1
Green Book 50 Years On
The reality of homelessness for families today
The Green Book: 50 years on
Contents
Foreword .......................................................................................... 2
Introduction ..................................................................................... 5
Research methods .......................................................................... 7
Homelessness then and now: how has this changed over the last five decades? ............................................. 10
Section one: What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?........................................................................................... 16
Recorded homelessness ............................................................... 17
Hidden homelessness .................................................................... 21
Rate of households becoming homeless ....................................... 23
What does it mean to be homeless as a family? ............................ 25
Conclusion to section one .............................................................. 32
Section two: What causes homelessness? ................. 35
What causes homelessness in 2016? ............................................ 36
Where are people becoming homeless and who is affected? ....... 37
Learning from experience: what happens to cause someone to become homeless? ........................................................................ 50
What is causing homelessness to rise? ......................................... 73
Conclusion to section two .............................................................. 82
Conclusion: Our housing crisis is causing homelessness, and we need radical action to address this ..............................................................................84Endnotes ........................................................................................ 89
2
The Green Book Report
Foreword
Des Wilson Co- Founder and first
Director of Shelter (1966-71)
While the country was celebrating winning the World Cup, I
spent the summer of 1966 on a more sobering mission, exploring
the slums of our major cities. There I discovered another less
happy country...thousands and thousands of families packed
into crumbling housing, sometimes thirty or more sharing one
cold water tap and one toilet, damp stripping the wallpaper
from the walls and entrenching itself in the clothing and bedding
of hovels infested with mice and rats. There I looked into the
desperate and exhausted faces of young mothers trying to keep
their families together in one overcrowded and unhealthy room –
and kids, already world-weary, with no space to play, bedevilled
by ill-health or worse, driven to delinquency, as their lives were
wrecked by conditions that made it impossible for them to thrive.
What I was uncovering was the human face of shocking
official statistics; notably that three million families were living in
slums, near slums or grossly overcrowded conditions, and 1.4
million occupied houses were unfit for human habitation.
In a report to my co-founders that became known as ‘The
Green Book’, I exposed a national scandal and developed the
plan for Shelter.
We would, I wrote, declare ‘a national emergency’; injecting
life into the statistics with the stories and pictures of those I had
met. We would be more than just a charity – not just raising funds
to help the homeless, but campaigning too, pounding away at the
politicians and public opinion about the need for more resources
for housing.
Shelter was launched on December 1 1966, a couple of
weeks after, coincidentally, the BBC screened ‘Cathy Come
Home’. It quickly became the new face of charity, compassionate
but angry, capturing both the empathy and the imagination of the
3
public – especially the young. In a few years much was achieved.
By the time I retired from Shelter in 1971, I had every reason to
believe we had built the foundations for a better-housed country.
Who would have believed that fifty years later – in 2016 –
the words ‘national emergency’ would apply once more?
Once more we face a desperate need for affordable homes.
Families are living in overcrowded and terrible conditions. Renters
are unable to cover their costs and living in fear of eviction. The
young have virtually no prospect of having a home of their own.
With this follow-up to ‘The Green Book’, combining, as it
does, human stories with devastating statistics, Shelter again
exposes the startling reality of bad housing and homelessness
in this country.
Once more it identifies a national emergency.
Once more it calls for emphatic action.
It would be pleasing if Shelter were able to take time to
celebrate its 50th year, but, as this report shows, it is too aware
of what still has to be done. I hope the country will respond to
its urgent rallying call with the same combination of anger and
compassion with which it supported our work all those years ago.
Campbell Robb Chief Executive of Shelter
(2010-2016)
England faces a housing crisis. Millions of people live in sub-
standard housing. Homelessness is rising. Children’s educational
chances are being denied by bad housing, frequent moves and
sharing beds with their parents and siblings. Thousands of
families live in just one room, and children go to bed listening
to the sounds of strangers fighting through the walls. And the
number of people forced to sleep on the streets is surging.
This is the reality of England in 2016. But this is not the
first time we have faced these challenges. Some of the living
conditions seen today will be familiar to families from 1966.
That was the year that Shelter was founded, a time when
4
The Green Book Report
The Green Book Report
the housing crisis was so great it inspired
a group of people to launch a national
campaign for the homeless. To support
this, Shelter’s founder Des Wilson
produced a ground-breaking report to
show the true picture of homelessness
facing families in Great Britain. Due to
its cover it was known simply as ‘The
Green Book’.
In 2016, our 50th anniversary, at a
point when Shelter’s founders hoped the work would be done,
we have re-visited the questions this report addressed.
Across the last five decades, government and the third
sector have managed to make great strides in addressing bad
housing and homeless. Shelter’s early campaigns led directly to
the introduction of legislative protection for homeless households
in 1977. This has meant that now in 2016 we have protections
in place that are designed to ensure that very vulnerable people,
like children, will not be left on the streets.
England’s homelessness legislation is world-leading in
many respects. But the help it provides is limited. For example,
half of households who apply for help through it, including
families with children, fall through its protections at the first
hurdle. What’s more, its safeguards intentionally do not currently
extend to many single homeless people.
This legislation could be about to change significantly. The
government and campaigners have backed proposals to place a
greater emphasis on supporting single people and homelessness
prevention – a laudable goal, albeit a challenging one.
To realise this ambition, new policy needs to reflect
an understanding of the extent of homelessness today and
its causes.
This report provides timely, compelling evidence of the
steps we need to take to end homelessness before another fifty
years has passed.
5
The Green Book Report
6
Introduction
In 1966, Shelter’s founder Des Wilson published a ground breaking report to
show the true picture of homelessness among families in Great Britain and
support Shelter’s launch in 1966. Due to its cover it was known simply as
‘The Green Book’. In 2016 – our 50th anniversary – we re-visit this question.
While the situation has improved greatly since 1966, our research has found
that previous reductions in homelessness and improvements to people’s
housing are now being reversed.
It is now well understood that we have a shortage of affordable homes
which is denying millions their dream of owning their own home, and leading
to crippling rent increases in some parts of the country. Four in ten households
live in a home that doesn’t meet the public’s standard of what constitutes an
acceptable home. This research reveals how this shortage is also pushing
hundreds of thousands of people off the bottom of the housing ladder and
into homelessness.
Thankfully families with children at risk of homelessness have the
protection of world-class legislation that Shelter and others have fought hard
over the years to introduce and protect. This, combined with the efforts of
local councils to help people in need, protects many families from street
homelessness or – as in 1966 – having to apply to social services for support.
There is much to build on in our system and many opportunities
for further improvement. A renewed focus on homelessness legislation
means that this is an important time to look at what we’ve learnt
over the past 50 years, the extent of homelessness today, why
homelessness is rising, and what needs to be done to address it. We
hope that this report provides a valuable contribution to current understanding
of homelessness in England today.
The report
In the first section of the report, we set out the research we have undertaken,
how homelessness has changed over the last 50 years, and the current policy
response to homelessness in England.
We then set out the extent of homelessness in England today and
what this means for people in this situation. This includes looking at the
places homeless families are living in and the experience of being homeless.
Because the original Green Book focused on the experience of families with
children, we have also focused our attention on this group.
The report goes on to then explore what is causing homelessness by
looking at the types of households made homeless, and the places where
homelessness is high. It seeks to understand the actual events in people’s
lives that cause them to be homeless, what is being done to prevent this in
the first place, and the challenges faced. We then look at why more people
The Green Book Report
7
are now becoming homeless, by looking at levels of homelessness in the
context of other long term and short term trends and policy changes.
The Green Book Report
8
Research methods
The original ‘Green Book’
Des Wilson’s report ‘A report on homelessness in Britain and the need for
‘Shelter’’ was produced 50 years ago. In the summer of 1966, Des Wilson
carried out research throughout England and Scotland ‘to discover the extent
of the British housing problem with particular reference to homelessness and
overcrowding’, and ‘to establish the most effective role that a new national
organisation could play… in the struggle to rid Britain of that problem.’
Des travelled the country to document the extent of homelessness at
the time, how it affected people’s lives, and to uncover the reasons behind
this. His finished report combines the best available data with some of
the intricacies of people’s lived experience of bad housing. He carried out
national and local analysis on how difficult it is for families to afford any
suitable housing, what type of housing they could afford, and how recent
changes have impacted this.
There are many differences between now and the Sixties. Thankfully the
post war slums have been consigned to history, and there are much stronger
protections in place for families facing homelessness. But there are also
worrying similarities. We know that thousands of families struggle to cover
their housing costs, and that if housing costs rise further, incomes (including
earnings and benefits) may not respond adequately to keep people in their
homes. Homelessness (measured by rough sleeper counts, acceptances
by local authorities, and numbers of households living in temporary
accommodation) is rising too. And some groups have benefitted far less from
increased legislative protection, notably single people without children.
Our approach
Our investigation revisits the issues set out in the original study. We aim to
build a broad picture of what is happening in England, why it is happening,
and how it compares to the past. We explore what drives recent trends, the
difficulties local areas face, and how people experience homelessness.
The extent and impact of homelessness
■■ What is the extent of homelessness?
■■ What is the impact of homelessness on people?
■■ The causes of homelessness
■■ Why do people become homeless?
■■ What explains recent homelessness trends?
■■ What explains recent homelessness trends?
We answered these questions through a mixed methods research study.
The Green Book Report
9
Analysis of homelessness statistics
This research uses the legal definition of homelessness. This can be
summarised as people having no accommodation available to themselves
(and those who normally live with them) to legally occupy. People are also
defined as homeless if their current living conditions are so harmful (because
of hazards or severe overcrowding) that it would be unreasonable for them to
continue to occupy their current accommodation.
Homelessness is a hidden issue and is poorly captured in large
surveys or datasets. Therefore to get a reasonably accurate picture of
what is happening, we must use a range of different data, particularly from
administrative sources.
We started our investigation with the Department for Communities
and Local Government (DCLG) homelessness statistics. These are quarterly
reports filled out by local authorities, and sent to central government,
recording the number of ‘households accepted as homeless and in priority
need’ in a given local authority in a given quarter.
These statistics have never given a full picture of the number of people
who are homeless. They miss people who do not qualify for assistance – a
major issue given that support has always been tightly rationed. They also
miss families judged to be homeless due to their own actions, households
who are not eligible for help, people who have not approached the council, or
those who have been helped by the council through other avenues. It can also
be hard to interpret these statistics. For example, they may tell us that some
people in an area became homeless due to ‘relationship breakdown’ but not
how this led to people becoming homeless, or what can be done about it.
Similarly, looking at the statistics in isolation, without understanding the wider
factors, means that we are unable to draw meaningful conclusions about what
we are seeing and what could explain trends1.
However, the statistics do give us a full data series that goes back to
the 1970s, allowing us to broadly track how homelessness has changed
over time. The process of gathering this data also operates as a ‘census’
questionnaire ensuring that the same information is collected from every
household found to be homeless and in priority need. Analysing this data
allows us to see trends of where and to whom homelessness is occurring,
why homeless households lost their last home, and how this has changed
over time.
Our study focuses on families with children. Due to issues with data
availability and quality, we have conducted most of our analysis using data
on households found to be ‘statutory homeless’, rather than families.
The Green Book Report
10
Triangulation with other data sources
To draw a broad but deep picture of homelessness in England, we took these
statistics as our starting point, and explored them further alongside other
research evidence2. Individual research methods are highlighted throughout.
Additional data collection and analysis undertaken as part of this study
include:
■■ A literature review of academic, government, Shelter, and other
voluntary sector reports.
■■ Analysis of administrative datasets on homelessness, repossession
activity, and benefit levels.
■■ A freedom of information request to local authorities to request data
on homeless families supported by social services departments.
■■ Semi-structured interviews with fifty homeless families to collect
case histories, and their perspectives on why they became
homeless and how this affected their lives . The sample is not
representative of all homeless families, and the analysis of this
information was qualitative. However, we designed a segmented
sample and monitored its formation to check that the sample
mapped the breakdown in the statutory homelessness figures. This
allowed us to explore a range of homelessness issues.
■■ Semi-structured interviews with twenty council and voluntary sector
stakeholders in three areas of England.
■■ A survey with one hundred Shelter frontline workers.
■■ Secondary analysis of the Family Resources Survey to explore the
types of households that may be vulnerable to homelessness in
different areas.
■■ A mystery shopping exercise to see what housing was available in
areas experiencing different levels of homelessness.
■■ An online survey of more than 8,000 people in England
The Green Book Report
11
Homelessness then and now: how has this changed over the last five decades?
Homelessness through the decades
The sixties were a time of rising prosperity and
social change. Housing conditions were no
exception. Slums were cleared and modern
conditions rolled out. Social housing was built,
home ownership continued to increase, central
heating ceased to be a rarity, and overcrowding
finally fell.
But progress was slow and the post-war
housing boom did not reach everyone. A large
number of households continued to experience
chronically bad housing. Three million families lived
in grossly overcrowded conditions or in homes
that were unfit for human habitation. Exploitative
landlords like Peter Rachman preyed on those with
no alternatives.
Official responses could often be limited,
with families frequently split up, and emergency
housing rationed as a last resort. Newly built social
housing was not necessarily allocated to homeless
families, or else was too expensive for those on the
lowest incomes.
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
1960
s
The Green Book Report
12
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
By the beginning of the seventies half of the population owned their own
home. Many people benefitted from a house price boom. Social housing
building remained high, although the imperative to replace the war time slums
eased, and targets were scaled down.
Others were hit by a newly volatile housing market and uncertain
economic outlook. Homelessness still went largely undocumented, but
councils reported growing demand for emergency help.
Growing pressure from campaigners and concern by government led to
the creation of the first proper homelessness safety net in 1977. The Housing
(Homeless Persons) Act placed a legal duty on councils to house some
homeless households. Almost all these homeless households were rehoused
into council housing stock.
The 1980s began with the highest ever proportion of the
population living in social housing. But the ‘Right to Buy’ introduced at the
start of the decade cemented owner occupation as the majority tenure. By
1987, more than a million council houses in Britain had been sold, enabling
millions of people to live in a home they owned.
However, with not enough council stock being replaced at the time
meant that rented housing became harder to find. In an attempt to boost the
supply of rented homes, the private rented sector was deregulated through
the 1988 Housing Act.
Homelessness grew steadily during the decade. As councils struggled to
find suitable temporary accommodation for the growing numbers of homeless
households, the use of cheap bed & breakfast (B&B) accommodation grew
substantially, especially in London.
The decade also saw the visible growth of rough sleeping, particularly
amongst single people not helped by the 1977 Act.
1970
s
1980
s
The Green Book Report
13
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Homeownership continued to rise in this decade. However, many homeowners
were hit by soaring interest rates and negative equity in the economic
downturn of the early 1990s. Mortgage repossessions rocketed in response.
Aside from some post-recession stimulus, the stock of genuinely
affordable homes continued to decrease.
Homelessness increased steadily towards the end of the decade.
Rough sleeping remained a visible problem. This led to a range of government
responses. The Housing Act 1996 introduced limits on the length of time that
homeless households could be supported in temporary accommodation.
The Rough Sleeper Initiative, and later the Social Exclusion taskforce, were
introduced to address chronic homelessness issues.
House prices soared throughout the 2000s, reaching a peak in 2007.
Homeownership began to fall in response, and the buy-to-let boom helped
grow the private rented sector.
The number of households becoming homeless and living in temporary
accommodation grew throughout the first part of the decade. Again this
prompted legislative and policy change. The Homelessness Act 2002
extended rehousing rights for a broader group of homeless people and
promoted new approaches to tackling homelessness. Councils embraced
the new ‘Housing Options’ model to reduce homelessness. This successfully
reduced the numbers officially found homeless, although lots of people
continued to approach the council to receive help in avoiding homelessness.
The Global Financial Crash of 2007/8 did not spark the level of
repossessions seen in the 1990s, with government, banks, and lenders acting
quickly to prevent homeowners facing repossession. Instead, low income
renters bore the brunt of the downturn, with homelessness caused by the
ending of a private rented tenancy becoming the leading reason for homeless
households losing their last settled home.
