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Visio n 2050 Vision 2050 Generic Presentation Short Version March 2010 - DRAFT -
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Vision 2050
Vision 2050 Generic Presentation
Short Version
March 2010
- DRAFT -
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 2
Summary
Overview of the Vision 2050 project
Part 1: Business-as-usual outlook to 2050
Part 2: The Vision for 2050
Part 3: The pathway to 2050
Part 4: Business opportunities
Conclusion: Urgent action is needed
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 3
About Vision 2050
• The vision concept and the 2050 timeframe provide a clear and feasible goal for…o Identifying the gap between today and 2050
o Developing a pathway and areas of action
o Clarifying the business perspective
o Quantifying market potential
o Agreeing on action points and next steps
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 4
A collaborative effort involving 29 companies
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 5
A global business dialogue
Washington DC
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 6
The different steps of the Vision 2050 project
Business-as-usual outlook to 2050
Vision 2050
Pathway to 2050
Opportunities
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 7
Growth in populations and consumption
Source: Goldman Sachs, BRICs and Beyond, 2007 Source: The World Bank, Global Economic Prospects, 2007
Source: UN Population Division, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, 2008
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 8
Degradation of the environment and societies
Source: UKERC, The Global Oil Depletion Report, 2009Source: OECD, Environmental Outlook to 2030, 2008
Source: OECD, Environmental Outlook to 2030, 2008
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 9
Meeting the dual goals of sustainability: High human development and low ecological impact
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 10
The Vision: Nine billion people living well, within the limits of the planet
Vision 2050
Diversity & inter-dependence
A different economic reality
Multi-partner governance
Dealing with climate change
An evolved workplace &
evolved employers
In markers: Innovating &
deploying solutions
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 11
Human development
Economy
The pathway to 2050 and its nine elements
Vision 2050
Today
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
People’s values
Agriculture Forests Energy & power
Buildings Mobility Materials
Opportunities
Turb
ulen
t Tee
nsTr
ansf
orm
ation
Ti
me
“Must-haves”
Measures of success
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 12
The pathway to 2050 and its nine elements
Vision 2050
Today
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 13
A sustainable future comes with huge business opportunities
Potential additional sustainability related business opportunities in key sectors in 2050
Sectors Annual value in 2050(US$ trillion at constant 2008 prices)
% of projected world GDP in 2050
Energy 2.0 1.0
Forestry 0.2 0.1
Agriculture and food 1.2 0.6
Water 0.2 0.1
Metals 0.5 0.2
Total: natural resources 4.1 2.0
Health and education 2.1 1.0
Total 6.2 3.0
Source: PwC estimates drawing on data from IEA, OECD and the World Bank
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 14
Ecological estimates
Vision 2050 ecological footprint against business-as-usual – How many Earths do we use?
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 15
Opportunities: Business domains for the next decade
Helping change happen
Improving biocapacity &
managing ecosystems
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 16
Opportunities: Business domains for the next decade
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 17
Improving biocapacity and managing ecosystems
Potential growth of some ecosystem markets (US$ billion)
Ecosystempayments
Bio-productivity
Technology
Distribution
Education
Compliant biodiversity offsets
Government mediated biodiversity PES
Voluntary watershed management payments
Government-mediated watershed PES
0 10,000 20,000 30,000
Current size
Potential size by 2020
Potential size by 2050
Source: Forest Trends and the Ecosystem Marketplace, PES: Market Profiles, 2008 FAW management
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 18
Closing the gap: Reaching the vision
CollaborationBuild complex coalitions, co-
innovation
ConsumptionChange consumption
patterns to more sustainable lifestyles
CostsInternalize cost of carbon, water & other ecosystem
services
Carbon & resourcesHalve CO2
emissions, double agricultural output, 4-
10 fold increase in resource efficiency
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 19
The journey begins now!
Vision 2050 – The new agenda for business 20
Further information
• More information on:o www.wbcsd.org/web/vision2050.htm
• Contacts:o Per Sandberg,
• [email protected] • +41 22 8393101
o Kija Kummer, Assistant Manager
• [email protected]• +41 22 83931XX
