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FY15 Preliminary Results Presentation
9th December 2015
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Agenda
2
Evolution of Key Drivers
Summary and Outlook Simon Cooper
CEO
Financial Performance FY15 Wendy Parry
CFO
FY15 Highlights
Simon Cooper CEO
Q and A
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FY15 Highlights
3 Source: Company information Note: Financials are based on audited IFRS accounts
37% YOY increase in Revenue to £62.5m (FY14: £45.6m)
20% YOY increase in Revenue per Unique Visitor from £0.96 to £1.15
Direct contracting averaged 45% of all hotel buying in FY15 with exit rate of 51%
Leverage £ Revenue
By continual optimisation of the customer proposition OTB has doubled its market traffic share since
FY12 whilst driving improvements to both conversion and margin
OTB is delivering real-time individual user level personalisation to an increasing % of visitors
Optimise Customer Proposition
Overall short haul beach market continues to grow and online penetration is increasing
14% YOY increase in daily unique visitors to site to 54.4m (FY14: 47.7m)
27% YOY increase in total transaction value to £453.6m (FY14: £358.3m)
Structural Market Growth & Market
Share Growth
Fixed costs as % of Revenue continue to drop despite significant investment into direct contracting
45% YOY growth in EBITDA to £20m at 32% of Revenue and 47% growth in underlying PBT
Bookings in Sweden have grown at 250% YOY and Norway site is launched
Drive Operational Leverage & Expand
Internationally
Efficiencies in online marketing reduced spend to 48.6% of revenue for FY15 (FY14: 50.7%)
54.8% of traffic to site from brand and direct sources (FY14: 50.6%)
OTB apps achieved almost 400,000 downloads and contributed 3.7% of total traffic in Sept 15
Drive Efficient Share Growth &
Strengthen Brand
OTB is disrupting the retail of beach holidays through innovative technology and customer value proposition
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Business Model
£ Revenue per booking
Conversion
Unique visitors
Revenue per unique visitor
OTB share of market traffic
Online penetration
Revenue
Marketing investment
EBITDA
Fixed and Variable Costs
Unique visitors
Marketing spend per
unique visitor
Short haul beach holidays dynamically
packaged
OPTIMISE CUSTOMER PROPOSITION & LEVERAGE £ REVENUE
DRIVING EFFICIENT SHARE GROWTH & STRENGTHENING BRAND
STRUCTURAL MARKET GROWTH & MARKET SHARE GROWTH
SCALE DRIVES OPERATIONAL LEVERAGE
ADDRESSABLE MARKET +14%
+16% +4% +20%
+37%
+45%
4
OTB’s business model is centred on driving efficient growth in market share whilst
maintaining and improving both conversion and £ revenue per booking
Our strategic initiatives are focused on driving the performance of all of these levers
EBITDA growth is the cumulative effect of improvements in performance of all of the
levers individually
Source: Management Information Note: Financials for OTB are based on audited accounts for FY15 when compared to FY14
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On the Beach has the product advantages of a tour operator with the model advantages of an OTA
5
LOW HIGH Basket Value /Margin Opportunity
LOW HIGH Cost base
Source: Company information
Disruptive retailer of beach package holidays
OTB £MPB
£163
OTB
£27
Cost base 3-5 x OTA
Majority offline sales
Legacy technologies
High fixed cost base
Limited product coverage
Limited product flexibility
TOUR OPERATORS PRODUCT ADVANTAGES
High margin tour
operator product with a low cost OTA model
Cost base £20-40 per booking
Majority online sales
Technology led businesses
Low fixed cost base
Broad product coverage
£MPB often £30-50
Generalised offering
Single element, commodity
purchase
Low basket values
Lower margin opportunity relative
to multiple-element
GENERALISED OTAS PRODUCT DISADVANTAGES
£MPB 5 x higher than OTA
Specialised offering
Multiple elements
High basket values
Higher margin opportunity
ATOL Financial protection
TOUR OPERATORS MODEL DISADVANTAGES
GENERALISED OTAS MODEL ADVANTAGES
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Profit & Loss Account – UK Segment FY15 EBITDA growth of 45% YOY
YTD growth year on year:
TTV +27%
Revenue +37%
EBITDA +45%
Efficient increase in our market traffic share with marketing spend excluding offline as a % of revenue falling to 48.6%
Despite additional investment to support the growth in direct contracting of £0.6m overhead as % of revenue fell from 8.6% to 8.2%
Holding Company costs have increased £0.1m due to additional costs to fulfil the requirements of a plc
EBITDA % revenue at 32% after significant investment for growth in offline and direct contracting in FY14