1990
s
2000
s
The Green Book Report
14
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Homelessness now: Current Policy Environment
We have managed to make great strides in addressing bad housing and
homelessness across the last five decades. In 2016 we have a safety net that
is designed to ensure that very vulnerable people, like children, will not be left
on our streets. This ‘safety net’ is comprised of legal duties, cash benefits,
and help to secure an alternative home.
The homelessness safety net
The Housing (Homeless Persons) Act still underpins the legal rights owed
by local authorities to certain people who are homeless, or threatened with
homelessness. Local authorities assess people presenting as homeless
against five main criteria:
1. Are they homeless, or likely to be made homeless in the next 28 days?
2. Are they eligible for assistance in England?
3. Are they in ‘priority need’?
4. Are they intentionally homeless?
5. Do they have a local connection? If not, which local authority should
they be referred to?
When the very first homelessness legislation was debated in 1977, Parliament
decided that it would be inappropriate for local authorities to rehouse everyone
who came to them for assistance. They decided that some people should
rehouse themselves, and that people would only be prioritised if they were
more vulnerable to the impacts of homelessness. This formed the basis for
the ‘priority need’ categories which ration rehousing.
Priority need currently applies to pregnant women, families with children,
young people aged 16-17 years, care leavers up to the age of 21, and people
who have been made homeless due to an emergency (such as a flood). Others
are only considered to have a priority need if they are vulnerable as a result
of being an older person, having a physical or learning disability or mental
health problems, having to escape violence or harassment, having been in
care, or having been in the armed forces or a young offenders’ institute or
prison.
As a result of priority need some people, notably single people without
children who are unable to demonstrate a particular vulnerability, are not
entitled to rehousing, and this explains their greater risk of sleeping rough.
The Green Book Report
15
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Rehousing
If a person applying for assistance meets the tests set out above, the local
authority has a legal duty to re-house them into settled accommodation. This
is usually a social rented home but can be a suitable 12 month tenancy offered
by a private landlord. Where the local housing authorities cannot immediately
help homeless families into a settled home, they have to provide temporary
accommodation. This could be in the form of a homeless B&B or hostel, or
self-contained accommodation leased from a private landlord and let and
managed by the local authority, or a housing association.
Other assistance to prevent homelessness
Not all homeless people are rehoused under the terms of the legislation. Local
housing authorities are encouraged by Government to offer housing options
to prevent a household becoming statutorily homelessness. Options offered
vary from assistance to remain in the current home (such as family mediation
and negotiation with their landlord to prevent an eviction), to help with finding
alternative accommodation (such as assistance with a tenancy deposit).
Housing benefit also provides a de facto homelessness prevention
tool, by helping low income households to access and pay for rented
accommodation.
Another important means of homelessness prevention is support for
those who would otherwise struggle to maintain a tenancy. This could be
help to claim benefits, work with a landlord to arrange repairs, or to improve
budgeting skills. However, recent cuts to local authority funding mean that
this sort of support is becoming less available.
Although there is no statutory protection available to non-priority need
rough sleepers, the Government provides funding to voluntary organisations
to assist them. For example, in London, the ‘No Second Night Out’ scheme
aims to ensure that those who find themselves sleeping rough in central
London for the first time need not spend a second night on the streets.
The Green Book Report
16
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
The safety net in operation
Although England’s homelessness legislation is world-leading in many respects,
the help it provides is limited. Half of households who apply for help, including
families with children, fall through its protections at the first hurdle. This is
mainly because they fail one of the main tests for assistance, for example they
cannot prove a priority need. Other people and families fail to qualify for help
because they are judged to be homeless, but intentionally so.
Priority need assessments are fraught with legal challenges, particularly
for single people attempting to demonstrate their vulnerability. Little statutory
assistance is available to these households. Sometimes the local authority
will help with finding private rented accommodation. In other cases, single
people may be assisted by charities operating homeless hostels or private
rental access schemes, or they may be able to stay with family or friends.
However, they can be at real risk of having to resort to rough sleeping.
Intentionality decisions can also be an issue. A household can be found
to be ‘intentionally homeless’ for a range of reasons. This could mean they
left suitable accommodation without good reasons. Often it is interpreted as
meaning that the household lost their home due to their own actions – for
example failing to pay rent or anti-social behaviour.
A further safety net exists to catch families with children who are
refused assistance due to perceived intentionality. The Children Acts
1989 and 2004 require authorities to ‘safeguard and promote’ the welfare
of all children in their area. This can include providing accommodation
and basic subsistence to families with children to ensure they don’t face
destitution. However, we know that poor joint working between local
housing authorities and social services departments can lead to homeless
families in this situation falling through the net. And while the intent behind
the system is well-meant, it means that homeless families often have the
threat hanging over them of their children being taken into care. At Shelter,
we regularly see families who are threatened with this on the basis of their
housing situation. Sadly this has been the case ever since Shelter was first
established.
The future
Our homelessness legislation could be about to change significantly. The
Government and campaigners have backed proposals to require local
authorities to offer some help to all homeless households in England. This
follows new approaches pioneered in Scotland, which has abolished priority
need, and Wales, which has moved to a priority-need blind prevention model.
The proposals aim to place a greater emphasis on homelessness prevention
– a laudable goal, albeit a challenging one in a climate of declining social
housing, rising rents, and cuts to housing benefit. To make this work, policy
needs to reflect an understanding of the extent of homelessness today and
its causes, to which we now turn.
The Green Book Report
17
Section oneWhat’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
The Green Book Report
18
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
When Shelter was founded in the 1960s, we did
not know the true extent of homelessness.
While things have moved on substantially,
building a true picture of the extent of homelessness
in England today is still enormously challenging.
Despite this, we have largely managed to do
this below by using combined analysis of data
collected by councils, Shelter, and other voluntary
sector agencies.
Beyond the statistics are thousands of
people trying to cope without a home, one of the
fundamental pillars of family life. We spoke to
families in a range of accommodation to understand
what kinds of places some families were staying in.
Recorded homelessness
A quarter of a million people are known to be
homeless in England today. Most of these people
have been found to be homeless by their council,
and are living in temporary accommodation while
they look for a settled home. In addition, over
35,000 single people live in homelessness hostels,
and just over 3,500 people are known to sleep
rough on a given night.
Our research also uncovered thousands more
families who are homeless but accommodated
by social services. These families are currently
completely missing from the homelessness
statistics and the true number of them is likely
to be much larger. Further, over forty authorities
replied to our request for information by saying that
they had no record of the total number of families
they were currently supporting. Not only is there
no accessible record of these families nationally –
often there is no record of them locally.
Households caught by the safety net, but still homeless
230,010 people are currently homeless
and living in temporary accommodation in
England4
Homeless families slipping through the net
At least 1,259 families5 (equivalent
to around four thousand people) are
currently homeless and living in temporary
accommodation provided by social
services. They are here having fallen foul
of the eligibility or intentionality tests of the
homelessness safety net.
Homeless accommodation
19,666 other single people live in hostels
for the homeless run by a charity or support
agency6.
Rough sleeping
3,569 people sleep rough on a given night.7
The Green Book Report
19
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
What is it like to be homeless as a family in 2016?
Living in temporary accommodation
Homeless families housed by the council (whether by the housing department,
or social services) live in temporary accommodation. This can comprise
bedsits, flats, houses, and hotels. The majority of homeless families live in
‘contained’ accommodation.
However, as the number of people affected by homelessness rises, the
number of families living in unsuitable shared accommodation (like B&Bs and
hostels) is also growing.
Life in ‘shared’ accommodation
In total, 7,000 families (one in eight homeless families) currently live in hostel or B&B accommodation.8
This is more than twice as many as just five years ago. There are particular challenges from living in
shared accommodation. Some places have strict rules limiting people eating in their room, having
visitors, or staying away. One family were told they could not bring food into the accommodation at
all. Some families were locked out of their room during the day for cleaning or other management
reasons. Families shared stories about other people being able to come and go from their room,
even though this was meant to be their only private space:
‘One of the twins was coming out of the shower the other day and a bloke walked in.
He said ‘Oh they’ve given me a key for this room’.’
There are strict rules governing how long families can be kept in these places. However, even these
more extreme examples were often not a brief fix. Half of families we spoke to who were living in a
place with shared facilities had been living there for over six months.
We spoke to families in a range of accommodation. In some cases, families
were settled in a home that met their needs for the time being.
Other experiences were hard to believe. Overall, the standard of housing
in England is much better now than in the 1960s. But we were shocked to
uncover that some of the conditions that families are living in today, mirror
some of the conditions we found fifty years ago.
The Green Book Report
20
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
One family was sharing a four bedroom terraced house with five other
families. Others shared a large building with fifty others. Three families were
living for months in well-known chain hotels. Some families were living in
extreme overcrowding. In one case a family of two parents, two primary-
school-age children, two teenagers, and a baby were sharing a space twelve
feet by seven feet with two double beds and just enough space for the door
to open. The beds were used for sleeping, but also to store possessions. On
dry nights, the 18-year-old son had started sleeping outside on a nearby flat
roof to give the other family members more space.
Above is an architects drawing showing the way that two of the families we visited were living. On the left a family were in a room measuring 12 feet by 8 feet. They had very little space to store possessions, let alone for children to play.
On the right, a mother and her son shared a bed in a basement room with no natural light. One night the room was flooded from above, damaging their possessions.
“It’s so cramped, it’s so humid. We’re basically all on top of each other. I can’t buy butter because it melts. I can’t get milk because it curdles during the day. I have nothing. I’ve tried to put cold water in the sink but, because it’s like 32 degrees in here, it [milk] curdles straight away.’
The Green Book Report
21
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Most accommodation was in poor condition. Examples of disrepair included
dirty or broken mattresses and beds, broken doors with locks missing,
evidence of human and animal excrement, sparking electrical sockets, mould,
and windows that wouldn’t close. Five families mentioned animal infestations
including cockroaches, mice and, in one case, rats. Breaches of health
and safety requirements included broken fire alarms and fire extinguishers.
One woman had no running water for a week. This coincided with her child
coming home from hospital after an operation. She had to buy bottled water
to clean his wounds. Families living in shared accommodation worried about
the standards of communal spaces. As one father shared:
“There have been used needles found in the toilets. You have little toddlers in here and they are running about, in a slight moment they might run and pick something up.
There were striking similarities between accommodation classed as ‘shared’
(and in theory subject to restrictions on its use) and accommodation classed
as ‘self-contained’. For example, half of the families we spoke to in ‘contained’
accommodation lived in just one room. Two thirds of the parents had to share
beds with their children. Life was generally easier to manage than in shared
accommodation. But having kitchens and bathrooms all together in a small
space could made it difficult to keep children safe. As one man explained:
“It’s a studio but the bathroom is more of a cupboard and there’s only room for one double bed so the four of us sleep there…. If I cook in here, we can’t stay in here… the whole place is boiling. When I’m cooking, I just wait for them (children) to start coughing, and then take them outside. So I literally stop cooking for a while then I will just wait till the coughing calms down.
As we revealed, at least 1,200 additional families are homeless and living in
accommodation provided by their council than the homelessness statistics
note. This is because they have been refused homelessness assistance and
are being accommodated by social services. There are fewer restrictions on
the types of accommodation that can be provided to these families. As a
result, previous studies have highlighted that this accommodation can be
of very poor quality9. This was also the case with the accommodation we
saw. These families are in a particularly difficult situation. They have already
fallen through the homelessness safety net and, as we found, the existence
of these families is often very poorly recorded at a local and national level.
The Green Book Report
22
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Hidden homelessness
Alongside people who are statutorily homeless
there is likely to be a much larger group of
people who are ‘hidden homeless’. This includes
people sleeping rough, but hidden from rough
sleeper counts by staying in vehicles, abandoned
buildings10, and it includes families with children
as well as single people.
Local authorities may carry out rough
sleeping counts. These are supposed to provide
an assessment of street homelessness but may
fail to count people sleeping in more hidden areas,
particularly women.
Some hidden homeless people ‘sofa surf’
with friends or family. It is very difficult to estimate
how many people are doing this. But available
evidence puts this in the tens of thousands12.
Families might be sofa surfing for a range
of reasons. One reason could be that they were
deemed to be ineligible for support. Another could
be they were offered a place to stay but didn’t
accept it, as they felt it was unsuitable (e.g. the
placement would require a move far away from
their last home area).
Research by Justlife and IPPR identified
a group of single homeless households living
in ‘unsupported temporary accommodation’
including B&Bs, guesthouses and HMOs13 –
what they describe as ‘non-statutory temporary
accommodation’. There are no current accurate
estimates of the number of people living in this way.
But in 2004 researchers at the New Policy Institute
put the number of people claiming housing benefit
in bed and breakfast accommodation at around
50,000 households14, around ten times the number
recorded in the homeless statistics at the time15.
Following the closure of specialist homelessness
hostels over the last five years, an increasing
number of people may be living this way.
Last year, Shelter helped 523 families with
children who were sleeping rough at the
time they came to us for help. One third of
Shelter frontline workers surveyed say they
encounter a family with children forced to
sleep outside (for example in a park or a
tent) at least once a month through their
work. A similar proportion see families
forced to sleep in a car. Some encounter
this every day.
Last year, Shelter helped 2368 families with
children who were sofa surfing with friends
or family at the time they came to us for help.
More than two-thirds of Shelter staff say
that at least once a month they encounter a
family who has slept on the sofa of friends
or family rather than accept an offer of
accommodation from the council they
deem to be unsuitable.
The Green Book Report
23
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
What is it like to be homeless as a family in 2016? Hidden homelessness
We spoke to many families who were either in, or had been in, these situations.
People sofa surfing with friends said they felt the strain of living in someone
else’s space. They also faced the constant worry of their situation worsening
as they were slowly burning through the favours they could call on. Families
in this situation had even less control over their situation. Most tried to stay
out of the way of the people they were living with, staying out of the house
during the day, and spending money and time to take on extra housework or
cooking duties.
Families that were sofa surfing had even less space to store
possessions. Some stored possessions in the home of one set of friends and
stayed with others. This made it hard to stay organised, and also to keep
children in a routine.
“We have to wait for everyone to go to sleep – because we’re in the living room and the light wakes him up…I spend a lot of time trying not to upset anyone. Sometimes he wets the bed, and I have to make sure it’s all clean before they get up. It’s stressful.
Four of the families we spoke to had spent at least one night outside. In two
cases this was after being told by the council they wouldn’t qualify for help.
Families stayed in cars or walked around for a night. One sought help from
the police who accommodated them in their waiting room before taking them
back to the council the following day.
“The day that I was evicted and then the council didn’t choose to accommodate us we stayed there to the night, nine o’clock. And then the security man told me, told us, ‘I need to close the door. And if you don’t leave we’re going to call the police to come in’. So they call police and when the police came in, they said, ‘What? What are they doing? Why do you leave children like this on the street?
The Green Book Report
24
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Growth in homelessness
Thousands more people experience homelessness in a given year
In addition to the thousands of people homeless on a given night, thousands
more people experience becoming homeless each year. The government’s
latest Poverty and Social Exclusion survey (2012) found that nine percent
of adults in England have experienced homelessness at some point in their
lives.
In the last twelve months alone, councils helped people who have lost their home and need assistance
to find a new one more than 150,000 times.16 This included 59,000 households who were found to be
homeless and in priority need17.
Across 2015, councils identified 5,077 people in London alone who were sleeping rough for the first time18.
Homelessness is rising
However we measure it, homelessness is rising. The numbers of households
living in temporary accommodation and the numbers of people found
sleeping rough on a given night have risen for the last five years. The number
of households coming to their council and being found to be homeless and
in priority need is over a quarter higher than five years ago. The number of
times local authorities helped people into accommodation outside of this is
also higher19.
Even more shocking is that this rise in the number of people becoming
homeless each year since 2009 has come following six years when the level
of homelessness appeared to drop sharply. The sharp upwards turn that the
homelessness statistics have made after 2009 is a striking trend.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
Num
ber
of p
eopl
e
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Homeless and in priority need
2012 2013 2014 2015
The Green Book Report
25
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Thousands more could be on the edge
Our research shows that millions of people worry that they could themselves
be facing homelessness in the next year.
One in fourteen parents think they will become homeless in the next 12 months20.
