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Global market review of automotive roof systems – forecasts to 2017 2010 edition
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Page 1: Global market review of automotive glazing systems ... · PDF filePininfarina ... North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario, 2007-2017 ... and updates the market analysis.

Global market review of automotive roof systems – forecasts to 2017

2010 edition

Page 2: Global market review of automotive glazing systems ... · PDF filePininfarina ... North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario, 2007-2017 ... and updates the market analysis.

Page i

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Global market review of automotive

roof systems – forecasts to 2017

2010 edition

April 2010

By Matthew Beecham

Published by

Aroq Limited

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Registered in England no: 4307068

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Page ii

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Single-user licence edition

This report is provided for individual use only. If you would like to share this

report with your colleagues, please order additional copies or sign up for a

multi-user licence by contacting:

Chris Clarke

Research manager, just-auto.com

Tel: +44 (0)1527 573 615

Email: [email protected]

Copyright statement

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Limited. All rights reserved.

This publication, or any part of it, may not be copied, reproduced, stored in a

retrieval system, or be transmitted in any form by any means electronic,

mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior written

permission of Aroq Limited. This report is the product of extensive research

work. It is protected by copyright under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act

1988. The authors of Aroq Limited’s research reports are drawn from a wide

range of professional and academic disciplines. The facts within this report are

believed to be correct at the time of publication but cannot be guaranteed. All

information within this study has been reasonably verified to the author’s and

publisher’s ability, but neither accept responsibility for loss arising from

decisions based on this report.

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Page iii

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

copies are hosted on a password protected extranet for your department or

company – saving you time, resources and effort when sharing research with

your colleagues. To find out more about multi-user pricing, please contact

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Page iv Contents

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Contents

Single-user licence edition .......................................................................................................... ii

Copyright statement ............................................................................................................... ii Incredible ROI for your budget – single and multi-user licences ............................................. ii

just-auto.com membership ..................................................................................................... iii

Contents ...................................................................................................................................... iv

List of figures .............................................................................................................................. vi

List of tables .............................................................................................................................. vii

Preface ...................................................................................................................................... viii

Research methodology ........................................................................................................ viii

Report coverage .................................................................................................................. viii The author ............................................................................................................................ ix

Chapter 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 1

Chapter 2 The market .................................................................................................................. 3

Market trends ......................................................................................................................... 3

Market players ....................................................................................................................... 4

ArvinMeritor ................................................................................................................... 4

Q&A with ArvinMeritor ............................................................................................. 4 ASC Inc ......................................................................................................................... 6

Edscha .......................................................................................................................... 7 Heuliez .......................................................................................................................... 7 Inalfa Roof Systems....................................................................................................... 7

Q&A with Inalfa Roof Systems ................................................................................ 7

Karmann ........................................................................................................................ 9 Magna Car Top Systems ............................................................................................... 9

Q&A with Magna Car Top Systems ......................................................................... 9 Pininfarina ................................................................................................................... 13 Webasto ...................................................................................................................... 13

Market shares ...................................................................................................................... 14 Market forecasts .................................................................................................................. 16

Sunroof market ............................................................................................................ 16 Convertible roof market ............................................................................................... 22

Chapter 3 Technical review ....................................................................................................... 27

Defining the elements .......................................................................................................... 27 Recent innovations .............................................................................................................. 28

Q&A with Bayer MaterialScience ........................................................................... 29

Chapter 4 Manufacturers ........................................................................................................... 34

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Page v Contents

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

ArvinMeritor ......................................................................................................................... 34 ASC Inc ............................................................................................................................... 35 Heuliez................................................................................................................................. 35

Inalfa Roof Systems ............................................................................................................. 36 Edscha................................................................................................................................. 37 Magna Car Top Systems ..................................................................................................... 39 Webasto .............................................................................................................................. 40

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Page vi List of figures

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

List of figures

Figure 1: 2010 Audi A5 – roof supplied by Magna CTS ................................................................ 12

Figure 2: 2010 Chevrolet Corvette GS – roof supplied by Magna CTS ......................................... 12

