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Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South...

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    Poh admaedm nve~e~ ok~ kiihnph` poh lkbav ^axpo K~ekd hnadaleh~ povaxmo iedkdnekc kd`pvk`h nokddhc~ ~ednh pohu kvh lavh edphmvkph` }epo mcafkc lkvghp nalzkvh` pa poh;55:~$Poh xdiac`edm mcafkc iedkdnekc nve~e~ e~ pohvhiavh okyedm `eiihvhdp vhzhvnx~~ead~ ad^axpo K~ekd hnadaleh~ pokd `xvedm poh ;55= K~ekd iedkdnekc nve~e~$ ]epo poh ednvhk~edmedphmvkpead ai poh ^axpo K~ekd hnadaleh~ kd` pohev iedkdnekc lkvghp~ }epo poh vh~p ai poh}avc`# pohvh e~ vhnamdepead pokp poh vhmead `ah~ iknh ~alh `a}d~e`h ve~g~ ival poh mcafkc

    iedkdnekc kd` hnadalen nve~e~ /]avc` Fkdg 6::5k%$ Poh nve~e~ kzzhkvh` ed ^axpo K~ek }ohdpoh vhmead }k~ ~xiihvedm ival k oxmh ca~~ ai ednalh ival k ~hyhvh phvl~,ai,pvk`h ~oanga}edm pa poh ~xvmh ed mcafkc nalla`epu zvenh~ ival 6::> pa poh le``ch ai 6::?$ Ep~ elzknp ad^axpo K~ek ok~ fhhd ckvmh# kd` ep naxc` }hkghd poh ~xfvhmeadkc hnadaleh~ povaxmo pvk`hkd` iedkdnekc nokddhc~$

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

    14/78

    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

    15/78

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

    18/78

    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

    19/78

    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    ;8

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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  • 8/6/2019 Global Financial and Economic Crisis: Implications for Trade and Industrial Restructuring in South Asia

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    Iemxvh 52 Ykvekdnh @hnalza~epeadZhvnhdp Ykvekdnh ai NNE /Ed`x~pvu% /Zvh,Nve~e~% `xh pa

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    68

    Iemxvh ;;2 Elzxc~h Vh~zad~h ai NNE /Ed`x~pvu% /Adh p @hy ^oang%2 Zvh,Nve~e~

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    69

    Iemxvh ;62 Ykvekdnh @hnalza~epeadZhvnhdp Ykvekdnh ai NNE /Ed`x~pvu% /Zvh,Nve~e~% `xh pa

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    31/78

    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    33/78

    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    35/78

    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    >>

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    Ykvekdnh @hnalza~epeadZhvnhdp Ykvekdnh ai Pvk`h,M@Z Vkpea /Papkc Zhvea`% `xh pa

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    >0

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    Ykvekdnh @hnalza~epeadZhvnhdp Ykvekdnh ai Pvk`h,M@Z Vkpea /Zvh,Nve~e~% xh pa

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    >8

    Iemxvh 6;2 Elzxc~h Vh~zad~h ai Ed`ek~ Pvk`h,M@Z Vkpea /Adh p @hy ^oang%2 Za~pnve~e~

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    Ykvekdnh @hnalza~epeadZhvnhdp Ykvekdnh ai Pvk`h,M@Z Vkpea /Za~pnve~e~% `xh pa

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    ^axvnh2 Nkcnxckph` fu poh kxpoav~$

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    >9

    Iemxvh 662 Elzxc~h Vh~zad~h ai Ed`ek~ Pvk`h,M@Z Vkpea /Adh ^p @hy ^oang%2 Papkc Zhvea`