And millions of individual people and families could be vulnerable to a bump
in the road.
One in five parents feel that they wouldn’t be able to cover their housing costs for any length of time if
they lost their job. One in four feel that they wouldn’t be able to afford their housing costs for any length
of time if their relationship broke down21.
The Green Book Report
26
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
What does it mean to be homeless as a family?
Understanding homelessness is not just about understanding the physical
way that people live. It is about identifying how it impacts on people’s lives.
We spoke with fifty homeless families to understand the overall experience of
being homeless, how it affected them in a practical sense, and how it made
them feel.
The overall experience: living in limbo
A strong experience for many people was that they lived with the threat of having
support removed at any time. Even people in temporary accommodation that
was of fair quality felt unsettled. Over half of people had been told at some
point when applying for help that, if found to be intentionally homeless, the
local authority had a duty to their children but not necessarily to them and it
could result in the loss of custody. Even if this is often challengeable under
legislation and guidance, this had a profound and chilling effect on families.
The sense of fear that you were skirting the edge of becoming destitute, and
that not following the rules could result in losing your children, was top of
mind for the people we spoke to.
Ten people in our sample had support provided and then
subsequently removed at some point. This is because they
were found to be ‘intentionally’ homeless. Some of these decisions were
overturned on review. This led to families staying in accommodation provided
by social services or sofa surfing with friends.
One woman we spoke to showed how it was quite
possible to fall foul of the rules and be left in a desperate
situation. She lost her settled home due to an abusive relationship. For the first
six months her daughter and she were living in stable but cramped temporary
accommodation. However, after her housing benefit was not paid by the
council to the landlord, she was evicted and had to stay with friends, family,
and a boyfriend while an ombudsman investigated her situation. Ultimately
she had to place her daughter back with her formally abusive partner while
she stayed with a friend. Her situation showed how stepping outside of the
rules, or in her case, an error making it appear like you have, can quickly lead
to people being without any safety net support – back to the situation all too
common when Shelter was founded.
The Green Book Report
27
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
The impact on day-to-day: changing your life to accommodate being without a home
Even when support is in place, homelessness has many impacts
on day to day life. Families were grateful to have received
some help. But when asked, four-fifths felt that their accommodation was
not adequate for their needs. Making up for this deficit affects the way that
homeless families live. This was in three main ways: relying on family and
friends, spending more to meet needs and giving up some parts of their lives,
like work.
Relying on family and friends
Many people said they were more reliant on family and friends to meet
basic needs. This included depending on family for basic tasks including
cooking hot meals, storing possessions, or cleaning clothes and bedding.
Obviously families do often pull together in difficult times. But this
could be particularly disruptive for other family members. For example,
one father, with a son and a daughter with severe food allergies, was
placed in shared accommodation. He sent his daughter to stay on the sofa
of his mum’s one bedroom flat. However, as his mother was unwell, he asked
his brother to go over and cook and care for his daughter every day. This
was in three main ways: relying on family and friends, spending more to meet
needs and giving up some parts of their lives, like work. Homeless families
had to rely more on public spaces. Many families relied on the public Wi-Fi
in cafes and fast food chains so that older children could do their homework.
Spending more money
Many families had to spend more money to meet their basic needs such
as maintaining jobs, getting children to school, and organising their lives.
Half of families were paying for storage for their possessions. Families were
spending as much as £35 a day on taxis, buses, and trains to maintain jobs
and school places as accommodation was often far away from their previous
homes. Two thirds of families we spoke to said school runs were longer (in
some cases over two hours each way) and journeys more complicated.
Sacrificing some parts of their lives
People couldn’t always pull together enough family support or resources to
maintain their previous lives. This led to having to pause or lose aspects
of their previous lives. Work particularly suffered. More than half of families
interviewed said that being homeless made it harder for them to work. In
twelve of the families at least one parent had stopped working after being
made homeless. Two women closed down businesses, losing their own
income but also removing the jobs of other people. The main reason given
for having to stop work was having to travel longer distances. Connected to
this was no longer having local friends they could draw on to watch children,
or not having the space or resources (such as the internet) they needed.
The Green Book Report
28
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
“ I was working really hard, sometimes seven days a week, but it was ok because it was so close to my house, and my son’s school (and) I had a child minder, she was helping me a lot. Unfortunately when I moved here… she said it’s too far away from her to travel. I was trying to do my best but… previously I was very flexible and living here it was impossible.
As one woman described, settled housing is vital for maintaining the other
parts of your life.
“ I was spending £400 a month travelling to work… (the council told me), ‘Sorry, there’s nothing we can do. You will have to leave your job.’… We’ve only given you a roof over your head, you have to do the rest,’ So, I had to give up my job because I can’t afford it. And it’s like you see statistics for people being on benefits, and it’s like, this forced me to be on benefits.
Some of the other areas families had to cut out were even
more worrying. One mother spoke about not feeling it was safe to wean her
baby as she couldn’t sterilise bottles and equipment. Three other parents
mentioned not being able to maintain their children’s developmental progress,
for example not having space for young children to practice walking. Four
families reported that their children missed school. One child missed a year
of infant school as they moved too far from their previous home and were
unable to secure an alternative school place.
The Green Book Report
29
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
The way it makes people feel: Feeling that you lack control over meeting your basic needs
People recounted feeling that their lives were out of their hands. They have
experienced something that has demonstrated to them that they cannot
guarantee they can meet their child’s basic need to be housed. They are
uncertain of their futures and dependent on others. Their private lives have
become open to public scrutiny or intervention.
Knowing that a basic need is reliant on someone else is a stressful
experience. This could be further exacerbated in two ways. Firstly, interviewees
continued to struggle to find a settled home they could afford to rent, even
after the council had helped them into temporary accommodation, and even
after they had continued to search intensively. Secondly, they struggled to
plan their future. Some spent time learning about housing and homelessness
law in order to understand their rights and practical details such as how long
they would have to stay in shared accommodation. Doing this allowed people
to be able to plan around this. For example arranging for their children to stay
in school or to pay to put the contents of their home into temporary storage.
This attempt to regain control was undermined when the law was broken, for
example when families were kept in cramped accommodation for longer than
is lawful.
“It’s the not knowing, not knowing where you are moving to and not knowing what to say to my children, knowing that we’re moving house, and where are we moving to? Just living out of suitcases and boxes and not being able to find clothes and searching for your bits, being so unorganised just makes your head unorganised at the same time.
This lack of control was compounded by people feeling isolated from support.
In many cases isolation stemmed from having to move far from family and
friends. Even if distances were not great, the cost, the time needed, and ability
to travel with small children limited this. Some people were also restricted
due to rules on visitors. Shelter researchers were thrown out of someone’s
bedroom after half an hour by a landlord living off site who had installed
CCTV throughout the hostel.
In addition, many people spoke about how they had frozen out some
friends and family members due to feelings of shame and embarrassment.
The Green Book Report
30
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
“ Going through it (you) feel such shame; it’s embarrassing. I can’t tell people. It must make me a terrible person to be made homeless. You feel like a scrounger, scum.
The vast majority of families had also not spoken with other families living in
the same place as them. Rather than communities of support forming, most
people were keen to keep out of each other’s way.
“ There’s a lot of noise but you don’t want to leave and challenge people. I don’t know anyone up there. I don’t know what harm I’m doing to myself because if someone will hold a grudge and make your life complete hell. If it was just me, I could, but I’ve got (son) and I can’t put him in any danger
The Green Book Report
31
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
The way it impacts on families: Insecurity damages relationships and children’s life chances
Homelessness causes people to have to cope with less, to feel isolated, and
to know that a key component of their family’s lives is out of their control.
This had some serious knock-on impacts for families. For families in shared
accommodation, or living in small self-contained accommodation, being
in close proximity made things difficult. Parents reported arguments and
frustration as a result of being ‘cooped up’ as well as general stress from
having limited space.
“ I need to change my sanitary wear in private, I need to get dressed in private, I need a minute to cry in private. I can’t do everything in front of that little boy, it’s affecting him. I need a private moment, life’s too difficult… The heat. The noise from upstairs. Constant banging, noise from down the corridor.
Many parents also spoke of the need to put on a brave face, and appear
strong for their children. Parents reported children being more tearful and
anxious. Most of the parents interviewed felt that their children’s mental
health had been affected by living in temporary accommodation, and many
raised serious concerns about them being too tired to learn or not having
space to prepare for important exams.
“ Last week she had three exams. She says ‘I can’t learn in here’ so now she just stays at school till late. Sometimes, if she has an exam, I go out, just walking around at night with the baby… I walk around and sit in the park. I walk in the cemetery.
All of parents interviewed stated that their or their partner’s mental health
was affected by being homeless. Some people spoke about anxiety and
depression, and some of having thoughts of self-harm, including taking their
own lives, in the past. Many people were badly affected by feeling they had a
lack of control over the situation.
“ It’s crossing my mind whether or not to give the girls up to make it better for them. Because I don’t know what to do anymore… I think it’s just a case of the depression now is due to…I’m not being a proper mum. I can’t feed them. I can’t… I’m not doing what I should be doing, what I’ve done for years.
The Green Book Report
32
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
These impacts and experiences have been raised in countless reports over
the last few decades. As the number of people who are homeless (or who
are becoming homeless rises), the need to address this, and prevent it
happening, becomes more acute.
The Green Book Report
33
Section one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Conclusion to section one
Homelessness is still a largely hidden issue in England today. But we know
that hundreds of thousands of people are currently homeless, and
documented in available statistics. Many more people are homeless, but
currently hidden. For example, they are relying on the support of family and
friends or have nowhere to stay.
An increasing number of families live in unsuitable accommodation.
The number of families living in shared accommodation (such as hostels or
B&Bs) has doubled in the last five years. Some homeless accommodation we
visited was shockingly poor; some of the people we spoke with were living in
ways comparable to the housing conditions that Shelter drew attention to in
the sixties. We also found striking similarities between some accommodation
classed as ‘shared’ (and in theory subject to restrictions on its use) and
accommodation classed as ‘self-contained’. Families who were sofa surfing
with friends were grateful to be living in a supportive environment, but
described the uncertainty of relying on other people’s goodwill, and not being
sure when this would run out.
The physical make up of accommodation is vital. And it is essential that
people made homeless are able to access a safe and decent temporary place
to stay. However being homeless isn’t just about the condition of where you
are living. It is also about having to put your life on pause, manage with less,
manage the uncertainty of your living situation and cope with the knowledge
that, however temporary, a key component of your family’s lives is out of your
control.
This impacts on parent’s ability to work, their health and sometimes
their children’s physical and mental wellbeing. Parents described children
being more withdrawn, isolating themselves from friends and acting up. It also
caused disruption that had serious consequences such as children missing
school. We need to make sure that homeless families have somewhere to
stay that is safe and decent while they find a settled home.
We are currently in a period where homelessness is steadily rising.
Millions more people are worried that they could face the same experience.22
To prevent this crisis getting worse, we need to address the issues that are
causing so many people to become homeless.
In the next chapter we will seek to do this by exploring the causes and
underlying drivers of homelessness.
The Green Book ReportSection one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Homelessness then and now
1960s
‘Teachers report that the three children of school age often fall
asleep in class because they don’t get proper rest at home. The
dampness that stains the walls and ceilings affects their health.
Floorboards are loose, and the sanitary and washing facilities are
in appalling shape. The family are pestered by mice’.
Today
Miss ‘A’ and her two young children live in a self-contained unit
in Welwyn Garden City. Their damp and mouldy room is making
the living conditions unbearable. The room is also infested with
cockroaches. Getting enough sleep has become a serious issue,
and ‘A’ has regularly received calls from her daughter’s nursery
informing her that (daughter) has been asleep since she arrived.
Three flights of stairs with TB:
1960s
‘Mr E, who is 56, lives in one room on the third floor of a slum
house. He is suffering from a tuberculosis condition but has to
climb up three flights of stairs. His specialist has told the council
that at all costs he must be given a ground floor flat’.
Today
Mr S, who suffers from an involuntary movement disorder, is
forced to climb the stairs of his one bedroom flat when attending
the toilet. His disability means that even the simplest task
becomes unsafe, and has previously fallen down the stairs. At
night he feels unable to climb the stairs, and so has been forced
to urinate in a bedpan in the room with his wife and daughter.
34
The Green Book ReportSection one What’s the reality of homelessness in 2016?
Sharing facilities with lots of people, no privacy for family life:
1960s
‘Mr D gets £12 a week, and pays £3 a week rent for the two small
rooms that he, his wife, and their five children occupy. Their four
sons sleep in one bed, and the other child shares a bed with his
parents. 14 people live in the small, two-storey house, and all
share the same bathroom and toilet. They also share the cooker
which is on the floor above their living room. There is very little
privacy for family life’.
Today
‘Mr A and his family are just one of thirty families who rely upon
this hostel in Ilford to house them. The accommodation is made
up of three separate houses, with only one functional kitchen,
which is infested with mice. Tenants are expected to walk
outside to enter the kitchen, along with their food and utensils,
as thirty families try to cook in one kitchen.’
Six sleep in one room:
1960s
‘Mr and Mrs T. live with their four boys (aged from five and a
half to one) in a damp, mice-ridden house, in Islington, London.
They all sleep in one room measuring ten feet by twelve feet,
with parents in a double bed, three elder boys in two bunks, and
the baby in the cot’.
Today
‘Mr ‘M’, his partner, five children, and one grandchild, all share
one room in a hostel in Ilford, infested with mice and cockroaches.
They all sleep in the room, with three teenage daughters sleeping
on a broken pull-out bed, another daughter on a fold up bed with
her child, whilst the parents share their own bed.
35
The Green Book Report
36
Section twoWhat causes homelessness in 2016?
The Green Book Report
37
Section two What causes homelessness?
What causes homelessness in 2016?
In order to prevent people becoming homeless, we
must understand what is causing homelessness.
We looked at this issue in three ways:
Firstly, we studied the places where people are
being made homeless and the types of households
that are becoming homeless. This allows us to
understand who is at risk, and where they are at risk.
It enabled us to gain insight into the structural and
personal factors that might cause homelessness
today, and the balance between these.
Secondly, we looked at what actually happens
when people become homeless. We explored
this in more detail by getting the perspectives
of people made homeless. This allowed us to
understand what was going on in their lives at
the time, and what they feel contributed to them
being made homeless. It gave us a fuller and more
meaningful understanding of the data recorded
in the homelessness statistics. It also allows
us to understand the reasons that people lose
their homes, the barriers people faced in helping
themselves to stay housed, and to identify the
opportunities for intervention.
Finally, we looked at what was happening
around the time that homelessness began to rise,
and what has been happening since that could
explain why this is becoming more common.
We examined what was happening across the
labour and housing markets, and also the support
available to people. This allowed us to explore
relationships between these areas of policy, in order
to identify what could have caused the recent rise
on homelessness, and what could be put in place
to halt it. We also look to the future to understand
what could improve and the opportunities to avert
further decline.
The Green Book Report
38
Section two What causes homelessness?
Where are people becoming homeless and who is affected?
Popular explanations for the causes of homelessness tend to be divided
into two categories: structural factors and factors relating to the individual.
Structural factors may include a lack of decent, affordable, accessible
housing23. Individual factors include issues relating to physical and mental
health.
There is now more of a general consensus that individual and structural
explanations are not mutually exclusive24. Structural factors create the
conditions within which homelessness occurs, and then individual factors
determine the likelihood of becoming homeless in those conditions25. To
explore the extent to which these different factors impact homelessness, we
examined26 the relationship between levels of homelessness and a range of
local conditions. We then looked at households that seem to be particularly
at risk of homelessness, and dove into household level data to see what
conclusions we could draw about the causes of homelessness.
Over the following three sections we explore:
■■ Where are the areas most affected by homelessness
■■ Who are the households most at risk of homelessness
■■ How these local and personal factors appear to inter-relate
The Green Book Report
39
Section two What causes homelessness?
Where are the areas most affected by homelessness?
Homelessness happens everywhere, but people are much more likely to
be made homeless in some areas compared to others. Looking at where
homelessness is particularly high can help us to understand the local factors
that might make households more vulnerable to becoming homeless. All
analysis below uses data on the number of households found to be homeless
and in priority need (homelessness acceptances).
