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Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

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Global business attorney Vinita Bahri-Mehra, in partnership with Ohio Development Services Agency, presented "Growing through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities" as a panel discussion on Wednesday, September 17. The panel, which brought together local industry professionals to share best practices for conducting business in China, discussed how the world's second-largest economy is increasingly playing an important and influential role in the global economy.
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Page 1: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

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Page 2: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Legal Strategies for China

September 17, 2014Vinita Bahri-Mehra

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Key Differences - Overview

Legal

+ Business Structures

+ Rule of Law

+ Intellectual Property Protection

+ Contract Enforcement and Negotiations

+ Process and Procedures Delays

+ Exit Strategies

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Key Legal Strategies for Doing Business in China

+ Business structures.

+ Contract enforcement and negotiations.

+ Understanding nuances in rule of law.

+ What should be done to protect one’s IP?

+ Are repatriation of investments and profits allowed?

+ What law should govern the contract and what mechanism of dispute resolution is preferable?

+ Do you have an exit strategy?

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Practical Advice – Identify the Obstacles

There are some internal barriers that might provide obstacles in doing business or establishing business in China. It is necessary to be cognizant about them in order to be well prepared.

For example:

Corruption (FCPA)

Bureaucracy

Negotiating style differences

Real Estate – increased cost of doing business

Evolving tax laws

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Things to Ponder

Due Diligence is the Key

Knowledge of Chinese business and legal environment leads to steady growth.

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Legal Advice

This presentation is designed to provide an overview of a number of legal principles and considerations.

As each legal issue is fact dependent, this presentation should not be used or viewed as legal advice, and your legal counsel should be consulted on the application of your particular factual situation to the current law.

Copyright: 2014 Kegler, Brown, Hill + Ritter

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Thank You!Vinita Bahri-Mehra, DirectorAsia-Pacific Team LeaderKegler Brown Hill + [email protected]/bahrimehra614-255-5508614-464-2634 (fax)

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Ohio Development Services Agency

17 September 2014

Doing Business in China

Page 10: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Pivot to AsiaAsian consumption gains increasing global relevance

• 95% of the world’s consumers live outside of the U.S.

• Asia leads global GDP growth

Asia is expected to grow 3% faster than the rest of the world every year for the next 10 years

The region displays relative resilience to volatility in global financial markets

Respective Asian markets offer diverse investment opportunities, from high-risk to low-risk

• Domestic demand is becoming a driver for growth as the developing economies transition

Contributing structural for developing factors include:

Urbanization

Industrialization

Demographic shifts

Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook, Economist Corporate Network ABOS 2013, Citibank

Source: CIA World Factbook

49%

9%11%

8%

9%

2% 12%

Composition of World GDP 2050

Forecast

Developing Asia Europe

North America Latin America

Others Japan

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook

Page 11: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Country ProfilePeople’s Republic of China (PRC)

CapitolCity Beijing

Populaiton 1.36billion(2013)

Area 9.6millionsqkm

AllocationofPopulation 51%city,48%rural

Shanghai 24million

Beijing 21million

Tianjin 15million

Chongqing(Area) 30million

Sources: IMF, World Bank

• By 2030 China will have:

- 700 million middle-class citizens- 1 billion people in the urban population- 681 cities with middle class populations of 250,000 or more

• There is a clear shift from a manufacturing-based economy to one driven by domestic demand for consumer goods

- PRC’s efforts to liberalize the economy make commerce with China increasingly appealing to American companies.

Sources: China National Bureau of Statistics, Boston Consulting Group

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Doing Business in ChinaChina – from the world’s factory to the world’s market

In 2013 China became the world’s largest trader with the level of imports catching up to its level of exports

China’s increasing imports bode well for US companies selling into the Chinese market

China’s imports from the US continue to grow

• By 2022, 75% of China’s urban consumers will earn $9,000 to $34,000 per year, or between the PPP of Brazil and Italy. In 2000 only 4% were within that range, in 2012 that figure grew to 68%

• China’s “Singles’ Day” on November 11th is a major shopping holiday- in 2013 sales reached over $5.7 billion

• Ohio is geographically and economically positioned to capitalize on China’s rising imports from the US

While many Ohio companies have grown their businesses through exporting, most Ohio businesses currently do not export to China

Sources: European Parliament Policy Dept., PwC, Taobao

Page 13: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Economic and Political OverviewFrom 30,000 ft.

