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Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

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Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa Webinar hosted by EE Business Intelligence and EU Delegation to South Africa, 9 February 2021 Dr. Tobias Bischof-Niemz Head of Division: New Energy Solutions, ENERTRAG AG
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Page 1: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South AfricaWebinar hosted by EE Business Intelligence and EU Delegation to South Africa, 9 February 2021

Dr. Tobias Bischof-Niemz

Head of Division: New Energy Solutions, ENERTRAG AG

Page 2: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Dr Tobias Bischof-Niemz

Professional Background

• 2017 – today: Head of Division: New Energy Solutions at ENERTRAG and Director at ENERTRAG South Africa, leading market entry into new geographies; commercialising new business models around green hydrogen

• 2014 – 2017: Head of Energy Department at the South African Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, established and led the national integrated energy research centre with today 90 staff members

• 2012 – 2014: Chief Engineer at Eskom, developed South Africa’s energy master plan (IRP)

• 2007 – 2012: Senior Consultant at The Boston Consulting Group, Berlin and Frankfurt, developed strategies for European utilities and equipment manufacturers related to the energy transition

Education

• Master of Public Administration (MPA) on energy and renewables policies from Columbia University, New York

• Mechanical Engineering at Technical University of Darmstadt and UC Berkeley, Dr.-Ing. and Dipl.-Ing. degrees

Page 3: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

3

About ENERTRAG

Hydrogen as the Missing Link in the Energy System

Green Hydrogen: Beneficiation of South African Wind and Sun

Page 4: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

ENERTRAG is an Innovative Renewables Utility

4

Commercial 100% green hydrogen

production since 2011

ENERTRAG in 2020

• 1,600 MW renewables implemented

• €2 billion debt / equity raised

• 750 MW wind on balance sheet

• 6,000 MW renewables in Germany, France, ZA in remote control

• 2 TWh annual electricity production/sales

• €300 million revenues from electricity sales and project business

• >700 employees in Germany, France, Poland, ZA, Vietnam, Ghana

Page 5: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Operational: ENERTRAG‘s wind-hydrogen plant in Germany

Production: 50 t of green hydrogen p.a.

In operation since 2011

1 hour north of Berlin

6

Sod turning on 21 April 2009(with Chancellor Angela Merkel)

Electrolyser (0.5 MW)

Biogas plant

Enercon E-82

Hydrogen storage (1 t)

Gas-grid feed-in of H2

ENERTRAG’s Toyota Mirai and Hyundai Nexo (hydrogen fuel-cell electric), in day-to-day use

Page 6: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Cement plant in Germany: pilot plant under development

Cement plant emits > 1 million tons of CO2 per year (25% from biogenic origin)

Pilot plant to capture 1-2% of the CO2 to produce 5,000 t/a of fuels (closed CO2 loop) and chemicals (CO2 permanently trapped) – COD in 2024/25

Project submitted by ENERTRAG-led industry consortium for EU Green Deal funding

7

Biogenic CO2

Cycle 1Fuel-related

Emissions (25%)

SustainableAviation Fuel (25%)

Cycle 2Process-related Emissions (75%)

Biomass

CO2

Cement plant

CO22,000 t/a of green

hydrogen from20 MW electrolyser

Reverse water-gas shift + Fischer-

Tropsch Reactors

CO2

Clinker CO2

e.g. naphtha, leading to permanent capture of CO2

Chemicals (75%)

Regional green electricity

30 MW wind30 MW solar PV

Page 7: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

ENERTRAG in South Africa

Proudly South African team, highly skilled and motivated (http://enertrag.co.za/)

8

Offices in Gauteng and Cape Town

Ca. 20 permanent staff today, growing

> 2 GW pipeline of wind and solar PV

Innovation projects around hybrid wind/solar and hydrogen underdevelopment

Page 8: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

10

About ENERTRAG

Hydrogen as the Missing Link in the Energy System

Green Hydrogen: Beneficiation of South African Wind and Sun

Page 9: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Solar, Wind and Hydrogen = Future Energy System

Efficiency

Electricity Direct Use

BatteryGreen

Hydrogen

NH3

Green Ammonia

Green Kerosene

Path Efficiency

Carbon free

H2

CxHy

Primary Energy

Bulk (80-90%)

Energy Carrier

End-Use Sector

Carbon-neutral(depending on source of C)

H2Electro-lysers

8

Steel FertilizerIndustry

Heating

Transport

Total global hydrogen demand by 2050: 500-600 million t/a

Page 10: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Tradeable products alone require 320 Mt/a of green hydrogen globally