Homelessness is particularly high in London: one in three people made
homeless in the last year lived there. This is not explained by population
size. In fact a person living in London is almost five times as likely to become
homeless as someone in the North East.
London boroughs also dominate the local areas with the highest levels
of statutory homelessness per head of household population. The local
authority with the highest level of homelessness (per household) in England
is Barking and Dagenham. In fact, the top five areas are all London boroughs,
and twenty six out of the top fifty places are London boroughs. Within other
regions, homelessness is concentrated in urban areas. Local authorities in
big cities like Birmingham and Manchester also make it into the top fifty.
This difference hasn’t always been so pronounced. Five years ago, over
one in five households made homeless were in London: as opposed to one
The Green Book Report
40
Section two What causes homelessness?
in three in the last twelve months. In fact, recent rises in homelessness are
explained almost exclusively by growth in London and the South East. In
London, the number of households made homeless is now twice as high as
it was just five years ago.
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
East Midlands
East of England
London
North East
North West
South East
South West
West Midlands
Yorkshire and the Humber
2016
Q2
2016
Q1
2015
Q4
2015
Q3
2015
Q2
2015
Q1
2014
Q4
2014
Q3
2014
Q2
2014
Q1
2013
Q4
2013
Q3
2013
Q2
2013
Q1
2012
Q4
2012
Q3
2012
Q2
2012
Q1
2011
Q4
2011
Q3
2011
Q2
2011
Q1
Regional Homeless Trends since 2011
The Green Book Report
41
Section two What causes homelessness?
What is happening in areas with high levels of homelessness?
We looked at how the number of people made statutory homeless in an area
relate to other measures of social and economic issues.
Measures of deprivation and earnings
Looking at map two, we can see that the pattern of homelessness across
the country does not match the pattern of ‘deprivation’. The indices of
Multiple Deprivation (IMD) are designed to capture which areas are more or
less deprived and are comprised of seven different dimensions28. As the IMD
includes a measure of homelessness, it would be misleading if we were to
examine the relationship between homelessness and overall scores on the
index at local authority level. However, looking at individual measures can
help to explore the features distinguishing the areas where homelessness is
occurring.
There is little evidence of correlation between homelessness and many
measures of deprivation. For example, there is no relationship between
employment deprivation measures, health or education.29
The Green Book Report
42
Section two What causes homelessness?
There is a small positive correlation between being homeless and living in an
areas with a higher proportion of people on low incomes (correlation coefficient
of 0.32). There is also a small positive correlation between homelessness and
the level of child poverty in an area (0.37).
Comparing rates of homelessness with median earnings finds that,
perhaps counter-intuitively, higher average earnings in an area have a
small positive correlation with levels of homelessness. The relationship is
small (0.3), but is statistically significant. However, this does not mean that
households with higher average incomes are themselves more susceptible
to homelessness: read alongside the correlation between homelessness and
levels of child poverty, this could suggest that ‘purchasing power’ is an issue.
It appears that homelessness occurs where it is harder for families on low
incomes to compete with more affluent households for homes. This could
suggest that inequality rather than deprivation is more of an explanation
of homelessness.
The Green Book Report
43
Section two What causes homelessness?
Housing
Map three shows average house prices across England. Areas with high
levels of homelessness mirror the areas with particularly high house prices.
Housing affordability has a strong relationship with homelessness.
The size of the private rented sector in an area also has a relationship to
levels of homelessness. The proportion of households that rent privately has
a moderate positive relationship with the level of homelessness (correlation
coefficient of 0.5). Areas with a high proportion of private rented homes have
higher rates of homelessness. But this factor is clearly not enough on its own
to explain why households are more likely to be made homeless (and why
many are becoming homeless due to the end of a private tenancy).
The affordability of the private rented sector is an important factor to
consider, but this relates not just to the absolute cost of private rents but
the extent to which incomes or support with housing costs (by way of
housing benefit) is adequate. If someone is unable to find a property that
is affordable within Local Housing Allowance limits they may struggle to
avoid homelessness. In some parts of the country the gap between typical
private rents and the maximum amount of housing benefit a family can claim
is significant.
The Green Book Report
44
Section two What causes homelessness?
The size of this gap has a small positive relationship with rates of
homelessness (correlation coefficient of 0.37), suggesting this is one factor
that contributes to people becoming homeless. Homelessness is also strongly
related to levels of instability in the private rented market.
Overall, this initial analysis suggests that households are more vulnerable
to homelessness in areas with high housing costs, a larger private rented
sector and higher earnings. Now we know where people are more likely to
become homeless, we turn to look at the households who seem to be more
likely to become homeless.
The Green Book Report
45
Section two What causes homelessness?
Households particularly vulnerable to homelessness
Statutory data tells us a certain amount about the characteristics of households
that become homeless, but leaves many questions unanswered. To help draw
a richer picture of households vulnerable to becoming homeless, we have
combined knowledge from statutory data with insight from our interviews
with fifty families who have experienced homelessness.
Household type
Almost three quarters of households accepted as homeless (73%) are
families with children. This mainly reflects the fact that the system is designed
to prioritise these groups and they are more likely to present to councils as
homeless. However, there are certain barriers to housing that families are
more likely to face than single people. Families have more limited choices
when it comes to finding a home: The bar is likely to be higher in terms
of what constitutes acceptable standards of space, conditions, and safety.
Even if they find a suitable home, they may find landlords unwilling to let to
people with children. Over a third of landlords surveyed in 2015 said they are
unwilling to, or would prefer not to, let to a household with children. Having
children in tow also makes it harder to shelter with friends or family members.
One parent families are over-represented amongst homeless
households. Two thirds of families accepted as homeless are one parent
families, compared to one in four families in England. Nine in ten (93%) of
these households are headed by a woman. This means that almost half of
all homeless households are single mothers. These patterns have stayed
broadly constant over the last decade.
There are many explanations for this. The first is that relationship
breakdown is responsible for 1 in every 6 cases of homelessness in England.
Not only does it lead to the formation of a separate household, it can make it
more difficult for the parent left behind to continue to cover the costs of the
existing home. Nearly one in three people living with a partner say that they
feel they wouldn’t be able to cover their housing costs for any length of time
if their relationship broke down30. Another factor is that single parent families
are almost twice as likely to experience poverty as couple parent families31.
One parent families with young children face greater barriers to working. They
are almost half as likely to have a parent in employment as a couple family32.
Single parents have also been the households hardest hit by tax and benefit
reforms since 201033,34.
The Green Book Report
46
Section two What causes homelessness?
Being a single parent was something that our interviewees felt placed extra
barriers to them finding a new home. Primary among these barriers was
the inability to work full time, or to have flexibility about working hours. We
also know there is a moderate positive correlation between the proportion
of households that are lone parents in an area and levels of homelessness
(0.49).
Age
Households that become statutory homeless are also likely to be younger. One
in four are under 45. These statistics are likely to under-represent the full extent
of homelessness amongst young people as they are more likely to be without
dependent children or have a particular health issue, and may therefore be
turned away for not being in priority need. This means they won’t be officially
recorded as homeless. Survey data suggests that one in five 16-25 year olds
have sofa surfed in the last year, almost half for more than a month35. One in ten
had stayed in emergency accommodation, and almost one in three had slept
rough, including one in four for more than one night.
Ethnicity
People whose ethnicity is not ‘white’ also appear to be more vulnerable to
becoming homeless. One in three (35%) applicants for homeless assistance
are of black, Asian, or minority ethnicity compared to one in seven of England’s
population36. Black and minority ethnic (BME) households are more likely to
be in poverty. The proportion of people found to be homeless that define
themselves as BME has risen overall from one in five to one in three in the
last decade. However this change could be explained due to homelessness
becoming concentrated over this period in London and the South East, where
there are more BME households.
Nationality
One in five (19%) households accepted as homeless are foreign nationals.
Half of these are from within the European Economic Area (EEA) and half
are from outside of the EEA. Proportionally, this is higher than the number
of people of non-British nationality in England, although it is lower than the
proportion of non-British nationals living in London, where the largest number
of households become homeless37. This pattern could also be explained due
to the current geographic patterns in homelessness.
The Green Book Report
47
Section two What causes homelessness?
The true number of non-British households affected by homelessness is likely
to be higher than this. Many non-British people will be found to be ineligible
for homelessness support so are not included in these statistics.
Some of our interviewees who had migrated to the UK in the last ten
years highlighted how they had no friends or family nearby and that this made
it harder to find someone to stay with temporarily. However, this was also the
case for some British-born homeless households who had moved towns or
whose family was older and/or unable to help.
There are particular barriers to housing experienced by people who are
non-British nationals or who are from a visible minority. Landlords are now
required to carry out ‘right to rent’ checks on the immigration status of all new
tenants, with the penalty for non-compliance extending to a possible prison
sentence. A 2015 survey of landlords found that of those who had heard of
the requirement, 44% said that the right to rent rules meant that they were
less likely to rent to ‘People who appear to be/ I perceive to be immigrants’.
Work and unemployment
There are no formal records of how many homeless people work. Shelter
analysis of housing benefit data suggests that one third of households in
temporary accommodation in England are in work, rising to half of households
in temporary accommodation in London38. The majority of the people we
interviewed were working at the time they were made homeless. A further
seven households were completing a vocational qualification. Our sample
included two student nurses and two other NHS employees. Two of the
people we spoke to owned businesses that employed other people. Three
people worked for high street retail chains. Three people were self-employed.
Seven households included someone who was in work but currently on
maternity leave.
The number of people working at the point they became homeless may
be higher than this. Three fifths of our sample said that becoming homeless
had made it harder for them to work. Mental health problems and access
to jobs and childcare were a particular issue that worsened in response to
homelessness. 35 interviewees said that becoming homeless had impacted
their mental health. Having to move regularly or far away had caused people
to have to leave their job.
Income
There are no national statistics on the income of homeless people. Our
research suggests that living on a low income made people more at risk.
Working in fields like retail or care meant that earning potential was limited,
with salaries often around the National Living Wage. This made it difficult to
find housing that was affordable on earned income alone, making reliance
on benefits essential. Some people had circumstances, such as health
conditions, disabilities or family responsibilities that restricted their ability to
work or to increase their hours.
The Green Book Report
48
Section two What causes homelessness?
A related issue was having social and family networks who were also living
on low incomes, meaning that the support they were able to draw on when
they were faced with homelessness was limited. For example, the main
reason that people said they couldn’t stay with friends or family was because
they didn’t know anyone with space to accommodate them. Even where
this was possible, circumstances tended to be cramped and unsatisfactory.
Some homeless families were in situations where they were the ones having
to support other wider family members, rather than being the ones receiving
support. Many people we interviewed had trouble renting privately without
having someone who owns their home to act as a guarantor.
Wider data shows us that rates of household formation are dropping
and more and more adults, including families with children, are living with
parents or in a home with another household40. Housing costs are a strong
contributor to this trend. People who are not able to rely on this support from
family or friends will be more vulnerable to homelessness.
The Green Book Report
49
Section two What causes homelessness?
Understanding what puts households at risk
The available quantitative and qualitative data on families who become
homeless suggest that they are typically poorer and may be disadvantaged in
some way that makes employment or full-time work more difficult. Comparing
homelessness in different areas, however, has shown that homelessness
does not seem to be correlated with measures of deprivation such as low
education, high unemployment, or poor health. Rather it is higher in areas
with lots of private renters, high housing costs, child poverty, and possibly,
income inequality.
This supports the idea that both structural and personal drivers of
homelessness play a role. It is hard to know whether certain households are
more at risk of becoming homeless due to something personal to them, or
because they live in an area with local characteristics (like high house prices)
that put them at risk. To help unpick this we compared the characteristics
of a group who might be said to be at risk of homelessness (private renters
struggling with their housing) in both an area where homelessness is high
and rising (London) and in an area where homelessness is relatively low (the
North West, the North East, and Yorkshire and the Humber combined – what
we are calling for ease of expression, ‘the North’). Data is from the Family
Resources Survey41.
Looking at the characteristics of privately renting households between
areas
A slightly higher proportion of privately renting households in London are
struggling than in the Northern regions.
London North
Proportion of renters who say they are struggling with high housing costs
28% 24%
The biggest differences are in the types of households that are struggling.
Of renters who say they struggled to pay high housing costs
London North
Average income relative to average private renter income in the region
64% 55%
No-one working full time 50% 70%
Economically inactive 15% 30%
Retired 5% 10%
Disabled household member 27% 46%
The Green Book Report
50
Section two What causes homelessness?
Of renters who say they struggled to pay high housing costs
London North
One parent family 18% 25%
One parent family where parent is out of work
34% 62%
No savings 81% 77%
Issues with affordability stretch higher up the income scale in London than
in the North. Private renters that struggle with their housing are poorer than
average private renters in both regions. But, in the North, they are much
poorer in comparison to other private renters than this group are in London.
Private renters in London are more likely to be of working age, have at
least one person working full time and have fewer barriers to earning higher
incomes – for example a family member with a disability – than those in the
North. Private renters in both areas tend to have no savings.
Private renters struggling with affordability in London are generally
working and have fewer barriers to earning higher incomes than those in the
North. Homelessness has grown most, even when the growth in households in
the private rented sector is taken into account. Although there are undoubtedly
vulnerable families in the capital’s private rented sector, a London renting
household does not need to be obviously vulnerable to struggle to pay for their
home. In regions where families struggling with housing affordability have more
vulnerable characteristics, there hasn’t been as large an increase in homelessness
originating in the private rented sector. This suggests it is in fact structural issues
with housing that have come to dominate the rise in homelessness acceptances
over recent years.
In conclusion
The evidence suggests that homelessness is high in areas with expensive
housing and income inequality. People who may be particularly at risk of
becoming homeless are younger, in one parent families, and importantly,
on a low income. Analysis of private renters across the country suggests
that it is ‘structural factors’, like high housing costs, that are dominating the
reasons why people are becoming vulnerable to homelessness in areas where
homelessness is high. In order to understand how these factors do and do
not lead to homelessness, we will now look in more detail at what is actually
happening to cause these households to become homeless in these areas.
The Green Book Report
51
Section two What causes homelessness?
What happens to cause someone to become homeless?
We have explored a range of factors that are associated with a higher
incidence of homelessness. However, these factors are hard to clearly specify,
causation is hard to follow and the relationship between them is not always
apparent. it is still unclear from this what actually creates the circumstances
in which people become homeless.
The homelessness statistics give some insight into this. They record
the reason that each household loses their last settled home. Some of these
reasons are housing related (the ending of a tenancy or rent arrears) and some
appear to be driven by more personal factors (parents or friends no longer
willing or able to accommodate the household, or relationship breakdown).
As can be seen, the most common reason people become homeless
in England in the last year is because of the end of an assured shorthold
tenancy (AST) (32%). The next most common is because family or friends
are no longer willing or able to accommodate the household (27%) and
the third most common is relationship breakdown42. Other issues such as
mortgage or rent arrears make up a much smaller proportion of the total.
Family or friends no longer able or willing to provide accommodation
Relationship breakdown with partner
Mortgage arrears (repossession or otherloss of home)
Rent arrears
End of assured shorthold tenancy
Loss of other rented or tied housing
Other reasons
The Green Book Report
52
Section two What causes homelessness?
An assured shorthold tenancy (AST) is the most common form of tenancy in the private rented sector.
Assured shorthold tenancies can either be arranged initially on a fixed term or a rolling, month-to-month
basis.
The vast majority of assured shorthold tenancy agreements are initially arranged for a fixed term of either
six or twelve months, although if both landlord and tenant agree they can be longer.
In an assured shorthold tenancy the tenant has the right to stay for an initial six month period. Outside
of this, as long as the landlord has met their legal duties to the tenant, they can end the tenancy at their
discretion by giving the tenant two months’ notice to leave.
Whilst in 1994/5 around 800,000 households lived in a home rented on an AST, in 2014/15 this had
increased to nearly 3.5 million private renting households.
This wasn’t always the case. In the early nineties, the leading trigger of
homelessness was people having to leave the parental home. This remained
the case (with the exception of a period in the late nineties) until 2011. In fact
as recently as 2009, the ending of an AST was only the fourth most common
reason why a household would be made homeless.