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 656 @h kd` Dhame

    >=

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    elzavp~ ival poh X^ kd` poh X^ M@Z okyh yhvu ceppch hiihnp ad poh ykvekpead ai pvk`hazhddh~~ /pvk`h,M@Z vkpea% ai Ed`ek$ Iemxvh ;8 ~oa}~ pokp `xvedm poh za~pnve~e~ zhvea` pohykvekdnh ai hzavp~ pa poh X^# elzavp~ ival poh X^# kd` X^ M@Z pamhpohv okyh hzckedh`kfaxp 0:( ai poh ykvekpead ai poh pvk`h,M@Z vkpea ai Ed`ek$ Iemxvh ;9 meyh~ poh vh~zad~h aipoh pvk`h,M@Z vkpea ai Ed`ek ad poh~h ykvekfch~ `xvedm poh papkc zhvea`$ Ohvh# poh vh~xcp~ kvh~eleckv pa poa~h ai poh zvh,nve~e~ zhvea`$ Poh hiihnp ai ykvekpead ai hzavp~ pa Bkzkd# elzavp~ival Bkzkd# kd` Bkzkd M@Z ad poh ykvekpead ai Ed`ek~ pvk`h,M@Z vkpea `xvedm poh zvh,nve~e~#za~pnve~e~# kd` papkc zhvea`~ kvh meyhd ed Iemxvh~ ;=# ;?# kd` ;5$ Ep e~ af~hvyh` pokp `xvedm pohza~pnve~e~ zhvea` kfaxp >:( ai poh ykvekpead ai pvk`h,M@Z vkpea ai Ed`ek e~ hzckedh` fu pohykvekpead ai hzavp~ pa Bkzkd# }oech poh iemxvh }k~ ch~~ pokd 6:( `xvedm poh zvh,nve~e~ zhvea`$Ad poh apohv okd`# ei }h nad~e`hv poh hdpevh zhvea` /Iemxvh ;5% poh ykvekpead ed hzavp~#elzavp~# kd` M@Z hzcked yhvu ceppch ai poh ykvekpead ai pvk`h,M@Z vkpea ai Ed`ek$ Iemxvh~ 6:#

    6;# kd` 66 ~oa} poh hiihnp ai poh ykvekpead ai hzavp~ pa# elzavp~ ival# kd` M@Z ai poh HX adpoh ykvekpead ai poh pvk`h,M@Z vkpea ai Ed`ek iav poh p}a ~xfzhvea`~ kd` iav poh hdpevh zhvea`$Poh ykvekpead ai poh~h ykvekfch~ ok~ ceppch av da hiihnp ad poh pvk`h,M@Z vkpea ai Ed`ek ed fapopoh zvh, kd` poh za~pnve~e~ zhvea`~ k~ }hcc k~ iav poh papkc zhvea` k~ k }oach$

    Pa nadncx`h# ied`edm~ ai poh YKV kdkcu~e~ `hlad~pvkph pokp Ed`ek~ pvk`h }epo poh X^#naxzch` }epo X^ M@Z# ~emdeienkdpcu nadpvefxph~ pa poh ykvekfecepu ai Ed`ek~ pvk`h azhddh~~ edpoh nve~e~ zhvea`# knnaxdpedm iav 0:( ai poh ykvekpead ai poh pvk`h,M@Z vkpea ai Ed`ek# }ohvhk~Ed`ek~ pvk`h }epo poh HX kd` Bkzkd kd` pohev M@Z~ okyh hepohv da hiihnp av ed~emdeienkdphiihnp ad Ed`ek~ pvk`h azhddh~~$

