50
SASEG 79TH CONVENTION 23 – 25 JUNE 2012 LUCERNE 23. – 25. JUNE 2012, LUCERNE GULF OF MEXICO APRIL 2010 GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010 ‐ AN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK‐BACK ‐ BY U. SEEMANN
SASEG 79TH CONVENTION23 – 25 JUNE 2012 LUCERNE23. – 25. JUNE 2012, LUCERNE
GULF OF MEXICO APRIL 2010GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010‐ AN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK‐BACK ‐
BYU. SEEMANN
GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010
AN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK BACKAN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK‐BACK
• WORLD ENERGY SYNOPSIS AT A GLANCE: BECAUSE WE ARE ‘SASEG’
• THE DEEPWATER SCENE
• BP’S MACONDO WELL, A TYPICAL DEEPWATER PROJECT
• MACONDO BLOWOUT AND FOLLOW‐UP
• STAKEHOLDER CONSIDERATIONS
• CONCLUSIONS
Macondo is the name of a fiction village about which ,Gabriel García Márquez wrote his story ‘100 years of loneliness’
ENERGY SOURCE MIX OF SELECTED COUNTRIES
100 %RENEWABLE
NUCLEAR
100 %
Bio
13% Hydro14 %
Hydro & Bio
COAL !
! !50 %
! !GAS !
OIL
0 %
Sources: US Gov., Eurostat., Arb. Gemeinsch. Energie‐bilanzen, OECD, IEA, ,BfE
WORLD USA EU GERMANY RUSSIA CHINA JAPAN BRASIL SWITZERLAND
(2011) (2008) (2007) (2008) (2007) (2007) (2007) (2006) (2010)
ENERGY SOURCE MIX : WORLD VS SWITZERLAND
WORLD
100 %MISCELLANEOUS
WORLD100 %
HYDRO ET AL.
NUCLEAR
% !
75 %
COAL 0 % !
0 % !
77 % !
«
92 %
75 %
!50 %
8080
ENER
GY «
WAY
ENER
GY
6 % !
% !
50 %
25 %
GAS
HRO
W‐AWAY
/ TH
ROW‐AW
NS
56
ONS 54
%
25 %25 %
OIL
ONE‐WAY
/ H
«ONE‐WAY
YDRO
CARB
O
YDRO
CARB
O
0 %
«O
Sources: US Gov., Eurostat., Arb. Gemeinsch. Energiebilanzen, OECD, BfE, BP Report 2012
«
HY HY
0 %
ENERGY CONSUMPTION PER SECTOR * ‐WORLD VS SWITZERLAND ‐
WORLD
THE WORLDAT LARGE IS
100%
WORLD
100%
Industry
‘INDUSTRY‐DRIVEN’75 % 75 %
Services
50 %THE (WESTERN) 50 %
Transport,
25 %
WORLD / SWITZERLAND IS DRIVEN BY‘DOMESTIC
25 %
Transport,Mobility
‘Living’ /D ti
NEEDS’ / CONSUMPTION
25 %
Sources:: BfE, Schw. Erdölver., 2010, IEA 2010
*0 %
DomesticNeeds
* Definition of sectors often not unequivocal
0 %
WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION (1910 – 2012)
250 250
1 * 109 BBL ‘OE’
200 200
150 150
100 100
50 50
2050
2000
2100
1950
1900
0 0
22 211
GASOILOTHER ENERGY
SOURCES
WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION (1910 – 2100)
250
1 * 109 BBL ‘OE’
250
200 200
150 150
100 100?50 50
?
