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Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

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Connecting Renewables and the Power Purchase Agreement Tim Foster
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Page 1: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

Connecting Renewables and the

Power Purchase Agreement

Tim Foster

Page 2: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

2

SmartestEnergy

• Licensed Electricity Supplier

• Leading independent provider of Power Purchase

Agreements – short and long term

• 1200+MW, 350+ sites, 10% of the UK’s Renewable

Output

• CHP, AD, landfill, wind, waste to energy, mine

methane, hydro, biomass

• Supply Contracts – fixed price or flexible

• Load Management and Demand Side activities

• Our business is focused on power purchase

arrangements for the embedded generation sector

Page 3: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

3

Overview

• Connecting to the Grid

– The Regulated Process

– Connection Offers

– Typical Technical Issues

• Metering

• Power Purchase Arrangements

Page 4: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

4

Connecting to the Grid – The Regulated Process

• 14 Distribution Network Operators

(DNO)

• 1 Transmission GB System Operator

(NGETL) and 3 transmission owners

(NGETL, SP Transmission Ltd,

Scottish Hydro-Electric Transmission

Ltd)

• Licences to distribute / transmit

electricity - Regulated by Ofgem

• Remit to operate economically,

efficiently and in a non-discriminatory

fashion

Page 5: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

5

The Connection Agreement

• Agreement between the generator and the Distribution Network Operator or The Transmission Network Owner that allows the import/export of electrical energy to/from a site

• DNOs / NGET obliged to offer terms to connect to network

• The Generator must submit competent application and pay fee

• DNO Obligated to make offer within 3 months

• Offer open for acceptance for 30 days or 3 months

• Disputes referred to Ofgem

• The Connection Offer includes:

– Outline of connection solution

– Outline of DNO works, reinforcements and construction programme

– Technical and communication requirements

– User’s construction obligations

– Outline of operational constraints

– Price

Page 6: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

6

The changing shape of the network

Transmission-

connected

generator

Distribution

network

Transmission system

Grid supply point

Wind

farms

Customers/

PV generatorsCHP

Distribution

connected

generator

Page 7: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

7

Distributed Generation Capacities

275 kV

132 kV

132 kV

33 kV

33 kV

11 kV

11 kV

400 V

Distribution

Transmission500 MW

20 MW

5 MW

5 kW

Typical

Connection

Voltage for

AD

Generators

Page 8: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

8

Typical connection issues that are encountered

• Historical “passive” DNO network designs coupled with the

Proliferation of “distributed generation” can give rise to Network

constraints or reinforcement

• Historically burden of cost upon developers

– Move to “shallow-ish” charging helping certain developers.

• Some typical issues:

– Thermal ratings

– Voltage rise issues

– Fault level contribution

– Reverse power flows

• Unfortunately a potential embedded generator will pay to resolve

many of these issues

Page 9: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

9

Thermal Characteristics and Limits

Transformers

Overhead line

• Overheating leads to insulation failure

• Reverse power flow capability?

Switchgear

• Overheating leads to insulation failure

Cables• Overheating leads to insulation failure

Safety clearance

Page 10: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

10

Voltage Rise

Distance

Voltage

Max

MinSummer

Winter

No Generation

Distance

Voltage

Max

Min

Generation

Power Flow

Page 11: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

11

Generation Contribution to Faults

• Contribution of current to a fault on network can lead to an

overstressing of existing switchgear and is a major limiting

factor to the connection of embedded generation

Fault Current

GGFault Currentg

Primary

Substation

Page 12: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

12

It is never as simple as just plugging it in…..

• There is no such thing as a standard Grid Connection and costs will depend not only on the level/capacity of connection but also the “upgrade” works required

• Recent experiences suggest an average grid connection cost of £100,000 per MW but costs can be doubled or halved

• Check how much of the work is “contestable”

– Why pay the DNO for trench digging!

Page 13: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

13

The Meter Operator Agreement

• Meter requirements depend on the generating capacity

– Greater than 30kW – a half-hourly meter (HH) is required

– Less than 30kW – a non half-hourly (NHH - monthly, seasonal or annual reads) is required

• NHH metering is arranged by your electricity supplier

• HH metering is the Generator’s responsibility

– The Generator must enter into a Meter Operator contract with their chosen meter supplier

– Western Power Distribution, Metering Services, SSE Metering Services, Siemens

Page 14: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

14

Elements of the Power Purchase Agreement

• The Power Purchase Agreement values the revenue streams for a renewable generator

– Decision on type and term is usually dictated by the risk/reward appetite of the Financier

• The PPA articulates the price structure for the following key elements:

– Electricity (Power)

– Embedded benefits

– Climate Change Levy Exemption Certificates (LECs)

– Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs)

• The PPA will also document;

– Payment terms, transfer of benefits, change in law, early termination, generator obligations (forecasts), new benefits, limits of liability, dispute resolution, etc..

