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Northern Star Resources An Australian gold miner for global investors 2016 Full Year Results August 2016
Transcript
Page 1: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Northern Star ResourcesAn Australian gold miner – for global investors

2016 Full Year Results

August 2016

Page 2: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Disclaimer

2

Competent Persons Statements

The information in this announcement that relates to data quality, geological interpretations and Mineral Resource estimations for the Company’s Paulsens, Ashburton, Jundee and Plutonic Project areas is based on information compiled by Brook Ekers

(Member Australian Institute of Geoscientists), who is a full-time employee of Northern Star Resources Limited. Mr Ekers has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity

which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the "Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves" for the Group reporting. Mr Ekers consents to the inclusion in

this announcement of the matters based on this information in the form and context in which it appears.

The information in this announcement that relates to exploration results, data quality, geological interpretations and Mineral Resource estimations for the Company’s Kanowna, EKJV, Kundana and Carbine Project areas is based on information compiled

by Nick Jolly and fairly represents this information. Mr Jolly is a Member of the Australian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy who is a full-time employee of Northern Star Resources Limited who has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of

mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the "Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore

Reserves”. Mr Jolly consents to the inclusion in this announcement of the matters based on this information in the form and context in which it appears.

The information in this announcement that relates to Ore Reserve estimations for the Company’s Project areas is based on information compiled by Jeff Brown and fairly represents this information. Mr Brown is a Member of the Australian Institute of

Mining and Metallurgy who is a full-time employee of Northern Star Resources Limited and has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to

qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the "Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves". Mr Brown consents to the inclusion in this announcement of the matters based on this

information in the form and context in which it appears.

The information in this announcement that relates to the Central Tanami Gold Project is extracted from the Tanami Gold NL ASX announcement entitled “Quarterly Report for the Period Ending 31 March 2014” released on 1 May 2014 and is available to

view on www.tanami.com.au.

The information in this announcement that relates to mineral resource estimations, data quality, geological interpretations and potential for eventual economic extraction for the Groundrush deposit at the is Central Tanami Gold Project based on

information compiled by Brook Ekers (Member Australian Institute of Geoscientists), who is a full-time employee of Northern Star Resources Limited. Mr Ekers has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit

under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the "Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves" for the Group

reporting. Mr Ekers consents to the inclusion in this announcement of the matters based on this information in the form and context in which it appears.

The Company confirms that it is not aware of any further new information or data that materially affects the information included in the original market announcement entitled “Quarterly Report for the Period Ending 31 March 2014” released on 1 May

2014 and, in the case of estimates of Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves, that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed. To

the extent disclosed above, the Company confirms that the form and context in which the Competent Person’s findings are presented have not been materially modified from the original market announcement.

Forward Looking Statements

Northern Star Resources Limited has prepared this announcement based on information available to it. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information, opinions

and conclusions contained in this announcement. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of Northern Star Resources Limited, its directors, employees or agents, advisers, nor any other person accepts any liability, including, without limitation,

any liability arising from fault or negligence on the part of any of them or any other person, for any loss arising from the use of this announcement or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it.

This announcement is not an offer, invitation, solicitation or other recommendation with respect to the subscription for, purchase or sale of any security, and neither this announcement nor anything in it shall form the basis of any contract or commitment

whatsoever. This announcement may contain forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with gold exploration, mining and production businesses. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable

but they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and

production results, Reserve estimations, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory changes, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project

delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates.

• All currency conversions in this presentation have been converted at a currency of AUD/USD conversion rate of A$0.7285c

Page 3: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

FY2016 – Key Financial Highlights

Net Profit After Tax up

65% to a record

A$151.4M

Full Year Dividend

increased by 33%

to 4¢ per share

Underlying free cash

flow up 21% to

A$224.3M

39% Return on Equity

28% Return on

Invested Capital

Key Financial Outcomes

Results strength illustrated by

A$326M Cash, Bullion

& Investments

30 June 2016; No debt

Earnings per share

growth of 63% to

25.2¢ per share

3

Page 4: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

.94Moz 1.4Moz

2.2Moz

6.2Moz

8.9Moz 9.2Moz

1.2Moz

1.5Moz

2.0Moz

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16

'000

Ou

nce

s

'000

Ou

nce

s

NST Resource and Reserve Growth

Measured Indicated Inferred Reserves

The FY2016 A$50m exploration spend achieved a 33% increase in the Reserves to 2Moz* after mining depletion

of 0.6Moz; discovery cost of just A$50/oz

Total Resource increased to 9.25Moz

The Measured and Indicated Resource increased to 4.9Moz greatly extending mine life

