Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/NSSLSpring 2009EWP Spring Experiment - Orientation 1 CIMMS / University of...

Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/NSSLSpring 2009 EWP Spring Experiment - Orientation

1CIMMS / University of Oklahoma

2NWS MDL

3NSSL

4NWS WFO OUN

Location: National Weather Center, Norman, OK

1CIMMS / University of Oklahoma

2NWS MDL

3NSSL

4NWS WFO OUN

Location: National Weather Center, Norman, OK

Gregory J. Stumpf1,2,3

Travis Smith1,3

Kevin Manross1,3

David Andra4

Gregory J. Stumpf1,2,3

Travis Smith1,3

Kevin Manross1,3

David Andra4

The 2009 Experimental Warning Program Spring Experiment

New Participant Orientation

The 2009 Experimental Warning Program Spring Experiment

New Participant Orientation


OutlineOutline

Overview of the Spring Experiment

The HWT and the EWPScheduleLogistics

Broad objectives of the projects

WDSSII Multi-Radar/Sensor ApplicationsLightning Mapping Array (LMA)Phased Array Radar (PAR)Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA)

Overview of the Spring Experiment

The HWT and the EWPScheduleLogistics

Broad objectives of the projects

WDSSII Multi-Radar/Sensor ApplicationsLightning Mapping Array (LMA)Phased Array Radar (PAR)Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA)


NSSL MissionNSSL Mission

To enhance NOAA’s capabilities to provide accurate and timely forecasts and warnings of hazardous weather events. NSSL accomplishes this mission, in partnership with the National Weather Service (NWS), through:

a balanced program of research to advance the knowledge of weather processesresearch to improve forecasting and warning methodologiesdevelopment of operational technologyand transfer of knowledge, methodologies, and technology to NWS operations

To enhance NOAA’s capabilities to provide accurate and timely forecasts and warnings of hazardous weather events. NSSL accomplishes this mission, in partnership with the National Weather Service (NWS), through:

a balanced program of research to advance the knowledge of weather processesresearch to improve forecasting and warning methodologiesdevelopment of operational technologyand transfer of knowledge, methodologies, and technology to NWS operations


Transfer to Operations: NOAA Testbeds

Transfer to Operations: NOAA Testbeds

Testing experimental applications, products, systems, models of operations, and public services.

Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) NSSL/NWS Experimental Warning Program NSSL/SPC Experimental Forecast Program

National Weather Radar Testbed (NWRT) Multi-purpose Phased Array Radar

Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) Western US, Central US, and Eastern US

Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) National Hurricane Center

Testing experimental applications, products, systems, models of operations, and public services.

Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) NSSL/NWS Experimental Warning Program NSSL/SPC Experimental Forecast Program

National Weather Radar Testbed (NWRT) Multi-purpose Phased Array Radar

Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) Western US, Central US, and Eastern US

Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) National Hurricane Center


HWT Experimental Warning ProgramHWT Experimental Warning Program

Mission: to improve the nation's hazardous weather warning services by bringing together forecasters, researchers, trainers, developers, and user groups to develop, test and evaluate new techniques, applications, observing platforms, and technologies.

Feedback from experiments used for improvementsImmerse forecasters in a research environmentProvide researchers information about operational requirements

Goal: Improve decision support for the prediction of high impact severe weather hazards at the WFO “warning scale” (0-2 hours).

Mission: to improve the nation's hazardous weather warning services by bringing together forecasters, researchers, trainers, developers, and user groups to develop, test and evaluate new techniques, applications, observing platforms, and technologies.

Feedback from experiments used for improvementsImmerse forecasters in a research environmentProvide researchers information about operational requirements

Goal: Improve decision support for the prediction of high impact severe weather hazards at the WFO “warning scale” (0-2 hours).


