ADRIAN R. TROTMAN C H I E F , A P P L I E D M E T E O R O L O G Y A N D
C L I M A T O L O G Y
CARIBBEAN INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY
GFCS Caribbean: Implementation Support from CIMH
Meeting on the Implementation Coordination of the GFCS
29 September to 1 October, 2014
Geneva
WMO Regional Training Centre – meteorology, hydrology and associated sciences
Operate as a centre of research in meteorology, hydrology and associated sciences
Regional Climate Data Centre - Data collection, storage, & dissemination
Regional Instrument Centre – Develop, maintain, repair, and calibrate meteorological & hydrological instruments
Regional Centre of Excellence for Satellite Meteorology
WMO Regional Climate Centre (Demonstration Phase)
Advisor to regional governments on matters related to meteorology, climate & hydrology
Provide specialized services to industry
Functions of the Caribbean Institute for Meteorology & Hydrology
An arm of the
Caribbean Meteorological
Organisation (CMO)
Sixteen Member States
Caribbean Meteorological Organization Member States
Caribbean Meteorological Organization
Anguilla
Antigua and Barbuda
Barbados
Belize
British Virgin Islands
Cayman Islands
Dominica
Grenada
Guyana
Jamaica
Montserrat
St. Kitts/Nevis
Saint Lucia
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Trinidad and Tobago
Turks and Caicos Islands
Membership
Guiding Framework1
CDM Strategy 2014-2024 is to realize the “Safer, more resilient and sustainable CDEMA Participating States through Comprehensive Disaster Management”. Five main priorities: Hazard Mapping And Vulnerability Assessment,
Flood Management,
Community Disaster Planning,
Early Warning Systems,
Climate Change, and
Knowledge Enhancement
Four Outcomes Outcome 1: Institutional support for CDM programme implementation at national and regional levels is
enhanced.
Outcome 2: An effective mechanism and programme for management of CDM knowledge has been established.
Outcome 3: Disaster Risk Management (DRM) has been mainstreamed at national levels and incorporated into key sectors of national economies (including tourism, health, agriculture and nutrition).
Outcome 4: Community resilience in CDERA (now CDEMA) States to mitigate and respond to the adverse effects of climate change and disasters is enhanced
• In 2012, the CARICOM Heads of Government approved the Implementation Plan for the 'Regional Framework for Achieving Development Resilient to Climate Change' (the Regional Framework) for the period 2011-2021 that addresses the Region's approach for coping with long-term climate change as outlined in the 2009 Liliendaal Declaration on Climate Change and Development. Three areas of consistency with GFCS:
• Seeks to guide the identification and prioritization of actions by regional and national stakeholders under each strategic element and goal area of the Regional Framework through the use of risk management approaches to decision making;
• Considers responsibilities and functional co-operation between regional organizations and national governments;
• Recognizes that there are existing significant resource and capacity challenges that hold back the region's sustainable development and growth and processes known as the 'three-ones' to assist in resource mobilization and co-ordination of actions;
• Proposes a monitoring and evaluation (M&E) framework.
Guiding Framework 2
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GFCS Components
User Interface Platform - to provide a means for users, user representatives, climate researchers and climate service providers to interact
Climate Services Information System - to collect, process and distribute climate data and information according to the needs of users and according to the procedures agreed by governments and other data providers
Observations and Monitoring - to ensure that the climate observations necessary to meet the needs of climate services are generated.
Research, Modelling and Prediction - to assess and promote the needs of climate services within research agendas
Users, Government, private sector, research, agriculture, water,
health, construction, disaster reduction, environment,tourism,
transport, etc
User Interface
Climate Services Information System
Observations and
Monitoring
Research, Modeling
and Prediction
CAPACITY BUILDING
Users, Government, private sector, research, agriculture, water,
health, construction, disaster reduction, environment,tourism,
transport, etc
User Interface
Climate Services Information System
Observations and
Monitoring
Research, Modeling
and Prediction
CAPACITY BUILDING
• Capacity Building - to support systematic development of the necessary institutions, infrastructure and human resources to provide effective climate services.
User Interface
Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) - Re-established in June 2010, CariCOF with seasonal forecasts since 2012, First dry season COF Dec. 2014 (2014-15 Season) – key to stakeholder engagement.
NCOFs – CIMH willing to provide tehnical support
Long term support for seasonal COFs required.
National Stakeholder Meetings Belize 2013
Dominica 2014
Other countries planned for 2015
Developing Interactive web portal
Collaboration on Information Flow - Networks, evaluation
Forums with the farming community
and agricultural extension agencies to
promote a better understanding of the
applications of weather and climate
information
Important for understanding
farmers needs and how to
communicate with them
Means for communication,
awareness, education, and feedback.
Suggested wet/hurricane and dry
season Began under CAMI and continues in
some countries by NMHS
Sectoral Meetings
Already for Agriculture, DRR
Climate Services Information System
Web page with links to climate data and information
Climate web-based (interactive) portal
Dewetra and Climate Impacts Database (CID)
CariCOF Supports information delivery
NCOFs to support information delivery
www.cimh.edu.bb/rcc
Suite of Outlook Products
Next – Flood Risk Outlooks,
Sub-seasonal information
and forecasts
Future – Heat Waves
Tool(s) for Dynamic Downscaling?
