a service that allows a cellphone customer to change telecom carrier and keep the same phone number

NPS (Net Promoter Score): A measure of customer loyalty. It is obtained by asking customers a single question on a scale of 0 to 10 where 10 is 'extremely likely' and 0 is 'not likely at all’.

Organic cash-flow: Net cash flow from operations less acquisitions of tangible and intangible assets, plus proceeds from disposals of tangible and intangible assets and excludingspectrum license fee and acquisition of subsidiary

Operating cash-flow = EBITDA - capex.

Page 4: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

4

Agenda

•Key Highlights

•Operating Results

•Topics in the Spotlight

•Financial Review

•Outlook 2013-2015

Werner De LaetChief Financial Officer

Jean Marc HarionChief Executive Officer

Olivier YsewijnChief Strategy Officer

Siddy JobeDirector Investor Relations & Corporate Finance

Cristina ZanchiChief Customer Experience & Loyalty Officer

Gabriel FlichyChief TechnologyOfficer

Page 5: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

KEYHIGHLIGHTS2012 MARKET REVIEW2012 COMPANY HIGHLIGHTS4 STRATEGIC PRIORITIES 2012 GUIDANCE

Page 6: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

A lot of things changed in 2012 in Belgium; but so far, regulation, technology and market changes have impacted mainly mobile.

6

Mobile market under pressure

MTR regulation

Roaming regulation

New Telecom Law

Open competition: 45 MVNOs

Fixed to mobile predatory tariffs

Messaging apps cannibalizing

SMS, voice

Handsets subsidies

Page 7: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

7

2012 was intense for Mobistar too

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

SepOct

Nov DecPersonal Checkup

IP VPN offer

Full MVNO with Telenet extended

Page 8: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar continued to deliver on its 4 strategic priorities

MMM = Mobile multimedia on handsets 8

Animal plans reaching 43% of residential postpaid customersAnimal plans reaching 43% of residential postpaid customers

MMM attach rate on contract base increased to 77.3%MMM attach rate on contract base increased to 77.3%

Launch of Personal CheckupLaunch of Personal Checkup

Odyssey 140 M EUR gross savings since 2010 vs 100MOdyssey 140 M EUR gross savings since 2010 vs 100M

New ACE program targeting 100Mio EUR in gross savingsNew ACE program targeting 100Mio EUR in gross savings

Increased Customer satisfaction in all touch pointsIncreased Customer satisfaction in all touch points

First 4G pilots live in Antwerp and Luxembourg-City First 4G pilots live in Antwerp and Luxembourg-City

IRISNET2 network: 200km fiber, 9000 mobile cards, 122 sitesIRISNET2 network: 200km fiber, 9000 mobile cards, 122 sites

Differentiatewith services everywhere

Consolidate Leadership in

Mobile

DeliverBest in class

Customer Service

LeadIndustryEfficiency

Waiting time -25%Waiting time -25%

Page 9: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar reached its 2012 objectives

* FY12 EBITDA included EUR 17.5m reversal of provisions related to universal services and EUR 9.8m other income related to IRISnet 1

** Organic cash flow defined as net cash flow from operations less acquisitions of tangible and intangible assets, excluding spectrum license fee and acquisition of subsidiary. The FY12 guidance did not include the 54M€ tax payments for the 2011 corporate tax. The actual result includes the tax payment.

Total Turnover

9

EBITDA *

Capex/Service Revenue

Net profit

Organic cash flow **

2011 Actuals 2012 Guidance 2012 Results

1.658 M EUR 1.625 M EUR 1651 M EUR

530 M EUR 460 - 500 M EUR 494 M EUR *

12.2% ~12% 13%

221 M EUR 157 - 182 M EUR 186 M EUR

242 M EUR 170 - 195 M EUR 172 M EUR

Page 10: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

OPERATIONALUPDATE

MARKET DYNAMICS

CUSTOMERS, PRICE & TRAFFIC EVOLUTION

MOBILE DATA

B2B: M2M & IRISNET

WHOLESALE BUSINESS

Page 11: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

In a competitive & open mobile market, Mobistar continued to grow organically by 3%

11

Mobistar group turnover evolution (In Mio EUR)

11

50

1.651

+3%

FY2012Organic growth

62

210

MVNO impact*

FY 2011 excl regulatory impacts

1.600

Regulatory impact

59

-29

-30

1.658

FY 2011

MobistarOrange Lux.Mobistar + Orange Lux.