History of Collaboration:NOAA Research and NWSHistory of Collaboration:NOAA Research and NWS

JDOP

Pre-STORM

NEXRAD IOT&E II

VORTEX

mid early mid-late late ’80s - ’70s ’80s 85 ’80s 1989 early ’90s 1994-95 mid ’90s 1997 thru 2009 +

Early algorithms

DOPLIGHT

MAPS

COPS

QED

Stormtipe

Pre-AWIPS

Risk Reduction

WDSSORPG AWIPS

NSSL/SPCWDSS IIJPOLCOMETIHOPORDAPARCASALMAPHI


Historical ResultsHistorical Results

JDOP…… Operational Doppler weather radarMAPS etc…… Hazardous Weather OutlookIOT&E II…… WSR-88D DeploymentRisk reduction/ISPAN…… Modernized field offices Experimental SPC outlooks…… Operational probabilistic outlooksWDSS……. Next generation algorithms / SCAN deploymentSREF…… SPC operational ensemble forecastAWIPS w/s prototype…… Design implementationORPG NEXRAD products generatorJPOLE…… Dual pol deploymentWDSSII Display…… Four-Dimensional Stormcell InvestigatorWDSSII multi-radar algs…… On-Demand Verification Support System;

AWIPS2 pendingLMA…… TBDCASA…… TBDPAR…… TBDProbabilistic Hazard Info…… TBD

JDOP…… Operational Doppler weather radarMAPS etc…… Hazardous Weather OutlookIOT&E II…… WSR-88D DeploymentRisk reduction/ISPAN…… Modernized field offices Experimental SPC outlooks…… Operational probabilistic outlooksWDSS……. Next generation algorithms / SCAN deploymentSREF…… SPC operational ensemble forecastAWIPS w/s prototype…… Design implementationORPG NEXRAD products generatorJPOLE…… Dual pol deploymentWDSSII Display…… Four-Dimensional Stormcell InvestigatorWDSSII multi-radar algs…… On-Demand Verification Support System;

AWIPS2 pendingLMA…… TBDCASA…… TBDPAR…… TBDProbabilistic Hazard Info…… TBD


Norman is UniqueNorman is Unique

Sensor-rich. A few unique ones:Phased Array RadarPolarimetric radarGap-filling radars3D Lightning Mapping ArrayMesonetNational-scale applications run locally (models, WDSSII)

Large community of researchers, operational meteorologists, students, industry

Lots of visiting meteorologistsMeteorology also intersects with other disciplines

Sensor-rich. A few unique ones:Phased Array RadarPolarimetric radarGap-filling radars3D Lightning Mapping ArrayMesonetNational-scale applications run locally (models, WDSSII)

Large community of researchers, operational meteorologists, students, industry

Lots of visiting meteorologistsMeteorology also intersects with other disciplines


EWP PartnersEWP Partners

NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFO)

National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL)

NWS Meteorological Development Lab (MDL)

NWS Warning Decision Training Branch (WDTB)

Social Science Woven Into Meteorology (SSWIM)

GOES-R Proving Ground

HWT Experimental Forecast Program (EFP)

NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFO)

National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL)

NWS Meteorological Development Lab (MDL)

NWS Warning Decision Training Branch (WDTB)

Social Science Woven Into Meteorology (SSWIM)

GOES-R Proving Ground

HWT Experimental Forecast Program (EFP)


EWP PersonnelEWP Personnel

EWP OfficersGreg Stumpf (Operations Coordinator)Kevin Manross (IT Coordinator)Travis Smith (co-Team Leader)David Andra (co-Team Leader)

Weekly Coordinator (WC)

Cognizant Scientists (1-2 per station per shift)

You! (Forecaster/Evaluators)

EWP OfficersGreg Stumpf (Operations Coordinator)Kevin Manross (IT Coordinator)Travis Smith (co-Team Leader)David Andra (co-Team Leader)

Weekly Coordinator (WC)

Cognizant Scientists (1-2 per station per shift)

You! (Forecaster/Evaluators)


Forecaster/EvaluatorsForecaster/EvaluatorsMaximum of 4 full-time evaluators per shift

Full-time WFO participants required to work within specified shift: 1-9 M-Th; 10-1 Fr):

16 NSSL-sponsored WFO meteorologists 1 WFO OUN meteorologist 1 Environment Canada meteorologist 2 WDTB meteorologists

“Part-time” observers (up to 2 per day)1 SSD Chief1 WFO forecaster3 Canadian Meteorologists1 WDTB Meteorologist1 FSU graduate student1 NESDIS scientists1 NASA Scientist