Four recent discoveries are yet to be included in the resource estimate

Resource additions for the Year to 30 June 2016

4

* Refer ASX Announcement released 28 July 2016

Total Reserve

increased by 33%

to 2Moz

Page 5: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Asset by Asset exploration highlights

NST remains poised to continue growing mine lives across all its assets with four

new discoveries missing the cut off for the 30 June Resource statement

Resource estimations to be completed in FY2017 on these new discoveries

Jundee: Reserve increased by 21% to 0.7Moz and Resource of 1.3Moz

Armada mineralisation defined over 300m and open in all directions

Revelation trend has been defined over 800m along strike and remains open to the

south and 800m towards existing development

Kalgoorlie Operations: Total Reserve increased by 48% to 0.9Moz and Resource

increased 17% to 3.6Moz

Maiden Reserve of 0.2Moz at Millennium on the 100% NST owned Kundana tenements

Paulsens: Resource of 0.3Moz with further exploration down plunge at Voyager 2

Exploration to target Voyager system down plunge and parallel Galileo discovery

Central Tanami Project (CTP): Resource of 0.7Moz (25% NST only) with main focus

on CTP drill out

Further work will be conducted at the CTP and follow up regional targets5

Page 6: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

3.5 3.5

5.0

7.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

Dividends Per Share

$2

$45

$186

$224

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

A$

(M)

Underlying Free Cash Flow

Financial Highlights for FY2016

Sales revenue: A$887.4m up 5% on FY2015

Record Net profit after tax of A$165.4m up 65%

EBITDA of A$401.3m up 27% on FY2015

Cash flow from operating activities of A$383.3m; generating record underlying free cash flow of A$224.3m

Dividend: Final 4¢ fully franked, taking full-year payout to 7¢, up 40% from FY2015

Special 3¢ fully franked dividend: Post completion of Plutonic sale

6

Dividends up 40% in FY2016

to 7¢ fully franked

Underlying free cash flow up

21% in FY2016 to a record

A$224.3m

Page 7: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

5.3 5.5 6.7 3.8

15.5

25.2

5

10

15

20

25

30

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

A$

cp

s

EPS

40%

52%48%

30%37%

45%

14%

22% 20%

7%

11%

17%

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

75%

90%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

NPAT & EBITDA Margin

EBITDA Margin % NPAT Margin %

$46 $51 $70$89

$316

$401

75

150

225

300

375

450

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

A$

(M)

EBITDA

$16 $22 $28 $22

$92

$151

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

A$

(M)

Net Profit After Tax

EPS up 63% in FY2016

Financial Highlights for FY2016

7

NPAT up 65% in FY2016

FY2016 NPAT Margin of 17% & EBITDA Margin of 45%

EBITDA up 27% in FY2016

Page 8: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

148

224

1

16

12 1

10

36

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

YTD Cash, Bullion& Investment

Working Capital M&A Tanami Investments Debt Repaid Dividends Underlying FreeCashflow

A$

(M)

Another record year of free cash flow generation

NST generated strong underlying free cash flow of A$224.3m at an average gold price of A$1,578/oz

NST stands to benefit from a spot gold price that is currently trading ~A$1,760/oz into FY2017

During FY2016 NST sold 561,153oz at an AISC of A$1,041/oz (US$758/oz); positioning NST among

the first quartile cost producers globally

FY2016 Underlying company free cashflow

8

Page 9: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Details of Financials

9

Earnings per share and Statutory Net Profit grew by 63% to 25.2cps and 65% to A$151.4m in FY2016Year End

30 June 2016Year End

30 June 2015Change Change

($000s) ($000s) ($000s) (%)

Revenue 887,417 845,653 41,764 5

EBITDA 401,280 316,142 85,138 27

Net profit 151,365 91,902 59,463 65

Cash flow from operating activities 383,335 359,009 24,326 7

Cash flow used in Investing activities (189,723) (239,458) 49,735 (21)

Sustaining capital (92,898) (104,747) 11,849 (11)

Non sustaining capital (35,204) (9,301) (25,903) 278

Exploration (61,538) (35,619) (25,919) 73

Acquisition of businesses 0 (90,729) 90,729 (100)

Other investing (83) 938 (1,021) (109)