MVNO MTR and full MVNO impact*Regulation RoamingRegulation MTRhandsets

(*) At the end of June 2011still 1/3 of the customers where light MVNO customers

Page 12: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar FY12 net adds are positive thanks to increasing Postpaid Customer base and MVNO

12

5556

120 108

86

148

-19

118

114%117%115%114%113%112%112%

Q4 12Q3 12

-364

69

-433

Q2 12

203

55

Q1 12

71

-15

Q4 11

161

53

Q3 11

162

42

Q2 11

78

22

Q1 11

17

36

Active Penetration**Mobistar Net adds*Competition Net adds**

2228

3825

-26-18-18

-25-10

20

Q4 12

119

-28

-41

Q3 12

6813

Q2 12

55

Q1 12

20

Q4 11

53

-47

Q3 11

44

Q2 11

22

Q1 11

36

-5

55

MVNO net addsPrepaid net addsPostpaid net adds

(*) incl. MVNO customers, excl. MATMA, Internet Everywhere and OLU customers(**) Source: Mobistar estimates based on Cy announcements and Plan Bureau

(*) incl. MVNO customers, excl. MATMA, Internet Everywhere and OLU customers

Mobistar net adds split (k users)Market net adds split (k users)

and mobile penetration

Page 13: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

• Animals segmented offers were launched in April 2012: Mobistar was first in Belgium to offer contracts without commitment

• Unlimited elements in almost all the price plans (unlimited calls or texts or access to social networks or surfing)

Due to the launch of our Animals, Mobistar was well equipped to address an even more competitive market

13

Animals43%

Old tariff plans 57%

Offer split residential postpaid December 2012 (8,5 month after launch)

Monthly Mobile Number Portability Residential Postpaid

• Animal offers enriched by adding Data & Voice in November 2012. • Introduction of ‘Personal Check-Up’ boosting future migration• Tactical handset subsidy during Christmas period

New Telecom law became effective as from August 1st, except for the 6 month contract rule, which only became effective as of October 1st

October November DecemberSeptemberAugust

Successful Launch EOY 2012 promo

Week 40 = October 1 =

OPEN

+

-

Page 14: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Postpaid Customer base increased in FY12 and reached 68.2% of Customer base

14

Mobistar customers (in k customers)

Q2 2011

4.009

64,3%

Q1 2011

68,1%63,9%

FY10

3.951

63,6%

3.987

FY12

4.320

68,2%

Q3 2012

4.213

Q2 2012

4.144

68%

Q1 2012

4.090

67,0%

FY11

65,0%

4.105

66,3%

Q3 2011

4.035

Postpaid as a % of total customer base

Postpaid - RES

Postpaid - BUS

Prepaid

Laptop cards

MVNO

(*) incl. Light & Full MVNO excl. OLU

Po

stpaid

Custo

mer b

ase +

8.340 subscrib

ers Y-o-Y

Page 15: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar revised its service-oriented distribution remuneration scheme protects us in a volatile market

Dealer remuneration based on gross adds performanceArpu profile (My series)

ARPU out of promo

ARPU in

promo

Arpu profile (Animals)

+

High Upfront, no airtime

Service oriented and ARPU related dealer remuneration

+

Lower Upfront + airtime

Customer gets promo for life

15

Page 16: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Excluding regulation, the mobile ARPU continued to grow thanks to increased data usage

16

)

MBB = Mobile Broadband MMM = Mobile MultimediaData usage (per unique mobile multimedia user) * Number of unique MMM user/active ending base total market (MVNO excl.) mobile offers

