Date post: | 11-Jun-2015 |
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Technology |
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Jeremy BlanchardCesar Calvo Medina
Dong Sun ChangEvan Dasilva
Jiten GoyalShannon Rohan
COMPETITIONSTRATEGY
&
INFORMATIONTECNOLOGY
TEAM 1
How Does it Work?
GPS Receiver Determines
Altitude
Latitude
Longitude
Speed
Direction
What is a Navigation Device?Receiver Hardware Maps&Software
Index
Industry Analysis1
Company Overview2
Recommendations3
Conclusion4
Industry Analysis1
GPS Navigation Industry
Platform&
Applications
Wireless Location
Based Services
Points of interest & other Data
Satellite Aerial &
Imageries Mobile phones
Auto In-Dash Navigation
Portable Navigation Devices
Outdoor & Sport Devices
Maritime & Aviation
GPS Chipsets & Components
Maps & Geospatial
Data
Content Components Devices End Users
Application & Services
Source: JP Morgan
Consumer&
Business
AAAGas Stations
Retailers
GeoEyeIntermap
Digital Globe
NavteqTeleAtlas
TeleNav, Google,
Networks in Motion, Yahoo
Mobile Carriers,
GM OnStar
GPS Chips: QualcommSiRF,
Global Locate
Modemn& others: Sierra, Enfora, Trimble, Novatel
Intellectual Property in the GPS Industry
Maps, software and content
Chip and other components
Satelliteinformation
Provided free by the government
Protected by patents
Protected by copyrights
Devices Industry Analysis
1.Current Competition
Source: Michael Porter. Competitive Strategy (New York:Free Press, 1980)pp22-23
2005 2006 2007 2008E
4 5 12
21
Column1
Rivalry 1
CAGR 2005-2008E 80%
MARKET GROWTH
49%
23%
16%
4%
Others8%
MARKET SHARE
Top 3 Concentration: 88%
Source: JP Morgan, million Units of GPS sold in US
Source: JP Morgan, Global GPS devices shipments
External Pressures 1
SUBSTITUTES Paper Maps, Compass, Self Orientation
In-Dash Car Manufacturers
Phone Manufacturers/
Wireless carriers/
Google, MS Live maps
NEW ENTRANTS
Bargaining Power
Suppliers
1
Components
Applications & Services
Content
End User
Business
Customers
GPS Devices Industry Analysis
1.Current Competition
Source: Michael Porter. Competitive Strategy (New York:Free Press, 1980)pp22-23
Device Industry Performance 2007
ROA
The industry was performing well in 2007…
ROE ROS
Economy Industry
5.9
14.4
Economy Industry
12.6
29.3
Economy Industry
4.7
14.4
Industry Performance 2008ROA ROE ROS
However, TomTom’s results in 2008 affected the overall industry performance
Economy Industry
5.9
-3.2
Economy Industry
12.6
-68.5
Economy Industry
4.7
-15.3
Excluding TomTom the industry is still in good shape…
Economy Industry
5.9
15.7
Economy Industry
12.6
35.3
Economy Industry
4.7
12.5
Segment Market Size Main Players
Outdoor/Fitness $ 0.4Bn
Marine $ 0.2 Bn
Aviation $ 0.9 Bn
PND $7.1Bn
In-Dash $16.1 Bn
Smartphones $ 124.6 Bn
Navigation Devices Market Segment
Industry Trends
Hardware commoditization -> steep margin erosion PND
Lower penetration due to high price and long design cycleIn-dash
Driver of GPS penetration Smartphone
Play a key role in navigation evolutionLBS
Market Positioning
LowCost DifferentiatorN
arro
wBr
oad
Index
Industry Analysis1
Company Overview2
Recommendations3
Conclusion4
Garmin, a World Leader in GPS Devices
Founded in 1989, Garmin Ltd is a leading, worldwide provider of navigation,
communications and information devices.
Main Figures
MARKET CAP $ 4.4 Bn
EMPLOYEES 8,919
REVENUE $3,494 M
NET INCOME $733 M
Income Breakdown
Outdoor
/Fit-
ness18%
Marine7%
Auto/
Mo-bile62%
Aviation13%
Vertical Integration
Supply Chain
Manufacturing R & D Assembly Distribution
Highly vertically integrated, from manufacturing to distribution
Alliances
Partnerships , Contracts & Joint Ventures
Long Term Contracts
Strategic Alliances
Joint Ventures
More Integration
Company Product Lines
Source: Annual Report
Fitness / Outdoor
Marine Aviation
Automotive / Mobile
31 products 45 products
56 products 34 products
Performance Evolution by Segment
Fitness / Outdoor
Marine Aviation
Automotive / Mobile
2005 2006 2007 20080
5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000
35%
40%
45%
2005 2006 2007 20080
100
200
300
400
500
50%
55%
60%
2005 2006 2007 20080
50
100
150
200
250
45%
50%
55%
60%
2005 2006 2007 20080
50100150200250300350
60%
65%
70%
Margin Income (M$)
Company Product Lines
High LowLo
wH
igh
Market ShareM
arke
t Gro
wth
Company Product Lines
High LowLo
wH
igh
Market ShareM
arke
t Gro
wth
Performance Evaluation 2008
5.9
+9.8
+9.3
25.0
Economy Industry* Firm TOTAL
ROA ROS
Garmin is performing well above the industry average
4.7
+7.8
+8.5
21.0
Economy Industry* Firm TOTAL
*ExcludingTomTom
SWOT Analysis
•Excessive vertical integration
•Nuvifone•74% of revenue from
PNDs
Weakneses• Brand recognition• Wide range of products and
services• Market leader• Robust R&D efforts
Strenghs
•Price erosion in PND•NAVTEQ and TeleAtlas
(map suppliers) acquired by rivals
• Mobile convergence
ThreatsOpportunities• Several cash cow segments• Navigation becoming a
necessary feature – service and application
• Huge growth expected for LBS
Index
Industry Analysis1
Company Overview2
Recommendations3
Conclusion4
Sustainability Threat
Substitution
Value Created
Value Captured
SlackHold Up
Imitation
Strategy Against Imitation
Establish exclusive relationships with OEMs
Aviation
Marine
Outdoor
Explore new GPS applications
Create new business segments
GPS New Applications: Welfare Technology
Senior citizens, patients with chronic diseases, citizens with handicaps have been left behind in technology development
Nearly 20 percent of the US population will be 65 or older by 2030
GPS Tracking Home Healthcare Monitoring
GPS Tracking
Integrated as a passive passenger
Voice Activated Guide
Implanted devices
Home Healthcare Monitoring
• Integrated healthcare
• GPS applications in next generation medical devices
• Preventing acute emergency conditions
Home health monitoring is expected to grow from $3bn in 2009 to $7.7bn dollars by 2012
NPV Valuation: Medical Devices
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
(100)
13 40
69 80
NPV$450M
Expected Cash Flows (Mn) Long Term Growth
5%
WACC
15%
Sustainability Threat
Substitution
Value Created
Value Captured
SlackHold Up
Imitation
Backward IntegrationWhy?