(1) Variable costs % revenue include wages in the contact centre, card costs and communications divided by revenue (2) Overhead costs % revenue is overhead costs excluding depreciation divided by revenue Source: Company Information Note: Financials are based on audited IFRS accounts 6
P&L UK Segment
Year ending 30 Sep (£m) FY12A FY13A FY14A FY15A
TTV 230.1 280.8 358.3 453.6
- growth % 22.0% 27.6% 26.6%
Revenue 30.9 37.5 45.6 62.5
Marketing costs excluding offline (14.2) (18.7) (23.1) (30.4)
Offline (1.0) (1.7)
Total Marketing (14.2) (18.7) (24.1) (32.1)
- % of Revenue (excluding offline) 46.0% 49.9% 50.7% 48.6%
Revenue after marketing costs 16.7 18.8 21.5 30.4
Variable costs (3.3) (3.2) (3.5) (4.9)
Overhead costs (3.5) (3.4) (3.9) (5.1)
Holding Company costs (0.2) (0.2) (0.3) (0.4)
EBITDA 9.7 12.0 13.8 20.0
- growth % 23.7% 15.0% 44.9%
- % of Revenue 31.4% 32.0% 30.3% 32.0%
Daily Unique Visitors '000 36,439 40,278 47,672 54,410
Bookings '000 232 271 326 384
Conversion 0.64% 0.67% 0.68% 0.71%
Revenue per Booking 133.2 138.4 139.9 162.8
Revenue per daily UV 0.85 0.93 0.96 1.15
Variable cost % Revenue (1) 10.7% 8.5% 7.7% 7.8%
Overhead cost % Revenue (2) 11.3% 9.1% 8.6% 8.2%
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Profit and Loss Account - International Investment in Sweden to build scale and brand
Success in international markets will be profitable performance within 2-3 years of launch at scale
After a soft launch in FY14, in FY15 OTB has invested to grow its share of market both online and offline whilst driving improvements to conversion and non branded cost per UV
Improvements delivered to site to support the Swedish launch are expected to increase efficiency of future market rollout
Source: Company Information Note: Financials are based on audited IFRS accounts International only 7
P&L International Segment
Year ending 30 Sep (£m) FY12A FY13A FY14A FY15A
TTV 0.9 0.1 1.6 5.6
Revenue 0.1 - 0.1 0.7
Marketing costs excluding offline (0.1) (0.1) (0.7) (1.8)
Offline (0.4)
Total Marketing (0.1) (0.1) (0.7) (2.2)
Revenue after marketing costs - (0.1) (0.6) (1.5)
Variable costs - - - (0.1)
Overhead costs - - (0.1) (0.2)
EBITDA - (0.1) (0.7) (1.8)
Bookings 1,725 190 1,231 4,736
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Profit and Loss Account - Group Underlying profit before tax +46.5% increase YOY
Shareholder loan interest and amortisation of acquisition intangibles below underlying Profit after tax
Future cash conversion combined with the reduction of debt will reduce financing costs
Effective tax rate in FY14 and FY15 was affected by disallowed shareholder interest under the ATCA which will no longer be there in FY16 as shareholder debt was repaid by issue of shares
To ensure alignment with investors the Board will implement an executive / senior management LTIP which targets EPS overperformance and share price growth
Source: Company Information Note: Financials are based on audited IFRS accounts Note: Effective tax rate is based on corporation tax divided by retained earnings excluding deal fees and amortisation of intangibles 8
P&L Total
Year ending 30 Sep (£m) FY12A FY13A FY14A FY15A
EBITDA UK segment 9.7 12.0 13.8 20.0
EBITDA International segment - (0.1) (0.7) (1.8)
Group EBITDA 9.7 11.9 13.1 18.2
Depreciation and amortisation (1) (1.1) (1.1) (1.3) (1.8)
EBIT 8.6 10.8 11.8 16.4
External Financing costs (0.1) 0.2 (1.6) (1.6)
Non trading costs (0.5) (0.5) (0.3) (0.3)
Profit Before Tax 8.0 10.5 9.9 14.5
Corporation Tax (1.7) (2.3) (1.8) (2.9)
Profit after Tax Underlying 6.3 8.2 8.1 11.6
Shareholder Interest (4.0) (4.8) (7.0) (7.8)
Deal Fees - - (3.4) (4.9)
Amortisation of acquired intangibles - - (4.3) (4.3)
Deferred tax on amortisation of acquired intangibles - - 0.9 0.9
Retained Earnings 2.3 3.4 (5.7) (4.5)
Effective tax rate 42.5% 40.4% 62.1% 43.3%
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Balance Sheet
All customer monies are paid into the trust account which is effectively a debtor to the business
Deferred tax liability relates to deferred tax on the valuation of intangibles (£30.1m Brand and £22.5m technology) on acquisition which is released over 15 years
The bank loan related to a term loan of £22.0 million raised on 4 October 2013 as part of the financing for the investment by Inflexion. This was repaid in full out of the Group’s existing cash balances following Admission on 28 September 2015. The Company has entered into a revolving credit facility of up to £35 million which will be drawn down as required
Source: Company Information Note: Financials are based on audited IFRS accounts 1 Total Fixed Assets excludes deferred taxation 2 calculation trade debtors plus trust account less trade creditors 9