Q4 2012

28,7

Usage

2,4

Price

-1,7

Roaming regulation

-0,6

MTR decrease

-0,8

Q4 2011

29,5

31,3

AUPU/month (in- & outgoing traffic)ARPU/month EUR

(incl. visitor roaming)

155147

156155154146155154161

338

302321313

291

203220216207216216

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

10

Q4 11

9

Q3 11Q1 11

6

277

Q4 10

280

Q3 12

12

207

Q2 12

10

327

Q1 12 Q4 12

18

276

7

272

Q2 11

6

Mb per MMM userSMSMb per MBB userVoice

Page 17: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobile multimedia adoption in Belgium is accelerating. 59% of persons that can, access mobile internet

Source : Omnibus, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, GfK Significant 17

Page 18: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobile data revenues reached 41.4% of Mobistar mobile service revenues

Mobile data uptake (in Mio EUR)

• 2 x more tablets

• +50 % more smartphones

• Global Mobile Multimedia AUPU increased by 112% in one year time, especially in Q4

18

Page 19: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Enterprise Mobility 3.0 is an opportunity to take the lead on the Fixed centric players

19

Page 20: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

M2M Leader in Belgium (70% of market share )

IRISnet 2: Next Generation Network

On May 11, 2012, Mobistar partners with the Brussels regional government for a period of 10 years

IRISnet 2 incorporated in July 2012 and operates the network as of November 2012

Mobistar manages the operation of the Next Generation Network (> 200km of fiber) for the Brussels Capital RegionMobistar was granted 2 lots

Lot 1: data transmission, fixed line telephony, added value services for 122 institutionsLot 2: voice and data mobile telephony (9000 mobile cards)

20

8 10

16

130

193

417

518

+33%+17%

13

+19%

2009 2010 2011

Mobistar B2B business continued to grow

Page 21: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

2012 highlightsMVNO Revenues & Customers

21

(*) At the end of June 2011still 1/3 of the customers where light MVNO customers

MVNO• Light & Full MVNO Customer base increased• Total MVNO performance impacted by MTR and

Telenet shift from Light to Full MVNO

Carrier Services

Innovative Services

Wholesale business strongly supported by MVNO strategy

Page 22: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

TOPICS IN THE SPOTLIGHTHAPPY CUSTOMERSPECTRUM & COVERAGEREGULATION

Page 23: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

The Happy Customer vision translated into a concrete 2012 and 2013 actions

CRM and Expert

support

Proactive + Reactive

Customer rel.

Deliver Multichannel

service

Enhance Customer Service

standards

Mobistar centers

Call centers

Customer Care

Client Culturewithin

Mobistar

Service Catalogue

Customer Test center

Voice of Customer

NPS

WEB

Mobistar Customer experience promise

23

Page 24: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Voice of the Customer: Listen, Act, Improve

24

2012 2012

Over 50 offers/products adjustmentsimplemented in the last 6 months

2012 2012

Customer Test CenterMore than 40 processes improved

Increased First Call resolution to 93%

Page 25: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar enhanced its Service standards

25

Stable & Accessible Customer Care

•100 % answered

within 5 days

Written requests

Calls

Easy access

Today

•70 % answered within 20 sec.

•Call/Letter/EmaiShop/Social

Written confirmation

•Confirmation of each verbal

agreement

Call back option

•Call back option after 2.5 min for all calls

•6x faster answer

Change for Customer

•25% less waiting time

•More Customer favorite

channels

•Clear confirmation of actions taken

No long waiting times

for customers

2011

•Call/Letter/EmaiShop

•57% answered within 20 sec.

100 % answered

within 30 days

+ 13 points NPS

Social Media:increase of users & posts

95 % emails treated within 5 working days, 80% treated within 3 working days

Over 30.000 replies on social media

Mobistar is mentioned every 2 minutes and 16 seconds on the web

95% of Care related Facebook posts are treated within 30-60 min.

