NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 1

FY09 Professional Development Conference (PDC)

16 – 20 March 2009

15 March 2009

donald.borkoski@navy.mil’757-444-3520 ext 7135

Motorcycle Safety

Motorcycle Statistics and Demographics

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 2

• MC Registrations/Census

• Demographics

• Fatal Trends

• Fatality When/Where

• Fatal Factors

• Age Trends

• Bike Types

• Current Trends

• Discussion

Agenda

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 3

Motorcycle Registrations

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Ra

te o

f C

ha

ng

e

National Military

• National M/C registrations tripled since 1998

• Military M/C registrations tripled in 5 years.

Motorcycle Registrations (Indexed to 2003)

CLEOC & NHTSA

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 4

2006 National Motorcycle Sales

 Sales Figures 2005 2006 % Change

Scooter 56,899 54,268 - 4.6%

Street 646,097 680,679 + 5.4%

Dual Sport 29,610 35,245 + 19.0%

Off-Road 276,982 252,140 - 9.0%

Total 1,009,588 1,022,332 + 1.3%

NHTSA

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 5

USN/USMC MC CENSUS

The current motorcycle census provides the most accurate measure of MC ridership.

The Census is soon to be incorporated into ESAMS for the Navy

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 6

Chasing Ridership

23.8 25 26.5

35.3 35.9

46.4 47.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

CLEOC9/07

1st Census1/07

Pre CMC9/08

CMC Msg10/08

Pre CNO11/08

CNO Msg11/08

Current03/09

Total

X 1

000

Motorcycle Census Data

NSC 42D

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 7

80%

64% 62% 58%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

USMC USA USN USAF

DoD MC Service ComparisonsFY 04 - 08

Personnel Under Age 30

DoD Motorcycle Class A Rates

Service Fatalities and Demographics compared

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Army Navy Air Force Marines

NSC 42D

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2003

(1Q)

2003

(2Q

)

2003

(3Q

)

2003

(4Q

)

2004

(1Q)

2004

(2Q

)

2004

(3Q

)

2004

(4Q

)

2005

(1Q)

2005

(2Q

)

2005

(3Q

)

2005

(4Q

)

2006

(1Q)

2006

(2Q

)

2006

(3Q

)

2006

(4Q

)

2007

(1Q)

2007

(2Q

)

2007

(3Q

)

2007

(4Q

)

2008

(1Q

)

2008

(2Q

)

2008

(3Q

)

2008

(4Q

)

4-Wheel Motorcycle Linear (4-Wheel) Linear (Motorcycle)

PMV Fatality TrendsR

ate

per

100

,000

per

son

nel

FY 03 – 08

NSC 42D

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 9

DoN PMV Fatality Trends FY 08R

ate

per

100

,000

per

son

nel

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

2007 (2Q) 2008 (1Q) 2008 (2Q) 2008 (3Q) 2008 (4Q)

Rate

Per

100.0

00 P

ers

on

nel

4-Wheel Motorcycle

For the first time,

The Motorcycle Fatalities exceeded Four-Wheel Vehicle Fatalities

NSC 42D

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 10

When and Where Crashes Occur

• Most fatalities occur: Within 50 miles of the installation

• Most dangerous months:

April to August• Most occur at night• Most occur on

weekends75% of Motorcycle Fatalities Occur from April to August

DoN PMV Fatalities(FY02-FY07)

5148

56

48

40

30

5658

50

60 60

49

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug SepNu

mber

of Fa

talitie

s

NSC 42D

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 11As of 03 Nov 08

WeekWeek

20072007

20062006

20082008

Total Fatals16

Total Fatals9

Total Fatals 15

Navy Fall Safety Campaign

MC MC MC

MC MC MC

MC

MC

PMV PMV PMV

PMV PMV PMV

PMV PMV

PMV PMV

PMV PMV PMV PMV PMV PMV PMV

MC PMV

PED

Through Week 9

11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 1010 1111 1313 1212

PMV OD/R

OD/R

OD/R

OD/R PMV

OD/ROD/R

PMV PMV PMV

MC MC MC

PMV

AlcoholAlcoholVehicleVehicle MotorcycleMotorcycle Off-Duty/RecOff-Duty/Rec PedPedMC OD/R PMV PED

PED MC PMV

OD/R

02 Sep – 30 Nov 2008

NSC 50

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 12

WeekWeek 1 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Critical Days of Summer Fatalities

20072007

20062006

AlcoholAlcohol

20082008

VehicleVehicle PMV MotorcycleMotorcycle Sports/RecSports/RecOff-Duty :Off-Duty :

