Gap Analysis >> Next Steps

Simone QuatriniCoordinator, Policy and Investment AnalysisGlobal Mechanism of the UNCCDs.quatrini@global-mechanism.org

15 October 2012

ELD Objectives• Compare the costs of land degradation to the costs of

adopting sustainable land management (SLM) practices• Build capacity and improve data access to developing

countries

ELD aims: identifying or developing tools that • Policy-makers can bolt onto what they are already doing• Can afford to pay for now• Empower and substantiate land-use decision-making

ELD approach• Estimation of the Total Economic Value of the cost of land

degradation, to add value to what countries are already doing• Use of integrated modelling approaches to estimate social

losses from land degradation rather than benefit transfer• Use of scenarios to account for trade-offs between populations

in a nutshell

1st scientific meeting (LSE, March 2012)

Go beyond production losses Aim for total economic valuesValue ecosystem services providedAgreed objectives, scope, and governance structure of the ELD Initiative4 working groups established:Data analyses & methodology - assess available data sources and build integrated model frameworkOptions for policy outreach - identify pathways/scenarios for policy-makers at all levelsEconomic valuation of options – quantify the costs and benefits of alternative land management options using existing evidenceCase studies - group overlapping all others

WG Data analyses &

methodology

WG Options/path

ways for policy

outreach

WG Economic

valuation of options

Case studies

Integration of research steams, WGs, meta-analysis & synthesis

NetworkOSLO

NetworkESP

Network ZEF/IFPRI

NetworkWOCAT etc.

working groups

joint ELD-SLM meeting (EC, Oct 2012)

ELD methodological approach: proximate/underlying causes, use/non use values, costs of inaction/benefits of action, include external drivers, social values of land, etc. Gap analysis: identify and prioritize the identified gaps to be filled in by the ELD initiativeWorking groups: participants, roles, objectives, working modalities, deliverables, links to the reports, case studies, funding ELD outputs: 3 reports (draft outline, structure, target audience, etc.):• For the scientific community• For policy-makers• For the private sector

gap analysis

Gaps in technological/technical knowledgeSystem tipping points for LD (e.g. top soil loss, water quality control, including those that might be mediated via climate change)Clear relationship between population density and LDImpact of LD on livestock, rangeland and forestsLack of understanding of the factors driving changes to land use and causing LDTemporal factors: speed of change, whether drivers of change are themselves changing over time, links with local development patterns and the global economyOverall costs and benefits of different land management interventions

gap analysis

Gaps in environmental valuationLack of harmonized methodology (scales, discount rate, etc.)Lack of information on trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem services (ES)Lack of information on links and trade-offs at different spatial scalesLack of information on social costs of LDLimited understanding of value of ES to local livelihoods Lack of info on non-market values of ESLack of robust low cost methods applicable by affected countries in the short termLack of data and systems for mapping ES

gap analysis

Policy gapsLack of M&E systems for total ecosystem assessmentsLack of identified plausible future scenarios on which to base LD assessments Lack of information on policy trade-offs; and who should do what (subsidiarity)Lack of tools for decision makers to determine the best land use between different alternatives

Institutional and private sectorScience-policy-practice divideNeed for greater interdisciplinary approachesLack of mechanisms to bridge the disconnect between providers of ES (e.g. rural areas) and users of the services (e.g. urban areas)Lack of financial products, services and institutions that are immediately available to start securing the land resource baseLack of an effective and comprehensive incentive framework for SLMLimited risk management/mitigation instruments and mechanismsLack of awareness, knowledge management, capacity building

Timeline ELD 2013

Jan Mar May July Sept Nov

Feb Apr June Aug Oct Dec

2nd Scientific ConferenceFeb. 03.-06.Fortaleza, Brazil

CRIC 11

Eve

nts

Act

ion

s

COP 11

ELD Side event

ELD partner and review meeting

Launch of paper

Scientific Paper Draft presented

Revised ELD project list

ELD side event

next steps (2013)

THANK YOU