Maximum of 4 full-time evaluators per shift

Full-time WFO participants required to work within specified shift: 1-9 M-Th; 10-1 Fr):

16 NSSL-sponsored WFO meteorologists 1 WFO OUN meteorologist 1 Environment Canada meteorologist 2 WDTB meteorologists

“Part-time” observers (up to 2 per day)1 SSD Chief1 WFO forecaster3 Canadian Meteorologists1 WDTB Meteorologist1 FSU graduate student1 NESDIS scientists1 NASA Scientist


Visitor logisticsVisitor logistics

Most visitors will have a door key card for entry into NOAA area, the HWT, and a second door key card to enter the visiting scientist office (NWC 3221).

WC will provide a brief tour of these facilities at the beginning.

Foreign nationals will not have key cards. They will need an NWC participant escort into secure NOAA areas. They must check in each day with Campus Security Office (CSO).

Visitors must display their NOAA or visitor ID badges at all times.

Dinner scheduling (one at a time if during live operations, otherwise, order in or make a food run)

Most visitors will have a door key card for entry into NOAA area, the HWT, and a second door key card to enter the visiting scientist office (NWC 3221).

WC will provide a brief tour of these facilities at the beginning.

Foreign nationals will not have key cards. They will need an NWC participant escort into secure NOAA areas. They must check in each day with Campus Security Office (CSO).

Visitors must display their NOAA or visitor ID badges at all times.

Dinner scheduling (one at a time if during live operations, otherwise, order in or make a food run)


100-130pm New Participant Orientation Seminar (Dev Lab)130-200pm Daily coordination discussion for today (Dev Lab)200-215pm Tour (HWT, visiting forecaster office)215-230pm Break230-330pm PAR/WDSSII Training (Radar Lab)330-445pm Two Individual Project Seminars (remaining seminar will be on Tuesday) (Dev Lab or NWC3500)445-500pm Break

500-900pm Intensive Operations Period (IOP)

or

500-900pm Archive case playback / Training (no IOP)

If there is an early IOP expected on Monday - baptism by fire!

100-130pm New Participant Orientation Seminar (Dev Lab)130-200pm Daily coordination discussion for today (Dev Lab)200-215pm Tour (HWT, visiting forecaster office)215-230pm Break230-330pm PAR/WDSSII Training (Radar Lab)330-445pm Two Individual Project Seminars (remaining seminar will be on Tuesday) (Dev Lab or NWC3500)445-500pm Break

500-900pm Intensive Operations Period (IOP)

or

500-900pm Archive case playback / Training (no IOP)

If there is an early IOP expected on Monday - baptism by fire!

Daily Schedule(Mon)

Daily Schedule(Mon)


Daily Schedule(Tue-Thu)

Daily Schedule(Tue-Thu)

1-2pm Dev Lab (NWC 2820)Debriefing of previous day’s activitiesDaily coordination discussion for today

2-9pm HWT Ops Area or Dev LabComplete Intro seminars and TrainingArchive Playback3-4 hour Intensive Operations Period (IOP)

1-2pm Dev Lab (NWC 2820)Debriefing of previous day’s activitiesDaily coordination discussion for today

2-9pm HWT Ops Area or Dev LabComplete Intro seminars and TrainingArchive Playback3-4 hour Intensive Operations Period (IOP)


Evaluator Training and Archive Playback

Evaluator Training and Archive Playback

WDSSII training, in conjunction with PAR orientation, will be completed first, if weather permits.

Orientation to the other experiments will be conducted based on the expected Monday weather.

Evaluators will gain experience for each experiment via a combination of archive cases and real-time events.

Training/playback will be led by experiment cognizant scientists.

Feedback will be obtained by cognizant scientists during archive case playback.

WDSSII training, in conjunction with PAR orientation, will be completed first, if weather permits.

Orientation to the other experiments will be conducted based on the expected Monday weather.

Evaluators will gain experience for each experiment via a combination of archive cases and real-time events.