    ? NADNCX^EAD^ KD@ ZACENU ELZCENKPEAD^Ykvekpead~ ed NNE ~navh~ ed Ed`ek~ hzavp~ ~xmmh~p ~oeipedm ai zva`xnp~ knva~~ zhvea`~ e~ yhvuivh{xhdp$ Hzkd~ead~ ai he~pedm zva`xnp~ av nvhkpead ai dh} zva`xnp~ ival 6::= pa 6::5 edEd`ekd hzavp~ okyh fhhd dapenh` ed vhk`ulk`h mkvlhdp~7 chkpohv kd` chkpohv zva`xnp~7 bxphkd` bxph zva`xnp~7 lknoedhvu kd` h{xezlhdp7 hchnpvaden maa`~7 `vxm~# zokvlknhxpenkc~ kd`iedh nohlenkc~7 iaa` kd` fhyhvkmh~7 pvkd~zavp h{xezlhdp7 kd` na~lhpen~ kd` paechpveh~$Oa}hyhv# pohvh ok~ fhhd k ~lkcc nalza~epeadkc nokdmh `xvedm poh admaedm nve~e~ zhvea`~ednh Bxcu 6::? ed vhk`ulk`h mkvlhdp~7 mhl~ kd` bh}hcvu7 `vxm~# zokvlknhxpenkc~# kd` iedhnohlenkc~7 iaa` kd` fhyhvkmh~7 pvkd~zavp h{xezlhdp7 kd` lkvedh zva`xnp~# }ohvhk~ pohapohv hzavp~ }epdh~~h` hepohv rhva av dhmkpeyh nokdmh$ Poh h~pelkph` NNE ~navh~ ed`enkphnalza~epeadkc nokdmh ok~ kc}ku~ fhhd ch~~ pokd 8( ed poh ed`x~pvekc ~hnpav ed Ed`ek$ Poh

    za~epeyh nalza~epeadkc nokdmh ok~ fhhd }epdh~~h` ed zva`xnp~ ~xno k~ iaa` zva`xnp~7fhyhvkmh~# pafknna# kd` vhckph` zva`xnp~7 bxph kd` apohv yhmhpkfch iefhv phpech~7 vxffhv#zhpvachxl# zck~pen# kd` nakc zva`xnp~7 chkpohv kd` ixv zva`xnp~7 kd` lknoedhvu kd`h{xezlhdp$ Pohvh ok~ dap fhhd lxno nalza~epeadkc nokdmh ed lkdxiknpxvedm za~p,Bxcu 6::?pokp lkpnoh~ Ed`ek~ hzavp~# hnhzp ed iaa` kd` fhyhvkmh~$

    Poh NNE ~navh~ kc~a ed`enkph pokp hzavp~ ai lkdxiknpxvedm maa`~ xd`hv}hdp lavh ~}hhzedmnokdmh~ ed zva`xnp nalza~epead pokd poa~h ed zva`xnpead ai lkdxiknpxvedm maa`~$ Meyhd pohk`ykdpkmh ai `hzvhnekpedm nxvvhdnu# poe~ e~ dap ~xvzve~edm# fhnkx~h ednhdpeyh~ kvh vhckpeyhcuoemohv ed pvk`h# apohv poedm~ fhedm h{xkc# pokd ed lkdxiknpxvedm# zkvpenxckvcu ed poh ~oavp vxd$Lavh ~}hhzedm nokdmh~ kvh pkgedm zcknh ed poh hzavp ~hnpav pokd ed lkdxiknpxvedm$ Pohladpocu kmmvhmkph NNE iav lkdxiknpxvedm kc~a nadievl~ poe~$ Pohvhiavh# poh hzavp ~hnpav

    mhdhvkph~ lkbav nalzxc~ead iav k`bx~plhdp kd` vh~pvxnpxvedm$ Poh femmhv poh hzavp ~hnpav#poh ckvmhv e~ poh vh~pvxnpxvedm dhh`$

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    >?

    Nokdmh~ ed vhckpeyh zvenh~ iav pvk`h` maa`~# ed k``epead pa nokdmh~ ed na~p~ ai zva`xnpead kd`pvkd~zavpkpead# chk` pa vh~pvxnpxvedm ed zva`xnp nalza~epead# ~hvyedm `alh~pen av hphvdkc`hlkd`$ Zkvp ai poh nokdmh ed zva`xnp le lku fh k dkpxvkc vh~zad~h pa nokdmh ed vhckpeyhzvenh~ }epoaxp vhavmkderedm poh zva`xnpead ~pvxnpxvh# vhpaacedm ai poh zva`xnpead phnodacamu#av vh`xnedm pvkd~zavpkpead na~p~$ Ohdnh# axv ed`h dhh`~ pa fh edphvzvhph` k~ k fvak`lhk~xvh ai vh~pvxnpxvedm ed vh~zad~h pa fapo zvenh ~emdkc~ kd` na~p iknpav~$

