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FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO [email protected]

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Qifeng Lu, Chunqiang Wu, Chengli Qi, Yang Guo, Shengli Wu, Dawei An, Mi Liao National Satellite Meteorological Center ,CMA Juan Li, Yan Liu, Jincheng Wang NWPC, CMA Heather Lawrence, Nigel Atkinson and Katie Lean Niels Bornman, William Bell, Stephen English, ECMWF, Met Office FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO [email protected]
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Page 1: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Qifeng Lu, Chunqiang Wu, Chengli Qi, Yang Guo, Shengli Wu, Dawei An, Mi Liao National Satellite Meteorological Center ,CMA

Juan Li, Yan Liu, Jincheng Wang NWPC, CMA

Heather Lawrence, Nigel Atkinson and Katie Lean Niels Bornman, William Bell, Stephen English,

ECMWF, Met Office

FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO [email protected]

Page 2: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Outline General introduction

Jointly evaluating FY-3C by CMA, ECMWF and UKMO

Monitoring FY-3 sounders – Early warning system

Summary

Page 3: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

3

ok

Microwave Temperature Sounder (MWTS) 4 channel (~MSU) 13 channels

Microwave Humidity Sounder (MWHS) 5 channel (~MHS) 15channels with channels at 118 GHz

Infrared Atmospheric Sounder (IRAS) 20 channels (~HIRS/3)

Microwave Radiation Imager 10 channels (~AMSR-E)

The FY-3A/B/C Instrument Suite

GNSS Radio-Occultation Sounder (GNOS) (~GPS)

Page 4: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Jointly evaluating FY-3C by CMA, ECMWF and UKMO

Page 5: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Improved FengYun Satellite Data Assimilation

CMA/NSMC (Agency) Basic and general support (Cal/Val)

Manufacturer Feedback

NWP(User) Feedback

Closer collaborations among NWP user, agency and manufacturer --improve the misunderstanding and fill the gap from requirements

Share; early evaluation; preparation before launch

CMA ECMWF UKMO

The telecommunication conference is held every 3 month since Dec 2014 to communicate the progress on evaluating, improving and assimilating FY-3C data in NWP models

Page 6: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Key points progressing the FY-3C evaluation

CMA, ECMWF and UKMO starts to work together;

Scientists exchange: Katie's and Heather’s visiting CMA/NSMC learnt useful understanding on the FY-3C instruments to prepare them in UKMO UM system and ECMWF IFS system; Nigel’s visiting CMA/NSMC helps to exchange the understanding on the calibration; Stephen English’s visiting agrees further cooperation

FY-3 data quality monitoring, bias diagnose and correction system will be ready soon to support the operational assimilation through early abnormal warning;

EUMETSAT started the trial dissemination of FY-3C: MWTS-2, MWHS-2, MWRI, IRAS, commencing on 18 September 2014

Page 7: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

MWHS2 NEdT FY-3C Specification FY-3C On-orbit FY-3B On-orbit FY-3A On-orbit

Channels

The NEdT from FY3A to FY3C is improved much

Specification FY-3C On-orbit FY-3C Pre-launch FY-3C On-orbit FY-3B On-orbit FY-3B

MWHS2

Page 8: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Comparisons of MWHS2 OMB statistics from ECMWF and UKMO

Page 9: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Neutral impact on medium-range forecast scores:

improvement

degradation

Forecast day Forecast day

183 GHz over ocean 183 GHz over ocean, land, sea-ice

Geopotential height SHEM, 500hPa Vector Wind SHEM, 500hPa

Assimilation Trials: 183 GHz channels from ECMWF

FY-3C teleconference, 8 December 2014

Page 10: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

MWTS2: Optimize the passband to improve the OMB fit

MWTS2

Page 11: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

MWTS-2 Land/sea bias

• Ch 5, 6, 7 and 8 display unphysical temp depressions over land

• These channels are not supposed to be surface sensitive

• Direct broadcast and global data affected

• anti-correlation with ch 1

• We formulated en empirical fix

Chan 1 BT Chan 6 BT

Page 12: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

CHN06

Page 13: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov
Page 14: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Impact experiment from GRAPES Positive impact when MWTS-2 data are added in Global GRAPES (20140701-20140720)

Northern Hemisphere

Southern Hemisphere Tropic East Asia

The RMS is decreased

CTRL: Conventional (black lines) TEST: CONV+FY-3C MWTS-2 (red lines)