Total Fatals

20

Total Fatals

32

Total Fatals

20

PEDPED

As of 25 Nov 08

S/R

PED

MC S/R

PMV PMV

MC

Week 15

PMV

PMV

S/R

S/R

PED

PMV

MC

S/R

S/R

PMV PMV MC

MC PMV MC PMV

MC

MC

MC

S/R

PMV

MC

MC

MC

MC

PMV

S/R

S/R

PMV

S/R

S/R

MC

PMV

MC

PMV

S/R

S/R

PMV

PMV

PMV

PMV

MC

PED

PMV

S/R S/R S/R

PMV

MC

PMV

MC

PMV

MC

PMV

PED

S/R

MC

S/R

MC

MC

PED

PMV

MC

MC

MC

S/R

MC

S/R

PMV

NSC 50

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 13

15%

45%52%

58%60%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Night Weekend Speed No Training Alcohol

USN/USMC, FY06 – FY08

Total Deaths - 139

PMV-2 Fatal Factors

33%

FY02-06

42%

FY02-06

60%

FY02-06

65%

FY02-06

unk%

FY02-06

NSC 50

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 14

Reported Common Violations

Violation Total

% of Total

Fatalities

No Helmet 7 12%

No License 16 28%

No Documented Training 25 45%

Narrative Total% of Total

Speeding, Lost Control 8 14%

Speeding, ran into vehicle. 2 4%

Ran into vehicle. 7 13%

Lost Control and hit object. 12 21%

Lost Control. 3 5%

Struck by vehicle pulling into traffic 1 2%

Stuck by oncoming vehicle 1 2%

Struck from behind. 0 0%

Other vehicle pulled out in front of SNM. 3 5%

NR/Unknown 19 34%

TOTAL 56 100%

Common Fatal Factors

NSC 42G

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 15

DON PMV-2 FATALITIES

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

AL AZ CA FL GA HI JA MA MD MI MS NC NV NY SC TX VA WA WI

FY 07

FY 08

PMV-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

AZ CA CO CT DE FL GA GU HI IN IT LA MD ME MI MO MS NC NH NJ NM NV NY OH OT PA RI SC TX UK VA WA WV

FY 07

FY 08

PMV-4

NSC 42G

NSC 42G

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 16

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

CY03-07 Collision Claims by Age

< 21 31-3521-25 36-40 41-45 46-50 51-55 56-60 61-65

supersport

non-supersport

≥ 6626-30

driver age IIHS

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 17

FY08 DoN Fatalities by Rank and Age

Rank TotalPercent of

Total

E1 2 3%

E2 5 9%

E3 11 19%

E4 9 16%

E5 15 26%

E6 6 10%

E7 4 7%

E8 2 3%

M2/C 1 2%

01 1 2%

02 1 2%

O3 1 2%

Total 58 100%

Age Total Percent of Total

18 1 2%

19 6 10%

20 6 10%

21 7 12%

22 5 9%

23 4 7%

24 1 2%

25 8 14%

26 1 2%

27 1 2%

28 1 2%

29 3 5%

30 1 2%

32 3 5%

33 2 3%

34 1 2%

36 2 3%

38 3 5%

40 2 3%

Total 58 100%

66% under 26

78% E6 & below

NSC 42G

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 18

Motorcycle Type Total % of Total

Honda CBR 600 Sport 8 14%

Suzuki GSXR 600 Sport 8 14%

Yamaha R1 600 Sport 7 13%

Kawasaki ZX600 Sport 5 9%

Suzuki Hayabusha 1300 Sport 3 5%

Suzuki GSX 750 Sport 2 4%

NR Sport 1 2%

Harley Softail 1000 Cruiser 1 2%

Yamaha YZF-R1 998 Sport 1 2%

Suzuki SV 650 K8 Sport 1 2%

Suzuki GSXR 1000 Sport 1 2%

Honda VTX 1300 Cruiser 1 2%

Yamaha YZF 600 Sport 1 2%

Honda 1000F Sport 1 2%

Harley Sportster 883 Cruiser 1 2%

Yamaha R6 600 Sport 1 2%

Harley Fat Boy 1450 Cruiser 1 2%

Yamaha FZ 600R Sport 1 2%

Suzuki GSXR 750 Sport 1 2%

Yamaha R2D Sport 1 2%

Yamaha V-Star 650 Cruiser 1 2%

Yamaha YZF-R600 Sport 1 2%

Harley Dyna Wide 1450 Cruiser 1 2%

Yamaha R1 1000 Sport 1 2%

Yamaha YZF 1000R Sport 1 2%

Harley Sportster 1200 Cruiser 1 2%

Honda CBR 1000 Sport 1 2%

Honda RVT 1000 Sport 1 2%

Honda CBR 954 Sport 1 2%

Total 56 100%

FY08 DoN MC Fatalities by Bike Model

600 cc Sport Bikes in 50% of DON MC Fatalities

•Bikes are affordable

•Fuel mileage up to 65MPG

•Insurance is affordable

•Power and handling characteristics are significant.