2050
2000
2100
1950
1900
0 0
22 211
GASOILOTHER ENERGY
SOURCES
WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION (1910 – 2100)
250
1 * 109 BBL ‘OE’250
200 200
2 % GROWTH EQUALS PUTTING
150 150
2 % GROWTH EQUALS PUTTING
EVERY DAY 4 COMPLETE, NEW ‘GRIMSEL’ HYDRO‐ELECTRICITY PLANTS
100 100
GRIMSEL HYDRO ELECTRICITY PLANTS ‘ON STREAM’
50 50
2050
2000
2100
1950
1900
0 0
22 211
GASOILOTHER ENERGY
SOURCES
WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION (1910 – 2100)U. SEEMANN
250 250
1 * 109 BBL ‘OE’
200 200
150 150
100 100
50 50
2050
2000
2100
1950
1900
0 0
1 GENERATION
22 211
GASOILOTHER ENERGY
SOURCES References: Edwards, AAPG, 1997;‘BP Report’ 2012; Shell Energy Scenarios, 2008
THE ‘REACH’ OF CRUDE OIL RESERVES
‘RESERVES‘ TO BE (‘ ’)
’RESERVES‘ TO BE EXPLORED(POSSIBLE, UNCONVENTIONAL, ETC.)
E G DEEPWATERPRODUCED (‘PROVEN’) E.G. DEEPWATER
ONE
COL. DRAKE
2100
2050
2000
1950
1900
1850 12 76 84 53
EQUALS 100 * 109 BBL
* USING 2011 WORLD OIL CON‐
Bull. angew. Geol. Vol. 13/1, 2008; Schw. Erdölvereinigung 2010, BP 2011
1 GENERATION 76 84 53
1858 20552012 2112
WORLD OIL CONSUMPTION LEVEL
GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010
AN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK BACKAN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK‐BACK
• WORLD ENERGY SYNOPSIS AT A GLANCE: BECAUSE WE ARE ‘SASEG’
• THE DEEPWATER SCENE
• BP’S MACONDO WELL, A TYPICAL DEEPWATER PROJECT
• MACONDO BLOWOUT AND FOLLOW‐UP
• STAKEHOLDER CONSIDERATIONS
• CONCLUSIONS
Macondo is the name of a fiction village about which ,Gabriel García Márquez wrote his story ‘100 years of loneliness’
DEEPWATER EXPLORATION DRILLING (1978 ‐ 2011)
Cognac1978
Bullwinkle1988
Conoco(Julliet)
Petrobas(Marlim)
Na Kika2003
Petrobras(Roncador)
Mensa1997
Petrobras(MarlimSul)
Ursa1999
Ram-Powell1997
Mars1996
Auger1993
Transocean KG2 India201978 1988 (Julliet)
1989(Marlim)
19892003(Roncador)
19991997(MarlimSul)
19971999199719961993 2011
‐600 m800 m
1000 m
‘Water DepthWorld Record’:
3’107 m1200 m1400 m1600 m
3 107 m
1800 m2000 m2200 m KG2 has a reach of2200 m2400 m2600 m2800 m
KG2 has a reach ofup to 10 km
drilling depth in upto 3.6 km water
depth2800 m3000 m
* OGP (Interntional Organisation of Oil and Gas Producers), 2011
BP’S MACONDO WELL – A TYPICAL DEEPWATER PROJECT
LOCATION OF THEMACONDO WELL
‘MACONDO’ IS LOCATEDIN THE DEEPWATEROIL AND GAS PROVINCEOF THE GULF OF MEXICOOF THE GULF OF MEXICO,SOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA
MACONDO IS ONE OF THE 14’000 DEEPWATER WELLS14 000 DEEPWATER WELLS(> 200 METERS WATERDEPTH) DRILLED SINCE 1978
BP’S MACONDO WELL: EQUALS 3 ‘EIGER NORTH FACES’ IN DEPTH
0
O TH
RS)