Narrowing in we can see that issues with renting explain almost all
of the rise in the last decade. The numbers of households losing their last
settled home due to the end of an AST explained the vast majority of this
increase.
The Green Book Report
53
Section two What causes homelessness?
Reasons for Loss of Last Settled Home
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Parents no longer willing/able to provide accommodation
Other relatives/friends no longer willing/able to provide accommodation
Violent relationship breakdown
Other relationship breakdown
Mortgage arrears
Rent arrears
End of AST
Loss of other rented or tied housing
Other
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
This gives us an insight into what is trigerring homelessness. However, this
data doesn’t tell us much that we can act on with certainty. Some of the
information these statistics communicate is unclear. For example, they may
tell us that some people became homeless due to ‘relationship breakdown’.
But this tells us little about what we really need to do to prevent this. Is this due
to individual factors, a history of partner violence, or substance abuse that split
the household? Or is it a case of an everyday phenomenon (the ending of a
relationship) leading to homelessness as one of the party are unable to afford to
house themselves due to a low income and/ or an expensive housing market 43?
Similarly, knowing that mortgage arrears can be a trigger for
homelessness has its own limitations: its significance is clear (if you do not
keep up with your mortgage repayments, you will lose your home) but it tells
us nothing about the reasons for the arrears (e.g. loss of employment, illness,
relationship breakdown). Analysing these statistics on their own, without an
understanding of the experiences they are trying to quantify, can disconnect
us from reality.
This is particularly the case with the opaque trigger of ‘the ending of an AST’.
Are renters securely housed, but then lose their tenancy after their income is
cut? Or are renters able to meet their current tenancy conditions, but unable
to stay when their landlord asks for a higher rent? Or do the figures reflect
rising rent arrears and landlords’ frustrations? In addition, there are also a
number of households, who are homeless and in priority need but deemed to
be ‘intentionally’ so. We have even less information about these households
and how they came to lose their home.
The Green Book Report
54
Section two What causes homelessness?
What more can we learn from the experience of families?
Therefore, in order to understand homelessness, and provide some context
to the data, it is necessary to take account of the stories and biographies
of people who have experienced becoming homeless. This allows us to
understand people’s experiences and also examine how these experiences
fit into their wider life history.
In order to explore this in more depth, we analysed the case histories and
perspectives of homeless people across England. The interviews identified
three key stages to ‘becoming homeless’.
Over the following three sections we will explore these stages:
■■ Why they lost their last settled home and the background to this.
■■ Why they could not find a new settled home.
■■ Their experience of approaching the council for help.
The Green Book Report
55
Section two What causes homelessness?
What is going on when people lose their last settled home?
We started our analysis by grouping these interviewees into four categories
according to the trigger for their homelessness given in the homelessness
statistics: those whose friends or families could no longer accommodate
them, those who had had a relationship breakdown, those who had lost their
home following the end of a private rented sector tenancy, and those who
were found to be intentionally homeless.
We sought to understand what actually happened when these families
lost their home and what these, sometimes opaque, categories could refer
to in reality.
The Green Book Report
56
Section two What causes homelessness?
Friends and family no longer willing/able to accommodate
In the last twelve months in England 16,000 households were made homeless
because friends, parents, or other family members were no longer willing or
able to accommodate them. This is the second most commonly recorded
reason that households became homeless.
Fourteen people in our sample of 50 lost their last settled home because
their friends or family were no longer willing or able to accommodate them.
These households became threatened with ‘rooflessness’ when the
household they were staying with could not continue to host them. However,
a breakdown in family relationships was only the root cause of homelessness
in two cases. In twelve of the fourteen cases44, the stay with friends or family
was seen as an interim solution to homelessness, not as a settled home.
In other words for the people concerned this official ‘reason for loss of
last settled home’ was not seen as the point at which they became homeless.
When asked to explain in their own words ‘how they became homeless’,
their description of the events and the contributing factors that made them
homeless was similar to families made homeless for other reasons:
“ My company got bought out and they cut our pay and reduced overtime. I went two months behind with the rent. I went to [payday loan company] to get the money and cleared it. It was alright the next month, but I think the landlord was fed up and gave us an eviction notice so we moved in with my brother.
The housing journeys were very similar to other families in the sample, except
that they had been in a position to stay with family or friends after losing a
tenancy rather than immediately present themselves to the council.
In a very small number of cases, there was a specific trigger that meant
that their living arrangement with family or friends went from being tolerable
to being unsuitable. For example, one person left the parental home after
taking on custody of a child who had behavioural issues.
In all other cases, the situation was always difficult to manage, but
became intolerable for the household as it became clear that it was a long
term arrangement that was not resolvable within the foreseeable future.
Households were very overcrowded. In two cases five children and three
adults shared a two bedroom home. In another, a woman with a new born
baby was sharing a studio flat with a friend and her two year old son. Despite
this being recorded as a ‘settled home’, the arrangements looked like a
version of ‘sofa surfing’. Only two of the households had their own bedroom
as a family.
The Green Book Report
57
Section two What causes homelessness?
“ I was staying with friends at the beginning. And obviously they ended up getting fed up with me and then I would stay at my dad’s when I could but he couldn’t have me he’s got really bad mental health problems
Stays with family or friends were as long as eighteen months. Towards the
end of stays with friends or family, some families went through a period of
shorter stays, ping-ponging between different households as they struggled
to keep housed.
Broadly, we can conclude from our sample that these households’
stay with family and friends was a response to rather than a trigger of
homelessness, and that family breakdown was not a root cause of their
homelessness. In fact, many families had ended up in this position after a
period of being vulnerably housed. For example, they had been evicted or
had left home after no longer being able to afford the rent. One had stayed
with his sister for a period after splitting with his partner.
Our evidence suggests that even when people become officially
homeless due to friends and family no longer being able to accommodate
them, the underlying reason tends to be that they have been forced out of the
housing market, leaving family and friends as an inadequate and ultimately
temporary solution.
The Green Book Report
58
Section two What causes homelessness?
Relationship breakdown
Last year 9,310 households lost their last settled home due to a relationship
breakdown. Seven in ten of these were due to a relationship breakdown that
was violent.
Nine people in our sample were made homeless due to a relationship
breakdown. For the majority of people, this followed a period of abuse.
The reason that the (in all cases) mother had to leave the home was due to
needing to leave the area to ensure that an abusive partner couldn’t find the
family, and also because their tenancy was in their partner’s name. When
abuse was involved these homelessness journeys were sudden. This left no
or limited time to look for other properties, and these people were helped on
the very day they approached the council.
“ I left and went to the council and they helped me find something that day.
What stood out was that for this group especially, becoming ‘homeless’ – i.e.
being found to be unintentionally homeless and in priority need – could be a
‘positive’ step. People leaving violent partners were safer once they had left
their home.
It is vital that people leaving abusive relationships are able to access
help to leave their home, and aren’t discouraged. The importance of this is
shown by one woman who became homeless due to relationship breakdown.
The researcher followed up with her after she had moved into settled
accommodation and found she was having trouble with her ex-partner again.
However, she was not going to the council for help again as her experience
was so negative.
“ To be honest the last thing I want to do now is move. Because I waited and I suffered a lot to get it and so did my son. I’ve spent so much money on this house, and getting everything slowly building it up, then like losing it all again to go back to temporary accommodation it’s just… I’m just going to try and keep my head down.
The Green Book Report
59
Section two What causes homelessness?
Ending of an AST
In the last twelve months, 18,640 households lost their home due to the
ending of an assured shorthold tenancy. This is 32% of all the households
that were made homeless. London households are more acutely affected
(41% of all homelessness cases in London) compared to areas outside of
London (27%). Twenty people in our sample lost their last home due to the
ending of an AST.
Households that were made homeless due to the ending of an AST told
a relatively straightforward homelessness journey:
“Our landlord wanted the house back, so we had to leave.
An intrinsic part of the experience of their journey to ‘becoming
homeless’ was that once they had to move, they couldn’t find
anywhere else to live. They struggled to access affordable housing
and many found that they couldn’t afford any properties available to
rent privately. The reasons for this are explored in more detail later.
There were three broad groups in our sample. Most people were in groups
1 or 2.:
1. The people in the first group had stable housing histories and were
settled in their homes, having been there for three or more years.
They were not at risk of homelessness until the moment at which
they lost their AST. However, by this time housing costs had gone up
leaving them unable to find somewhere new to live. One woman had
lived for 12 years in London, including three years owning a home
until she went through divorce, sold the property, and spent eight
years renting the same home. She was made homeless when her
landlady wanted to sell her property.
‘It was ideal. It was right by his school but also close enough to
work that I could get there quickly. It was fine, I’d never missed
a rent payment’
2. The second group were very similar to the first. They were not at
risk of homelessness until they were evicted. However, their AST
ended at a point their financial circumstances were tightened. In
the majority of cases, this was the result of a short term change
such as being on maternity leave or going part time to cope with
an ill child. They were not at risk of homelessness however when
their AST ended, the combination of a rising housing market and
their lower income meant they couldn’t find anywhere else to live.
For both of these groups, eviction was particularly hard to respond
The Green Book Report
60
Section two What causes homelessness?
to because it came suddenly and at a time when they weren’t
necessarily preparing for a change, for example by taking action
to cut back on expenditure or scoping out a move. People were
settled and enmeshed in an area with work, social networks and
children’s schools. Housing was often treated as one of the more
certain elements of their lives, with other more fluctuating factors, like
childcare or work, planned around it.
3. The final group was smaller. They were people who appeared to
be bouncing between multiple private renting homes, before finally
finding that they couldn’t find anywhere else. They moved at the
end of every assured shorthold tenancy (every year or more). They
also showed signs of typically ‘descending’ the housing market into
poorer quality or smaller accommodation or shorter and shorter term
lets:
‘I was renting and the rent went up and so I moved into like a
shared house but the landlord wanted that back so I went and
house sat for some friends for a month. Then I was a property
guardian, then they wanted that back so I moved into a place, like
a room with the landlord. When he saw I was pregnant he was
like you can’t stay here and he gave me eviction papers’
In two cases in this third group people had to leave their home
as the standard of the property was so bad, it had to be demolished, reflecting
the poor conditions that some families are living in.
Other studies have suggested the possibility that the increase in
homelessness caused by the ending of an AST could be related to the growing
use of the private rented sector to house people who have approached the
council in housing need. Our study has uncovered that this is by no means the
full picture, but may be a part of the story. Three (out of twenty) people in our
sample were made homeless from private rented accommodation that they
were helped into by the council. With the growing use of the private rented
tenancies to house previously homeless households, this is a potentially
emerging issue that needs further monitoring.
Some households were unaware of the reason why their landlord had
asked for the house back. Many dealt with letting agents acting on behalf of
the landlord, or appointed intermediaries. A few even found it hard to clarify
what they were being asked to do or to try to negotiate changed terms. One
related how the council even struggled to find out what might be behind the
landlord’s motivations.
“ They rang up the landlord and were like so why are you kicking her out, and he wouldn’t say, he was just saying I want the house back, its mine I can do that
The Green Book Report
61
Section two What causes homelessness?
A common explanation, when an eviction notice came out of
the blue, was housing market related. It appeared that in the majority of cases
the landlord had decided to sell, as home prices were rising. This is what
most people had been told. Other people were told that they wanted to
convert the home to attract sharers, or because they felt that the house was
not priced at the market rate.
“ I was paying £625 for it. He wanted £900 for it. He gets £925 for it now. He actually said ‘I’m entitled to more money so I’m gonna get it’. That’s what he said. So I was like, ‘thanks a lot mate!’
Another common experience was an eviction following an event that had
caused the household to have to communicate with the landlord. One
woman requested two sets of repairs in a few months and was then served
an eviction notice, which she believed was related to asking for repairs. Two
families experienced a drop in income and contacted the landlord to ask if
they could renegotiate their rent while they were on maternity leave, or after
a relationship breakdown. One was served with an eviction notice within a
week, the other was subsequently only offered to renew on a shorter tenancy.
Two other families were evicted shortly after contacting their landlord to
let them know that there was a problem with their housing benefit payments.
In both cases, this was the first time they had told their landlord that they
were getting support from benefits. Both said that at the time they thought
this might be a risky move. They felt that this had contributed to their eviction.
What stood out to this group was more the experience that came after the
‘trigger’. Being asked to leave was a stressful situation. But many people were
unsurprised by it, especially if they had experienced multiple moves. It was the
fact that after their eviction they were unable to find somewhere else suitable and
affordable to live that ultimately caused them to become homeless.
The Green Book Report
62
Section two What causes homelessness?
Intentionally homeless
Seven of our sample of 50 households were not categorised as having a
reason for losing their last settled home. This was because they had been
found to be ‘intentionally homeless’. Nationally, this is a large proportion of
people ‘found to be homeless and in priority need’. In the last year 9,930
households were found to be homeless ‘intentionally’. This is a large group —
the same number as made homeless due to relationship breakdown.
The experiences of the people we interviewed divided into two
consistent stories. Two people were declared to be intentionally homeless
because they did not accept an offer of temporary accommodation that
they felt was unsuitable as it would have meant living too far away from their
work, or because it was seen as in too poor a condition. They were both
made homeless initially due to the end of an AST. Neither family had received
legal advice, which could have helped them to review the suitability of the
accommodation.
All of the other households had been made homeless due to owing
money to their landlord when they were evicted. In each case this was
connected to changes to their housing benefit. This included cases where
people had applied for benefit, but it not been transferred from the local
authority to the landlord, and people having their housing benefit stopped
without them realising when they went back into full time education or re-
training. Their arrears could be quite small amounts that had (according to
interviewees) been paid back by the time of the eviction. People in this group
had often experienced a recent drop in income that made it harder for them
to afford their housing costs.
Rent arrears is a small (although growing) trigger of homelessness
according to the homelessness statistics. But people that lose their home
due to rent arrears may represent a missing part of recent homelessness
trends if they are being found to be intentionally homeless. There are further
planned cuts to housing benefit coming this year and next. This may mean
that the number of families made homeless due to rent arrears may grow in
the future.
Further research is needed to explain the reasons that households are
becoming homeless ‘intentionally’ and to understand what happens to priority
need households found intentionally homeless. The households we spoke to
in this category had fallen into the care of social services departments or
were sofa surfing with friends. As mentioned in section one, there appears
to be a lack of knowledge among councils of how many families were in this
situation. Given that almost ten thousand homeless vulnerable households
were found to be intentionally homeless in the last twelve months alone, this
is an area that needs watching carefully.
The Green Book Report
63
Section two What causes homelessness?
What other issues contributed to people becoming homeless?
While the previous section gave some insight into the types of households
seemingly more at risk of homelessness, we also sought to understand
whether, and how, other issues in their lives contributed to them becoming
homeless, and how these were distributed across the groups.
We asked people to describe any other issues that they felt had a
bearing on them losing their home, and prompted on relationships, health,
debt, and substance abuse, as well as whether the family was in contact with
social services. We were interested to see if particular issues made people
more susceptible to homelessness, and how these issues affected people.
The majority of people said that they were not affected by these issues.
No one in our sample raised problematic alcohol or substance abuse as
a contributing factor to becoming homeless. In the main, people were not
affected by their health or debt. A very small number of families were in
contact with social services when made homeless. In all cases this was due
to domestic violence, the reason they became homeless.
Ten of the fifty mentioned that the ending of a relationship had
influenced their situation in some way. Most of these were made homeless
due to relationship breakdown. Others felt that splitting with their partner
made them less able to afford a home when they were forced to move after
an eviction.
Five households said that their health, or the health of a family member
affected them becoming homeless. The main reason was that it prevented
people working, making it harder for them to afford their home, or find a
new one. Others mentioned having more difficulty finding a home that could
accommodate their physical disability. For example, one man we interviewed
was married, had a child, and had a health condition that needed a carer
staying overnight. This meant that when they were evicted from their home
they faced multiple barriers to finding a new one that met their needs. He
described how ten years ago he had been working and getting by sharing a
room in a shared house. His income had gone down since then as he was
unable to work, but his housing requirements had gone up.