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China’s Evolving EconomyThe landscape continues to change a rapid pace

Shanghai 1987 Shanghai 2013

• An increasing number of mid-market foreign companies are benefiting from the PRC’s efforts to liberalize the economy by decreasing interference from the central government and implementing constructive financial policy reforms

• China’s consumers are becoming more brand-aware, and with 2.8m Chinese millionaires and rising, sales of luxury goods are booming

Sources: Congressional Research Service, US-China Business Council, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Economist

Page 15: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Trajectory of China’s Economic DevelopmentExploring the past, present, and future

Latest Figures

2013

Economy grew 7.7%

28% of global GDP growth

49% of global GDP by 2050

Expected Growth

2014

World Bank expects 7.7%

2015

World Bank expects 7.5%

China’s exports are expected to grow 15.1% annually

$4.4 trillion in 2017

China’s import demand is expected to grow 15.8% annually

$4.2 trillion in 2017

The Recent Past

Nearly 10% GDP growth per annum for last 30 years

Single-digit growth rates expected to become the new standard

China’s economy quadrupled in the last 10 years

China’s economic development lifted 400 million people out of poverty between 1993 and 2013

China

United States

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Pe

rce

nt

Source: IMF Economic Outlook Database

GDP Based on PPP Share of World Total

Sources: World Bank, Goldman Sachs, Citibank

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Chinese PoliticsThings move according to plans

China’s 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015)

Source: JP Morgan LLC.

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Trade with China

What’s driving Chinese business opportunities?

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Chinese Development Driving challenges and opportunities

• The rapid pace of development has had a huge environmental toll

• China’s demographic shift will have knock on effects through the economy and society

• Urbanization will continue as more and more Chinese move from rural to urban areas

• There are significant increases in the number of middle-class and affluent Chinese, but this has not been evenly distributed

The services sector is increasing rapidly, transitioning away from the lower value added areas

Middle and upper classes were 23% of the population in 2010 and are expected to make up 38% in 2015

• The hourly wage for labor is expected to reach USD $4.6 per hour in 2015

Hourly wage + logistics and storage costs => make cost of manufacturing in China close to US

US exporters are now more competitive in Chinese market for advanced manufacturing

Sources: Wolfensohn Center for Development, Brookings Institute, Morgan Stanley Research, ING International Trade Study

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Sector Opportunities: Environmental SectorClean technology is central to China mitigating pollution

Clean Tech

• The energy sector accounts for an increasingly large portion of Chinese imports so the PRC is trying to develop alternative energy to augment rising demand for electricity and subsequent dependence on foreign oil, gas, and coal

• China’s energy needs have significantly increased in recent years due to rapid economic development.

The high level of state involvement in these industries can make it difficult for foreign companies to operate

Grid and Transmission: China’s power consumption rose 5.2 percent in the first five months of this year, exacerbating the country’s need for energy importation and greater efficiency

Efficiency: the PRC has set the goal of having green buildings account for 30% of new construction in China by 2020

In August 2013 the State Council announced that it will support 15% annual growth in the Chinese environmental industry with the goal of growing it to $743 billion by 2015, sectors include:

Cleaner conventional energy

Renewable energy

Electric power infrastructure

Green building

Clean transportation

Clean water

Sources: Energy Information Administration, Communist Party of China Central Committee, UK Trade & Investment

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

10

,00

0 U

SD

Total Investment in the Treatment of

Environmental Pollution

Page 20: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Sector Opportunities: Logistics & TransportationLogistics is one of the economic engines of China

Logistics

• With the country’s rapid economic development over the past three decades, logistics has become one of the nation’s most important industries. In 2013 the industry was valued at US$ 1.6 trillion.

• Logistics for steel, coal and other bulk commodities has been depressed due to slowing economic growth and overcapacity. However, logistics for food, FMCG, appliances, electronics industries is still rapidly increasing.

• The total value of logistics goods is increasing by 30.4% with the development of e-commerce and online shopping platforms.

Taobao GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) reached at CNY 1.1 trillion in 2013

TMall GMV reached CNY 441 billion in 2013, with an increase of 120% compared with 2012’s GMV

Source: China Statistics Bureau

Sources: China Statistics, Alibaba

Page 21: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Sector Opportunities: Advanced ManufacturingManufacturing revolution is imperative for the government

• Today China faces new challenges as wages and other costs rise, but the complex links in the value chain continue to drive demand

• The government is exploring high-tech industries to fuel manufacturing in aerospace, new energy technologies, automotive, and advanced materials

• Supply chain solutions and for both China export and USA distribution and imports to the USA are evolving and creating opportunities.