(SHADOW OF) ‘EIGER
NORTHFACE’: 1’900 METERS
MACO
NDO
WAT
ER DEP
T(1’600
METER
2000
1 900 METERS
4000
TARGET DEPTH OFTARGET DEPTH OF MACONDO WELL = 5’500 METERS =
+ / ‐3 ‘EIGER NORTH FACES’
BP’S MACONDO WELL ‐ DRILLING TIME AND COST
0
ONDO
R DEP
TH
METER
S)
MACO
WAT
ER(1’600
M
2000 m2000
4000
MORE THAN 1 YEAR DRILLING;AT OVER 100 MILLION USD COSTS
GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010
AN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK BACKAN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK‐BACK
• WORLD ENERGY SYNOPSIS AT A GLANCE: BECAUSE WE ARE ‘SASEG’
• THE DEEPWATER SCENE
• BP’S MACONDO WELL, A TYPICAL DEEPWATER PROJECT
• MACONDO BLOWOUT AND FOLLOW‐UP
• STAKEHOLDER CONSIDERATIONS
• CONCLUSIONS
Macondo is the name of a fiction village about which ,Gabriel García Márquez wrote his story ‘100 years of loneliness’
MACONDO BLOWOUT- BOTTOM HOLE WELL DESIGN -
CHALLENGED WELL INTEGRITY POINTSINTEGRITY POINTS
9 ‘’ /7 ‘’
DEPTH: 5.5 KILOMETERS RESERVOIR PRESSURE (MULTI‐BILLION LITER VOLUMES):
1’000’s PSI; 100’s KGS PER CM2
MACONDO BLOWOUT
DEPTH: 5.5 KILOMETERS RESERVOIR PRESSURE (MULTI‐BILLION LITER VOLUMES):
1’000’s PSI; 100’s KGS PER CM2
MACONDO BLOWOUT
Macondo Blowout Well
Relief Well 2 Relief Well 1‘CLEAN‐UP’
0
R DEP
TH:
METER
S
Relief Well 2 Relief Well 1 CLEAN UP
WATER
1’60
0 M
‘SUBSEA LEAK’ ‘ TOP KILL’
OPERATIONS
2000 m2000
4000
RESERVOIR: 5’500 METERSRELIEF WELLS (‘BOTTOM KILL’)
MACONDO BLOWOUT‐ RELIEF OPERATIONS ‐
Macondo Blowout Well
0
‘SUBSEA LEAK’ ‘ TOP KILL’
OPERATIONS
2000 m2000
4000
MACONDO BLOWOUT- ‘TOP KILL’ -
DEPTH: 5.5 KILOMETERS RESERVOIR PRESSURE (MULTI‐BILLION LITER VOLUMES):
1’000’s PSI; 100’s KGS PER CM2
MACONDO BLOWOUT‐ RELIEF OPERATIONS ‐
Macondo Blowout Well
Relief Well 10
Relief Well 1
2000 m2000
4000
RESERVOIR: 5’500 METERSRELIEF WELL (‘BOTTOM KILL’)
MACONDO BLOWOUT- RELIEF WELL -
9 ‘’
DEPTH: 5.5 KILOMETERS RESERVOIR PRESSURE (MULTI BILLION LITER VOLUMES)
1’000’s PSI; 100’s KGS PER CM2
MACONDO RELIEF WELLS: PRECISION DRILLING STADE DE SUISSE IN BERNE – SCALING EXAMPLE
TARGET DEPTH OF ‘MACONDO’ RELIEF
DISTANCE DENTISTE TO PATIENT : 100 METERS
MACONDO RELIEF WELL: 5’500 METERS
DIAMETER OF ‘BLOW‐OUT’ WELL BORE AT TARGET
DEPTH: + / ‐ 20 CENTIMETERS
DIAMETER OF HOLE IN TOOTH TO BE TREATED: + / ‐ 3.0 MILLIMETERS
MACONDO BLOWOUT‐ THE CLEAN UP ‐
Macondo Blowout Well
‘CLEAN‐UP’
0
R DEP
TH:
METER
S
CLEAN UP
WATER
1’60
0 M
2000 m2000
4000
PRESS REACTION ONE YEAR AFTER THE ‘BP BLOW OUT’(TIME SCIENCE, 19. APRIL 2011)
THERE IS RECOVERY WHERE ONCE THE GULF SPILL IS FAR FROM OVER
WAS ONLY FEARTHE GULF SPILL IS FAR FROM OVER
WHERE DO WE ACTUALLY STAND TWO YEARS AFTER
??????