Balance Sheet
FY12A FY13A FY14A FY15A
Tangible Assets 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5
Intangible Assets - IT development 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.6
Intangible Assets - Acquired Intangibles - - 48.3 44.1
Intangible Assets Goodwill 27.0 27.0 21.5 21.5
Total Fixed Assets 28.7 29.1 72.5 68.7
Trade debtors 7.1 13.3 22.3 28.0
Trust Account 17.0 18.2 20.5 23.9
Cash 10.1 15.1 10.5 10.9
Other debtors 0.5 1.6 2.5 1.6
Interest Rate Hedge - - 0.1 -
Total Current Assets 34.7 48.2 55.9 64.4
Trade creditors (18.7) (25.2) (34.0) (45.0)
Corporation tax payable (1.1) (0.7) (0.8) (2.1)
Other taxes and social security (0.6) (0.7) (0.1) 0.4
Accrued expenses (4.2) (5.0) (6.1) (10.7)
Derivative Financial Instruments (0.1) (0.3) (0.7) 0.7
Total net current liabilities (24.7) (31.9) (41.7) (56.7)
NET CURRENT ASSETS 10.0 16.3 14.2 7.7
Deferred Taxation 0.5 0.1 (9.7) (8.7)
Bank term loan (0.3) - (20.5) -
Amortised Term Loan fees (FRS4) - - 1.3 -
Total Bank (0.3) - (19.2) -
Net assets 38.9 45.5 57.8 67.7
Net Debt 9.8 15.1 (8.7) 10.9
Net Trade Drs/Crs 5.4 6.3 8.8 6.9
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Cash Flow
FY12A FY13A FY14A FY15A
Opening Cash Balance Total 11.0 27.1 33.3 31.0
Opening Cash Balance Trust 6.6 17.0 18.2 20.5
Opening Cash Balance excluding trust balance 4.4 10.1 15.1 10.5
EBITDA 9.7 11.9 13.1 18.2
Decrease/(increase) in working capital 9.8 0.4 (0.2) 5.7
Movement in Trust balance (10.4) (1.2) (2.3) (3.5)
Purchase of plant and equipment (0.3) (0.5) (0.4) (0.3)
Capitalised Dev Expenditure (0.8) (1.1) (1.5) (2.0)
Operating Cash Flow 8.0 9.5 8.7 18.1
Operating cash/EBITDA 82.5% 79.8% 66.4% 99.5%
Corporation tax (0.5) (2.4) (1.5) (1.7)
Deal costs paid - - - (0.5)
Non underlying costs (0.5) (0.5) (0.3) (0.3)
Interest received 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
Interest paid (0.1) - (1.3) (1.4)
Livingbridge exit/Inflexion investment - (1.7) (8.9) (3.5)
Primary raise 10.0
Repayment of borrowings (1.2) (0.3) (1.5) (20.5)
Proceeds from issue of share capital - - 0.1 0.1
Net increase/(decrease) in cash excluding trust account 5.7 5.0 (4.6) 0.4
Closing Cash Flow excluding trust balance 10.1 15.1 10.5 10.9
Closing Cash Balance Trust 17.0 18.2 20.5 23.9
Closing cash balance Total 27.1 33.3 31.0 34.8
Cash Flow Cash conversion is strong at 99% and cash is reinvested in areas that drive growth
On The Beach has strong cash conversion and supplier payments are working capital neutral apart from the low deposit scheme
The business has no stock commitment and low levels of capital expenditure
IT development expenditure runs at c3% of revenue and is capitalised in line with IFRS requirements
The working capital and cash profile are seasonal. The business maintains a revolving credit facility to cover any working capital requirements mainly relating to the low deposit scheme
£10m primary raise used to pay management loan interest and deal costs with c£3m invested to drive growth
The Board intends to adopt a progressive dividend policy, declaring a first dividend in respect of FY16
Source: Company Information Note: Financials are based on audited IFRS accounts 10
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Key Drivers of Growth
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Market Growth & Market Share Growth
Our addressable market is growing and OTB continues to grow share of market
Overall short haul beach holiday volumes are growing
Online penetration continues to increase
Forecast growth in online short haul beach is +7% CAGR (2015-19) versus historic growth at +5% CAGR (2010-2015)
Dynamic packaging offers greater value and flexibility than traditional package
OTB continues to take share of this growing market whilst tour operators continue to cut mainstream short haul capacity
Short haul beach online versus offline (UK)
Source: Mintel / ONS data, 2013 PhoCusWright report, International Telecommunication Union (ITU), Euromonitor Note: Euromonitor data is based on retail value on an annual basis at year-on-year exchange rates 1 Euromonitor, Growth in Dynamic Packages 2 Mintel data 3 Euromonitor data for 2015-2018 4 Projected CAGR for OTB – 2012-2019
12
2
3
4 OTB share of market traffic FY12 – FY15
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Brand Share
Non Brand Share 14.5%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Short haul beach offline
Short haul beach online
+5%
+7%
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On the Beach sells high margin tour operator style product with a lightweight OTA style fixed cost base
Source: Company information; CAA 2014 data