25% of negative posts transformed into positive posts

2012

Page 26: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar focused on delivering multi-channel services

26

Webcare

2012

Improved customer satisfaction

Mystart : Expert assistance to get you started with your new smartphoneBack-up: Customers data copied to new device Handset repair : shorten Turn Around Time

Mobistar Centers:new Care Services

2012

Back-upSauvegarde

ConfiguratieConfiguration

HerstellingReparation

NPS + 36 pts

Page 27: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar mobile network 60% swapped end 2012

2011-2012

Q1-2013

Q3-2013

Q2-2013

2G improvmentsNew radio features3G reoptimisation

Page 28: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar investments on radio and backhaul deliver significant 3G coverage

UMTS Indoor Coverage

UMTS Outdoor CoverageGSM Outdoor Coverage

End 2011 End 2013End 2012

Page 29: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Real life pilot with 500 usersa

With the 4G pilot in the city of Antwerp, Mobistar is testing instant internet in real life condition

interactive servicesALWAYS-ON

streaming servicesHD

OTT conversational services

file transfer services

lower latency and connection time

Guaranteed Bit Rate available

100 mbps / Special discounts for high

volume/low priority traffic

lower latency + more bandwidth for richer

services

TV, video, audio streaming

Web browsing, HTML5, gaming, maps, cloud &

other applications...

Upload, download (apps, emails with attachments,

etc), cloud storage ...

Videoconference, VoIP, ...

29

Page 30: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Initial 4G Pilot results: Customer experience highlights that 4G is as fast as fixed internet

Source : MI – 4G Antwerpen survey – n=75

Question: When you compare the speed of the 4G/LTE-network with the fixed Internet connection that you use, can you give the speed difference you have experienced when using that specific service?

In general 3 out of 4 users say that 4G is at least as fast as their fixed connection.

30

Page 31: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar’s spectrum portfolio is well diversified to service the increasing market demand

30

22

1800 MHz

15

2600 MHz

20

15

Auction in 4Q13)

1800 MHz*

15

15

1515

15

20

20

2100 MHz

20 45 (TDD unpaired spectrum)

22

900 MHz** 610 6 6 6 1

800 MHz

Proximus

Mobistar

Base

Current spectrum allocation (MHz duplex)

Telenet/Tecteo

Mobistar has already secured close to 2 x 70 MHz till 2015

BUCD

* As from July 2012, following a decision by the BIPT, Mobistar will be entitled to use the full allocated spectrum band in the 1800MHz (included in the 2G renewal fee )

** Telenet/Tecteo consortium has exercised its option to acquire and potentially roil-out a 4,8 MHz duplex in 900 MHz and 10 MHz duplex in 1800 MHz band as from Nov 2015 31

Page 32: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Spectrum – Synthesis Royal Draft Decree

Subject: The 790-862MHz band (“800MHz band”) comprises 2×30MHz of availablespectrum auction in three blocks of 2×10MHz channels.

License duration: 20 years from notification of granting

Reserve Price: 25,000 euros per MHz per month (equivalent to EUR 120m for a block of10 MHz duplex for a period of 20 years, ie EUR 0.4 per MHz per pop.

Annual spectrum usage fees: Around EUR 2.1m per annum

Payment of fee Option of paying the full fee upfront or paying an equal amount on anannual basis throughout the license duration, with an interest rate equal tothe market rate +2%

Coverage obligations Population coverage target of 33% within 2 year, 70% within 4 years and98% within 6 years

Spectrum reservation No spectrum reserved for new market entrants

32

Page 33: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

The regulated revenue base has decreased to 29% of the mobile turnover, excluding MTR SMS to only 14%

Mobile turnover split (% of revenues)

33

Increase due to success of SMS abundance offers.

MTR and roaming revenues impacted by regulation. Decreased from 20% of mobile turnover to 14%.

Strong handsets sales in H2 2012

Page 34: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Regulation – MTR

EU recommendation envision 1€cent MTRs without asymmetry as of mid 2013 to its member states. Luxembourg regulator is working on market analysis & remedies. 34

Page 35: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Regulation – Roaming

35

Page 36: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Regulation – Cable Opening – Next Steps

36

Draft reference offers

published for comments in November

2012

Formal reference

offers submitted for consultation in

December 2012

5/2/2013 : End of the

consultation on the reference

offers.