MACONDO OIL SPILL: ’HOW BIG IS BIG’ ?
U S
1979
1989‘GULF WAR
SPILL’11 MMBL
1910LAKEVIEW
CALIFORNIA 11 MMBBL
9 9IXTOC –MEXICO +/- 4.0
MMBBL2010
MACONDO –
1978AMOCO
CO OGULF OF MEXICO5 MMBL
1979ATLANTIC
1967TOREY
CANYON 0.80
MMBBL
AMOCO CADIZ
1.6 MMBBL 1989
EXXON VALDEZ
0.3
ATLANTIC EMPRESS
2.0 MMBBL
MMBBL 0.3 MMBBL
1910
1960
1980
2000
1 YEAR NATURAL SPILL IN GULF OF OF MEXICO =
Sources: NOAA (National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration) US; ITOPF (The International Oil Tanker Owner Pollution Federation Ltd.), 2009..SPE News, 06.07.2010 + Discussion following presentation by Archie Smith CEO of ‘Oil Spill Contingency Company’ at Geneva Petroleum Club 03.11.2010
= 1 MILLION BARRELS (MMBL) = 159 MILLION LITERS
TANKER INCIDENTS OTHER INCIDENTS
MACONDO OIL SPILL: SOME FACTS AND FIGURES
DURATION OF FLOWDURATION OF FLOW20. APRIL – 15. JULY 2010 (+ / ‐ 80 DAYS)
TOTAL SPILL‐VOLUME4.9 MMBBL (= 2 1/ 2 SUPERTANKERS)
TOTAL SPILL ‐ AERATOTAL SPILL AERA217’000 KM2 (= 5 TIMES THE SIZE OF SWITZERLAND)
MACONDO OIL SPILL: THE CLEAN‐UP
‐ SOME FACTS AND FIGURES ‐
RESSOURCES INVOLVED
STAFF : 48’000‐ STAFF : 48 000‐ VESSELS: 6’000‐ AIRCRAFTS: 120
MATERIAL AND MONEY INVOLVED
‐ 1’000 KM OF FLOATING BARRIERS
‐ TENS OF BILLIONS USD (INCLUDING COMPENSATIONS – UP TO MAY 2012)COMPENSATIONS – UP TO MAY 2012)
MACONDO OIL SPILL: THE CLEAN‐UP
‐ RESULTS ‐
VOLUME – REMOVAL
FROM 20. APRIL 2010 TO END 2010 (8 MONTHS)4.9 MMBBL (= 2 1/ 2 SUPERTANKERS) < 1.5 MMBL = < ¾ SUPERTANKER
SURFACE – REMOVALSURFACE REMOVAL
FROM 20. APRIL 2010 TO APRIL 2011 (1 YEAR)217’000 KM2 ( 5 TIMES 2’600 KM2 (= 1.2 % OFSIZE OF SWITZERLAND) ORIGINAL SURFACE)
Sources: Presentation by ‘Oil Spill Response Ltd.’; 03.11.2010, Geneva & BP 2011
CONCENTRATED IN FLOATING ‘HEAVY OIL’ PLUMES
MACONDO OIL SPILL: THE CLEAN‐UP
‐ ‘WHERE DID IT ALL GO?’ ‐nn
n‐ WHERE DID IT ALL GO? ‐
MBB
L
SPILL
MMBB
Lnnn
UAL’: 1
.5 M
M
NITIAL S
2010
): 4.9
0 4 MMBBL CHEMICALLY DISOLVED0.2 MMBBL BURNT ‘R
ESIDU
.4 M
MBB
L
OTA
L IN
L ‐15. JULY
0.8 MMBBL NATURALLY DISOLVED0.4 MMBBL CHEMICALLY DISOLVED
OCESSED
’ : 3TO
(20. APR
IL 0.8 MMBBL BY SKIMMING
‘PRO1 .2 MMBBL EVAPORATED
Source: Presentation by ‘Oil Spill Response Ltd.’; 03.11.2010, Geneva & BP 2011
20.04.2010 DECEMBER 2010 NO FURTHER OFFICIAL
DATA AVAILABLE BEYOND THIS DATE
GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010
AN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK BACKAN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK‐BACK
• WORLD ENERGY SYNOPSIS AT A GLANCE: BECAUSE WE ARE ‘SASEG’
• THE DEEPWATER SCENE
• BP’S MACONDO WELL, A TYPICAL DEEPWATER PROJECT
• MACONDO BLOWOUT AND FOLLOW‐UP
• STAKEHOLDER CONSIDERATIONS
• CONCLUSIONS
Macondo is the name of a fiction village about which ,Gabriel García Márquez wrote his story ‘100 years of loneliness’
?