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Climate Outlook Newsletter
Climate and Impacts Monitoring + Forecast/OUtlook
SPI outlook AMJJAS (YEAR) – 2. any area with imminent drought risk?
13 Drought imminent in parts of Southern Caribbean
Previous month’s update:
drought imminent over Martinique, St.
Vincent, Barbados, Curaçao, parts of
Guianas (left inset).
This month’s update:
drought imminent over Dominica,
Martinique, St. Vincent, Barbados,
Trinidad & Tobago, northern Guyana
(below).
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Drought Bulletin
Drought Monitoring and Impacts + Drought Forecast/Outlook
Preparation and dissemination of a user-friendly weather and
climate bulletins and information
Daily, week ten-daily, monthly, seasonally
But potential for print, radio, television, mobile/cellular,
telecentres
Agriculture CSIS – Existing and Planned
Developing an Effective Communication Strategy involving media
that can reach farmers with language they can understand
http://agrilinksja.com for farmers in Jamaica
Regional Agroclimatic Bulletin – Began under CAMI
Capacity Building
Seasonal Forecast Training
Pre-CariCOF training…
2012 use of CPT tool for rainfall outlook - terciles
2013 plus verification and communication
2014 plus SPI (drought) Outlook, temperature forecast
Future focus – enhancing forecast verification, flood potential, sub-seasonal forecasts
Stakeholder awareness building
Climate Monitoring Training
Drought Monitoring and Planning training began in 2012 in collaboration with NDMC USA, to be expanded in January 2015
Three Drought Plans/Committees Drafted out of 2012– Jamaica, Grenada, St. Lucia (approved)
Near Future temperature, wind
Also Climate training in CIMH routine courses
Observations and Monitoring 1
Data Management …
CIMH is the data archiving and management centre for meteorological data for CMO Member Disseminates regional data
Recently built a customised data management system with financial support from the Caribbean Development Bank (CDB) – data sharing protocols
A light version to be developed for NMHS to synchronise with the Central Database supported by USAID – enhancing data sharing
To be expanded as a regional environmental database in collaboration with the Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre (CCCCC)
Observations and Monitoring 2
Expanding national observations networks through a number of projects managed by multiple national and regional organisations in the region and financially supported by a range of development agencies…
Expanding network includes water level measurements and soil moisture to assist in drought monitoring and forecasting
Discussions on observation network homogeneity, however at times difficult due to conditions set out by sponsoring developing agencies
Expanding remote sensing activities
Observations and Monitoring 3
Developing a regional Climate Impacts Database that would include physical and socio-economic impacts to assist in research and planning
With link to existing DEWETRA Multi-hazard Platform for real time information for decision-making – also some interfacing
Supported by and in turn will be supporting DRR Sector
So Climate Services to DRR being developed
Research, modelling and prediction
Climate drivers, trends, predictions, projections – CSGM UWI, INSMET, CIMH…
Physical and socio-economic impacts and vulnerability– supported by CID and Dewetra
Developing Climate Impacts Database to drive research – Climate to relate to impacts (thresholds, warnings, suitability of conditions etc …)
Research Priorities
GFCS Caribbean Launch 1
A key consideration for advancing implementation of the GFCS in the Caribbean is the limited capacity of most National Meteorological and Hydrological Service Few, and in some cases, no staff assigned to perform specific climate services functions,
Observing networks that need to be strengthened by increasing the spatial density and coverage of networks as well as the continuity and reliability of measurements,
Absence of appropriate legal frameworks that define the roles and responsibilities of NMHSs,
Limited human and technical capacities to generate, on a continuous basis, the range of climate services required by the user community in the region,
Limited appreciation of the value of the benefits that can be accrued from the effective application of climate services,
Limited ability to effectively and efficiently communicate and interact with stakeholders and users of climate data.
GFCS Caribbean Launch 2
Priorities moving forward Organization of National Consultations to bring stakeholders together with a view to identify the specific needs of both the users and providers and chart the road map for specific implementation which will define needs, priorities and roles of the various stakeholders to be involved (Belize October 2013; Dominica August 2014 with strong health focus)
Socio-economic cost-benefit studies to provide concrete examples of benefits derived from effective application of climate services and the implications or cost of not taking action. Raise the profile of the work done by NMHSs in the eyes of policy and decision makers, in particular ministries of finance.
Capacity development to enable:
improved capacities to generate climate products and services through training;
improved understanding of the atmospheric processes that have bearing on climate predictability in the region and socio-economic research for better understand evolving societal vulnerabilities that may result from a changing climate;
improved technical capacities to generate methodologies, tools and products to transform and enhance operational climate services;
Institutional capacities to observe, monitor, rescue, archive and process meteorological data and generate tailored climate products and services.
Thank you