    Poh kdkcu~e~ nkvveh` axp ed poe~ ~px`u ed`evhnpcu ed`enkph~ pokp lavh kppvepead kd` `e~lkdpcedmai zva`xnp cedh~ paag zcknh kladm hzavp maa`~$ K~ pvk`h e~ x~xkccu knnalzkdeh` fu zva`xnpvhcankpead /ival nalzhpedm elzavp~ pa poh hzavp ~hnpav%# dh} zva`xnp~ }ecc vhzcknh axpmaedmadh~# av he~pedm zva`xnp~ }ecc hzkd` pa iecc poh yknxxl chip fu vhcankpead$ Poe~ vhcankpead kd`k`bx~plhdp }ecc kc~a okyh fapo hnadalen kd` ~anekc na~p~# ei dap mxe`h` zvazhvcu$

    ]oech k~~h~~edm poh elzknp ai poh mcafkc nve~e~ ad pvk`h kd` ed`x~pvu ed Ed`ek# poh h~pelkph`vh~xcp~ ai zkdhc `kpk la`hc~ ~oa} pokp nokdmh ed pvk`h nalza~epead e~ za~epeyhcu k~~anekph`}epo nokdmh ed lkdxiknpxvedm nalza~epead# nadpvaccedm iav apohv ykvekfch~# fxp poh h~pelkph`nahiienehdp~ kvh dap ~pkpe~penkccu ~emdeienkdp$ Oa}hyhv# pohvh e~ k za~epeyh phd`hdnu pa}kv` na,layhlhdp ai nalza~epeadkc nokdmh~ ed hzavp~ kd` ed`x~pvu$ Kcpoaxmo poh elzknp lemop fh

    lec`# ikccedm hzavp~ kvh ceghcu pa kiihnp poh nalza~epeadkc nokdmh ed poh ed`x~pvekc ~hnpavdhmkpeyhcu$ Pohvhiavh# pohvh e~ da ~pvadm ed`enkpead pa nadievl pokp Ed`ek~ ed`x~pvekc ~hnpavok~ fhhd okv~ocu kiihnph` fu poh admaedm mcafkc nve~e~# fxp ep~ lec` hiihnp nkddap fh vhixph`$Poe~ kc~a ~xmmh~p~ pokp ei poh nve~e~ nadpedxh~# ed`x~pvekc vh~pvxnpxvedm }axc` fh dhh`h` pa~xzzavp poh hnadalu$ ]oech nalza~epeadkc nokdmh ed ed`x~pvu ed Ed`ek ok~ fhhd ~pelxckph`fu Ed`ek~ hzavp~ pa poh HX kd` Bkzkd# ep~ h~pelkph` zkvklhphv ok~ fhhd dhmkpeyh ed pohnk~h ai poh X^$ Poe~ lku fh fhnkx~h poh X^ e~ Ed`ek~ zvednezkc hzavp lkvghp kd` ep e~~hyhvhcu kiihnph` fu poh mcafkc nve~e~7 fhnkx~h pohvh kvh ~alh apohv vhk~ad~ /h$m$# `e~pkdnh%}oeno poh la`hc~ ikec pa nkzpxvh7 av fhnkx~h ckvmhv `e~pkdnh lkgh~ ep lavh hzhd~eyh pahzavp# ~a poh ikcc ed `hlkd` elzknp ok~ fhnalh ~pvadmhv$ Nalzkvh` pa hzavp~ pa poh X^#Ed`ek~ hzavp~ pa Bkzkd kd` poh HX okyh fhhd ch~~ kiihnph`$ Pohvh e~ da ~pvadm ed`enkpeadpokp Ed`ekd ed`x~pvu ok~ fhhd ~hyhvhcu okvlh` fu poh ikcc ed `hlkd` ed nve~e~,kiihnph`

    k`ykdnh` hnadaleh~ cegh poh X^# poh HX# kd` Bkzkd# apohv poedm~ fhedm nad~pkdp$ Pohh~pelkph` la`hc~ kc~a ~oa} pokp zvenh ve~h ok~ `elede~oh` ed`x~pvekc nalza~epead ed Ed`ek$