Sources: Markit, HSBC

Advanced Manufacturing

• Whether it is the development of China’s indigenous automotive, aerospace or hi-tech sectors opportunities abound for companies able to produce advanced manufacturing technologies to the supply chain.manufacturing industry has been slowing down over past 5 years

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Sector Opportunities: ICTTechnology development is a priority for the PRC

• Software

A major focus of the central government is providing incentives for domestic growth and foreign investment in software

The market is diverse and fragmented

Industries lacks core technologies

Chinese software companies are interested in gaining valuable IP through acquisition and partnership

• Mobile Gaming

- China’s mobile gaming market is expected to surpass the US’s in size

- 2014 expected revenue in Chinese market is $3 billion

• China’s mobile gaming industry revenue is expected to double from 2013 levels

Users 632 million 277 million

Penetration 46% 87%

E-commerce $295 billion $270 billion

Active buyers 231 million 128 million

SME Internet adoption ratio 20-25% 75-85%• Intellectual Property Rights (IPR)

Infringement remains a substantial risk to foreign ICT companies entering the Chinese market

• IPR infringement continues to be a point of contention between the US State Department and the PRC

Sources: US Dept. of Commerce, US State Dept., McKinsey & Co

Source: China Internet Network Information Center, Pew Research, McKinsey Global Institute Analysis

Page 23: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

The Intersection of Trade and Investment

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China’s Outbound InvestmentOFDI in the United States is steadily increasing

7/15/2014 Rhodium Group

http://rhg.com/interactive/china-investment-monitor 1/5

Year 2014   Cumulative   Annual Fewer  Options

Agriculture  &  Food:  16  deals  /  $7,202

Automotive  &  Aviation:  98  deals  /  $2,197

Basic  Materials:  56  deals  /  $1,767

Consumer  Prod.  &  Serv.:  86  deals  /  $814

Energy:  100  deals  /  $11,870

Entertain.  &  Real  Estate:  63  deals  /  $6,605

Finance  &  Bus.  Services:  53  deals  /  $743

Health  &  Biotech:  53  deals  /  $1,357

Ind.  &  Electronic  Equip.:  109  deals  /  $808

Information  Technology:  139  deals  /  $3,864

Metals  and  Minerals:  2  deals  /  $98

Transport  &  Construction:  45  deals  /  $125

State:  Industry:  Type:  Ownership:

SC 12

HI 3

AK 2 FL 13

GA 27AL 8

NC 43TN 8

RI 2CT 1

MA 18

NH 2

NY 62

NJ 30PA 12

DE 1

DC 1

MD 14VA 21KY 1

OH 25

MI 54

MT 2

ID 4

WA 28

TX 73

CA 222

AZ 3

NV 9

UT 7

CO 7

NM 1

OR 6

NE 4 IA 2

MS 1

IN 11IL 51

MN 8

WI 3

MO 6

AR 4OK 3

KS 4

LA 1

Source: Rhodium Group

Page 25: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Ohio Development Services Agency Support in China

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Doing Business in China Isn’t EasyHow can Development Services Agency help?

Development Services Agency provides free services to Ohio State companies to address common challenges faced by American businesses entering the Chinese market

Challenges Solutions

How do I sell into China? Distributor and Partner Searches

What are the opportunities in China? Market Intelligence

Is my Chinese partner legitimate? Reference Checks

How do I navigate trade policies and legal issues? Policy and Legal Research

How do I navigate customs barriers? Advocacy

How should I localize my strategy for China? Strategy Advise

What companies should I meet with? B2B Meeting Support

How do I plan a trade mission? Trade Mission Assistance

What about unforeseen issues? On the Ground Support

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Contact information

• International Trade Specialist

Celia Meyer [email protected]

Page 28: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Growing Through China: Market Opportunities

All non-photographic content is the property of Sino-American Business Consulting. These slides

cannot be reproduced without the express written consent of SABC. Copyright 2014 ©

Page 29: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Entering The Market: Keys for Success

Understand your market

Localize

Enter the right region for your business

Prepare staff and provide adequate support

Page 30: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Understand Your Market30

We’ll do it for you.

Page 31: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Localize 31

First Attempt Second Attempt

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Localize (2)32

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Enter the Right Region: Chinese Cities by Tier

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Prepare Your Staff34

• Internationally, the average rate for expat relocation

assignment failures is under 4%.

Page 35: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Keep in Mind

The Chinese and “Western” worldview are fundamentally different.

China is not the right market for every business.

There is tremendous market potential in lower-tiered cities.

If you decided to enter the market, consult professionals to help

appropriately localize your product and brand.

Send only trained and qualified personnel to China.

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Page 36: Growing Through China: A Comprehensive Look at Market Opportunities

Sino-American Business Consulting36

1550 Old Henderson, Suite N162

Columbus, Ohio 43220

614.397.2020

www.sinoabc.biz


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