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Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

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Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck
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Page 1: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

Government Policies for Environmental Protection

(c) 2010 by Peter Berck

Page 2: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Public Health is the Reason

• To clean up.• Health depends on the breathed air

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Page 3: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-3

Table 12.1: National Ambient Air Quality Standards Under the U.S. Clean Air Act.

Page 4: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Where should the government regulate? Why?

• Ability to Observe• Multi media problem• Align Incentives• Provide Flexibility

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Page 5: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-5

Figure 12.1: From Inputs to Damage.

Page 6: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

One Price for Pollution

• Requires One marginal benefit from abatement curve, not one for every place in the US

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Page 7: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-7

Figure 12.2: Spatial Variation in Pollution.

Page 8: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Sacred Cars

• NOx abatement by cars and power plants

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Page 9: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-9

Figure 12.3: The Marginal Costs of Abating Nitrogen Oxides (NOx).

Page 10: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Politics, yes that is the reason….

• But it is also the uncoordinated system• USEPA or CA/EPA/ARB controls car

emissions• States control Powerplant emissions• Outcome depends on a regulatory process with

TBES being set, plus New Source Performance Standards, etc.

• So not entirely Machiavelli

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Page 11: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-11

Figure 12.4: Deadweight Loss When Standards Are Not Well Chosen.

Page 12: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-12

Table 12.2: Comparison of Command and Control Approaches.

Page 13: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Let’s see a tax at work…

• We charge 45c/lb for NOx • Firm sets MCA(abate) = 45 cents/lb

– WHY?

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Page 14: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-14

Figure 12.5: Using a Pollution Price to Reduce Pollution.

Page 15: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Yeah, you knew that right?

• But have a gander at the magnitude of the tax take!

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Page 16: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-16

Figure 12.6: Taxing Power Plants.

Page 17: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Makes you long for metric

• 6 million tons x .93c per lb• 12,000 million lbs x $1 (close enough)• 12 billion dollars in tax take. • To get 6.7 billion dollars in abatement done• Wow: tax take is 2x cost of doing the job

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Page 18: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

So suppose we do it with a subsidy for abatement

• US pays powerplants for their abatement instead of charging them for emissions

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Page 19: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-19

Figure 12.7: Using a Subsidy to Reduce Pollution.

Page 20: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

So you gotta find 13 billion bucks

• Maybe that isn’t so crazy.– Industry takes your money and does the job– You don’t end up discussing it in court for 40 years

• But you will have to tax something to do it.– Deadweight loss of taxation = 16-25% or so of

amount, so figure a 16 billion bucks– Unless you can find an undertaxed bad, like – cars, and then you get a gain.

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Page 21: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Taxes have one more subtle advantage

• Over standards– Another black triangle

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Page 22: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-22

Figure 12.8: The Incentive to Innovate.

Page 23: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

A bit of summary

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Page 24: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-24

Table 12.3: Comparison of MBI Approaches.

Page 25: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 12-25

Table 12.4: Comparison of Standards to Market-Based Incentives.

Page 26: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

An Aside on Actual Policy: CWA

• Clean Water Act– Goal of NO emissions to water

• National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System. NPDES. A TBES program in which all who discharge must have permits.– Not enough to keep water clean– Too many permits

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Page 27: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

The State Federal Dance

• States set “designated uses” like boat able and not necessarily drinkable.

• Once and if they set a use (or potentially but not really the Feds set one for them)– If don’t meet standard, states establish– Total Maximum Daily Loads of emissions– Then must regulate to make it so.

• But they hate doing this as it might mean regulating agriculture or further regulating point sources

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Page 28: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

No real forcing mechanism

• In practice states aren’t made to regulate water– Missouri river has so much Nitrogen in it in

Montana that you can’t purify it or drink it on a canoe trip.

• From ? (before 1972) to 1980 CWA subsidized sewage treatment.– Worked– Killed off by left and right. (why the left was

against)

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Page 29: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Cheating and Bad Government: Chapter 13

• Firms cheat because of the money• Firms behave because of the expected

penalty

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Page 30: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Penalty

• 1. Government expends money on monitoring. Sends inspectors. Mounts devices. Hears citizen complaints.

• 2. Monitoring leads to probability of detecting cheating.

• 3. Once cheating is found it must be proved. Administrative law procedure.

• 4. Penalty is determined and firm pays

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Page 31: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

• 5. Or firm litigates for a decade or two.

• Expected penalty = prob of being caught times fine if caught.

• ?Why did Macy’s open on Sundays when it was illegal?

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Page 32: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-32

Figure 13.1: The Marginal Benefits of Polluting Curve for a Power Plant. (Again)

Page 33: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

A Standard backed by an expected penalty

• Emit more than the standard and we will find you and fine you

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Page 34: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-34

Figure 13.2: Penalty Is Greater Than Benefits from Emitting.

Page 35: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Lag regulatory climate

• Aka Houston Tx.

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Page 36: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-36

Figure 13.3: Penalty Is Less Than Benefits from Emitting.

Page 37: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Notice that the standard plays a different role here

• Isn’t important anymore. All the firm cares about is the penalty, which is a “tax” on emissions above standard.

• In practice there are also criminal penalties for plant managers who commit “intentional violations.”

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Page 38: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Are you a Goo goo?

• Like Fiorello Laguardia? (good government)• Many agencies responsible for banking system:

Federal Reserve, Sec. of Treas., Comptroller of the Currency, Fannie May and Freddie Mac.– Yet totally unpayable loans generated in the

billions/trillions for housing.

• Why did the regulators sleep (and who is Barney Frank and why is he partially guilty)

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Page 39: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Captive Regulators

• Stakeholder process• Fisheries Management Councils are

charged with regulating fishing.• They are made up of fishers and

processors plus some others• Will they be goo-goos?

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Page 40: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Captive regulators

• How many politicians did the big four own?*

• Where people right to be wary of the railroad “interests”

• *Someone name the big four.

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Page 41: Government Policies for Environmental Protection (c) 2010 by Peter Berck.

© 2011 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

“voluntary” environmentalism

• Either regulate yourselves or the EPA will do it for you. (Eat a vegetable or your parents will choose which vegetable.)– Bargaining in the shadow of the law.

• TRI– Toxic release inventory– “Voluntary” sort of.– Top 10 punished in the market place

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