Sport Bikes are in 88% of FY08 Fatalities

NSC 42G

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 19

13

38 39

106

66

6

22

0

78

11 11

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Intro Sport Standard Unk

National USN USMCValues are percentages of total Class A’s

FY07 Fatalities By Type Motorcycle

NSC 42D

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 20

13

38 39

10

0

88

12

00

88

12

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Intro Sport Standard Unk

National USN USMC

FY08 Fatalities By Type Motorcycle

Values are percentages

National IIHS CY05

Sport Cruiser Total

USN 29 4 33

USMC 22 3 25

51of 58 USN/USMC Fatalities in 2008 Were on Sport bikes (88%)

Fatalities

NSC 42G

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 21

Current Status• CNIC

– Contract update:

A. Contractor bid on 32 installations: currently servicing 70. B. Training classes are experiencing an effective rate of 64% utilization seats.

– Funding status: A. Not funded this year for surge/redeploy. Instructor travel is already spent for FY09.

– Range status: A. Currently have 55 ranges certified.

• CFPS– Number of Coaches Available: CFPS has 51 full time and 25 part time coaches

– Surge Capability: Cape Fox uses a modeling program to indentify routine training. The Fleet must provide the regions with their surge requirements.

– Trainer Motorcycle Availability: CFPS has ordered the motorcycles and is in the process of placing them throughout the regions.

– Simulator Status: CNIC has purchased 64 Simulators to distribute to the Regions

• Echelon IIs– Riders Trained to Date: Current NSC motorcycle census is utilized to identify required

training numbers. Fleet commands now need to track their riders by names, requirements and geographical location.

– Training Requirements:. ESAMS is being adapted to replace the Navy Census. A working group has been established to move this forward.

CNIC 02/13/09

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 22

Current USN PMV Fatalities

5.00 5.004.67

3.33

2.67

5.00 5.00 5.00

3.67

4.33

5.00

5.67 5.675.33

4.004.33

4.67

5.675.33

5.67

7.33 7.33

6.33

3.33

2.001.67

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

Dec

06

Jan

07

Feb

07

Mar

07

Apr

07

May

07

Jun

07

Jul 0

7

Aug

07

Sep

07

Oct

07

Nov

07

Dec

07

Jan

08

Feb

08

Mar

08

Apr

08

May

08

Jun

08

Jul 0

8

Aug

08

Sep

08

Oct

08

Nov

08

Dec

08

Jan

09

Fat

alit

ies

FY 07 FY 08 FY 09

3.33

2.332.67

1.67 1.67

2.332.67

3.00 3.00

3.33 3.33

4.00

3.33 3.33

1.67

2.672.33

3.00

2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00

1.67

1.00 1.00 1.00

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Dec

06

Jan

07

Feb

07

Mar

07

Apr

07

May

07

Jun

07

Jul 0

7

Aug

07

Sep

07

Oct

07

Nov

07

Dec

07

Jan

08

Feb

08

Mar

08

Apr

08

May

08

Jun

08

Jul 0

8

Aug

08

Sep

08

Oct

08

Nov

08

Dec

08

Jan

09

Fat

alit

ies

FY 07 FY 08 FY 09

1.67

2.67

2.001.67

1.00

2.67

2.332.00

0.67 0.67

1.33 1.33

2.001.67

2.00

1.33

2.002.33

3.33 3.33

4.33 4.33

3.67

2.00

0.67 0.67

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Dec

06

Jan

07

Feb

07

Mar

07

Apr

07

May

07

Jun

07

Jul 0

7

Aug

07

Sep

07

Oct

07

Nov

07

Dec

07

Jan

08

Feb

08

Mar

08

Apr

08

May

08

Jun

08

Jul 0

8

Aug

08

Sep

08

Oct

08

Nov

08

Dec

08

Jan

09

Fat

alit

ies

PMV2

FY 07 FY 08 FY 09

PMV - 2 PMV - 4

PMV • FY08•Increase in PMV-2 deaths

•Decrease in PMV-4 deaths

• FY09•PMV-2 & PMV-4 deaths trending down

NSC 50

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 23

Navy and Marine FY09 PMV Fatalities

03/13/09 NSC

•NAVYNAVY

•USMCUSMC

PMV4PMV4

6

8

PMV2PMV2

4

5

PEDPED

1

1

TOTALTOTAL

1414

2222

TOTAL:TOTAL: 4848

RODROD

3

8

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 24

Discussion?

“What ?”

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 25

Backup Slides

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 26

Navy and Marine Class A by MonthTotal per month from FY01 to FY06

5148

56

48

40

30

5658

50

60 60

49

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

Critical Days of Summer

Winter Surviving

Driving Spring Break

NSC 42D

NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 27

FY 06–07 Motorcycle Class A Profile

Marine Profile

19

5

1

11

10

16

3

1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

18-26 27-34 35+

Fata

liti

es

Age Speed No Training

FY06FY07

Note the significant number of untrained riders who died.

NSC 50