Competitive Landscape
UK Short Haul Beach Online - Estimated Share On the Beach is well placed to continue to take share of market from:
Smaller OTAs who lack scale, strength of brand and technology capability
Tour operators who have a completely different model and cost base
Both struggle to compete against OTB for traffic on generic beach holiday keywords
Non branded cost per unique visitor is well in excess of the revenue opportunity even with a highly optimised beach holiday proposition and efficient demand generation
Tour operators continue to reduce their capacity in mainstream short haul beach
TUI continues to execute a strategy to sell higher value, differentiated product
Thomas Cook continues to downsize capacity
Growth in online penetration is slow
27%
14%
7% 17%
35%
TUI
Thomas Cook
Jet 2 Holidays
Tour Operators
Smaller OTAs
OTB
13
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Optimise Customer Proposition
Our ambition is to drive a fully personalised cross-device experience for all users on all devices
Source: Management Information
Projects which optimise the customer proposition can be used to increase either conversion or margin or both. These include:
‒ Device level split testing to simplify user journey
‒ Uniquely attractive flexible customer payment schemes
‒ User-level personalisation in real time onsite and individually tailored CRM
‒ Scaling direct contracting function
‒ Increasingly sophisticated traffic shaping driving higher returns from paid search channels
In FY15 we increased Revenue per UV by 20% from each one of the 54m daily UVs to site
We are able to innovate at pace supported by the infrastructure that has been built into the heart of our platform over the last 5 years
£ Revenue per Unique Visitor FY12 – FY15
14
Device level conversion improvement FY15 YOY
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Direct contractingrevenue per UV
Revenue per UV
Revenue per booking
Conversion Revenue per unique visitor
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
0.60%
0.70%
0.80%
0.90%
1.00%
Desktop Tablet Smartphone
FY14
FY15
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Leverage £ Revenue
We are well positioned to scale our supply function to achieve significant incremental net margin contribution
The infrastructure is in place to allow us to scale our supply function with minimal incremental overhead
Target for FY16 is 52% total hotels through in house function at 4.5% incremental margin
In FY16 we will also develop our directional selling capability to drive UK rate exclusivity and concept product
Further incremental margin opportunities exist as the business continues to grow:
Flights: Progress made on flight seat distribution agreements –
target incremental sales and increased margin
Ancillaries: Increased ancillary margin and marketing
contributions from in resort suppliers
Product: Expand product offering to address long haul and luxury
segments
Technology: Use technology to optimise point of sale margin
Source: Management information 15
Direct contracting - share of hotel sales Q1 14 to date
Revenue per product type
Hotels (3rd party)
Hotels (direct contract)
Transfers (direct contract)
Flights
Other
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Jan
14
Feb
14
Mar
14
Ap
r 1
4
May
14
Jun
14
Jul 1
4
Au
g 1
4
Sep
14
Oct
14
No
v 1
4
De
c 1
4
Jan
15
Feb
15
Mar
15
Ap
r 1
5
May
15
Jun
15
Jul 1
5
Au
g 1
5
Sep
15
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Drive Efficient Share Growth
Superior customer proposition delivers increased margins and fuels market share growth
For the past 3 years the business has invested c.50% of revenue in marketing to drive share growth in a growing market
Growth in Revenue per UV is well in excess of increase in cost per
UV
50% spend balances short term sales and EBITDA growth and
longer term investment into strength of brand which underpins
longer term EBITDA growth
A multi-channel strategy supported by sophisticated in house bid modelling and 3rd party attribution tool allows efficient share growth
‒ Spending has become increasingly efficient in H2 whilst YOY traffic growth has been maintained
‒ Redeployment of online spend to offline advertising supports strong growth of brand
Growing share cost effectively
Source: Management Information 16
£0.00
£0.20
£0.40
£0.60
£0.80
£1.00
£1.20
£1.40
FY12A FY13A FY14A YTD June 2015
+£0.10 EBITDA per
daily UV
+£0.30 Revenue per
daily UV
+£0.17 Marketing cost
per daily UV
Marketing spend as % of
Revenue 46.0% 50.7% 49.9% 48.6%
% Revenue spent on online marketing – monthly evolution
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
FY14 FY15
FY15A
