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Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

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Presentation given by Daryl Conroy, Financial Analyst with Suncorp Bank at the launch of the Gympie Business Confidence Survey breakfast meeting hosted by the Gympie Chamber of Commerce.
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Darryl Conroy 1 Suncorp Bank “Prepare for Battle”
Transcript
Page 1: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

1

Suncorp Bank

Darryl Conroy

“Prepare for Battle”

Page 2: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

2

General Advice Warning

This advice has been prepared without taking into account your particular objectives, financial situation or needs. For that reason, before acting on the advice you should consider the appropriateness of the advice having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs.

• Where the advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product, you should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement relating to the product and consider the Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision about whether to acquire the product.

Page 3: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

3

The Game Has Changed

Market norms have broken-

down

Think Differently !

Act Differently !

Page 4: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

The Big Three

Europe Sovereign Debt

US Double Dip

China Economic Slowdown

Page 5: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

Unprecedented Stimulus

1. US $ 2.3 trillion

2. UK £ 325 billion

3. Japan ¥ 55 trillion

4. Europe € 1.02 trillion

5. China ¥ 4 trillion

Page 6: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

6

Record Low Bond Yields

Suncorp Bank

Submerging (developed)

Emerging (BRIIC’s)

Australia (piggy-in-the-middle)

Page 7: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

7

Suncorp Bank

…solvency…Much Ado About Europe

Country Gross Debt/GDP

Net Debt/GDP

Greece 181% 225%

Ireland 164% 1,255%

Spain 72% 235%

Italy 119% 165%

France 86% 279%

Germany 96% 209%

Australia 39% 106%

Page 8: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

8

Uh Oh… 160 year high

Page 9: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

9

Structural Change

Page 10: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

10

Patchwork Economy

• Bad News Cycle

• Poor Confidence

• Job Insecurity

• New Taxes

• Political Uncertainty

• Adaptability

• Flexibility

• Productivity

• Innovation

• Technology

Page 11: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

11

Negative Tourism…

Page 12: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

12

Business Squeeze Costs rising, but sales falling...

Volume driven business to struggle

V

Margin driven business to prosper

Page 13: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

13

Financial MarketsWealth Preservation

Cash is King

― Fixed Interest

– Stocks (Dividends)

– Commodities mixed

? Real Estate

Page 14: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

14

Bank Funding Winners & Losers

Page 15: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

15

A Tale of Two Cities

Port Headland Donga Parisian Chateau

Page 16: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

16

Interest Rates

Page 17: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

17

Suncorp Bank

AUD Overvalued !

Page 18: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

18

Aussie Dollar Commodity slide

Page 19: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

Suncorp Bank

19

Stocks – on trend

Page 20: Gympie Business Confidence Survey launch by Suncorp Bank Aug 2012

“Plans are nothing; planning is everything.”

~ Dwight D. EisenhowerSource: scrapetv.com


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