+/- Q1/2013 : Expected

consultation on pricing of the cable offers

+/- Q2/2013 : Final reference offers

published

In the course of

2013 : Imple-

mentation by Cable operators

In the course of

2014 : outcome of appeal

on the merits

Current status Regulatory Calendar

Page 37: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Page 38: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Consolidated income statement

Mobistar Group shows stable total turnover but EBITDA under pressure

in Mio EUR H2 2011 FY11 H2 2012 FY12 Y-o-Y

Total Turnover 837.6 1,657.6 848.0 1,650.5 -0.4%Total Service Revenues 755.7 1,505.8 728.3 1,450.0 -3.7%Cash Expenses -604.3 -1,169.5 -633.4 -1,208.4 3.3%

EBITDA 259.5 530.1 244.4 494.1 -6.8%In % of service revenues 34.3% 35.2% 33.6% 34.1% -1.12 pt

Depreciations and amortizations -101.5 -190.3 -115.2 -217.2 14.1%

EBIT 158.0 339.7 129.2 276.9 -18.5%Net finance income -6.6 -10.9 -4.9 -10.8 -0.9%Tax expense -46.8 -107.9 -31.6 -80.5 -25.4%Net Profit 104.7 221.0 92.7 185.7 -16.0%Diluted earnings per share (in €) 1.74 3.68 1.55 3.09 -16.0%

38

Page 39: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Consolidated income statement

The recurrent EBITDA margin declined in 2H due to roaming regulation and increased competition

34,6%

250

H2 2011

33,6%36,1%

244

recurrent 1H 2012

727

32,7%

238

reported 1H 2012

722750

271

756

34,3%

259

recurrent 1H 2011

750

34,5%

259

reported 1H 2011

728

-9,6%-8,1%

-3,0% -3,6%

recurrent 2H 2012

32,2%

235

reported 2H 2012

728

EBITDA EBITDA/service revenues%Service revenues

+17,5 Mio EUR on reversal provision univ. serv. (EBITDA)- 3,0 Mio EUR on existing mobile contracts (rev/EBITDA)- 2,5 Mio EUR provision on fix ADSL customers (rev/EBITDA)

+17,5 Mio EUR on reversal provision univ. serv. (EBITDA)

+9,8 Mio EUR on other operating income IRISnet (EBITDA)

39

Page 40: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Mobistar Mobile income statement

Mobistar Fixed income statement

Mobile EBITDA impacted by regulatory & competitive pressure, Fixed EBITDA slightly improved

* Before intercompany elimination 40

in Mio EUR H1 2011 FY11 H1 2012 FY12 Y-o-Y

Total Turnover 83.0 168.3 80.3 160.3 -4.8%

Total Service Revenues 83.0 168.3 80.3 160.3 -4.8%

Cash Expenses -93.9 -192.7 -88.0 -170.0 -11.8%

EBITDA -10.9 -24.4 -7.7 -9.7 -60.2%

In % of service revenues -13.1% -14.5% -9.6% -6.1% 8.42 pt

in Mio EUR H1 2011 FY11 H1 2012 FY12 Y-o-Y

Total Turnover 712.7 1,442.7 698.7 1,445.0 0.2%

Total Service Revenues 641.5 1,288.1 615.9 1,240.0 -3.7%

Cash Expenses -435.7 -896.8 -447.2 -952.7 6.2%

EBITDA 277.0 545.9 251.6 492.3 -9.8%

In % of service revenues 43.2% 42.4% 40.8% 39.7% -2.68 pt

Page 41: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Orange Luxembourg income statement

Fuelled by postpaid and B2B, Orange Luxembourg delivers profitable growth

24222020

77%78%80%77%

FY 2012H1 2012FY 2011H1 2011

688179 78

PrepaidPostpaidmix Postpaid

Customers on the Orange Luxembourg network (k users)