Figure 3: 2010 Fiat 500C – roof supplied by Magna CTS ............................................................. 13

Figure 4: Manufacturer market shares for OE vehicle sunroofs for passenger cars and light trucks,

global (2009 % of volume) ..................................................................................... 14

Figure 5: Manufacturer market shares for OE vehicle sunroofs for passenger cars and light trucks,

Europe (2009 % of volume) ................................................................................... 15

Figure 6: Manufacturer market shares for OE vehicle sunroofs for passenger cars and light trucks,

North America (2009 % of volume) ........................................................................ 16

Figure 7: Webasto’s sales revenues by region, 2008 ................................................................... 41

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Page vii List of tables

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

List of tables

Table 1: Production of conventional-size sunroofs for light vehicle applications in Western Europe1,

Japan, North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario, 2007-20172

(‘000 units) ............................................................................................................. 17

Table 2: Market value of conventional-size sunroofs for light vehicle applications in Western

Europe, Japan, North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario, 2007-

2017 (EUR ‘000s) .................................................................................................. 18

Table 3: Production of large sunroofs for light vehicle applications in Western Europe, Japan,

North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario, 2007-2017 (‘000

units) ...................................................................................................................... 20

Table 4: Market value of large sunroofs for light vehicle applications in Western Europe, Japan,

North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario, 2007-2017 (EUR

‘000s) ..................................................................................................................... 21

Table 5: Production of retractable hardtop roof systems for light vehicle applications in Western

Europe, Japan, and North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario,

2007-2017 (‘000 units) ........................................................................................... 23

Table 6: Production of retractable soft-top roof systems for light vehicle applications in Western

Europe, Japan, and North America, expected, best case and worst case scenario,

2007-2017 (‘000 units) ........................................................................................... 24

Table 7: Production of retractable hardtop and soft-top roof systems for light vehicle applications in

Western Europe, Japan, and North America, expected, best case and worst case

scenario, 2007-2017 (‘000 units) ............................................................................ 25

Table 8: Magna Car Top Systems’ facilities worldwide, 2010 ....................................................... 39

Note: data in some tables may not sum due to rounding.

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Page viii Preface

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Preface

Research methodology

This report is intended to provide an overview of the vehicle roof systems

industry, providing top level market volume and value forecasts through to

2017. Our forecasts are not extrapolative but dependent on the underlying

drivers of supply and demand. Our forecasts are largely based on interviews

with the author’s extensive international network of industry contacts. This

allows us to consider and explain the meaning and implications of industry

events, rather than offer simple descriptions based on incomplete data.

Our approach is divided into two distinct methodologies:

○ qualitative interviews – these are generally opinion-based, which aim

to build knowledge about future roof market trends and company

strategies; and

○ quantitative interviews – typically fact-based, focused on establishing

market values, shares, and volumes.

Our research typically concentrates on applications for light vehicles which

include all cars, light trucks and the various cross-over vehicle styles such as

sports utility vehicles and people carriers. These vehicles collectively account

for about 96% of the global vehicle build.

Report coverage

In this, the fifth edition of this report, just-auto reviews the key market drivers

for vehicle roof systems, and updates the market analysis. Following our

market overview in Chapter 1, just-auto’s product forecasts in Chapter 2

predict in some detail how the conventional sunroof, large roof, retractable

hardtop and soft-top roof system market will evolve in Western Europe, North

America and Japan from 2007 through to 2017. This chapter includes

exclusive Q&As with senior executives of ArvinMeritor, Bayer MaterialScience,

Inalfa Roof Systems and Magna Car Top Systems. Chapter 3 provides an

updated review of new product developments. Chapter 4 sets out profiles of

the major manufacturers, namely ArvinMeritor, ASC, Edscha, Heuliez, Inalfa

Roof Systems and Webasto.