Free cash flow 196,312 119,551 74,061 62

Underlying free cash flow 224,281 185,628 38,653 21

Average gold price per ounce (A$) 1,578 1,453 125 9

Gold mined (ounces) 611,288 621,691 (10,403) (2)

Gold sold (ounces) 561,153 580,784 (19,631) (3)

All-in sustaining cost (AISC) per ounce sold (A$) 1,041 1,065 (24) (2)

Cash and cash equivalents ($ million) 315 167 148 89

Earnings per share (cents) 25.2 15.5 9.7 63

Page 10: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

FY2016 Operational breakdown by site

Group EBITDA margins grew to 45% and group AISCs fell to A$1,041/oz (US$758/oz) in FY2016

NST group EBITDA margins have averaged 42% since FY2011, this compares favourably to the

five calendar year trailing EBITDA margin for the broader ASX200 of 19.6%*

*Source: Bloomberg10

40%

52%

48%

30%

37%

45%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Operating Segment EBITDA Margin & Cumulative EBITDA by Asset

Paulsens Plutonic Kalgoorlie Operations Jundee Total EBITDA Margin

62koz93koz

210koz

581koz 561koz

$969$977

$1,095

$1,065

$1,041

$900

$950

$1,000

$1,050

$1,100

$1,150

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16A

$ A

ISC

/oz

Ou

nc

es

So

ld

Group Production and AISC

Paulsens (koz) Plutonic (koz) Kanowna Belle (koz)

East Kundana (koz) Jundee (koz) Total AISC

Page 11: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Asset by asset breakdown for FY2016

FY2016 ounces sold was 561,153oz at an AISC of A$1,041/oz

Jundee: gold sold of 209,572oz at an AISC of A$1,007/oz

Kalgoorlie operations: 207,123oz sold at an AISC of A$837/oz (US$610/oz)

Paulsens: gold sold of 80,278oz at an AISC of A$1,099/oz

Plutonic: gold sold of 64,180oz at an AISC of A$1,738/oz

11

64,180 80,278

207,123 209,572

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Plutonic Paulsens KalgoorlieOperations

Jundee

Gold Sold

5%

51% 52%56%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Plutonic* Paulsens Jundee KalgoorlieOperations

EBITDA Margin

*As at FY2016 financial year close the Plutonic assets were held for sale. Please see ASX announcement dated 15 August 2016

Page 12: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

$0.67

$2.65 Sector Average

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00Global Gold Sector Capital Intensity

US$838/oz

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

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NST is uniquely positioned to continue to deliver above average returns to its Shareholders

First quartile cost producer

5yr Peer Average 4.9%

NST 5yr Average 36%

Efficiently allocating Shareholders’ capital

5yr Peer Average 5%

NST 5yr Average 43%

Consistently generating returns to Shareholders

NST

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Macquarie Securities

Q1 Q2

Q3

Q4

NST AISC US$740/oz

Macquarie Global CY2016 AISC Cost Curve

Return on Invested Capital vs Current ASX 200 Mining peers

Return on Equity vs Current ASX 200 Mining Peers

12

A business positioned for further outperformance

NST has the lowest level of capital intensity globallySource: Bloomberg

Page 13: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Efficient Capital Allocation - Organic vs Inorganic Growth

Superior returns on invested capital continues to be the focus driving investment decisions for NST

Capital is forced to compete internally for project funding to ensure NST continues to generate a sector

leading Return on Equity 39% and a Return on Invested Capital of 28% for FY2016

Whilst NST can generate these type of returns year-in year-out it will continue to motivate capital

organically

NST achieved a discovery cost of

A$50/oz per reserve ounce in FY2016

FY2016 M&A transactions averaged A$500/oz* per

Reserve ounce and A$88* per Resource ounce

13

Page 14: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

FY2017: Production and Cost Guidance

Total gold production of 485,000-515,000oz at an AISC of A$1,000-A$1,050/oz (US$728-$765/oz)*

A$130M to be spent on investing capital following on from the great successes in FY2016, including;

A$60M for targeted drilling to bring more Resources into mine plans and convert discoveries into Resources

A$70M for Investing/Expansion capital expenditure to bring future deposits on line and lift group production

NST will continue to benefit from the lowest level of capital intensity in the global gold sector; this investment

will underpin NST’s sector leading return on equity and return on invested capital

Production is set to rise to an annualised rate of 600,000oz in 2018

FY2017 production guidance on a per asset basis as below:

