Date post: | 17-May-2015 |
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UN GLOBAL PULSE: ProductHarnessing innovation to protect the vulnerable
Sara FarmerChief Platform Architect, UN Global PulseExecutive Office of the Secretary-GeneralUnited Nations HeadquartersNew York, NY
Global Pulse has a clear vision and an ambitious mission
our visionClose the information gap between the onset of a crisis and the availability of actionable information for decision makers
our missionHarness innovation to protect the vulnerable
Which stocks would you buy today…
…if this were all you knew?
Dow-JonesIndex2001-2008
The Information Gap
When the global economic crisis hit in 2008, world leaders needed to know how the crisis was affecting vulnerable populations.
That turned out to be a bit of a problem.
Household-level stats take months to collect, and years to validate!
The information gap is real…
?
First data becomes available
…as are its consequences.
“Tracking” progress on the Millennium Development Goals
Yet during the global crisis, the world also changed in truly wondrous ways
Real-time “data exhaust”
“the incidental, or ambient data that is created as a by-product of simply carrying on with our daily lives”
•Social Media•Citizen Reporting•Online News•Mobile Phone Services•Remote Sensing
Global Pulse Products:
Real-time monitoring framework
Open platform architecture
Local innovation labs
1. Data and Analysis
Shared analytical framework on vulnerability
Global Pulse Analytical Framework
lA common understanding of what vulnerability is and how we measure itlnot a standard definition for UN but shared agreement on and understanding of a Global Pulse definition
What is vulnerability?
-What creates vulnerability (impacts)?-Who does it affect (individual/household/community/demography)?-How does it manifest?
How do we measure it?
-What are the indicators and metrics for measuring vulnerability?-Global indicators will be selected-Guidelines created for national indicators
Analysis doesn't happen without data
Open and Generated Data
lOpen DatalPopulation-generated datalSMS surveyslGov2.0 apps
UN and Government Data
-UN open data http://data.un.org/-License agreements-Data cleaning & normalisation-Individual privacy-Data Sovereignty
Private and Donated Data
-Data held by private companiesData PhilanthropyPrivacy protection-Intellectual property
-Looking for 'markers'
Analysis & Visualisation Methods
Collaborative analysis
lHunch labslArgumentation methods
Big Data methods
-Real-time streaming data-Very large datasets
Traditional methods
-Frequentist statistics-Bayesian statistics
Test case: food insecurity (2008, 2011)
2. Platform and Tools
Global Pulse will add new tools to traditional approach to transform vulnerability monitoring
1. Establish Baseline 2. Monitor baseline 3. Investigate anomalies 4. Respond
Traditional indicators (Statistical vulnerability indicators)
Proxy indicators (Non-traditional indicators of vulnerability)
Active monitoring (ongoing door to door surveys)
Passive monitoring(Real time observation of data streams)
Physical verification (on site investigation via for eg. ad hoc household survey)
Community/Network alert(Make community leaders sensitive to potential event)
Response
Baseline is established based on traditional and proxy indicators. This baseline may include a model of the risk terrain
Baseline is monitored actively and passively for anomalies and changes
Teams investigate anomalies to verify vulnerability events
If vulnerabilities are identified then responses is mobilized and targeted
If vulnerability corroborated
Physical verification (on site investigation via for eg. ad hoc household survey)
TraditionalApproach
New tools
Pulse Collaboration Platform
Open standards, open APIs, open source components
Collaborate with your team, share hunches with your social network
Integrate with existing tools for data aggregation, analysis, visualization, mapping, alerting…
Pulse Collaboration Platform
3. Innovation and Labs
Innovation labs have four roles
Detect when vulnerable populations are being impacted by global shocks,
Understand the coping strategies – both positive and negative – that affected communities are adopting,
Share hypotheses, alerts and key information with regional partners,
Respond with better policy interventions sooner than possible today.
Linked to local communities!
OpenUN (“Blue Hacks”)
Open innovation cycleHackathonsGrand ChallengesApplication development teams
Linked communities
Open source communitiesOpen data communitiesOpen response communitiesUNVOther UN units
Thank You
http://unglobalpulse.org/@unglobalpulse
Join in! PulseCamp:Data – coming soon! [email protected] https://sites.google.com/site/unglobalpulse/ #openun