*MATMA cards are excluded

in Mio EUR H2 2011 FY11 H2 2012 FY12 %

Total Turnover 34.1 65.7 40.1 75.5 14.9%Total Service Revenues 31.5 60.7 33.2 65.5 8.0%Cash Expenses -30.2 -57.3 -34.4 -64.0 11.8%

EBITDA 4.0 8.5 5.8 11.5 35.8%In % of service revenues 12.6% 14.0% 17.3% 17.6% 3.60 pt

EBIT -2.3 -1.9 1.8 3.6 -286.4%In % of service revenues -7.4% -3.2% 5.3% 5.5% 8.68 pt

41

Page 42: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Opex almost in line with last year, despite increasing headcount cost

Total cash expenses (in Mio EUR)

Orange Luxembourg increase of salaries and indexationsignificant increase of selling fees on prepaid volumes. Higher cost of handsets sold is compensated by lower communication expenses

MOBISTAR and MES:headcount cost: Quantities: + 67 FTE vs 2011, coming essentially from owned shops, in customer services (Happy Customer project) and 3,47% wage indexationnon-headcount cost mainly impacted USO reversal in JuneHandsets/RT costs mainly driven by more smartphones volume (I-Phone) Interconnection costs higher SMS traffic are compensated by MTR and roaming decrease

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Capex were driven by further 3G and 4G pilot roll-out and commercial phasing of fix activities

Capex (in Mio EUR)Main Capex drivers

Mobistar continued to roll-out its network renewal program in H1 2012. Close to 60% of the 2012 targeted sites ( # 1650) already swapped

On its backhauling upgrade as well, Mobistar continued to invest with 2/3 of sites in IP and dual carrier activated

On IT, H1 2012 focus on new product portfolio ‘Animals’ launch , while focus in H2 2012 was on the prepaid IT platform

Device Capex in line with the slowdown in commercial activity in fix residential market

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Taxes payable decreased in line with the corporate tax payment of EUR 54m in December

Other payables decreased with the extraordinary dividend paid in August 2012 (0,8 EUR per share)

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet remains strong

in Mio EUR H1 2011 FY11 H1 2012 FY12

Non-current assets 1,070 1,070 1,032 1,046Other Current assets 304 304 315 289Cash and cash equivalents 7 7 7 12

TOTAL ASSETS 1,382 1,382 1,354 1,347Share capital 132 132 132 132Legal reserve 13 13 13 13Retained earnings 249 249 120 213

Long-term borrowings 293 293 413 384Long-term trade payables 28 28 28 13Long-term provisions 62 62 64 67Deferred taxes 1 1 0 0

Short-term borrowings 18 18 2 23Current taxes payables 114 114 111 43Trade payables 348 348 301 345Other payables 123 123 170 115TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1,382 1,382 1,354 1,347Net Debt / (Net Cash) 304.5 394.0Net Debt / EBITDA 0.6x 0.8x

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The organic cash-flow decreased to 133.2 Mio EUR impacted by the paid taxes in December

Detailed cash flow analysis

in Mio EUR H1 2011 FY11 H1 2012 FY12

EBITDA 270.6 530.1 249.7 494.1Financial result -4.4 -10.9 -5.9 -10.7Other Non cash items 6.8 4.0 4.5 14.9Change in working capital -1.2 -8.0 -14.5 -32.8Accrued Financial Interests / Expenses 0.1 0.2 -0.6 0.9Tax paid -25.2 -79.4 -66.0 -154.9

Net cash from operating activities 246.8 436.0 167.2 311.5

Purchase of intangible and tangible assets -67.1 -203.7 -62.6 -188.5Debt associated to purchase of assets -28.0 9.9 -23.1 8.0Proceeds from sale of equipment 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2

Net cash used in investing activities -95.1 -193.8 -85.7 -178.3

Organic Cash Flow 151.7 242.2 81.5 133.2Partner financing activities 0.5 1.0 0.7 2.0Acquisition of subsidiary, net cash acquired 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3.4Flows from long-term borrowings 60.0 24.8 107.1 90.5Short-term loan subsidiaries -43.4 -14.5 -16.0 4.1Others 0.4 -1.1 0.4 1.1Free cash flow before dividend payments and capital movements 169.2 252.4 173.7 227.5