14

FY2017 Production AISC

Guidance Range Oz Oz AUD/oz AUD/oz

Jundee 220,000 230,000 1,000 1,050

Kalgoorlie Operations 200,000 210,000 950 1,000

Paulsens 65,000 75,000 1,200 1,250

Group NST 485,000 515,000 1,000 1,050

Page 15: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Northern Star ResourcesAn Australian Mid Cap gold miner – for global investors

August 2016

Contact Details:Luke Gleeson – Investor Relations +61 8 6188 2100Email – [email protected] / Website – www.nsrltd.com

Page 16: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

August 2016

Appendix

Northern Star ResourcesAn Australian gold miner – for global investors

2016 Full Year Results

Page 17: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Page 17

Jundee: A big mine…..and getting bigger

FY2016 228,144oz mined and 209,572oz sold at an AISC of A$1,007/oz (US$733/oz)

FY2017 guidance 220,000-230,000oz at an AISC of A$1,000-$1,050/oz (US$730-$765/oz)

Resources: 1.25Moz and Reserves up 21% to 720,000oz, even after mining 228,000oz in FY2016

Opportunities to expand production from known sources; increase mill capacity, bring recent underground

discoveries into production, develop satellite open pits and third party sources

17

Page 18: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

FY2016 215,667oz mined and 207,123oz sold at an AISC of A$837/oz (US$610/oz)

FY2017 guidance 200,000-210,000oz at an AISC of A$950-$1,000/oz (US$692-$728/oz)

Resources 3.6Moz, up 17% and Reserves up 0.9Moz up 48%, after mining 216Koz in FY2016

Significant opportunities to expand production from known sources

Page 18

Kalgoorlie Operations: Rapid, low-cost growth

18

Page 19: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Ramp up production at Kundana JV:Link Hornet, Rubicon and Pegasus orebodies with a decline which will also offer numerous production fronts and

provide the drill platform to make another step change in mineral inventory

Page 19

Kalgoorlie Operations: Rapid, low-cost growth

19

PEGASUS RUBICON HORNET

Future Production Fronts

Current Production Fronts

Page 20: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Commence production at Millennium, 100% NST owned Kundana;Have started the underground access to the 50kozpa Millennium deposit, ahead of schedule

Resources of 419,000oz at 6.2gpt and maiden Reserve of 205,000oz; underpinning first 4 years production

Page 20

Kalgoorlie Operations: Rapid, low-cost growth

20

Page 21: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Evaluate production at historical 100% NST owned Kundana mines: Barkers, Strzelecki, Centenary, Pope JohnPast production of 1.25Moz at 6gpt between 1990-2004

Each of these ore surfaces historically produced 50-60koz per annum

Page 21

Kalgoorlie Operations: Rapid, low-cost growth

21

Page 22: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Page 22

Kalgoorlie Operations: Rapid, low-cost growth

22

Kanowna extension at depth and along strike;Drill out depth extension to +5Moz orebody,

historically averaging 4Koz per vertical metre

Continue to define Velvet discovery (recent result

of 47.9m at 83.1gpt) and bring into production

Continue to drill out the Paradigm discovery

Limited Drilling

Velvet

Open

OpenOpen

Gold

Gram

Metres

Page 23: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Paulsens: The Founding Asset

FY2016 production of 91,250oz mined and 80,278oz sold at an AISC of A$1,099/oz (US$800/oz)

FY2017 guidance 65,000-75,000oz at AISC of A$1,200-$1,250/oz (US$874-$910/oz)

Resources: 0.3Moz and Reserves 0.1Moz, after mining 91Koz in FY2016

Record cash flow achieved in FY2016

23

Page 24: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Central Tanami Project: Next Tier of Production Growth

Historically produced 2.1Moz, last major

production was from Newmont in 2005

when it produced 610,000oz at 4.3gpt

over a 4 year period from the main

deposit: Groundrush open pit

The past 5 years has seen A$40m

invested at Groundrush in exploration,

drilling and feasibility studies

Groundrush current Resource is 1.1Moz

Plan this year is to refurbish the plant to

obtain our 60% joint venture interest

Has the potential to be a 120-150koz per

annum producing asset (100%) from

2018 onwards

24

Page 25: FY2016 Full Year Results Presentation

Northern Star ResourcesAn Australian Mid Cap gold miner – for global investors

August 2016

Contact Details:Luke Gleeson – Investor Relations +61 8 6188 2100Email – [email protected] / Website – www.nsrltd.com


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