GE Energy – Meeting Global DemandsJim SuciuVice President, Global SalesGE Energy
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Global trends …
Population Energy security EnvironmentConsumption
… Create big challenges
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And the challenges … drive the technology
• High fuel prices …require higher efficiency
• Energy security …requires more diverse solutions
• More stringent environmental standards … require lower emissions, increased use of renewables and nuclear
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Global demand growth
Russia’s power shortage threatens growth
Power outage hits Kuwait City
Namibia could face electricity rations
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Power generation landscape … next 10 years
Source: GE Energy PG Marketing
N. America China
RO Asia
India
W. Europe
Middle East / Africa
Latin America
E. Europe & FSU
Total capacity additions – GW (2006 – 2015)
NuclearRenewablesHydroCoal Gas/Oil
TOTAL
821243559
146
10 year avg annualcap adds (GW)
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Growth driven by wind and
small hydro
Growing demand for renewables …
Source: REN21, Renewables 2005 Global Status Report, EER2006, BTM 2005 Marketbuzz-’06 & PGV Analysis. Excludes large hydro
‘05 renewable installed capacity (GW)
• Renewable technology … only 3% of electricity production today
• Solid double digit growth expanding global footprint
World AmericasEurope IndiaChina Asia MEA
182
37
72
2032
15 2
20042005
160
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… Coal is still a primary energy source
Source: EIA
Recoverable coal reserves (million short tons)
0.521.9
55.5
279.5316.3 327.2
China126.2
India101.9
MiddleEast
S & Central America
Africa NorthAmerica
Europe &Eurasia
AsiaPacific
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Affordable, reliable & environmentally responsible
Meeting big challenges … with big solutions
Driving Cost of Electricity Down
Effic
ienc
y
Relia
bilit
y
Emissions
EfficientDiverseNuclearCoalGasWindOil GeothermalBiomassHydroSolar
NuclearCoalGasWindOil GeothermalBiomassHydroSolar
+
9
6.8
4.2
Technology diversity is critical
Cost for new build … COE (cents/kWh)
Wind
7.8
Coal Gas
6.6
Nuclear
Capital
O&M
Fuel
Source: GE internal
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6.8
4.2
Technology diversity is critical
Cost for new build … COE (cents/kWh)
WindCoal Gas
6.6
Nuclear
6.8
ESBWR
Multi MWLMSH SystemTM
FBIGCC
Proprietary GE solutions
Source: GE internal
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+10X+3X
… Increasing investment
165+
20
76
2
‘06‘98
Products
New product launches
‘98
‘06‘98
New product investment
Services
ControlsMaterialsCombustion Aerodynamics
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Technology excellence across the portfolio
Gas Cleaner Coal WindHydroSolar
Network Reliability
EnvironmentalServices
NuclearAsset Optimization
Biomass
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Technology excellence across the portfolio
Cleaner Coal WindHydroSolar
Gas
• Volume back to ’03 levels
• Growing demand across the globe
– ‘03: 50% Non US
– ‘06: 90% Non US
• Investing heavily in services portfolio …renewals and productivity
– Non US CS penetration ~90%
Gas
Network Reliability
EnvironmentalServices
NuclearAsset Optimization
Biomass
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EnvironmentalServices
Network Reliability
NuclearBiomass
Technology excellence across the portfolio
HydroSolarGas
Cleaner Coal
• Increasing License activity worldwide …refinery & petrochemical focus
• Poland ‘Center of Excellence’ …driving technology in Europe
WindCleaner Coal
Asset Optimization
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Gas
Technology excellence across the portfolio
Cleaner Coal HydroSolar
Wind
• ’06 orders:- $3B US- $1B ROW
• Reliability improvement 88% - 97%+
• Capacity commitments through ’08 … global reach
Wind
Network Reliability
EnvironmentalServices
NuclearAsset Optimization
Biomass
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Cleaner Coal
Technology excellence across the portfolio
WindHydroSolar
Biomass
• Renewable energy consumption up by 60% by 2030 … $1.6 trillion investment
• Biomass growing 4% annually …Jenbacher growing 5x
• Growth regions … North America, EU, India, China & Brazil
Gas
Network Reliability
EnvironmentalServices
NuclearAsset Optimization
Biomass
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Cleaner Coal
Technology excellence across the portfolio
Network Reliability
EnvironmentalServices
Nuclear
WindHydro
Asset Optimization
Biomass
SolarGas
Nuclear
• Part of the global GHG solution
• Aggressive new build targets …>100 GW by 2025
• ESBWR design certification progressing with NRC
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Energy growth drivers
• Grow across the portfolio …across the world
• Coal/IGCC and nuclear progress continuing but significant GT CC needs for next decade
• Strong demand for renewables continues
• Services revenue growth…CS backlog $32B
• NPI investment up 30% in ’07’05 ’06E
Global Infrastructure investments bring big opportunities for growth
Revenue
Op Profit
$17
$2.7
~$3.0
~$19($ in Billions)
~13%