Geopotential Height

Page 15: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Neutral impact on the experiment when assimilating all observations (201407)

CTRL: Conventional data+NOAA-15/18/19, MetOp-A AMSU-A, GPS-RO TEST: CONV+FY-3C MWTS-2

Northern Hemisphere

Southern Hemisphere Tropic East Asis

Geopotential Height

CTRL: Conventional data+NOAA-15/18/19, MetOp-A AMSU-A, GPS-RO (black line) TEST: CONV+FY-3C MWTS-2 (red line)

Page 16: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

The comparable data quality of FY-3C sounding instruments to its counterparts

183 GH

z 118 G

Hz

stdev(o - b)/K

MW

HS-

2 C

hann

el

MWHS-2 & ATMS

MWRI

IRAS

MWTS-2

Channel

Page 17: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Error Sta. of Refractivity

ROs 0 – 40 km 5 – 30 km Mean bias Mean STD Mean bias Mean STD

GNOS/GPS -0.01 1.66 -0.04 1.11 GNOS/BDS -0.09 1.37 -0.07 0.81 Metop/GRAS -0.21 0.91 -0.16 0.76 COSMIC -0.23 0.90 -0.16 0.71

Bias are consistent with each other

STD shows small below 30 km

Beidou shows least std below 5 km

Page 18: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Impact Experiment of FY3C/GNOS RO Data from GRAPES CTRL CTRL+GPS CTRL+GPS+BD

NH SH

GNOS data have neutral (NH) and positive impacts (SH) on GRAPES analysis and forecast skill.

Page 19: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Monitoring FY-3 sounders

--Early warning system at CMA/NSMC for operational assimilation

Page 20: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Parameters indicating the data quality Observing system: such as, frequency locker, Receiver;

Temperature: such as, PRT, instrument temperature;

Antenna: such as, cold space starting/end angle, warm load starting/end angel, earth scene starting/end angle;

Auxiliary information: time, volt, gain

Page 21: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

FY-3 data quality monitoring, bias diagnosis and correction system will be released soon to support the operational assimilation through early anomaly warning

Page 22: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

FY-3C MWTS2-CH6

Page 23: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Instrument Temperature

150&183GHz

Based on FY-3 Satellite data monitoring system: We found the MWHS instrument temperature and PRT temperature dropped from 2-19 March. MWHS(II) temperature was passively controlled, so the warm target can make heat exchange with satellite platform. During that time, MWTS was switched alternatively.

Fy3c Temporarily Out of Service

89&118GHz

Some instrument reboot ( VIRR、MWRI、MWHS、GNOS、IRAS、TOU)

In the middle of September, CMA decided opening another four instruments on FY-3C, so there are ten instruments except MERSI, back to work again, as a result, the instrument working temperature changes

Page 24: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

The plan and status of FY-3C in NWP

ECMWF

2013 2014 2015

FY-3B MWHS Monitoring Op DA Op DA

FY-3C

MWTS2 Evaluating

Evaluating

(Now dead)

FY-3C

MWHS2 Evaluating Monitoring

FY-3C MWRI Evaluating Evaluating

FY-3C IRAS Evaluating Monitoring

FY-3C GNOS Sample data Sample data

UKMO

2013 2014 2015

FY-3B MWHS Evaluating Evaluating Monitoring

FY-3C

MWTS2 Evaluating

Evaluating

(Now dead)

FY-3C

MWHS2 Evaluating Monitoring

FY-3C MWRI Evaluating

FY-3C IRAS

FY-3C GNOS Evaluating Evaluating CMA NWPC 2013 2014 2015

FY-3B MWHS Evaluating Evaluating Evaluating

FY-3C

MWTS2 Evaluating

Evaluating

(Now dead)

FY-3C

MWHS2 Evaluating Evaluating

FY-3C MWRI Evaluating

FY-3C IRAS

FY-3C GNOS Evaluating To be Op Da

Page 25: FY-3C evaluation overview: CMA, ECMWF and UKMO luqf@cma.gov

Summary: opportunity and Challenge--- OSSE FY-3 early-orbit satellite; FY-4 (high spectral ir, MW) The early warning system from CMA/NSMC will contribute

to the operational NWP centers; NWP users, CMA Agency and Manufacture work together

on FY3C even closely; The feedback mechanism between the agency and NWP

centres is contributing much to the improvement of data quality and assimilation;

We are expecting through the closer collaborations among the three parties, the FY-3 data assimilation in NWP models will be advanced to a new stage.


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