MACONDO STAKEHOLDERS§§ STAKEHOLDERS §§
COMPANIES, AUTHORITIES
MACONDO BLOWOUT- US REGULATORY & LEGISLATORY FOLLOW-UP -US REGULATORY & LEGISLATORY FOLLOW UP
2010 2011 2012A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J
2010 2011 2012
DURATION OF BLOWOUT ‘KILL
MORATORIUMS, DECREES,
OPERATIONS’
§§ §§ §§
§§§§ §§ §§ §§
REGULATIONS (INITIALLY)
DECLARED AND LIFTED
AT ‘HIGH SPEED’ §§
§§GOV.
REPORT
AT HIGH SPEED
CONGRESSIONAL HEARING OF BP CEO
FINAL REPORT: STUDY GROUP
GULF OF MEXICO ‘IS BACK TO NORMAL’ LICENSING
FINAL REPORT: STUDY GROUP
FROM ‘OVER REACTION’ TO ‘BACK TO NORMAL’
MACONDO BLOWOUT
COMPANIES FOLLOW UP- COMPANIES FOLLOW-UP -
2010 2011 2012A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J
2010 2011 2012
DURATION OF BLOWOUT ‘KILL OPERATIONS’
BP SETTING‐UP CLAIMSFUND
CAMERON ‘BOP’ SETTLEMENT 25 MILLION
CLAIMS PAID (PER MAY 2012) 8.5 BILLION
20 BILLION
BP’S PUBLIC STATEMENT TO GOV. REPORT TRIGGERS LAW‐SUIT CASES BY BP’S PARTNERS
PARTNERS SETTLEMENTS (ANADARKO & MITSUI) 5 BILLION
LOUISIANA COURT TRIAL
SUIT CASES BY BP S PARTNERS
FROM ‘FINGERPOINTING’ TO ‘MISTRUST’ TO SETTLEMENT ???
MACONDO BLOWOUT- MEDIA PRESENCE / PROFIL -
APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
2010
DURATION OF BLOWOUT /‘KILL OPERATIONS’
DURATION OF MORATO
xDURATION OF MORATO-RIUM (“1”)
PAKISTAN FLOODINGFLOODING
AMOUNT OF ‘BP’ MEDIA EVENTSMEDIA EVENTS‘MEDIA PROFILE’
?OIL & GAS INDUSTRY
?
MACONDO STAKEHOLDERS§§ STAKEHOLDERS §§
COMPANIES, AUTHORITIES
THE OIL & GAS INDUSTRYTHE OIL & GAS INDUSTRY
THE SAFETY ASPECT / REPUTATIONTHE SAFETY ASPECT / REPUTATION
SADLY THE ACCIDENT CAUSED 11 FATALITIES
OIL & GAS INDUSTRY – MANHOURS VS INCIDENT RATEOIL & GAS INDUSTRY MANHOURS VS INCIDENT RATE
3000 6 ANHOURS
Note:
RS MILLION M
A
*?