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Strengthen Brand
Developing an integrated and personalised customer engagement programme drives retention of almost 35%
Improvements in repeat bookings are driven by
Strengthening of brand presence across multiple touch points
Increased investment into service pre, during and post holiday
Increasingly personalised content delivered at the appropriate
time through sophisticated CRM programme
Strengthening net promoter score and <0.9% complaint ratio
Repeat bookers have an increased propensity to bypass paid channels
iPhone, iPad and Android app downloads are expected to increase share of free traffic
Investment into offline advertising in FY14 and FY15 has driven significant growth in branded traffic
The proportion of traffic coming to site from branded, free and direct sources is increasing and stands at 55% of overall traffic mix
Increasing volumes of branded traffic and repeat business drive long
term cost per acquisition efficiency
Repeat booking volumes and % of overall business
17 Source: Management data
Repeat as % of all bookings
Branded / free share of traffic FY12 – FY15 (m)
Branded and Free traffic mix
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
40.5% 50.6% 41.9% 54.8%
27% CAGR
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
50%
CAGR
16.1% 30.4% 22.8% 32.8%
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18
£ Fixed / Variable Cost Per Booking
On the Beach sells high margin tour operator style product with a lightweight OTA style fixed cost base
Drive Operational Leverage
Fixed / Variable costs as % Revenue FY14 vs FY15
OTB fixed and variable cost per booking is well below tour operator competitors
Tour operators fixed and variable cost per booking is in excess of
OTB Revenue per booking
94% of OTB bookings are transacted online versus 50% and 39%
for TUI and TC respectively
OTB fixed and variable costs as a % of revenue are reducing through operational leverage
‒ 7% YOY reduction excluding incremental investment into supply function
‒ Supply infrastructure in place will support growth aspirations
‒ Scalable model supports further leverage of a low fixed cost base
0
50
100
150
200
250
OTB TUI TC
7X OTB
8X OTB
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
FY14 FY15
Supply costs
Fixed costs excl supplyfunction
Variable costs
-7.1%
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Expand Internationally
19
Similar trends in Europe to the core UK market represent an attractive expansion opportunity for OTB
Source: Company information, Euromonitor Note: Euromonitor data represents retail value on an annual basis at year-on-year exchange rates; Western Europe (excl. UK) comprises the sum of the following markets: Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden 1Growth rate measured from FY15 to FY16
2014 Western European package holiday market (€bn)
Share of European Leisure Package Holiday market 2014
TUI
ThomasCook
Kuoni
Other
Online penetration in Europe is low but growing at a faster rate than the UK1
Low cost carriers are expanding their fleets and opening up flights to beach destinations from departure points throughout Europe
The market is dominated by legacy tour operators who have held a stranglehold over seat supply
The key drivers of success in new source markets will be:
Driving non-branded cost per click efficiencies
Improving non-branded conversion
Increasing branded share of traffic
Our objective in Sweden is to deliver a positive return within a finite time period whilst achieving significant share of market
Expected breakeven 2-3 years, payback in 4-5 years
Fixed cost to divest <100k per market
The intention is to roll out further markets in 2016
2.0 1.4
7.7
16.5
11.4
4.2
1.0
8.0
2.3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00€bn TTV Online Penetration Rate
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Summary & Outlook
20
We have enjoyed a strong start to the new FY and performance is in line with the Board’s expectations
Our direct supply function is performing ahead of expectations driving increased margin
opportunities
Leverage £ Revenue
We have maintained the throughput of innovative ways to personalise the customer
proposition
Optimise Customer Proposition
In our core UK market, we continue to grow our share of a growing market with increasing
efficiency
Structural Market Growth & Market
Share Growth
We continue to drive operational leverage and EBITDA as a % of Revenue is improving
We remain excited about the international opportunity
Drive Operational Leverage & Expand
Internationally
We launch our first full national TV campaign on Boxing Day
Drive Efficient Share Growth &
Strengthen Brand