We also identified examples of repeat homelessness. Three interviewees
had been homeless before. A total of seven had been homeless, or been
helped by the homelessness team to secure new housing before becoming
homeless again. One woman had been helped into four tenancies over three
years.
This is a very small sub sample. However, these interviewees did not
have characteristics or needs that were distinct from the wider group that
might have made them less likely to sustain a tenancy. All had been made
homeless most recently due to the ending of an AST.
The Green Book Report
64
Section two What causes homelessness?
Barriers to finding a new settled home
Many more households lose their home each year than ultimately appear in
the homelessness statistics. Currently around just short of a million private
renting households are asked to move by their landlord each year. However,
only 89,050 households were identified as ‘homeless’ by their council last
year. Ultimately it is not only the loss of a settled home, but the inability to find
an alternative place to stay which causes households to become homeless.
We asked households to describe the barriers that they experienced
trying to find somewhere new to live. By far the most important was finding
somewhere they could afford, and persuading landlords to let them rent it.
The Green Book Report
65
Section two What causes homelessness?
Most important barriers to finding an alternative home
Not being able to find somewhere they could afford to rent on their
income
Having an income that was too low to afford many of the homes on the
market was a major barrier for all of the respondents. Many were told by
letting agents that they needed to have a household income that was ‘twice
as much as the rent’. This could push the cost of renting a two bedroom
home in outer London out of the price range of households.
Half of respondents initially approached the council to find out if there
were any affordable homes to rent in their area. Not all families sought social
housing but those that did found that there were limited options.
“ I first applied for a home in 2008, when I was first evicted from private. So I was set up. I went back when we were asked to leave to see if there was anything they could do. We were bidding but they don’t tell you where you are till you go above 150. Only one time could I see how many other people were bidding and we were 141. So there’s always more than 150 people [above you].
Some of the households struggled to find somewhere on their income, as they
had to leave their home at a time when their income was reduced. Being a
single parent with young children made it hard for people to work full time, or
increase their hours, whilst others were on maternity leave, heavily pregnant
or had a child under six months.
“ I went to (advice provider) they said the only option was to work more. But I was working 52 hours a week and I was already six months pregnant so there was nothing else I could really do.
However in the main people were simply managing long-term on a low income,
often despite being in work: two thirds of the households we interviewed
were working at the time of being made homeless.
A limited pool of options due to landlords not accepting people on
housing benefit
Even if people could find somewhere they could afford, they then faced a
second barrier in persuading the landlord or letting agent to rent it to them.
The main barrier was landlords not accommodating households who needed
housing benefit to pay their rent. This included people who were working.
This meant that even when people could find somewhere affordable to
rent, they would be turned away. One woman found a few places that she
The Green Book Report
66
Section two What causes homelessness?
could afford. However landlords would not accept her using housing benefit
to pay the rent.
This was even a major issue for people who had been offered advice from
the council to find somewhere else to live when they first approached them.
“ I was given a four page A4 booklet that had lists of estate agents and landlords in it and I called over hundred different people. My phone bill went up to £120 from calling them. And they ALL said, ‘no DSS, no children’
This narrowed families’ choices even further. There was often stiff competition
from other households in similar circumstances for the few homes that were
both affordable and open to tenants in receipt of housing benefit.
Landlord unwilling to be complicit in housing people in poor
accommodation
There was also evidence that some landlords were unprepared to let to
families if it would leave them in conditions they felt would be unsuitable or
unaffordable, on the basis that it would be bad for the children or the family
and they weren’t prepared to put them in this situation. Even though this
might be done with good intentions, it further removes agency from families
and pushes them deeper into difficult circumstances by restricting their
housing options.
“ I found one place that was perfect, but he said no way – you can’t afford that. I’m not going to be responsible for leaving you with so little money.
This was also the case with forms of affordable housing:
“ I called a teachers’ housing association and I phoned them and they said my application wasn’t accepted because they only had two bedroom properties available. He said because of the age of my children they shouldn’t be sharing a room.
This had left the family staying longer in a one bedroom flat that was two
hours from the father’s work, and one and a half hours from the children’s
school.
The Green Book Report
67
Section two What causes homelessness?
Secondary barriers to finding an alternative home
Upfront costs
The need to provide a deposit and up to two months’ rent up front was also
mentioned as a major barrier to finding an alternative home. A deposit of six
weeks plus the first month’s rent was a large amount of money that people
struggled to pull together. Credit checks, agency fees and other expenses
connected with moving all mounted up. People made homeless due to an
AST ending had their original deposit locked up in their previous flat. Another
barrier was that going through an eviction process could be expensive. Even
when people got their deposit returned, it was minus the cost of court fees.
People made homeless rapidly (for example due to a relationship
breakdown) were more likely to describe costs as a barrier. People made
homeless when family or friends were unable to accommodate them had
longer on average to look for alternative accommodation, and some had
managed to save for a deposit, to get the deposit back from previous homes,
and to arrange for someone to act as a guarantor.
Perceived discrimination
A small number of households described experiences of discrimination. The
main reasons people felt they had been discriminated against were because they
were single parents, or because they were on housing benefit. In other words, they
were passed over for higher earning tenants.
There is evidence that the introduction of ‘right to rent’ rules may be
making landlords less certain about renting to people who are from visible
minorities, although only one household in our sample felt that they were
discriminated against because of their ethnicity.
A few people mentioned that landlords did not want to let to families.
This was often explicitly mentioned in an advert, or by an agent. Other people
viewed a property and were subsequently told that they wouldn’t accept
children.
“ One place that was advertised, which was right by my son’s school said ‘we do not accept children’. I was like, ‘really?’ It was perfect – it was way over my budget but I would have made it work, I just wouldn’t have eaten but…
Availability of somewhere to stay while you continue to search for a
home
Family and friends was a place that many people would go to
first when they lost their home, but this sample shows that this is
not an option available to everyone. Typically, people’s parents were living
elsewhere, were elderly or had support needs themselves, or were in small
rented accommodation and/or were already housing younger family members.
The Green Book Report
68
Section two What causes homelessness?
Most households had taken other steps to put off being homeless, but
these were often unsuitable and unsustainable. In addition to households
who had stayed with family or friends, four households mentioned re-
entering relationships, some of which were formerly abusive, in order to find
somewhere to stay. Seven mentioned paying for a hotel.
How difficult is it for low income families to find a home in England today?
We went ‘undercover’ to experience what it would be like to try and find housing in different areas of
England. We searched for homes on property and letting agency websites. We looked for homes in
Manchester, Luton and the three London boroughs of Newham, Waltham Forest and Redbridge – an area
referred to below as North East London.
We contacted them posing as a single mother with one child working part-time and claiming housing
benefit. We looked for a home that would accommodate them adequately (a home with two or more
bedrooms) that they could afford on housing benefit.
Our investigation showed how hard it is for low income families to find somewhere to live. After
searching every week for one month we identified one suitable property in London and two in Luton.
Neither were still available when we enquired with the agent.
We repeated this exercise in Manchester and identified twenty suitable properties. Five were still
available but three were not prepared to take someone using housing benefit. The two remaining options
required payment of more than £1,600 in deposits, rent upfront, and fees, and also requested a guarantor
who was a British citizen, earning at least £14,700 per year and in full time employment, a high bar for a
family on a low income.
The Green Book Report
69
Section two What causes homelessness?
Approaching the council for help
The final part of becoming recognised and recorded as homeless is to
approach the council. We asked people how they knew to approach the
council for help, what kind of help they were seeking and why they were still
not able to avoid becoming homeless at this late stage.
The Green Book Report
70
Section two What causes homelessness?
Approaching the council for help
People approached the council for help after being directed there by family,
by their landlord or because they were aware that the council provided help
with housing from previously accessing their services to register for social
housing or claim housing benefits.
What sort of help were people looking for?
In the main people went to the council for help to rent a home from the council
or a housing association, but some people said they went for help to access
the private rented sector. Five people explicitly said that they approached
the council to see if they could receive additional support to rent something
privately. One person specified that they approached their council as their
landlord told them the council could help them with a deposit for a new home.
Very few people knew anything about the support that was available and
any rights to support they had. As people approached the council looking for
assistance finding a new home, rather than to get a particular decision about
their homelessness, they often said they found the council’s instructions
surprising. A common experience was to be directed to the council by an
eviction letter, only to be told that there was nothing they could do to help,
until they had been forcefully removed by the bailiffs. Being instructed to wait
for the bailiff seemed like a strange instruction when there was a pressing
need.
“ They said: no one will help you until you’ve been physically evicted. Wait for the bailiffs. You won’t get any help till the bailiffs have come.
What impact did this have on people?
Some people received advice and support to try and prevent them becoming
homeless. this was welcome, if ultimately unsuccessful this time. In some
cases, had upfront advice and support been offered this might have helped
people more than having to wait longer for more substantial support later.
Sometimes the process threw people’s lives into chaos. An example of this
was when one person went to the council to find out if it was legal for their
landlord to put up their rent. They were advised, then directed, by the council
to instruct the landlord to issue eviction papers. This ensured that the council
took a homelessness application from them, but tipped a family into the
complexities of the statutory system when it might have been possible – and
simpler – for the council to help them enter into an agreement with their
landlord.
The Green Book Report
71
Section two What causes homelessness?
Didn’t receive the help they expected
One woman described being advised to approach the council as they might
be able to give her some help. She was unnerved to find that her visit resulted
in her being placed in a hostel:
“ The landlord said, I’ll give you a letter, go to the council they might be able to give you some money for a deposit or like bond or something. I went along and I explained, how he was kicking me out. They told me to wait to be removed so I came back and they sent me here (hostel two hours outside London).
When people were initially turned away by the council or discouraged from
seeking immediate help, it meant that people were in a state of acute need
when they later returned. This left very limited time to find appropriate help
for them.
Felt that there were limited actions that the council could take
Some councils did try to help people earlier. And obviously the people in our
sample were people for whom, at least the final time, prevention was not
successful. Prevention included trying to negotiate with the landlord to let
people stay longer or provide lists of landlords for them to try. This assistance
was helpful and positively received.
However the actions that were or could be taken (in these cases) were
limited. People didn’t feel they were offered much more than they were finding
themselves. The barriers they were coming up against were the same, even
with council help. For example, people provided with a list of landlords to
call found that none would accommodate them. We know that councils are
doing a lot to assist people. These experiences show how difficult it is for the
council to act
Were discouraged from meaningful action
People who were told that they couldn’t be helped until they were evicted
found this advice confusing. In some cases it led to people possibly not
helping themselves:
“ When I got the letter for the eviction I went straight to my local authority and I asked them. I showed them the papers and everything... The letter came in February with the eviction date the beginning of April. I went to the council and they said there’s nothing we can do until the day of the eviction. At that point, I went back and started packing. I just presumed I would have been helped.
The Green Book Report
72
Section two What causes homelessness?
Actions were led by fears of losing children into care
People were also discouraged out of fear that they would do the wrong thing
and end up destitute. In particular, something that dominated decision-
making at this point was the overwhelming fear that homelessness would
lead to children being taken into care. The idea of homelessness, no matter
how daunting, was only a fraction as terrifying as the thought of their children
being taken away from them. Having to seek help for this from the authorities,
often at the same place as the office where social services are based, was
a frightening event. This fear was also borne out of, and compounded by,
councils regularly telling people that they may not have a duty to house them,
just their children.
People were worried that if they didn’t do exactly what the council
said they wouldn’t just be left with nothing, they would lose their children
too. People were very keen to be seen to follow instructions and be seen to
cooperate. People were afraid to challenge decisions. And it could also mean
that people were afraid to help themselves.
“ I approached the council and they said don’t leave stay there or you will be found intentionally homeless and we won’t help you. And of course for me it was scary because I didn’t know if I should just stay put. I was trying to protect my children.
“ I was really shy and timid and embarrassed about things. But also, I think my biggest fear from the beginning was like just the whole system. Like all I was worried about was my baby being taken off me. Like I just thought that if I told anyone I was homeless in the street then they’ll…that’s it.
The Green Book Report
73
Section two What causes homelessness?
In conclusion
In conclusion, it appears that people made homeless due to problems with
their housing are undercounted in the homelessness statistics. Our interviews
emphasise the extent to which it is not just the trigger of losing a home that
leads to homelessness, it is the inability to access a new home. Therefore, in
order to understand the causes of homelessness, it is critical to understand
the barriers that people face accessing a new home. Our interviews with
homeless people, and our attempts to find a home to rent in three areas of
England show that people on low incomes and people in need of housing
benefit have very few options available to them to do this. Many people seek
support from family and friends before they go to the council. The support
provided by the council is highly valued by people worried that they are
facing destitution. However, there is evidence that some actions designed
to encourage people to help themselves can actually frustrate people trying
to do this. The antagonistic experience of seeking help could be preventing
people from coming forward. These experiences are particularly important to
consider during a period when homelessness support is under review.
The Green Book Report
74
Section two What causes homelessness?
What is causing homelessness to rise?
The early 2000s saw a sustained and steep decline in the number of
homelessness acceptances across England. This was followed by a total
reversal of this trend in 2010. Almost all of this rise is due to the growth in the
numbers of people made homeless due to the end of their assured shorthold
tenancy (AST). On first glance, it would appear that something seismic must
have happened to explain this.
Building on our research to examine how housing and homelessness
has changed over time, we now look at what this can tell us about what
causes homelessness. We looked at what happened in 2009, what changes
were building, but not breaking before this, and what has happened to make
the ending of a tenancy in the private rented sector become the principal
route into homelessness. In order to look at this in detail, we looked across
the homelessness system itself, the labour market, the housing market and
the welfare system to identify what changes have been made, and what may
have contributed to the rising levels of homelessness we are now facing.
Context
The first part of the noughties were characterised by high and rising house
prices, high and stable migration and a benign period of high and stable
economic growth. The Global Financial Crisis of 2007/08 shocked economies
across the world. In the UK, it led to the deepest recession since the 1930s.
At first glance, it looks likely that many factors linked to homelessness
could have been caused by this, and the ripples it set off in the labour and
housing markets. We explore these below. It also came after changes to
the homeless safety net itself. This was also a time of government spending
reductions, particularly within the welfare budget, and specifically on
housing benefit for private renters45. Of course, while one or two changes
can trigger a structural break, the context in which this break happens can
be established long before.
The Green Book Report
75
Section two What causes homelessness?
Policy changes
As established earlier in the report, homelessness dropped from 2003 to
2009. The steep drop off in homelessness acceptances came immediately
following the introduction of homelessness prevention services through
The Homelessness Act 2002. It appears that this was the biggest singular
reason for the decline in recorded homelessness over subsequent years.
Modelling by Bramley et al. (2010) estimates that prevention activities alone
reduced homelessness acceptances by 48%46. We don’t have data on these
prevention activities before 2009. These activities may have been made
harder by cuts to local authority budgets. However, prevention was still in
place at this time, and that the use of prevention measures was actually
increasing across England.
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
All help provided to house households Help provided to house other households Help provided to house households that are homeless and in priority need
2015201420132012201120102009
Other households data missing from 'all help provided'
200820072006200520042003200220012000
Help provided by local authorities to house households facing homelessness
Statutory homelessness acceptances increased after 2009, despite some
households in need being helped via prevention policies which were firmly in
place. This suggests that it was something other than changes in policy and
practice that explain this change.
The Green Book Report
76
Section two What causes homelessness?
Changes in the labour market
We might expect unemployment to lead to rises in the number of households
struggling with housing costs. This appeared to be the case in the eighties.
And following the Financial Crisis, the increase in homelessness acceptances
followed a sharp rise in unemployment. Unemployment rose by one million
between 2009 and 2011. This happened alongside an increase in annual
homelessness acceptances of almost 7,000 households47. Regions that saw
the largest percentage increases in unemployment from 2008 to 2009 (the
West Midlands and Yorkshire) were also two of the four regions of England that
saw homelessness acceptances rise by over 20% between 2009 and 2010.
Unemployment and homelessness have never had a clear relationship.