Note:‐ Rapid increase in Manhours
from 2000 onwardsparalleled with distinctdeacrease in incident rate
N M
ANHOU 2000 4
E (‘IR’) P
ER Mdeacrease in incident rate
OIL & GAS INDUSTRY APPEARS TO BE A ‘FAST LEARNING’ INDUSTRY
MILLION
1000 2
CIDEN
T RAT
ELEARNING INDUSTRY
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100 0
INC
* No reliable data before 2000‘OGP’ (Int. Org of Oil & Gas Producers) Report, 2011 (42 Contributing Companies)
‘ ’ S **
INCIDENT RATE PER MILLION ‘EXPOSURE HOURS’
O & G S ‘ALL’ INDUSTRY **OIL & GASINDUSTRY *
MOUNTAIN‘SPORTS’ ***
25
)
RS’
25
Note:
Remarkable lowIncident Rate of Oil
CONSTRUCTION WORKERS:
> 25
20
15
ENTS (
SURE
HOU
‘EU' R
ANGE 20
15
& Gas Industry
10
OF INCIDE
ON ‘EXP
OS ‘
10
5
INUMBE
R PE
R MILLI
5GLOBAL
0 0COMPARISONS ACROSSS ‘SECTORS’ BEAR THE RISK OF CORRELATING DIFFERENT ASSESSMENT METHODS. HOWEVER, GENRAL TRENDS CAN BE CONSIDERED AS INDICATIVE
* ‘OGP’ (Int. Org of Oil & Gas Producers) Report, 2011; 42 contributing Companies.2.2 Million estimated workers
*** SAC & BfU: Bergnotfälle 2009 & E‐Mail, U. Mosimann, 24.04.2012: 2.5 Millionen Bergsportler @ 50 Stunden pro Jahr
** ‘SUVA’ Unfallstatistik (UVG, 2003 – 2007); Grafik 12.1, Seite 102; 2009; 3.8 Million Versicherte
‘FATALITY PYRAMIDES’
‘ALL’OIL & GAS ‘MOUNTAINUN
PRO MS
‘ALL’INDUSTRY **
OIL & GASINDUSTRY *
GLOBAL
‘MOUNTAIN SPORTS’ ***
20 5 §
S
136
1’000
GLOBAL
1’00020.5 §1 000
800
1 000
800
( )
600 600
R’ IN
CIDEN
TS
) Note:
Low number of
400 400
‘FORE
‐RUNNER
R FATA
LITY
( Low number of
Incidents(«Warnings») per Fatality of Oil & Gas Industry
4.0 §2.5
ONE EQUALS 20 ’FORE‐RUNNER’ INCIDENTS («WARNINGS») PER FATALITY
200 200
NUMBE
R OF ‘
PER Gas Industry
0 0
* ‘OGP’ (Int. Org of Oil & Gas Producers) Report, 2011; 42 contributing Companies.2.2 Million estimated workers
*** SAC & BfU: Bergnotfälle 2009 & E‐Mail, U. Mosimann, 24.04.2012: 2.5 Millionen Bergsportler @ 50 Stunden pro Jahr
** ‘SUVA’ Unfallstatistik (UVG, 2003 – 2007); Grafik 12.1, Seite 102; 2009; 3.8 Million Versicherte
COMPARISONS ACROSSS ‘SECTORS’ BEAR THE RISK OF CORRELATING DIFFERENT ASSESSMENT METHODS. HOWEVER, GENRAL TRENDS CAN BE CONSIDERED AS INDICATIVE
THE OIL & GAS INDUSTRYTHE OIL & GAS INDUSTRY
THE ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECT / REPUTATIONTHE ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECT / REPUTATION
THE ‘DARK AGES’ OF THE OIL BUSINESS AND THE ENVIRONMENT‐ ‘HISTORICAL QUOTES’ ‐
”You ‐ as Company Representative ‐ are responsible to explore for Oil in our
HISTORICAL QUOTES
Country. We are not having you here to bother about the Environment. We’ll take care of that one ! “
Quote of a Governmental Official of a Southeast Asian Country (1994)
“I tell you: I’ve spoilt the Environment in manyCountries of the World where I can’t show my face anymore! “Q ote of a CEO of an Ameri an Independent Compan (2001)Quote of a CEO of an American Independent Company (2001)
THE OIL BUSINESS AND THE ENVIRONMENT‐WE’VE COME A LONG WAY ‐
PRICE TAG OF ASSESSMENT: > 1 MILLION USD
DURATION OF ASSESSMENT:BUENOS AIRES . DURATION OF ASSESSMENT: 2 YEARS
WIDESPREAD MONITORING OF MARINE FLORA, FAUNA AND
METOCEAN DATAMETOCEAN DATA
ASSESSMENT AT WELL LOCATION (PRE‐ AND POSTDRILLING) E G BENTHONIC ANDE. G BENTHONIC AND
PLANKTONIC ASSEMBLAGES
SOCIO ECONOMIC
FALKLAND ISLANDS
500 km
SOCIO‐ECONOMIC IMPACT ASSESSMENTON FALKLAND ISLANDS
??
