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greenstreet berman
Using data to help save the lives of those most at risk from
fire
Greenstreet Berman Ltd, Michael Wright www.greenstreet.co.uk
[email protected] T: 020-3102-2117
Research, evaluation, consultancy
Dying for data - 30th April 2014
greenstreet berman
Who is most at risk?
Lone pensioners
45%
Lone adults28%
Pensioner couples
10%
Adults with child/ren
6%
Lone parent5%
Adults no children
6%
73% of fatal fire casualties lived alone
greenstreet berman Age
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0 to 10 11 to 19
20 to 29
30 to 39
40 to 49
50 to 59
60 to 69
70 to 79
80+
Age (years)
greenstreet berman
Disability
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
Disabled Not disabled
% of casualties who die
3 times more likely to die if
disabled
greenstreet berman
Drugs or alcohol, 14.3%
Immobility, 13.7%
Asleep, 11.3%
Trapped by fire etc, 10.6%
Fell onto fire, 6.4%
Injured discovering or fighting fire, 6.9%
Fatal fires Factors
greenstreet berman Dwelling fire deaths vs non fatal injuries
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Smokers' materials Cooking
% o
f cas
ualti
es Fatal Non fatal
greenstreet berman Dwelling fire deaths vs non fatal injuries
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Pensioners Lone adult Couple/adults with or without children
Lone parent
% o
f cas
ualti
es
Deaths Non fatal injuries
Victim profiles differ
greenstreet berman Smoke alarms
1.4%
2.6%
1.5%
10.6%
5.29%
1.6%
0.5%
1.3%
5.4%
3.28%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Couple without children
Couple with child/ren
Lone parent Lone pensioner Lone adult
% o
f cas
ualti
es th
at d
ieNo alarms
Alarms
greenstreet berman Mission not yet accomplished!
2009-2011, GB
36%
18%
36%
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
No alarm Prersent but failed to operate
Yes and raised alarm Yes, but did not raise alarm
% o
f all
dwel
ling
fires
88% of English homes had an alarm in 2011. Homes without an alarm are 3 times more likely to have a fire.
greenstreet berman
81%
73% 71%67% 68%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Lone pensioners
Lone adults Lone parents Couples without children
Couples with child/ren
% o
f dw
ellin
g fir
e ca
sual
ties
with
a s
mok
e al
arm
pre
sent
greenstreet berman
Data sharing
Address point data
e.g. Mosaic
Referrals from other
agencies
Community advocates
Identifying those most at risk
greenstreet berman
Other data sources? • DWP
– Attendance allowance - >65 physical or mental disability. (1.5m claimants)
– Disability Living Allowance/ Personal Independence Payment (16 to 64) (3.3m claimants)
– Single persons state pension – State pension, long term incapacity benefit, – Lone parent income support allowance (~0.5m
claimants) • Council tax
– Single person discount – Disabled persons discount
greenstreet berman
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Dw
ellin
g fir
e de
aths
Conclusions
• Fewer deaths • Same victim profile as
2002-05
• Absence of smoke alarms remains a major issue (>2.5m homes in England)
• In age of austerity need to target most at risk more tightly than ever
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2001 2011
% E
nglis
h ho
mes
with
sm
oke
alar
m
(EH
S)
12% to go
14% increase
greenstreet berman
Thank you
Great Britain accidental dwelling fire casualty profile 2009-2011. Greenstreet Berman Ltd report for the Department for Communities
and Local Government, 2012.
Learning Lessons from Real Fires: Findings Research Bulletin no. from Fatal Fire Investigation Reports. Research
Bulletin 9. Arson control forum. June 2006