Green Ammonia

Sustainable Aviation Fuel

H2 + N2 = NH3

H2 + C = Kerosene

Fertiliser

Shipping Fuel

Aviation Fuel

Green Steel H2 + Fe2O3 = Fe + H2O Green Steel

Global demand: 400 million t/a H2 demand: 100 million t/a

Global demand: 170 million t/a H2 demand: 30 million t/a

Global demand: 500 million t/a H2 demand: 90 million t/a

Global demand: 2 000 million tons/a H2 demand: 100 million t/a

Page 11: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

17

About ENERTRAG

Hydrogen as the Missing Link in the Energy System

Green Hydrogen: Beneficiation of South African Wind and Sun

Page 12: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

€160 billion H2-based export potential for South Africa

Green Ammonia

Sustainable Aviation Fuel

H2 + N2 = NH3

H2 + C = Kerosene

Fertiliser

Shipping fuel

Aviation fuel

Global demand: 400 million tons/a (H2: 100)Value (green): 500 billion €/aSouth African market share: 10% 50 billion €/a export potential

Global demand: 170 million tons/a (H2: 30)Value (green): 80 billion €/aSouth African market share: 10% 8 billion €/a export potential

Global demand: 500 million tons/a (H2: 90)Value (green): 250 billion €/aSouth African market share: 10% 25 billion €/a export potential

Green Steel H2 + Fe2O3 = Fe + H2O Green steel

Global demand: 2 000 million tons/a (H2: 100)Value (green): 1 500 billion €/aSouth African market share: 5% 75 billion €/a export potential

Page 13: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

-100

-90

-80

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-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

SatMon

GW

ThuWedTue Fri Sun

Today: Actual load profile with simulated solar/wind supply

Electrical Load

Source: Eskom and CSIR data; ENERTRAG analysis

5 GW

5 GW

Solar PV

Residual Load

Wind

Page 14: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

-100

-90

-80

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-50

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-20

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0

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FriThuWed

GW

SatMon Tue Sun

IRP: Cost-optimised solar/wind mix for electrical load only

Electrical Load

50 GW

50 GW

Solar PV

Residual Load

Wind

Source: Eskom and CSIR data; ENERTRAG analysis

Curtailment

Page 15: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

-100

-90

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-50

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-20

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0

10

20

30

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Mon

GW

ThuTue Wed SatFri Sun

Additional renewable electricity produces hydrogen

Electrical Load

80 GW

100 GW

Wind

Solar PV

Residual Load

H2 Production(high load factorfor electrolyser)

Direct-ElectricityHeat Production

Curtailment

Ely: 45 GW

South African domesticelectricitydemand

Source: Eskom and CSIR data; ENERTRAG analysis

Page 16: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

-400

-350

-300

-250

-200

-150

-100

-50

0

50

SatMon

GW

ThuTue Wed Fri Sun

Beyond electricity: RSA as exporter of hydrogen-rich products

Electrical Load

300 GW

300 GW

H2 Production(high load factorfor electrolyser)

Direct-ElectricityHeat Production

Curtailment

Ely: 250 GW

South African domesticelectricity demand

Source: Eskom and CSIR data; ENERTRAG analysis

Page 17: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Green-H2-rich products requires > 0.5 million jobs in wind/solar alone

RSA electricity sector alone needs roughly 100 GW wind and 100 GW solar PV

That can increase to 300 GW each with green-hydrogen production and export of

• Green ammonia

• Green aviation fuel

• Green steel

Foundation for that export market and “beneficiationof South African wind/sun” can be laid now

Europe as offtaker?23

200

450

250

0

50

150

300

100

400

350

500

550

600

65013

20

49

20

23

Total windcapacity in GW

20

20

20

37

20

47

20

21

3

20

36

541

20

22

180

35

20

27

3

108

20

30

8

20

24

8

20

44

20

26

8

88

20

42

13

20

28

20

20

40

388

20

31

20

25

206

20

29

52

20

32

20

35

20

39

20

41

20

43

20

45

20

46

20

48

628

20

50

16

20

38

1236

128154

232

284310

336362

414

7

466492

515

564587

610

20

33

20

34

258

68

440

Potential capacity additions solar PV

Potential capacity additions wind

Wind/Solar PV• 300 GW + 300 GW by 2050• 12-14 GW of new wind and new solar PV p.a. in perpetuity

> 500 000 permanent jobs in wind/solar alone

25-30 million tons of green-hydrogen-based export

Page 18: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Renewables sector is an opportunity for RSA to re-industrialise

Speed of energy transition in RSA will not be driven by costs nor by technology: both boxes have long been ticked

Speed of energy transition will be driven by

1) our ability to address the structural change in the existing industrial regions and provide a meaningful future

2) our ability to re-industrialise on the back of a fully transformed renewables sector (goes beyond solar/wind)

Green Hydrogen (based on solar and wind) gives an opportunity to

• bring some of the benefits of the energy transition into the existing industrial regions (coal, cement, steel, old mining)

• create a competitive export article for South Africa re-industrialization

“Renewables sector” is broader than solar PV and wind electricity

25

Page 19: Green Hydrogen Export Opportunity for South Africa

Together „one energy ahead“!

26www.enertrag.com

Dr. Tobias Bischof-NiemzHead of Division: New Energy Solutions

ENERTRAG AGCell: +49 172 304 7749

[email protected]

Thank you for your attention! Questions?


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