Training/playback will be led by experiment cognizant scientists.

Feedback will be obtained by cognizant scientists during archive case playback.


Intensive Operations Periods (IOP)

Intensive Operations Periods (IOP)

Mon-Thu only

Maximum of one IOP per day

3-hour block, plus a 30 minute situational awareness briefing and a 30-minute pos-event discussion

Weekly Coordinator to determine operational period and location

Weekly Coordinator will manage the placement of the forecaster/ evaluators at the various experiment stations, and may rotate folks in and out of position at certain times

Mon-Thu only

Maximum of one IOP per day

3-hour block, plus a 30 minute situational awareness briefing and a 30-minute pos-event discussion

Weekly Coordinator to determine operational period and location

Weekly Coordinator will manage the placement of the forecaster/ evaluators at the various experiment stations, and may rotate folks in and out of position at certain times


When do we conduct IOPs for the 2009 experiments?

When do we conduct IOPs for the 2009 experiments?

When storms within 150 km of Norman:PARCASALMA

When storms within 150 km of Huntsville or Washington DC:LMAWDSSII Multi-radar/sensor

When storms outside these areas:WDSSII Multi-radar/sensor

When no severe storms are forecasted in CONUS between 2-9pm:No IOPTraining and archive playback for the whole shift

When storms within 150 km of Norman:PARCASALMA

When storms within 150 km of Huntsville or Washington DC:LMAWDSSII Multi-radar/sensor

When storms outside these areas:WDSSII Multi-radar/sensor

When no severe storms are forecasted in CONUS between 2-9pm:No IOPTraining and archive playback for the whole shift


FridaysFridays

10a-12p End-of-week debriefing for all three experiments

12-1p Optional brown-bag lunch seminars from

visiting participants-or-

Adjourn for the week

10a-12p End-of-week debriefing for all three experiments

12-1p Optional brown-bag lunch seminars from

visiting participants-or-

Adjourn for the week


Friday DebriefingFriday Debriefing

Start with short debriefing on Thursday event

Discussion of each specific experiment (science, technology, etc)

Gather feedback on overall experiment logistics

Overall testbed experienceHelp us make the experiment better after this week and next year.Encourage forecasters to make a weekly blog entry.

Start with short debriefing on Thursday event

Discussion of each specific experiment (science, technology, etc)

Gather feedback on overall experiment logistics

Overall testbed experienceHelp us make the experiment better after this week and next year.Encourage forecasters to make a weekly blog entry.


Friday seminarsFriday seminars

12pm-1pm

Informal Brown Bag lunch

Dev Lab

Divide the hour up into number of talks. If more than one talk, run it conference style. Max of 4 talks.

We’ll ask visitors on Monday, as early as possible, if they want to give a seminar, and let them know how much time to prepare.

If no seminars, adjourn the week early.

12pm-1pm

Informal Brown Bag lunch

Dev Lab

Divide the hour up into number of talks. If more than one talk, run it conference style. Max of 4 talks.

We’ll ask visitors on Monday, as early as possible, if they want to give a seminar, and let them know how much time to prepare.

If no seminars, adjourn the week early.


HWT TechnologyHWT Technology

Situational Awareness Display (SAD)

AWIPSAvailable at every workstationCan be “localized” to any WFOWill ingest WDSSII multi-radar and lightning gridsCan use WarnGen and issue experimental warnings

Experiment Stations:WDSSII/LMA StationPAR stationCASA station

WDSSII and Google Earth available at all workstations

Situational Awareness Display (SAD)

AWIPSAvailable at every workstationCan be “localized” to any WFOWill ingest WDSSII multi-radar and lightning gridsCan use WarnGen and issue experimental warnings

Experiment Stations:WDSSII/LMA StationPAR stationCASA station

WDSSII and Google Earth available at all workstations


HWT: EWP Operations Area

HWT: EWP Operations Area


Feedback from the forecaster/evaluatorsFeedback from the

forecaster/evaluators

The WC will gather forecaster/evaluator feedback during shifts, from the cognizant scientists during archive playback, and during the daily and Friday briefings.