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Page ix Preface

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

The author

Matthew Beecham has more than 18 years’ experience of researching, writing

and analysing market and technical trends in the global automotive

components industry. Since 2000, he has served as an associate editor for

just-auto. In addition to roof systems, he authors a range of global auto

components’ market research reviews, including batteries, braking systems,

coatings, clutches, cockpits, driver assistance systems, door modules, electric

motors, engine cooling systems, exhaust systems, front-end modules, fuel

injection, fuel tanks, glazing systems, ignitions, interiors, lighting, mirrors,

shock absorbers, spark plugs, rotating electrics, tyre pressure monitoring

systems, tyres, wheels and wipers. Matthew’s freelance assignments have

included working for AT Kearney, Belron, Bridgehead International, McKinsey,

Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research, Motorsport Industry Association, Motor

Industry Research Association and the Economist Intelligence Unit. He has

also written for magazines including Car Graphic (Japan), JAMA (Japan) and

Automotive Engineer (UK). He was awarded a PhD in automotive technology

transfer from Cranfield University.

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Page 1 Chapter 1 Introduction

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Chapter 1 Introduction

Since Mercedes-Benz offered the first car sunroof in 1932, the ways in which

automakers have sought to let the sun shine into the cabin have become

increasingly complex. In terms of future trends, Thomas Becher, chief engineer

of ArvinMeritor’s roof systems business based in Dietzenbach, Germany, told

just-auto: “Solid roof modules without additional integrated features seem to

have a cost disadvantage versus simple sheet-metal roof-skin structures. We

see a trend towards roof modules with integrated opening systems (multi-panel

etc) particularly because the modular technology supports the trend towards

top-loading assembly processes on the car manufacturer’s assembly line. This

provides potential for utilisation of various roof options on one body interface.”

Jos Sanders, director of advanced technology at Inalfa Roof Systems Group,

still sees a trend in growing size of sunroofs with bigger take-rates and across

more vehicle segments. He told us: “This, at the same time, drives a sense of

urgency for lowering the total weight of sunroofs. Customers and consumers

do appreciate that low-weight solutions require more advanced material

choices and technologies. However, there has to be a clear performance factor

to rectify additional costs. This is where technologies like solar-powered

sunroofs are struggling. The output performance and cost structure are not

balanced yet.”

Meanwhile, the expanding convertible segment is crossing all vehicle

segments. It is no longer a preserve of the luxury class. Roof makers say that

growing consumer acceptance as well as all-weather convertible top concepts

such as retractable hardtops will contribute to the market’s expansion. While

electrically operated convertible roof systems are industry standard for luxury

vehicles, roof makers are continuously working toward developing smaller,

lighter and cheaper systems. In terms of the pace of growth of the retractable

hardtop market in North America, Jan Just, executive vice president of Magna

Car Top Systems, told us: “Before the economic downturn we have been

seeing a slow but steady growth of the RHT market in North America. With the

recent discontinuation of vehicle lines/brands (Cadillac XLR, Pontiac G6) the

North American market appears to have declined. As the carmakers are

currently redefining themselves, future growth is expected. OEMs will keep

using convertible technologies to distinguish themselves and draw customers

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Page 3 Chapter 2 The market

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Chapter 2 The market

Market trends

Panoramic sunroofs stretching the length and breadth of a vehicle are

becoming increasingly popular on both sides of the Atlantic. The trend is

toward roof systems, mainly of glass, with big openings that can be adjusted

even during driving. These designs give the best of both worlds: saving on cost

(compared to a convertible) and adding to the versatility of the car.

In fact, an increasing number of automakers are offering models featuring

large glass roofs. One reason is that large areas of glass give a sense of

openness and freedom. The selection on offer nowadays is varied, ranging

from the closed panoramic glass roof and so-called twin panels or multi-panels

through to the lamella sunroof.

The desire of many car designers to include increasingly large amounts of

glass in their cars presents glassmakers with new challenges because glass

cannot be shaped at will like steel or plastic. Other trends include producing a

smooth roof line using several glass panels, e.g. producing windscreens which

extend up into the glass roof.

Over the past few years, novel retractable hardtop (RHT) designs have

enabled automakers achieve that appearance of a coupé yet with four

comfortable seats.