And this has never been more so than in the last five years. Increasing
unemployment might have contributed to an increase in homelessness
following 2009. But it is difficult to argue that it has directly helped to sustain
the growth in homeless acceptances seen in the last five years. From 2011
onwards, unemployment steadily declined, falling below 5% in 2016, while
homeless acceptances have continued to grow. In fact unemployment is
lowest in some of the areas where homelessness is highest. This also fits
with the fact that many people made homeless are in work.
Other labour market changes have occurred during this period.
Following 2011 the numbers of self-employed people grew more than twice
as fast as the number of people in employment overall. It is difficult to know
if this has had a direct impact but the increase in part-time work and self-
employment could make more households less secure48,49. However, both
part-time work and self-employment also increased from the turn of the
century until the Global Financial Crisis, a period during which the levels of
homelessness within England dropped substantially. While there is economic
logic to the argument that changes within the labour market could affect
households’ ability to house themselves, it seems that something else may
also be responsible for the structural break seen around 2010.
The Green Book Report
77
Section two What causes homelessness?
Changes in the housing market
Instead, we look to the housing market to understand what could have
influenced levels of homelessness in the last seven years.
Changes in the private rented sector
The growth of the private rented sector
One factor that could explain rises in homelessness is the growth of the
private rented sector. The private rented sector has grown steadily since the
1980s. As the main trigger of homelessness is the ending of a private tenancy,
levels of homelessness clearly relate to the size of the private rented sector.
Increases in homelessness acceptances following 2009 cannot be fully
explained by the growth in private renting. The rise in private renting pre-
dated 2010 by decades and didn’t always lead to rises in homelessness50.
In addition, the increase in people becoming homeless due to the ending
of a private rented tenancy over the last seven years (136%) is much
greater than the rise in the number of renters (40%)51. Despite seeing
the biggest increase in figures showing the end of an AST as a trigger of
homelessness, the private rented sector in London actually grew at a slower
rate than across the rest of the country. Something else is also feeding the
rise in homelessness we are seeing.
Changes in the kinds of households renting from a private landlord
Some of this could be explained by changes in who is living in a home rented
by a private landlord, as well as the overall number of households. In the last
decade, there has been increases in the number of private renters who are on
low-to middle income52 or who are families with dependent children53. These
households may be more vulnerable to changes in income or would find it
harder to find somewhere else to live if their tenancy ends. This changing
composition appears to be a part of the story.
Rents rising faster than working people can keep up
The private rented sector is also becoming a less affordable place to live. Five
years ago, rents and earnings across England increased at a similar rate54.
From 2011 they started to diverge. This has been even more pronounced in
London (see figure X and Y).
The Green Book Report
78
Section two What causes homelessness?
80
100
120
England – Mean Earnings England – Rents
2016201520142013201220112010200920082007
Index of England Rents v Mean Earnings
90
120
150
London - Mean Earnings London - Rents
2016201520142013201220112010200920082007
Index of London Rents v Mean Earnings
Rents have not raced away from earnings across all of the country however.
Perhaps tellingly, the areas where homelessness caused by the end of an
AST have increased the least, the North East and North West, saw the
opposite pattern. In the North East earnings grew by 10% between 2011 and
2016, while rents grew by 3%. In the North West, earnings grew by 8%,
outstripping rental growth of 4%.
The Green Book Report
79
Section two What causes homelessness?
The wider housing market: More demand for rented homes, but even less supply
What happens in the private rented sector is also influenced by the wider
housing market. A number of issues have arisen that could have explain the
increase in homelessness.
High house prices creating more demand for rented homes.
High house prices have reduced the number of households that are able to
buy a home. These households are predominantly moving into the private
rented sector, increasing demand for rented housing. This has been happening
for years55. The number of homeowners buying with a mortgage started to
decline in 199656 but this is happening even more following the financial crisis
of 2008. Households affected by high house prices may themselves not be
predominantly at risk of becoming homeless. But their presence may affect
renters on lower incomes by increasing demand in the private rented sector.
Recent analysis from the Bank of England found that an inability for
people to borrow enough to access homeownership was the primary driver
of tenant demand for private rented housing between 2008 and 2013. They
explain over four fifths of demand for the private rented sector, far outstripping
demographic change, migration or reduced provision of social housing57,58.
In rental markets such as London and parts of the South-East, where
there are not enough homes to begin with, extra competition for homes leads
to someone missing out. As Rugg and Rhodes (2008) foretold in their study
of the private rented sector before this period, when this happens it is people
on low incomes or in need of benefits who lose out.
“ Landlords in (the housing benefit sub-market) may be more likely to look to leave this part of the market and serve other demand groups where they become available59.
A return to house price growth leading to incentives to landlords to sell
their homes
Despite a restriction in credit, a combination of policy intervention, historic
lack of housing supply, and the eventual return to economic growth have
resulted in a return to rapidly increasing house prices in several regions.
English house prices are now 21% above their late 2007 peak, with London
and the South East particularly affected60.
As well as making things harder for first-time buyers and increasing
demand in the private rented sector, increasing prices could induce landlords
to evict tenants to bank increases in the capital value of their properties.
The English Housing Survey picks up that this is happening to around
100,000 tenants a year61. This is consistent with new analysis, which
shows that the number of no-fault tenant evictions fell when house prices
The Green Book Report
80
Section two What causes homelessness?
fell62, but rose once house prices started rising again63. This evidence tallies
with what we learned from families made homeless. Many reported that their
landlord told them they wanted to evict them so they could sell in order to
gain from the capital value uplift of their properties.
It is unclear to what extent no-fault tenant evictions involve households
who are subsequently accepted as homeless. However, the number of
possession claims issued by landlords in a given area is very strongly positively
correlated with the number of homeless acceptances in a given area. The
evidence outlined above appears to suggest that house price increases, and
the incentives they provide, may have led to greater churn within the private
rented sector in recent years, which could lead to more households being put
at risk of homelessness.
Declining numbers of genuinely affordable homes
The back drop to all of this is the decline in the number of genuinely affordable
stable homes. After decades of large-scale social housebuilding between the
1950s and 1970s, the number of social homes in England went into reverse
in the 1980s. By 2009, there were 1.5 million fewer homes available for social
rent.64
The lack of social homes with low rents not linked to the market meant
that as structural pressure built in private rental markets following the Global
Financial Crisis, the ability of councils to resolve households’ homelessness
on a longer term basis was diminished. Far more people on low incomes
were at the whim of the market, rather than in a relatively stable tenure that is
less affected by the economic cycle65.
The Green Book Report
81
Section two What causes homelessness?
Changes to the safety net
Local Housing Allowance (LHA) is the main type of housing benefit provided
to people living in the private rented sector. This was introduced across
the country from 200866 and it sets a maximum on the amount that people
could claim based on average rents in a local area. It is unclear whether its
introduction initially impacted upon the reversal of homelessness acceptances.
But a House of Commons evaluation at the time did not highlight any adverse
effects67. In 2011, LHA was limited to the 30th percentile of rents in each
area and no longer uprated to match rents. At the time, academics at the
Cambridge Centre for Housing and Planning Research (CCHPR) warned that
tens of thousands of households would encounter severe difficulty in meeting
their rent payments.68
A key aim of introducing the new 2011 LHA rates was that the reductions
would result in lower rent levels being set by landlords. However, in the main
this did not occur. The DWP’s evaluation of the policy found that:
“ 89 per cent of the incidence of reduced LHA entitlements was on tenants and 11 per cent on landlords.69
The impact of the policy differed across the country. The DWP’s evaluation of
the policy found that, ‘in many areas outside London, the new LHA processes
had been incorporated into the wider PRS without too many problems’.70
Conversely, in London:
“ A greater proportion of landlords were seeking to reduce lets to LHA tenants, were planning to get out of the LHA sub-market altogether in the future, and over a quarter... said they had taken actions (non-renewal or cessation of a tenancy, or eviction) against tenants specifically because of the effects of the LHA reforms. Furthermore, 39 per cent of Inner London landlords said that since April 2011 there had been an increase in tenants moving because they could no longer afford the rent..71
Looking at the number of households made homeless due to the ending of an
AST across the country shows the impact of these changes. At the point
these changes were brought in (April 2011) there was an acceleration in
homelessness acceptances in areas particularly affected by the changes
straight away (predominantly London boroughs). In the eight quarters from
the first quarter of 2009 to the first quarter of 2011, the average quarter-on-
quarter increase in the ending of AST as a reason for the loss of settled
accommodation within London was 8%; in the eight quarters following the
The Green Book Report
82
Section two What causes homelessness?
introduction of the new rates, the quarter-on-quarter increase was 19%.
Cuts to LHA came slightly after the point at which the overall rate of
homelessness started to increase (2009/10). This suggests that other changes
were putting people at risk of homelessness before this change was made.
However, cutting housing benefit removed an important element that
was insulating households against the shocks to the housing market. It is likely
that changes to housing benefit led to the rapid increase in homelessness
caused, predominantly, by people evicted by a private landlord in London.
They also add to why London households have become more prominent both
within figures on the ending of an AST, and overall homeless acceptances
over the period. In the first quarter of 2009 London households made up 27%
of all homelessness acceptances triggered by the ending of an AST – by the
first quarter of 2016 they counted for 44%.
In conclusion
In conclusion, the reasons behind the reversal of the downward trend in
homelessness acceptances in 2009 seem to be dominated by problems
within our housing market that were further uncovered after the Global
Financial Crisis, and when the support that families could draw on to insulate
them from these issues was withdrawn in some areas.
The Green Book Report
83
Section two What causes homelessness?
Conclusion to section two
There is now a general consensus that becoming homeless is caused by
‘structural’ factors (like housing) creating the conditions within which
homelessness occurs, and then, ‘individual’ factors determining the likelihood
of becoming homeless in those conditions. Our analysis suggests that in
some areas of the country, structural factors are making more and more
groups vulnerable to homelessness. In areas where homelessness is high,
some private renters struggling with housing costs are on above average
incomes.
This study suggests that a person’s housing circumstances (rather
than their personal circumstances) is the root cause of homelessness for
the great majority of households made homeless. People made homeless
due to the ending of an AST were sometimes stretched before they were
made homeless but in the main, they were coping and settled before they
were evicted. Even people made homeless because family and friends were
unwilling or unable to accommodate them mainly had their homelessness
caused by housing issues prior to that. Often they also had to then leave
their temporary arrangement with family or friends due to housing issues too.
For example the family and/or friends had to move, or the homes people
were staying in were too small for the people already there or for the new
household to stay there long term.
Critically, our interviews emphasise the extent to which it is not just the
trigger of losing a home that leads to homelessness, it is the inability to access
a new home. Therefore, in order to understand the causes of homelessness, it
is critical to understand the barriers that people face accessing a new home.
The main barriers that people faced were related to not being able to find a
home that was affordable on a low income, or a landlord that would accept
housing benefit.
The support provided by the council can frustrate people trying to
help themselves. We found that families are ultimately focused on ensuring
they can stay together as a family, and this means that people will try to do
everything to follow instructions. After being told by the council that they
could not get help until they are physically evicted (by family or by a landlord)
and that if they leave before this they might void their entitlement to support,
some people interpreted this to mean that they would definitely get help
eventually. This made them averse to finding an alternative place to stay in
case they fell foul of the instructions they had been given. This could be
preventing people from coming forward for help and from seeking alternative
solutions. The influence that the threat of being found ‘intentionally homeless’
has on people’s actions is particularly important to consider during a period
when homelessness support is under review.
The reasons behind the reversal of the downward trend in homelessness
acceptances in 2009 are also housing related. The private sector is growing,
and also becoming home to more households who may be less resilient
The Green Book Report
84
Section two What causes homelessness?
to shocks. For the last five years, rents have grown faster than earnings in
London and the south of England. Following the shock to the UK economy
of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007/8, and the resultant unemployment
and credit constraints, the private rented sector has faced increased
demand. At the same time, the support that families can draw on to bridge
that gap has been falling away. The removal of support appears to have left
increasing numbers of households exposed, and unable to avoid tumbling
between the gaps.
The Green Book Report
85
Section two What causes homelessness?
Conclusion: Our housing crisis is causing homelessness, and we need radical action to address this
The Green Book Report
86
Section two What causes homelessness?
Shelter was founded in the midst of a housing crisis but our early successes
showed that governments, individuals and charities working together can
improving housing conditions and reduce homelessness.
50 years on we are facing a new housing crisis. Homelessness is again
rising, predominantly caused by the ending of a private tenancy and affecting
low income families and those facing disadvantage in the housing market72.
Homelessness is high and rising
Across England we estimate that at a minimum a quarter of a million people
are homeless today. In some areas homelessness is shockingly common.
In some areas, one in every fifty people are homeless. Progress in reducing
homelessness throughout the noughties has now been firmly reversed, and
councils are forced to respond by rehousing people close to the edge of
suitability. The recent increases in rough sleeping are intolerable.
Much homelessness occurs under the radar. Thousands of families are
relying on informal support and even with legislative protection, even children
can slip through the net and be forced to sleep rough.
Homeless is caused by our dysfunctional housing market
England’s dysfunctional housing market is driving up homelessness. Official
figures show that the single leading cause of homelessness is insecure private
rented housing. Our research shows that this understates the true impact of
housing pressures, with many people first relying on informal safety nets after
the market has let them down.
Our research shows that the housing market is an increasingly hostile
environment in which to find a home. People who have sustained a tenancy
without issue can become homeless only because they are unable to find
a new home they can afford when forced to move. Barriers include high
rents, landlord and letting agent aversion to housing benefit, deposits, rent in
advance and use of guarantors.
Unsurprisingly homelessness is rising most in areas where housing is
expensive. And as housing costs rise, families on average, and even above
average, incomes find themselves exposed to the risk of homelessness.
Dysfunction has been decades in the making
Short-term pressures have undoubtedly come in the form of cuts to housing
benefit and rising rents in the wake of the financial downturn.
But many of the structural causes were decades in the making. Supply
of affordable homes has reduced since the 1970s. Successive governments
failed to build sufficient homes to meet demand, particularly low cost
alternatives to guard against rising housing costs.
This has meant more and more low income families are reliant on
expensive private renting. Pressure for private rents has been exacerbated
by a growing number of young households priced out of homeownership.
With rents rising, more households have become reliant on housing benefit,
The Green Book Report
87
Section two What causes homelessness?
even when in work.
For years housing benefit acted as a lynch pin holding the market
together. Indeed, the supply of affordable housing was reduced with the
explicit assumption that housing benefit would take the strain of housing
families. But housing benefit cuts in 2011 quickly led to a rise in homelessness.
This has been most pronounced in London, where the deepest cuts were
matched by soaring homelessness.
The safety net at breaking point
England has strong legislative protection for homeless families and vulnerable
adults. This means that the pressures of rising homelessness are also felt by
councils, who have a duty to rehouse groups in priority need. Councils in
London, the South East, and in major cities across the country are finding it
much harder to help homeless families. In response they are forced to move
people out of their area, away from support networks, or into poorer quality
accommodation. The slums have gone, but homeless people are living in
ways comparable to the worst housing in the sixties.
In turn, councils are seen as a last resort by people due to a fear of being
humiliated, judged, and turned away. Households instead rely on informal
networks of support, which could fail to provide long-term solutions, or worse
leave them vulnerable to having to rely on ex-partners or exploitative contacts.
What will happen in the future?
We expect homelessness to continue to rise and the pressures seen in London
to spread across the rest of the country. Recent rises in homelessness are the
result of long-term pressures from policy decisions and the wider environment,
exacerbated by short-term changes. Our homelessness crisis stems from a
lack of genuinely affordable, accessible options. This is putting pressure on
council homelessness services and limiting their ability to rehouse people.
The drivers of homelessness are expected to worsen. There is currently
no comprehensive programme to increase the supply of genuinely affordable
homes. Moreover, councils are still expected to sell off higher value council
homes to fund the extension of right to buy to housing associations, two
policies that combined will further deplete stock. Alongside this, the size of the
private rented sector is predicted to grow further over the next two decades73.
Cuts to housing benefit will continue to exacerbate affordability
pressures. Local Housing Allowance is frozen until 2020. This will worsen
affordability across the country. By 2020 families in four-fifths of the country
could see a gap between the support they need to pay their rent and the
maximum support they can get. The lower overall benefit cap will also
reduce affordability for families unable to work. Areas in the South East that
are already reeling from high house prices and extra pressure from families
looking to move out of London may see families particularly struggle to cope.