Written and/or electronic SurveysQuotes and testimonialsLive blog

EWP Blog weekly summaries.

The WC will gather forecaster/evaluator feedback during shifts, from the cognizant scientists during archive playback, and during the daily and Friday briefings.

Written and/or electronic SurveysQuotes and testimonialsLive blog

EWP Blog weekly summaries.


Communications(EWP Blog)

Communications(EWP Blog)

Objective: To share our information and to provide a few metrics and/or feedback from the participants.

Live Blogging – during IOPs!

WC writes short daily summary entry after shift (that night) or next morning.

WC writes weekly summary with more detail to be completed by the following Monday.

Any participant may add more blog entries with additional details at various times throughout experiment.

We encourage the visiting forecasters to provide a summary of their experiences with the testbed, which we can then post to the blog.

Objective: To share our information and to provide a few metrics and/or feedback from the participants.

Live Blogging – during IOPs!

WC writes short daily summary entry after shift (that night) or next morning.

WC writes weekly summary with more detail to be completed by the following Monday.

Any participant may add more blog entries with additional details at various times throughout experiment.

We encourage the visiting forecasters to provide a summary of their experiences with the testbed, which we can then post to the blog.


EWP Web PageEWP Web Page

External (public)http://ewp.nssl.noaa.govContent:

General Information about the EWP 2007 and 2008 summaries

Internal (private)https://secure.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/ewp2009

NOAA LDAP user and password Non-NOAA folks will also have access if IP is provided Can be accessed from any machine within HWT Ops Area and the OU

Wifi networkContent:

The EWP Blog Schedules (Google Calendar) Operations Manuals Experiment PowerPoint Briefings

External (public)http://ewp.nssl.noaa.govContent:

General Information about the EWP 2007 and 2008 summaries

Internal (private)https://secure.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/ewp2009

NOAA LDAP user and password Non-NOAA folks will also have access if IP is provided Can be accessed from any machine within HWT Ops Area and the OU

Wifi networkContent:

The EWP Blog Schedules (Google Calendar) Operations Manuals Experiment PowerPoint Briefings


The ExperimentsThe Experiments


WDSSII Multiple-Radar Multiple-Sensor Applications

WDSSII Multiple-Radar Multiple-Sensor Applications


WDSSII ObjectivesWDSSII Objectives

To evaluate the accuracy and the operational utility of multiple-radar/multiple-sensor severe weather algorithms, provided by the Warning Decision Support System – Integrated Information (WDSSII), in supporting NWS hazardous convective weather warning decision making. We would like our participants to:

Provide feedback on the ability of these applications to enhance traditional base-radar data analysis in warning decision making.

Suggest improvements or new multiple-radar/sensor products that will aid warning decision making.

Receive an introduction to the new products, after which the products will be available (via Google Earth) to use in operations after the participants return to their forecast offices.

To evaluate the accuracy and the operational utility of multiple-radar/multiple-sensor severe weather algorithms, provided by the Warning Decision Support System – Integrated Information (WDSSII), in supporting NWS hazardous convective weather warning decision making. We would like our participants to:

Provide feedback on the ability of these applications to enhance traditional base-radar data analysis in warning decision making.

Suggest improvements or new multiple-radar/sensor products that will aid warning decision making.

Receive an introduction to the new products, after which the products will be available (via Google Earth) to use in operations after the participants return to their forecast offices.


Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) Experiment

Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) Experiment

LMA visualization and attribute extraction (Courtesy: Scott Rudolsky, Florida State University)


LMA Experiment Objectives

LMA Experiment Objectives

To evaluate the accuracy and the operational utility of three-dimensional Lightning Mapping Arrays (LMA) in supporting NWS hazardous convective weather warning decision making, specifically:

Ability of flash rate trends and other lightning data to contribute to warning decision making

Utility of lightning data in radar-poor areas

Impact of the ~1 min time resolution

Comparison of lower and higher space resolutions for GOES-Global Lightning Mapper (GLM) proxy evaluation

Relationships with other multi-sensor derived products, including storm-classification, hail size and circulation algorithms, as well as convective initiation, convective overshoot, and enhanced-V algorithms using visible and infrared channel satellite data.