    ^ednh pohvh lku fh ckm~ fhp}hhd nokdmh~ ed nalza~epead ed hzavp~ kd` ed`x~pvu# }h okyhpohvhiavh x~h` poh YKV phnode{xh pa ied` axp poh hiihnp ai poh mcafkc nve~e~ ~oang~ ad Ed`ek~ed`x~pvekc nalza~epeadkc nokdmh kd` poh pvk`h azhddh~~$ ]h iaxd` pokp NNE /ed`x~pvu% ok~vh~zad`h` ~emdeienkdpcu pa hzavp~ pa poh X^# Bkzkd# kd` poh HX `xvedm poh nve~e~ zhvea`$@xvedm poh zvh,nve~e~ zhvea` NNE /ed`x~pvu% `e` dap vh~zad` ~emdeienkdpcu pa ~oang~ ed hzavp~pa poh X^# Bkzkd# kd` poh HX$ Oa}hyhv# `xvedm poh nve~e~ zhvea` NNE /ed`x~pvu% ok~vh~zad`h` ~emdeienkdpcu pa hzavp~ pa poh X^# Bkzkd# kd` poh HX$ Fxp poh vh~zad~h ai NNE/ed`x~pvu% pa hzavp~ pa Bkzkd kd` poh HX kvh ca}hv# nalzkvh` pa hzavp~ pa poh X^# kd` pohvh~zad~h pa ep~ a}d ~oang ok~ `hncedh` ~emdeienkdpcu `xvedm poh nve~e~ zhvea`$ Ykvekdnh

    `hnalza~epead ai NNE /ed`x~pvu% vhyhkc~ pokp `xvedm poh zvh,nve~e~ zhvea` kcla~p ;::( ai pohykvekpead ed NNE /ed`x~pvu% `hzhd`~ ad ep~ a}d ykvekpead# }oech ed poh nve~e~ zhvea` kfaxp 6:(ai poh ykvekpead ed NNE /ed`x~pvu% `hzhd`~ ad poh hzavp~ pa poh HX# Bkzkd# kd` poh X^$Pox~# poh hiihnp ai ~oang~ ai Ed`ek~ hzavp~ pa k`ykdnh` hnadaleh~ `xvedm poh nve~e~ zhvea`ok~ fhhd pvkd~lepph` pa Ed`ekd ed`x~pvu$

    Ed`ekd ed`x~pvu ok~ dap vh~zad`h` ~emdeienkdpcu pa poh ~oang~ ai elzavp~ ival poh X^# Bkzkd#kd` poh HX# }oech poh vh~zad~h pa ep~ a}d ~oang~ e~ ~emdeienkdp `xvedm fapo zvh, kd`za~pnve~e~ zhvea`~$ NNE /ed`x~pvu% ok~ dap vh~zad`h` ~emdeienkdpcu pa poh ~oang~ ai elzavp~ival poh X^# Bkzkd# kd` poh HX# }oech poh vh~zad~h pa ep~ a}d ~oang~ e~ ~emdeienkdp `xvedmfapo zvh, kd` za~pnve~e~ zhvea`~$ Poh ~oang~ ed elzavp~ pa poh X^# Bkzkd# kd` poh HX okyhceppch edicxhdnh ad poh ykvekdnh ai NNE /ed`x~pvu% `xvedm zvh, kd` za~pnve~e~ zhvea`~$

    Iedkccu# Ed`ek~ pvk`h azhddh~~ /pvk`h,M@Z vkpea% ok~ vh~zad`h` lec`cu pa poh ~oang aihzavp~ pa X^$ Oa}hyhv# elzavp~ ival poh X^ kd` poh X^ M@Z okyh yhvu ceppch hiihnp ad

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    K@FE ]avgedm Zkzhv 650 @h kd` Dhame

    >5

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