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Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest...

Date post: 18-Jan-2016
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Page 1: Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up.

Guest Lecture

weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up

Page 3: Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up.

Weather? Climate?

current state of the atmosphere

time averaged weather: rain, temp, wind, etc..

Ex: summer rainfall averages 100mm(80, 70, 120, 200, 30 )NEVER HAD 100mm!

(20,10,50,60,360)NOT EVEN CLOSE!

STATISTICAL FICTION

Greek word: “klima”Word History The ancient Greeks believed that the earth sloped from the equator to the north pole. They thought that this sloping caused the different weather conditions found in different regions of the world. Therefore they called each of the regions a klima, which was also the word for "slope" or "inclination." Klimawas borrowed into Latin as clima, and from Latin it was taken into French where it was spelled climat. In English it became climate, a word which we now use more often to mean the weather conditions themselves than the region where they occur.

Climate variability?Climate change?Climate sceptic?

Page 4: Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up.

Caribbean rain-belt variability2001 2002 2003 2004

2005 2006 2007 2008

2009 2010 2011 2012

Page 5: Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up.

Caribbean rain-belt early rain season rainfall climatology

There is no weather in southern California during the summer. The climate in southern California during the summer is hot and dry.

HOW?

Page 6: Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up.

Compositing1980-1989

1960-1969

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/cgi-bin/data/composites/printpage.pl( or type into google noaa psd monthly composite )

Page 7: Guest Lecture weather briefing -- climate -- compositing -- paper review -- guest of the guest lecture -- wrap up.

Correlation / Regression plotting tool


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