Dividend payments -173.9 -258.1 -174.3 -222.5Equity transactions costs -0.1 -0.2 0.2 0.1Available Cash Flow -4.8 -5.9 -0.4 5.1

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Page 46: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

SUPER MOBILEPLAN2013-2015

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Regulation, technology changes and market evolution are now impacting family services too, opening a new cycle in our industry

2012 2015

After many years of continuous organic growth in a competitive market,Mobistar wants to be ready to take advantage of a new industry cycle

After many years of continuous organic growth in a competitive market,Mobistar wants to be ready to take advantage of a new industry cycle

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Mobistar is best positioned to capitalize on new social behaviors and deliver the personal services of the future

Mobistar strong positioning

Mobility

People-centric

Simplicity

Value for money

Social behaviors evolution

People are connected anytime

People use personal devices at work

People use social networks at work

People work at home

People travel at least 1 a week

People value web more than TV

individual behaviors= mobile lifestyles

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Page 49: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Boost 3G and accelerate 4GBoost 3G and accelerate 4G

Abundant offers for all segmentsAbundant offers for all segments

Best loved telco in Belgium Best loved telco in Belgium

ACE 1: cost savingsACE 1: cost savings

ACE 2: processes redesign ACE 2: processes redesign

Service at core of our channelsService at core of our channels

B2C: cloud and cable servicesB2C: cloud and cable services

Cable-regulated offersCable-regulated offers

Mobile VHBBVoice and Data

Abundance

“À la carte” vs.“All you can eat”

convergence

A new deal with Customers

(shops, web)

Your personal services anywhere with friends, @home, @work –Mobistar’ Super Mobile strategy is driven by 4 priorities:

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Differentiatewith services everywhere

Consolidate Leadership in

Mobile

DeliverBest in class

Customer Service

Cost savingsand Processes Optimization

LeadIndustryEfficiency

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Animals = 43% postpaid end 2012Data = 41% mobile service revenues“Unlimited” plan for every segmentShared data bundlesLow price “white label” offerDedicated support to MVNOs

Abundant offers for all segments

Consolidate Leadership in Mobile: extend mobile leadership to 4G Broadband and offer Abundance to all segments

500 4G users in Antwerp and Luxembourg end 201265% 3G indoor coverage end 201365% 3G+ indoor coverage end 201480% 4G indoor coverage end 2015150 M€ investment in 3 years for 4G+ acquisition of 800 MHz spectrum

Boost 3G and accelerate 4G

#1 in B2C postpaid customers#1 in B2C postpaid customersBest 4G network in BelgiumBest 4G network in Belgium

2015 2015

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Mobistar B2B mobile lines: +4% YoY

Smartphones and tablets, new core of digital activity: MDM, MEAP, BYOD…:

Strategic partnerships to enable mobile connectivity of employees and machines: FeenHenry, 160 M2M partners, Mobistar Business Agents…

B2B: 3.0 mobile connectivity

Fixed as an optional commodity to access cloud and OTT services:

“A la carte” cloud services for tabletsand connected TV; OTT TV first:

B2C: cloud and cable services

-x€+

Differentiate with Services Everywhere: develop services in the cloud for B2C and B2B and prepare future regulated cable offers

#1 provider of regulated cable#1 provider of regulated cable #1 vendor of 3.0 mobile connectivity#1 vendor of 3.0 mobile connectivity

2015 2015

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A new operating model for our Mobistar Centers:

1st telco’s website, used by 41% of our customers (3 M Unique Visitors)

Most popular telco on social medias

Service at core of our channels

“Happy Customer” focus on 1st time resolution & accessibility boost NPS: +35 in shops, + 13 in call centers

Customer Test Center to challenge customer experience of new offers

Customer loyalty reward program

Check up of customersplans every 6 months:

Handsets expertise for B2C and B2B:

