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IMPACTDesign is one way to build and guide the impact of curative technologies that will have enormous impact on global society. One way we can formulate a plan of action is to look at the key areas that society depends upon and which are the driving forces of change.
TechnologicalSocial
PoliticalEnvironmental
Economics
Design Entertainment
Education Arts
Sciences
GLOBAL DESIGN
Molecular nanotechnology has the potential for changing how society performs big tasks on a small scale. Global Design is a field that can be developed through the efforts of renaissance design teams. These design teams would build strategic narratives for developing adaptive systems in forecasting, role playing and strategic gaming. The outcomes of these systems would develop into models for assessing and testing alternative futures.
Environmental
TechnologicalSocial
PoliticalEnvironmental
Economics
Design Entertainment
Education Arts
Sciences
GLOBAL DESIGN
Environmental
Molecular nanotechnology has the potential for changing how society performs big tasks on a small scale. Global Design is a field that can be developed through the efforts of renaissance design teams. These design teams would build strategic narratives for developing adaptive systems in forecasting, role playing and strategic gaming. The outcomes of these systems would develop into models for assessing and testing alternative futures.
Constants
Recent Discontinuities
Stakeholders Trends
Potential Events
Emerging Issues
Cultural Diversity Design Tools
Constants
Recent Discontinuities
Stakeholders Trends
Potential Events
Emerging Issues
New Ideas
Critical Uncertainties
Design is one way to build and guide the impact of curative technologies that will have enormous impact on global society.
EconomicsPolitical
Environmental
Environmental Environmental
Environmental
Social
EnvironmentalE
nvironmental
Env
ironm
enta
l
Technological
Environmental
EconomicsPolitical
Environmental
Environmental Environmental
Environmental
Social
EnvironmentalE
nviro
nm
ental
En
viro
nm
enta
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Technological
Environmental
Blogocracy
Rapid Global change
Clean Sustainable Environment
EntertainmentStorytelling
Transpolitical
Social AnxietySocial Activism
Networks
Transpolitics - BlogocracyNomothetic and diplomacy-based referendums for voting on issues would be developed through pervasive computing environments. The ubiquitous environment would produce rapid multi-cultural communications. Open communications produces broader understanding and cooperation through online politics.
Nanotechnology: Industrial Design —
Completely new computing structures like molecular logic gates may lead to another quantum leap in computing power. These technologies could replace—at least in part—silicon-based computers, and help to give intelligence to everyday items.
Needed: critical thinking and renaissance teams
Political - Blogocracy
Political
Environmental
Environmental
Social NarrativeDescriptive narrative, better known as storytelling, has been the one single means by which society has learned about the world, people, places and events. From the cave paintings to the village oracle, society has cast an ear toward the future and the past through the words images and sounds of culture.
Nanotechnology: Entertainment Design —
There are many potential applications for nanotechnology, such as quickly constructed and deconstructed theatrical games. But it could be that entertainment design will be more valuable for culture if it is used as a means for narrating information and knowledge about rapid technological change.
Needed: chroniclers and visionaries
Social - Narrative
Social
Environmental
Environmental
Rapid Global ChangeManaging the consequences of rapid technological change is structured by the efforts of two acting groups: progressives and conservatives. With opposing forces, there is little opportunity for impartial interaction. Because of this, the global community is lacking a structure to measure and cope with rapid technological change.
Nanotechnology: Change Design
It progresses in cycles that hinge on the discontinuities and the emergence of dominant design. It can be competence destroying – people are left with not knowing what to do with their traditional mind-set. It develop slowly at first, and then accelerates with a dominant design, and then slows again as efforts shift to new technologies It invades and eventually overwhelms the establish technology accepted by society as the norm.
Technological - Change
Change
TechnologicalEnvironmental
Needed: User-Friendly Instructions for adapting to change (or informed storytellers)
Economics – The Network
The NetworkWhat would it be like living in a world of 100% automation and perpetual adaptation? Will it be chaotic? What will a new economic environment would look like and will we use money?
Complex adaptive systems forming as networks.
Can the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services and their management we run within an automated adaptive system?
Needed: An economic theory to distinguish plausible from implausible claims about molecular nanotechnology.
Economics
Environmental
Networks
E-economytechnocapitalism
Increasing return on sales
Dilution of Hierarchies
Disequilibrium and Change
Decentralization
Network Complex system
characteristics
Causal models
Structure
Events Patterns
System Parts
Variables Links Loops
Plausible vs. Implausible claims Behavior
Quantities
Environment
React AdaptCreate change
Loose
Active
Closed
Tools
element element
Analytical Concept
element
Structure
Increasing return on sales
Dilution of Hierarchies
Disequilibrium and Change
Decentralization
Full Automation Perpetual Adaptation
Design illustrates how the diverse parts fit together and how they function as an interconnected system. The methods of systems dynamics, scenarios, and forecasting are used to understand the interconnected system. These techniques help to track technical innovations, value shifts, geopolitical tides, environmental perturbations, economic developments, demographic patterns, and other trends of change. They also help to analyze historical facts, current trends, and to create scenarios of possible alternative futures.
Natasha Vita-MoreCultural Strategist
[email protected] http://www.natasha.cc
President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.orgFounder Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz
Solving problems cannot be accomplished by following a straight line.