Date post: | 14-Nov-2014 |
Category: |
Economy & Finance |
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Suncorp Bank
Darryl Conroy
“Prepare for Battle”
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General Advice Warning
This advice has been prepared without taking into account your particular objectives, financial situation or needs. For that reason, before acting on the advice you should consider the appropriateness of the advice having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs.
• Where the advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product, you should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement relating to the product and consider the Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision about whether to acquire the product.
Suncorp Bank
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The Game Has Changed
Market norms have broken-
down
Think Differently !
Act Differently !
Suncorp Bank
The Big Three
Europe Sovereign Debt
US Double Dip
China Economic Slowdown
Suncorp Bank
Unprecedented Stimulus
1. US $ 2.3 trillion
2. UK £ 325 billion
3. Japan ¥ 55 trillion
4. Europe € 1.02 trillion
5. China ¥ 4 trillion
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Record Low Bond Yields
Suncorp Bank
Submerging (developed)
Emerging (BRIIC’s)
Australia (piggy-in-the-middle)
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Suncorp Bank
…solvency…Much Ado About Europe
Country Gross Debt/GDP
Net Debt/GDP
Greece 181% 225%
Ireland 164% 1,255%
Spain 72% 235%
Italy 119% 165%
France 86% 279%
Germany 96% 209%
Australia 39% 106%
Suncorp Bank
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Uh Oh… 160 year high
Suncorp Bank
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Structural Change
Suncorp Bank
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Patchwork Economy
• Bad News Cycle
• Poor Confidence
• Job Insecurity
• New Taxes
• Political Uncertainty
• Adaptability
• Flexibility
• Productivity
• Innovation
• Technology
Suncorp Bank
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Negative Tourism…
Suncorp Bank
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Business Squeeze Costs rising, but sales falling...
Volume driven business to struggle
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Margin driven business to prosper
Suncorp Bank
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Financial MarketsWealth Preservation
Cash is King
― Fixed Interest
– Stocks (Dividends)
– Commodities mixed
? Real Estate
Suncorp Bank
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Bank Funding Winners & Losers
Suncorp Bank
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A Tale of Two Cities
Port Headland Donga Parisian Chateau
Suncorp Bank
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Interest Rates
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Suncorp Bank
AUD Overvalued !
Suncorp Bank
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Aussie Dollar Commodity slide
Suncorp Bank
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Stocks – on trend
“Plans are nothing; planning is everything.”
~ Dwight D. EisenhowerSource: scrapetv.com