How?
Supplier Hold Up
Over $1.5 Billion in Working Capital
Acquisition
Application & Platform Development
Asset Specificity
Backward Integration
Acquisition Options
Michelin
Intermap
Failed Venture into PND Industry
Divest of Non-Core Business
Purchase Range of $300-$500 Million
Provide Development Capital
NPV Valuation: Map Company Acquisition
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
(300)
37 44 48 52
NPV$31M
Expected Cash Flows (Mn) Long Term Growth
2%
WACC
15%
Sustainability Threat
Substitution
Value Created
Value Captured
SlackHold Up
Imitation
Cost Control
Manufacturer Applications &
Platforms
Outsourcing
Outsource production of commoditized PNDs
Keep proprietary & value added manufacturing in-house
Sustainability Threat
Substitution
Value Created
Value Captured
SlackHold Up
Imitation
The Plan
Urgent Priority -Long auto development cycle
Automotive Partnerships
Initial production in-house -Long term: outsource production
Partnerships with luxury brands -Garmin brand recognition
Why ?
$16.1 billion market
By 2012, 19% of new vehicles projected to have in-dash navigation
Barrier to Adoption
Average cost: 6% of MSRP
Automotive Partnerships
Automotive Partnerships
Current Players
General automotive suppliers
-Toyota (select vehicles)-Renault Clio -Fujitsu Ten Eclipse
-MINI (mount)-PSA- Peugeot Citroën -Jeep Grand Cherokee
New Trends
NPV Valuation: In-dash Market
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
(100)
11 20 26 27
NPV$63M
Expected Cash Flows (Mn) Long Term Growth
2%
WACC
15%
The Mobile Convergence…2007 iPhone
… is not a new Idea1981 Swiss Army Knife
Smartphones = Disruptive Technology
Time
Per
form
ance PNDs
Smartphones
?
Delaying Factors
Enabling Factors
Location Based Services
Smartphone Evolution
Open Application platforms
Economic environment
PNDs new services
Current Pricing Schemes
4G technology
Garmin Reaction: The Nuvifone
A new concept of mobile phone centered around
Location Based Services
Good Decisions
Identify smartphone as the market for disruption
Establish a separatebusiness unit
Keep the organization independent
Bad Decision
Closed Source Platform
Open Platform for Innovation
Garmin Users Software Developers
• Users submit innovative ideas to Garmin
• Users vote on submitted ideas
• Best idea awarded a Prize
• Developers submit applications similar to iTunes
• Developers select projects from the proposed ideas
• Provide SDK
• Host Apps
• Issue Prizes• Super-users to
enforce rules
Objective: Lead the development of LBS
Location Base Value ChainChip Makers Chip Makers
Handset
Platform Developers
Mobile Carriers
GPS as a Platform for Two Sided Markets
GPS Device
Points of Interest GPS Users
Creating Same Side Network Effects
PND PND Users
Same side network effect critical to increase growth
Garmin Developed Apps
This road is a one way.
Accident on 93 South. At a standstill.
Gas here is only $2.69.
User POI ReviewsUser Traffic Updates
User Map Updates
Garmin Caravan
Great-accept
waypoint-
Hey guys,let’s stop at
Joe’s Tavern .-Insert waypoint-
Ok-accept
waypoint-
Garmin Destinations
I can’t wait to blog about my
trip.
on
Got a flat tire.200 euro for the
tow and fix.
3rd Party Developers
NPV Valuation: Garmin Platform
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
(100)
1 6 24
67
NPV$309M
Expected Cash Flows (Mn) Long Term Growth
5%
WACC
15%
Conclusion
UbiquityGarmin devices in
all the Market Segments
• Enter (In-Dash)
• Explore (Medical Devices)
• Defend (Aviation, Marine, & Outdoor)
ServicesGarmin as a
platform for two sided markets
• Acquire Map Company
• Open Platform for Innovation
• Generate User Content (Web 2.0)
Location Based World
Q&A