The Green Book Report
88
Section two What causes homelessness?
Legislating for reduced homelessness?
The legal protections for homeless households are largely the same today
as they were after 1977. This is about to change with the Homelessness
Reduction Bill. But will this meet its aim of reducing homelessness?
The bill is laudable in its aims to shift the focus to prevention and
improve support for non-priority need single people. But by itself it is not a
sufficient response to the pressures facing homeless households.
The rise in statutory homelessness indicates that councils’ ability to
prevent and relieve homelessness is running out of road, as the progress
made by housing options in the noughties goes into reverse. The number
of successful prevention actions has been falling, and they have reduced
furthest in areas of high housing pressure such as London. Many local
authorities appear to be struggling to use the powers they already have.
Without access to genuinely affordable, stable options councils will struggle
to assist households.
The Green Book Report
89
Section two What causes homelessness?
What is needed?
Homelessness is not inevitable – it can and should be prevented. But
growing housing market unaffordability, the reduction in social rented homes,
restrictions to housing benefit, and cuts to housing support have undermined
local attempts to prevent homelessness.
Make prevention work
Genuine prevention would begin to work with families as soon as it became
apparent that they could lose their home. Sadly, insecure expensive private
housing options are the norm for an increasing number of families. Local
authority assistance has to be ready to work with households to navigate
an increasingly hostile and precarious market. The culture within local
authorities has to change, working with families collaboratively rather
than viewing them as demands on a finite resource.
Make prevention possible
Without an increase in the availability of suitable housing in the areas where
homelessness is most prevalent, changes to legislation may have little overall
impact. In order to tackle homelessness we must address the housing issues
at the heart of the problem.
There is an urgent need to increase supply of homes of all tenures.
This will ease pressure on the overheated private rented sector. But most
importantly these must be homes people can afford; we estimate half
must be affordable, including intermediate products like shared ownership.
Most importantly, the Government must commit to supporting low rent
homes, delivered by either councils or housing associations, to ensure that
households on low to average incomes can afford to house themselves. And
at a time of such acute shortage the Government must reconsider plans to
sell off the genuinely affordable homes the country does have.
Affordability can also be improved via housing benefit. The freeze to LHA
is untenable and the Government must take action now to ensure support
reflects actual rents. London demonstrates the consequences of drifting too
far from the market in an experiment that will have costly consequences if
replicated across the country.
Instability in the private rented sector is a leading cause of homelessness
and the time has come to modernize the tenure. The legal frameworks are
ill-matched to the demographics of today’s private renters. Families must
be able to access stable rental contracts, giving them security of tenure for
five years and protection against unaffordable rent increases. This would
dramatically improve stability in the private rented sector and recognise the
needs of the growing number of renting families.
The Green Book Report
90
Endnotes1 Fitzpatrick, S., 2005, ‘Explaining homelessness: a critical realist perspective’ Housing,
Theory and Society, vol. 22, no. 1 10.1080/14036090510034563
2 This methodology is derived from a range of similar studies including: Makiwane, M., Tamasane, T., and Schneider, M., 2010, ‘Homeless individuals, families and communities: The societal origins of homelessness’, Development Southern Africa, vol. 27, no. 1.
Morrell-Bellai T, Goering P & Boydell K 2000 ‘Becoming and remaining homeless: a qualitative investigation’, Issues in Mental Health Nursing, vol 21, no 6, 581
3 We uncovered this figure through requests for data from all relevant local authorities in England under the Freedom of Information Act.
4 DCLG, Statutory homelessness and prevention and relief live tables: April to June 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-homelessness
5 Ibid.; See also University of Oxford Centre on Migration Policy and Society, 2015, Safeguarding from destitution: Local authority responses to families with ‘no recourse to public funds’ https://www.compas.ox.ac.uk/media/PR-2015-No_Recourse_Public_Funds_LAs.pdf
6 Homeless Link, 2015, Support for single homeless people in England: Annual Review 2015, http://www.homeless.org.uk/sites/default/files/site-attachments/Full%20report%20-%20Single%20homelessness%20support%20in%20England%202015.pdf
7 DCLG, Rough sleeping in England: Autumn 2015 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/homelessness-statistics#rough-sleeping
8 DCLG, Detailed local authority level homelessness figures: April to June 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-homelessness
9 Hackney Community Law Centre, 2015 A Place to Call Home http://www.hclc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/A-Place-To-Call-Home-Electronic-Report1.pdf
10 This is anticipated to be much more common than more visible forms of rough sleeping. For example, a survey of people accessing day centres for homeless people found that two thirds were living like this (Centre for Regional Economic and Social Research, 2011, The hidden truth about homelessness: Experiences of single homelessness in England http://www.crisis.org.uk/data/files/publications/HiddenTruthAboutHomelessness_web.pdf)
11 DCLG, Rough sleeping in England: Autumn 2015 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/homelessness-statistics#rough-sleeping
12 Fitzpatrick. S., Pawson, H., Bramley, G., Wilcox., S and Watts, B., 2015, The homelessness monitor: England: 2015 http://www.crisis.org.uk/data/files/publications/Homelessness_Monitor_England_2015_final_web.pdf; It was estimated that there are 2.35 million concealed households ‘additional family/single units’ of which 273,000 were couples or lone parents. This calculation uses the English Housing Survey (EHS), Understanding Society Survey (USS) and the Labour Force Survey (LFS).
13 IPPR North, 2014 Not Home: The lives of hidden homeless households in unsupported temporary accommodation in England http://www.ippr.org/files/publications/pdf/not-home_Dec2014.pdf?noredirect=1
The Green Book Report
91
14 New Policy Institute, 2014 Monitoring poverty and social exclusion https://www.jrf.org.uk/report/monitoring-poverty-and-social-exclusion-2004
15 This is based on data that is no longer collected. New Philanthropy Capital, 2008, Lost Property: Tackling homelessness in the UK – a guide for donors and users http://www.thinknpc.org/publications/lostproperty/lost-property-full/?post-parent=4979; DCLG, Estimated total number of houses in multiple occupation in area https://data.gov.uk/dataset/estimated-total-number-of-houses-in-multiple-occupation-in-area
16 DCLG, Statutory homelessness and prevention and relief live tables: April to June 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-homelessness
17 Ibid.
18 Greater London Authority, Rough sleeping in London (CHAIN reports) https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/chain-reports/resource/ffb9d285-ce68-4a93-bce8-f6f58e1d4f47; Rough sleeping in London (CHAIN reports) https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/chain-reports/resource/176b07d9-f512-4d64-9126-90dfc702fdc4
19 Fitzpatrick. S., Pawson, H., Bramley, G., Wilcox., S and Watts, B., 2015, The homelessness monitor: England: 2015 http://www.crisis.org.uk/data/files/publications/Homelessness_Monitor_England_2015_final_web.pdf; DCLG, Detailed local authority level homelessness figures: April to June 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-homelessness
20 YouGov (2016) survey of 8,325 people in England. Including 2,500 families. All data is weighted for the wider population.
21 Ibid.
22 Ibid.
23 Fitzpatrick, S., 2005, ‘Explaining homelessness: a critical realist perspective’ Housing, Theory and Society, vol. 22, no. 1 10.1080/14036090510034563
24 Byrne, T., Munley, E.A., Fargo, J.D., Montgomery, A.E., and Culhane, D.P., ‘New perspectives on community-level determinants of homelessness’ Journal of Urban Affairs vol. 35 no. 5. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9906.2012.00643.x/abstract
25 Fitzpatrick, S., 2005, ‘Explaining homelessness: a critical realist perspective’ Housing, Theory and Society, vol. 22, no. 1 10.1080/14036090510034563
26 Analysis was conducted using a Pearson Product Moment Correlation. All results given are statistically significant (p<0.05) unless otherwise stated.
27 Measured by the number of households found to be homeless and in priority need in a local authority.
28 DCLG, English Indices of Deprivation 2015 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/english-indices-of-deprivation-2015
29 Ibid.
30 YouGov (2016) survey of 8,325 people in England. Including 2,500 families. All data is weighted for the wider population.
31 DWP, Households below Average Income https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/households-below-average-income-19941995-to-20132014 41 per cent of single parent families live below the poverty line. This compares to 24 per cent of couple families.
32 ONS, Families in the Labour Market 2014 http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20160105160709/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171776_388440.pdf)
The Green Book Report
92
Single parent families are more likely to have no parent in work because there are fewer adults in these families to balance the requirement for earning income and providing childcare.
33 Centre for the Analysis of Social Exclusion, 2014, Were we really all in it together? The distributional effects of the UK Coalition government’s tax-benefit policy changes http://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/dps/case/spcc/WP10.pdf; Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2015 The effect of the coalition’s tax and benefit changes on household incomes and work incentives http://www.ifs.org.uk/uploads/publications/bns/BN159.pdf
34 DWP, 2016, Benefit cap: number of households capped to February 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/benefit-cap-number-of-households-capped-to-february-2016 Two thirds (66%) of households currently hit by the benefit cap are single parent families.
35 Comres (2014) survey of 2,011 young people aged between 16 and 25 in the UK Data were weighted to be representative of all young people in the UK aged between 16 and 25 by age, gender and region. http://www.comresglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Centrepoint___Hidden_Homelessness_Poll.pdf; Respondents were asked Thinking about ‘sofa surfing’ (where individuals stay with friends or members of their extended family on their floor or sofa as they have nowhere else to go), do you have any personal experience of doing this? 21% had done this in the last year. 35% had done this at some point and 41% had known a friend or family member, aged between 16-25 who had done this in the last year.
36 Human City Institute, 2016, Forty Years of Struggle: A Window on Race and Housing, Disadvantage and Exclusion https://bmenational.files.wordpress.com/2016/10/forty-years-of-struggle-a-window-on-race-and-housing-disadvantage-and-exclusion1.pdf
37 DCLG, Detailed local authority level homelessness figures: April to June 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-homelessness
38 DWP Stat-Xplore https://stat-xplore.dwp.gov.uk/; Freedom of Information Requests.
39 Johnson, G., and Chamberlain, C., 2008, ‘Homelessness and Substance Abuse: Which Comes First?’, Australian Social Work, vol. 61 no.4, 342-356. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/233885377_Homelessness_and_Substance_Abuse_Which_Comes_First
40 Menke, E. M., and Wagner, J. D., ‘The health of homeless mothers and their children’ in S. L. Feetham, S. B. Meister, J. M. Bell, & C. L. Gilliss (eds.), 1993, The nursing of families: Theory, research, education, practice Newbury Park, CA:Sage. Menke and Wagner identified lack of social support systems as a key factor that separates those families who remain housed despite serious poverty from those who become homeless.
41 The analysis presented supports the notion that private renters in London, are more at risk of homelessness. We used a method developed by Bramley et al. (Bramley, G., 2012. ‘Affordability, poverty and housing need: triangulating measures and standards’ Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, vol. 27 no.2, pp.133-151. DOI: 10.1007/s10901-011-9255-4 ) in order to explore why London has a greater proportion of households whose personal situation means that they are more vulnerable. For example, a greater number were unable to work due to poor health. Another is that the high cost of housing in London is making people that work struggle more; DWP, Family Resources Survey https://discover.ukdataservice.ac.uk/series/?sn=200017
42 DCLG, Statutory homelessness and prevention and relief live tables: April to June 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-homelessness
43 Fitzpatrick, S., 2005, ‘Explaining homelessness: a critical realist perspective’ Housing, Theory and Society, vol. 22, no. 1 10.1080/14036090510034563
The Green Book Report
93
44 The other two cases were younger, had never previously left home and were made homeless after disagreements with their parents.
45 DWP, 2012, Housing Benefit: Size Criteria for People Renting in the Social Rented Sector https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/220154/eia-social-sector-housing-under-occupation-wr2011.pdf The introduction of the ‘Under Occupancy Penalty’ or ‘bedroom tax’ reduced the support received by 660,000 social renters.
46 Bramley G., Pawson H., White M., Watkins D. and Pleace N., 2010, Estimating Housing Demand https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/estimating-housing-need
47 ONS, Labour Force Survey https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment/timeseries/mgsc/unem
48 ONS, Contracts that do not guarantee a minimum number of hours: March 2016 https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/articles/contractsthatdonotguaranteeaminimumnumberofhours/march2016
49 Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2015, Green Budget https://www.ifs.org.uk/uploads/gb/gb2015/ch2_gb2015.pdf
50 ONS, English Housing Survey 2014/15 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-housing-survey The number of private renters grew by 58.0% between 2003/4 and 2008/9. Over the same period, homelessness acceptances and in particular, the proportion triggered by the ending of an AST, fell substantially.
51 ONS English Housing Survey 2014/15 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-housing-survey The number of private renters grew by 39.5% between 2008/09 and 2014/15.
52 Centre on Household and Savings Management, 2013, Some key trends in the private rented sector in England: Analysis of Census http://www.birmingham.ac.uk/Documents/college-social-sciences/social-policy/CHASM/briefing-papers/2013/trends-private-rented-sector.pdf; Resolution Foundation, 2016, Hanging on: the stresses and strains of Britain’s ‘just managing’ families http://www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications/hanging-on-the-stresses-and-strains-of-britains-just-managing-families/
53 ONS, English Housing Survey 2014/15 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-housing-survey
54 Index constructed using ONS Index of Private Housing Rental Prices in Great Britain http://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/indexofprivatehousingrentalprices/previousReleases Value in 2009 = 100.
55 Bank Underground, 2016, ‘The ballad of the landlord and the loan’ https://bankunderground.co.uk/2016/07/15/the-ballad-of-the-landlord-and-the-loan/
56 ONS, English Housing Survey 2014/15 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-housing-survey
57 Financial Times, 16th January 2006 ‘Self-Certification Mortgages’ https://www.ft.com/content/d8d988e4-4c8f-11da-89df-0000779e2340
58 Financial Standards Authority, Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) statistics http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20140110164234/http://www.fsa.gov.uk/library/other_publications/statistics/future
59 Rugg, J., and Rhodes, D., 2008, The private rented sector: its contribution and potential https://www.york.ac.uk/media/chp/documents/2008/prsreviewweb.pdf
60 ONS, House Price Index: August 2016 http://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/
The Green Book Report
94
inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/housepriceindex/aug2016
61 ONS, English Housing Survey 2012/13 and 2013/14 https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/english-housing-survey
62 Generation Rent, 2016, Causes and Consequences of Eviction in Britain https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/npto/pages/4322/attachments/original/1477662310/Evictions_report_David_Adler.pdf?1477662310
63 Ministry of Justice, Mortgage and Landlord possession statistics: July to September 2016 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/mortgage-and-landlord-possession-statistics-july-to-september-2016
64 ONS, England population mid-year estimates https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/timeseries/enpop/pop
65 Local Authority and Housing Act, 1989, Parts IV–VI http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1989/42/contents
66 House of Commons Library, 2013, The reform of Housing Benefit (Local Housing Allowance) for tenants in private rented housing http://researchbriefings.parliament.uk/ResearchBriefing/Summary/SN04957
67 Ibid.
68 Cambridge Centre for Housing and Planning Research, 2010, How will changes to Local Housing Allowance affect low-income tenants in private rented housing? http://england.shelter.org.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0016/290041/CCHPR_final_for_web_2.pdf
69 DWP, 2014, Monitoring the impact of recent measures affecting Housing Benefit and Local Housing Allowances in the private rented sector: The response of landlords https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/329901/rr870-lha-impact-of-measures-affecting-private-rented-sector-response-of-landlords.pdf
70 Ibid.
71 Ibid.
72 Greve, J., Page, D., and Greve, S., 1971, Homelessness in London Edinburgh: Scottish Academic Press
73 Intermediate Mortgage Lenders Association, 2014, Reshaping housing tenure in the UK: the role of buy-to-let http://www.imla.org.uk/perch/resources/imla-reshaping-housing-tenure-in-the-uk-the-role-of-buy-to-let-may-2014.pdf
The Green Book Report
95
Registered charity in England and Wales (263710)
and in Scotland (SC002327). OBR-907