To evaluate the accuracy and the operational utility of three-dimensional Lightning Mapping Arrays (LMA) in supporting NWS hazardous convective weather warning decision making, specifically:

Ability of flash rate trends and other lightning data to contribute to warning decision making

Utility of lightning data in radar-poor areas

Impact of the ~1 min time resolution

Comparison of lower and higher space resolutions for GOES-Global Lightning Mapper (GLM) proxy evaluation

Relationships with other multi-sensor derived products, including storm-classification, hail size and circulation algorithms, as well as convective initiation, convective overshoot, and enhanced-V algorithms using visible and infrared channel satellite data.


Phased Array Radar Innovative Sensing Experiment (PARISE)

Phased Array Radar Innovative Sensing Experiment (PARISE)


PARISE - MotivationPARISE - Motivation

WSR-88D is approaching its 20-

year life span

Possible replacement is

PAR technology

Next generation radar? Beyond 2020

Volume scans in less than 60 seconds at current data quality

Multi-purpose use

No moving parts

Next generation radar? Beyond 2020

Volume scans in less than 60 seconds at current data quality

Multi-purpose use

No moving parts


PARISE ObjectivesPARISE Objectives

To evaluate the operational utility of Phased Array Radar (PAR) technology during real-time operational warning situations and through playback of archive cases.

To demonstrate and obtain forecaster feedback on basic adaptive electronic scanning of weather echoes.

To demonstrate and obtain forecaster feedback on storm-type optimized scanning strategies for surveillance of storm initiation and severe storms.

To evaluate the operational utility of Phased Array Radar (PAR) technology during real-time operational warning situations and through playback of archive cases.

To demonstrate and obtain forecaster feedback on basic adaptive electronic scanning of weather echoes.

To demonstrate and obtain forecaster feedback on storm-type optimized scanning strategies for surveillance of storm initiation and severe storms.


CASACASA

Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere

Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere

© 1998 Prentice-Hall, Inc. -- From: Lutgens and Tarbuck, The Atmosphere, 7th Ed.

• Low to the ground• Adaptive• Low cost

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

$ $ $0-3 km

• Network of small radars


KCYRKCYR

KSAOKSAO

KLWEKLWE

KRSPKRSP

Central Oklahoma Prototype NetworkCentral Oklahoma Prototype Network


CASA’s EWP ObjectivesCASA’s EWP Objectives

To evaluate the accuracy and operational utility of Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) dense radar networks for severe weather decision-making through real time warning situations and structured experiments with archived data.

Assess how CASA products improve severe weather assessments and warning decisions in combination with current technology:

Reflectivity and velocity products RHI scans Real time dual Doppler wind products Real time Nowcasts and NWP products

Assess the strengths and limitations of CASA’s technical capabilities: Lower troposphere coverage High spatial resolution data 1 minute refresh rate Adaptive sector scans driven by user needs

To evaluate the accuracy and operational utility of Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) dense radar networks for severe weather decision-making through real time warning situations and structured experiments with archived data.

Assess how CASA products improve severe weather assessments and warning decisions in combination with current technology:

Reflectivity and velocity products RHI scans Real time dual Doppler wind products Real time Nowcasts and NWP products

Assess the strengths and limitations of CASA’s technical capabilities: Lower troposphere coverage High spatial resolution data 1 minute refresh rate Adaptive sector scans driven by user needs


EWP Final ThoughtsEWP Final Thoughts

This is a research experiment……therefore, expect to be glitches, bugs, and wrinkles!

Try to focus beyond these glitches toward the bigger picture:

To the future of NWS warning operations

To the future of NWS warning technology (e.g., AWIPS2).

This is a research experiment……therefore, expect to be glitches, bugs, and wrinkles!

Try to focus beyond these glitches toward the bigger picture:

To the future of NWS warning operations

To the future of NWS warning technology (e.g., AWIPS2).

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Greg Stumpf – CIMMS/NWS/NSSLSpring 2009EWP Spring Experiment - Orientation 1 CIMMS / University of...

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