It is clear that the expanding convertible segment is crossing all vehicle

segments. It is no longer a preserve of the luxury class. Roof makers say that

growing consumer acceptance as well as all-weather convertible top concepts

such as its retractable hardtops will contribute to the market’s expansion.

While electrically operated convertible-roof systems are industry standard for

luxury vehicles, roof makers are continuously working toward developing

smaller, lighter and cheaper systems.

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Page 27 Chapter 3 Technical review

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Chapter 3 Technical review

Defining the elements

Inalfa Roof Systems supplies a range of vehicle roof systems for passenger

cars and trucks. The company defines its roof system products as follows:

○ Standard roofs – these are single-panel roof systems which have a

glass panel that is on average smaller than 0.5-m². These sunroofs are

assembled from inside the vehicle (known as bottom-loaded). Inalfa

says that there are two main types of standard sunroof:

o Tilt-vent-slide roof – here, the glass panel has a tilt position for

ventilation and a slide position where the glass panel slides inside

the vehicle between the roof surface and the headliner.

o Spoiler roof – a spoiler roof shares the same functionality as a tilt-

vent-slide roof. However, in the slide position the panel slides on

the outside of the vehicle in a tilted position.

○ Advanced roofs – Inalfa defines these as being technically more

complex than standard roofs and have a glass panel larger than 0.5-

m². These roofs can be assembled both as bottom-loaded and as top-

loaded systems. The company points out that a bottom-loaded system

is generally bolted to a roof reinforcement which forms part of the

vehicle, whereas a top-loaded system is glued from above onto the

vehicle. Inalfa says the main types of advanced roof systems are:

o Top slider roof – this roof type differs from the spoiler roof,

because the sliding movement is done in a near horizontal

position, whereas the spoiler slides in a tilted position. This feature

is mainly chosen for styling purposes, offering the least

interference with the original vehicle styling. To achieve this, an

additional fixing point at the rear end of the glass panel is required

which also makes the mechanism suitable for large glass panels.

o Multi-panel roof – the multi-panel roof is a combination of the

above systems but, as the name suggests, contains more than

one panel. All options are feasible, says Inalfa, whether it contains

one moving, two moving and/or additional fixed panels. The

moving panels can have tilting, tilt/sliding, spoiler or top-slider

movements. As a module, the system also carries a sunblind

system, completely independent electronics and has an electric

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Page 34 Chapter 4 Manufacturers

© 2010 All content copyright Aroq Ltd. All rights reserved.

Chapter 4 Manufacturers

ArvinMeritor

ArvinMeritor is a worldwide supplier of sunroofs and roof system products for

use in passenger cars, light trucks and SUVs. Its roof system operation is

organised under the company’s Light Vehicle Systems (LVS) division. In May

2008, the company announced its plan to spin-off its LVS business to

ArvinMeritor shareholders, with its Commercial Vehicle Systems business

remaining with ArvinMeritor. Since then, the company has completed the sale

of its entire ownership interest in Gabriel de Venezuela and Meritor

Suspension Systems Company (finalised in October 2009) joint ventures; and

sold both its wheels business and Gabriel Ride Control Products North

America.

Consequently, ArvinMeritor has revised its reporting segments following these

recent divestitures. For continuing operations, the company will now report

results as defined within Commercial Truck, Industrial, Aftermarket & Trailer,

and Light Vehicle Systems. Of these four segments, Commercial Truck,

Industrial, and Aftermarket & Trailer are considered as being core businesses

for ArvinMeritor. Today, its Light Vehicle Systems business supplies mainly

roof and door systems for passenger cars to automakers. This business

includes the company’s remaining chassis operations.

More specifically, ArvinMeritor designs and produces a variety of roof modules,

including: a module with twin spoiler sunroof; a module with integrated roof

rack; a module with high level brake light; and a module with sunroof.

LVS is a supplier of complete roof modules comprised of a roof headliner

bound to an outer shell using its own patented process, which can also

incorporate LVS sunroof technology.

For the fourth quarter of 2009, ArvinMeritor posted sales revenues of

US$xxxm , down xx% over the com parable period in 2008. The decrease in

sales was mainly due to continued weakness in the global markets.


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