? ?CONSUMERS OIL & GAS INDUSTRY
?
MACONDO STAKEHOLDERS§§ STAKEHOLDERS §§
COMPANIES, AUTHORITIES U. SEEMANN
INTERACTIVE ENVIRONMENTAL & ENERGY BALANCE TOOL - REAL EXAMPLE: 3 PERSON HOUSEHOLD -
INPUT PERSONS IN HOUSEHOLD 3
OIL ‐ LITERSPRIVATE CAR–LITER PETROL
ELECTRICITY ‐HYDRO (KWH)15 1000 30002000
HOLIDAY –FLYING HOURS
100 %
ENERGY ‘MIX’100 %
80 %
F MIX
60 %
40 %UP 90
% OF
D ENER
GY M
40 %
20 %L MAKE
S‐U
OUSEHOLD
0 %
OI
HO
BP PRESS RELEASE: 12TH OF JUNE 2012
1’980 METERS WATER DEPTH
GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010GULF OF MEXICO: APRIL 2010
AN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK BACKAN UNCONVENTIONAL LOOK‐BACK
• WORLD ENERGY SYNOPSIS AT A GLANCE: BECAUSE WE ARE ‘SASEG’ • THE DEEPWATER SCENE
• BP’S MACONDO WELL, A TYPICAL DEEPWATER PROJECT
• MACONDO BLOWOUT AND FOLLOW‐UP• MACONDO BLOWOUT AND FOLLOW‐UP
• STAKEHOLDER CONSIDERATIONS
• CONCLUSIONS
Macondo is the name of a fiction village about which ,Gabriel García Márquez wrote his story ‘100 years of loneliness’
MACONDO CONCLUSIONS (1)CAUSED GREAT GRIEVANCE AMONGST MANY FAMILIES & CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO LOCAL ENVIRONMENT AND ECONOMY
CAUGHT BP ALL OPERATORS THE LEGISLATOR AND AUTHORITIESCAUGHT BP, ALL OPERATORS, THE LEGISLATOR AND AUTHORITIES ‘OFF GUARD’
TRIGGERED LAWSUIT CASES OF GIGANTIC DIMENSIONS
LEAD TO RATHER VAGUE AND CONTRADICTING ‘LEARNING‐STATEMENTS’:
‐ NEGLIGENCE YES/ NO ?HUMAN FAILURE RESPONSIBILITY YES / NO ?‐ HUMAN FAILURE – RESPONSIBILITY YES / NO ?
‐MANAGEMENT FAILURE YES/NO ?
MACONDO CONCLUSIONS (2)MACONDO CONCLUSIONS (2)
THE SURFACE CLEAN‐UP WAS A CONCENTRATEDEFFORT OF A DIMENSION HITHERTO UNHEARD OF
THE TECHNICAL FOLLOW UPWAS A REMARKABLETHE TECHNICAL FOLLOW‐UP WAS A REMARKABLE PERFORMANCE (TOP KILL, BOTTOM KILL)
AND
WE’RE ALL PART OF ‘IT’
AND
WE RE ALL PART OF ITU. SEEMANN