Best loved telco in Belgium

Deliver Best in class Customer Service: a new deal with our Customers and a focus on service in every touch point with them

1st service channel amongst telcos1st service channel amongst telcosBest telco Customer Experience Best telco Customer Experience

2015 2015

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Page 53: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Launched in Nov. 2012: in-depth analysis of our operational model1st impacts expected in 2014Initiatives covered:

Go-to-market processDistribution adaptation Review of offers portfolioAlternative network deploymentNetwork maintenance

Strategic ACE 2: processes redesign

Launched in June 2012: continuation of the 2009-2011 Odyssey program28 M€ cost savings delivered in 2012Initiatives covered:

General expensesTransmission optimizationPublishing rationalization:E-Billing and online salesCustomer care efficiency

Tactical ACE 1: cost savings

Lead Industry Efficiency: ACE* program to redesign our cost structure and revisit our core processes to prepare our future

30 M€ cost savings30 M€ cost savings

2013

-30 M€ cut on yearly cost structure-30 M€ cut on yearly cost structure

2014 - …

*ACE = Agility - Cost - Execution 53

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Former 2005-2011 Dividend Policy was based upon:retained earnings important investment projects

Guidance on the consolidated net result Mobistar s.a. was used by the market as a proxy guidance for dividend flows.SuperMobile 2013-2015 programme triggers :

ambitious investmentsfair and sustainable shareholder remunerationstrong balance sheet

Cash flow based

Super Mobile aggressive investment plan implies a new sustainable dividend policy: proposed 2012 dividend is €1.80

2015The Board of Directors proposes the distribution of an ordinary

dividend of €1.80 / share to be approved by the AGM of May 2, 2013The Board of Directors proposes the distribution of an ordinary

dividend of €1.80 / share to be approved by the AGM of May 2, 2013

2012

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Page 55: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Financial Outlook 2013

1651 M EUR

306 M EUR

494 M EUR

Between -4% and -6%

175 - 215 M EUR

380 - 420 M EUR

Operating cash flow **

EBITDA

Total Turnover

* FY12 EBITDA included EUR 17.5m reversal of provisions related to universal services and EUR 9.8m other income related to IRISnet

** Operating Cash Flow= EBITDA – Capex (excl. 4G spectrum cost)

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2012Actuals

2013 Guidance

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FY13 Results Calendar

DATE EVENT

29 March 2013 Annual report 2012 available on the website

22 April 2013 Financial results Q1 2013 (7:00 am) – Press release

22 April 2013 Financial results Q1 2013 - Conference call

2 May 2013 General Meeting of Shareholders (11:00 am)

23 July 2013 Financial results H1 2013 (7:00 am) – Press release

23 July 2013 Financial results H1 2013 – Conference call

21 October 2013 Financial results Q3 2013 (7:00 am) – Press release

21 October 2013 Financial results Q3 2013 - Conference call

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FY13 Results Calendar

DATE LOCATION BROKER ROADSHOW / CONF.

12 February Paris Exane BNP Paribas Management Roadshow

5-6 March Boston / NY Nomura Management Roadshow

8 March Amsterdam Rabobank Made in Benelux TMT Conf.

12 March Brussels KBC Management Roadshow

15 March Frankfurt Deutsche Bank Management Roadshow

19 March London Citigroup Eur. & Em. Markets Telecoms Conf.

30 April London Petercam Management Roadshow

TBC Paris SGCIB European Telecom Conf

TBC Geneva Raymond James Management Roadshow

23 May Brussels Analyst & Investor Day

4-5 June NY ING Benelux Day

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Q&A

Page 59: FY 2012 ANALYST PRESENTATION - Orange Belgium · PDF fileThis presentation contains forward-looking ... operator when a customer makes a call to another mobile network operator MNP:

Visit our websites:• www.mobistar.be

• http://business.mobistar.be

• http://corporate.mobistar.be

For further questions please contact IR department

Investor Relations

Siddy JobeEmail: [email protected]

http://corporate.mobistar.be/go/en/financial_information.cfm


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