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2. The economic context of GreenChallenges and Opportunities for
Transition
Sherman Indhul
6 September 2011
3. Bill McKibben
Source: http://www.350.org
4. 392 (July 2011)
350 (May 2006)
316 (March 1958)
270 (800,000years)
Adapted from source:
http://co2now.org/Current-CO2/CO2-Now/Current-Data-for-Atmospheric-CO2.html
5. A guiding principle for the transition to a Green Economy is the
reduction of CO2 emissions.
Adapted from source:
http://co2now.org/Current-CO2/CO2-Now/Current-Data-for-Atmospheric-CO2.html
6.
C = V + D + P + CNS
10. The Journey
350ppm
13. The Journey
290ppm
the spring of technology
Source:
http://www.telovation.com/articles/original-plans-eiffel-tower.html
16. Earthrise | Tipping Point 1968
323ppm
Source:
http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/imagegallery/image_feature_102.html
17. "polycrisis" refers to a multiple, mutually-reinforcing set of
nested crises.
Adapted from source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainability
18. Innovation
Capital efficiency
Total Shareholder Return
Job Creation
Local Economic Impact
Business Ethics
Resource Efficiency
Life-Cycle Management
Product to Service
Human Rights
IndigenousCommunities
Biodiversity
Zero Waste
Emission Reduction
Global Climate Change
Environmental Legislation
Adapted from source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainability
19. The Journey
UNEP defines a green economy as one that results in
improvedhuman well-being and social equity, while significantly
reducing environmental risks and ecological scarcities (UNEP
2010).
22. x1
x2
x3
x4
x5
The only way forward is based on decoupling resource usage and
economic growth
23. The Economy
Economic development based on accumulation of :
Physical Capital | Financial Capital | Human Capital
Public Policy | Public Investment
Capital misallocation to :
Climate | Biodiversity | Fuel | Food | Water | Global Financial
System
Capital allocation focused on :
Property | Fossil Fuel | Financial Assets
Social impact :
Job loses | Socio-economic insecurity | Disease | Social
instability
24. "polycrisis" refers to a multiple, mutually-reinforcing set of
nested crises.
Adapted from source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainability
25. 26. Private Sector
Finance and Investment | Skills
Public Sector
Redirect Public Investment | Polices and Investments | Mkt
Infrastructure and Mechanism | Public Procurement
The
Green
Economy
Capital
reallocation
Climate | Biodiversity | Fuel | Food | Water |
Global Financial System | Property | Fossil Fuel | Financial
Assets
27. Adapted from source:
http://earthtrends.wri.org/updates/node/346
28. The Journey
Legislative landscape
Concept of Carbon Taxation
National Integrated Waste Management Act in 2009 - 3R
framework
Renewable Energy Feed-In tariff
2007
2009
2010
2011
2012
National Climate Change Response Green Paper
Reducing GHG emissions: The Carbon Tax Option Discussion
Paper
Treasury request for business emissions
COP 17
31. Challenges
Energy & Carbon Intensive Growth
Tons of CO2 per capita
Adapted from source:
http://earthtrends.wri.org/updates/node/346
36. Water
Water prices in the sub-Saharan region are expected to rise as much
as 40% in the medium and long term (Muller, 2007).
Waste
Food security & agriculture
In urban areas, 70% of poor urban households reported conditions
of significant and severe food security
Critical limits to agricultural production are due to a shortage of
arable and high fertility land, current and projected climate
change effects on water, exacerbated by the fact that South Africa
is a dry country.
(NFCS-FB, 2007: McLachalan & Thorne, 2009) (Frayne et al,
2009).
42. Biodiversity and Green infrastructure
Species loss has been estimated to exhibit a decrease of almost 18%
BII (Biodiversity Intactness Index)
Biggs, Reyers & Scholes (2006).
46. "polycrisis" refers to a multiple, mutually-reinforcing set of
nested crises.
Adapted from source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainability
47. The way forward is focused on decoupling the relationship
between resource use and economic growth.
48.
Source: Global Footprint Network (2010), UNDP (2009)
52. 53. 54. 55. 56. Business Enterprise Development
GRI Reporting
Integrating recycling into operational processes
Infrastructure
Human Capital
Technology
Procurement
Shareholder Value
Societal Value
After Sales
Service
Marketing
Sales
Outbound
Logistics
Operations
Inbound
Logistics
Rehabilitation
Infrastructure Impact
Waste
57. 58. 59. 60. Innovation
Capital efficiency
Total Shareholder Return
Job Creation
Local Economic Impact
Business Ethics
Resource Efficiency
Life-Cycle Management
Product to Service
Human Rights
IndigenousCommunities
Biodiversity
Zero Waste
Emission Reduction
Global Climate Change
Environmental Legislation
Adapted from source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainability
61. A guiding principle for the transition to a Green Economy is
the reduction of CO2 emissions.
Adapted from source:
http://co2now.org/Current-CO2/CO2-Now/Current-Data-for-Atmospheric-CO2.html
62.
C = V + D + P + CNS
66. The way forward is focused on decoupling the relationship
between resource use and economic growth.
67. Thank you!
Sherman Indhul
MAC Consulting
Contact
8th Floor, The Mall Offices
Cradock Ave
Rosebank
0824445103
Phone: 011 5371800
Email: [email protected]
www.macgroup.co.za