Page 15: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

15

Electricity – Wholesale Prices

• For any PPA electricity

is priced/indexed to the

UK Wholesale

Electricity forward curve

• Prices are discounted

to take account of the

risks associated with

non-delivery of

generation output

(“imbalance”) and if

applicable any “floor

price” or structured

payment terms

UK Wholesale annual baseload electricity price

Page 16: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

16

Electricity – Pricing Structures and Storage

• The relative value of electricity changes during the day and across months/seasons depending on the supply/demand balance

– Prices will often be in the form of a Seasonal Time of Day (SToD) structure

• The ability to store and deliver energy at a given time gives biogas a considerable advantage over other renewables

• Storage allows

– Guaranteed delivery

– Instant response to price triggers

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47

Half-Hour Period

Avera

ge P

rice (

£/M

Wh

)

Weekday Weekend

Page 17: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

17

Embedded Benefits

• An embedded generator receives a number of benefits because it is located within a distribution system

– Distribution and Transmission losses

– Distribution Use of System

– Transmission Use of System Charges (Triad)

– Balancing System Use of System charges

– Elexon Charges

• Embedded benefits typically add c.a. £1-2/MWh to the revenue stream for a generator

• Triad can be a significant windfall

– 2007/2008 triad charge for the South West is £23.77/kW

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

01 N

ov 0

5

08 N

ov 0

5

15 N

ov 0

5

22 N

ov 0

5

29 N

ov 0

5

06 D

ec 0

5

13 D

ec 0

5

20 D

ec 0

5

27 D

ec 0

5

03 Jan

06

10 Jan

06

17 Jan

06

24 Jan

06

31 Jan

06

07 F

eb 0

6

14 F

eb 0

6

21 F

eb 0

6

28 F

eb 0

6

Peak

Sys

tem

Dem

an

d (

MW

)

28th November

59,406MW

5th January

58,511MW

2nd February

58,660MW

Page 18: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

18

Climate Change Levy

• Climate Change Levy was

introduced to encourage energy

efficiency

• Companies can comply to legislation

in a number of ways

– Pay the CCL – currently £4.30/MWh

(has risen by inflation from 1st April

2007)

– Enter into a negotiated agreement –

i.e. rebate of 80% of CCL

– Present a Levy Exemption Certificate

(LEC)

• LECs are generated by accredited

generation stations

– Renewable

– Good quality CHP

Page 19: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

19

What is a ROC and how is the value of a ROC is Derived

• The Renewable Obligation

– Obligation on Electricity Suppliers to source an amount of their supply position from renewable sources

• The Obligation can be met by one, (or a combination) of two routes

– Purchase an amount of renewable output embodied in Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs)

– Pay the Buyout Price

• The value of a ROC is derived from two elements

– Buyout Price and Final share of the Buyout Fund

UK Demand 321,654,429 MWh

Obligation 15,761,067 MWh

ROCs Presented 10,855,848

Buyout £31.39

Recycle Fund £153,259,789

Recycle £14.12

ROC Value £45.51

Page 20: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

20

ROC Out-turn Projections

• The future value of a ROC for each Compliance Period depends on:

– Size of the obligation for that year

– UK electricity demand

– Renewable energy output

• Load factor

• Weather

• Build rate

• Diversity

• Fuel diversion

– Most scenarios show that the UK is unlikely to meet it’s Renewable Obligation and therefore there will always be some recycle

Page 21: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

21

The PPA - Electricity

• The PPA outlines the commitment to purchase output from the generator/facility over a term

• Electricity is generally purchased on a non-firm basis (i.e. variability risk priced in)

• Fixed Price PPA

– Multiple years (up to 3-5) are locked in at the start of the PPA

– Current market prices are c.a. £45+/MWh

– Prices can include embedded benefits

• Long Term PPA

– Can includes a floor price (c.a. £20-25/MWh)

– Electricity price indexed against an industry report NOT RPI

– Price set annually

– Discount to index typically 10-15%

Page 22: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

22

The PPA – Embedded Benefits and LECs

• Embedded Benefits

– For fixed price PPAs Embedded Benefits are usually included in the price

– For long term PPAs or for new sites Embedded Benefits are “shared” between the Generator and Supplier

• typically 90%/10% of value received

– Triad Benefit is always “shared” between the Generator and Supplier

• typically 90%/10% of value received

• Levy Exemption Certificates (LECs)

– LECs are transferred monthly by the Generator to the Supplier

– Purchase price is a percentage of the prevailing value of the Climate Change Levy (CCL)

– Market price typically 85-90% of CCL

• c.a. £4.00/MWh

Page 23: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

23

The PPA - ROCs

• Route to market is dependent on the risk/reward appetite of the generator (or more often the provider of the finance)

– ROCs are “sold” on a forward basis before the out-turn is published via two basic routes

– Both generator and purchaser are “estimating” the out-turn price in order to assess the most favourable route for selling/purchasing ROCs

• Fixed price

– fixed and final payment upon transfer of ROCs

– influenced by purchasers view of build rate, generation volumes, supplier default, cost of cash and margin view.

– Gives cash flow certainty but not necessarily full value

• Processing

– % buyout / %recycle (c.a. 90%/90%) or fixed fee taken from recycle (c.a. £2.50/ROC)

– Buyout payment made at transfer – recycle payment when Ofgem publish recycle fund (typically November after end of Compliance Period)

– Generator take the risk on recycle fund; i.e. build rate, generation volumes, supplier default.

Page 24: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

24

Summary - Power Purchase Agreements

• The power purchase agreement encapsulates the risk/reward

aspirations of the generator and are constructed accordingly

• Output needs to be “sold” to a Licensed Electricity Supplier

• Current market prices are very buoyant and there is a great

incentive to build renewable energy generation plant

– Indicatively a three year fixed price PPA will deliver c.a. £90+/MWh

(assuming 1 ROC/MWh)

– This equates to £350k/year of income for a 500kW AD plant (1.5MW

wind turbine) exporting to the grid

– Energy use on site also offers big savings as you are avoiding

distribution and transmission costs

• Indicative prices and structures are easy to provide and early

engagement with an electricity supplier is very useful

Page 25: Grid Connections And PPAs: Tim Foster, Smartest Energy

25

SmartestEnergy

• For indicative prices, contractual terms,

further information or a general

discussion please contact;

• Tim Foster – Sales & Marketing

Manager

– 0207 4480900

[email protected]

– www.smartestenergy.com

• SmartestEnergy Informer keeps you in

touch with Industry news and market

information


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