+ All Categories
Home > Documents > HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data...

HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data...

Date post: 27-Jul-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
16
Gymnasium Haganum Model United Nations Empowering the Sustainability Revolution Disarmament Commission (DC) Developing an International Legal Framework for the weaponization of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020
Transcript
Page 1: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

Gymnasium Haganum Model United Nations Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

Disarmament Commission (DC)Developing an International Legal Framework for the weaponization of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data

6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Gymnasium Haganum, The Hague

Page 2: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

Forum: Disarmament Committee (DC)

Issue: Developing an international legal framework for the

weaponization of Artificial Intelligence (AI) & Big Data

Student Officer: Skander Lejmi

Position: President

IntroductionThere has been a rising fear of the weaponization of both Artificial Intelligence and Big

Data catalysed after what many refer to as the fourth industrial revolution. Some previously

timeless scriptures on war such as “The Art of War” by Sun Tzu are now inevitably losing

their value as humanity moves towards a novel, innovative and previously inconceivable type

of warfare that is comprised not of swords & shields or of guns & rifles but rather of military

robots. Qualified analysts have even made the concerning case that a global Artificial

Intelligence arms race has been ongoing since the mid 2010s.

This is of course massively concerning to the international community as we would not

like to see the inexorable march of both physical (militarized artificial intelligence) and even

more gravely concerning metaphysical (militarized big data) novel technology that poses a

threat to our international security. Our comprehension of these two concepts (artificial

intelligence and militarized big data) and their magnitude/prospects for destruction has been

deemed minimal by experts on the topic. What has become evident through a multitude of

different reports is that these concepts are unequivocally dangerous and as such must be

tackled with great urgency and seriousness.

Definition of Key Terms

Artificial Intelligence (AI)

2

Page 3: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

Whilst there is no universally recognized definition of artificial intelligence,

different international bodies (OECD and UNCTAD) have come to a general consensus

regarding the definition of Artificial Intelligence (AI) as: “the ability of machines and

systems to acquire and to apply knowledge and to carry out intelligent behaviour. This

includes a variety of cognitive tasks such as but not limited to sensing, processing oral

language, reasoning, learning, making decisions.” They can also demonstrate an ability to

move and manipulate objects accordingly. Intelligent systems use a combination of big

data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things

(IoT) to operate and learn”. This very definition attests to the incomplete comprehension

of international bodies with respect to the capricious and unprecedented concept of

artificial intelligence that will further be expounded upon in the below sections.

Big Data

There are multiple definitions given to Big Data but of course we shall be following the

UN definition which was coined by the UNECE (United Nations Economic Commission

for Europe) that states that Big Data are essentially data sources which follow/fit the

following description: high-volume, high volume, veracity, velocity and variety of data

that demand cost-effective, innovative forms of processing for enhanced insight and

decision making. With regards to the purpose that they serve in warfare and therefore how

they fit into the context of the issue we shall be solving, they are utilized as an

indispensable variable to Artificial Intelligence (AI) in their military operation. Of course,

the prospective danger that Big Data analysis poses on international security outside of

this context is also our (as in the UN) duty to tackle but it is outside of the scope of the

issue on our agenda and as such would detract from the ultimate resolution we produce

and pass.

Military Robots

Military Robots have not been given a definition by any international body but are

generally recognized as autonomous robots or remote-controlled mobile robots that serve

some sort of military purpose. In our particular context, we will be looking more at

autonomous robots which are essentially robots that perform tasks predicated on an

algorithm in order to reach a goal entirely independently. This essentially means that it is

3

Page 4: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

the application of Artificial Intelligence manifested in a military robot (which is

in fact greatly prominent and arguably at the core of the issue).

Artificial Moral Agents (AMAs)

Artificial Moral Agents are essentially autonomous robots that have been endowed with

moral reasoning capabilities as such making them less dangerous in their advanced

capacity to comprehend and thereby minimize unethical consequences when they are

attempting to achieve their objective (the achievement of an objective being a framework

that all autonomous robots are endowed with).

Background Information

The issue of the weaponization of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data is of course

multidimensional and therefore we will be separating the background information into two

sections: the danger posed by artificial intelligence and big data, and the legal frameworks

that have already been established pertaining to both of these concepts.

Danger Posed by Artificial Intelligence & Big Data

In late 2017, the UN started talks on the prospective dangers of Artificial Intelligence

(namely autonomous weapons systems) succeeding multitudinous calls on issuing an

international ban on these “killer robots” that have changed the nature of warfare and will

continue to do so in manners that remain ambiguous to us. Officials convened in Geneva

throughout an entire week under the disarmament group by the name of the Convention on

Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) had come after warnings made by more than 100

leaders in the artificial intelligence industry in August including Tesla’s Elon Musk and

Alphabet’s Mustafa Suleyman attesting to these weapons ability to effectively lead to a “third

revolution in warfare”.

The aforementioned lethal autonomous weapons systems are perfectly capable of

taking human lives predicated on the algorithm that they have been allocated. Often, this

algorithm is reliant on big data analytics and as such the two latter and the former are in fact

interdependent for successful weaponized operation.

4

Page 5: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

To exemplify the magnitude of production of these aforementioned weaponized

autonomous systems, the UK's Taranis Drone, an unmanned combat aerial vehicle, is

expected to be fully operational by 2030 and thereby capable of replacing the manned

Tornado GR4 fighter planes that are effectively part of the Royal Air Force. This is

particularly concerning as if said drone is not endowed with proper moral and ethical

reasoning (essentially the aforementioned AMA concept), it is perfectly capable of

committing international crimes if it is conducive to the accomplishment of its goal.

Another grave concern that arises and must be dealt with urgently in the prospect of

these particular falling in the hands of terrorists. Alvin Wilby, vice president of research at

Thales (an organization that supplies espionage/reconnaissance drones to the British Army,

informed the House of Lords Artificial Intelligence Committee that it was merely a matter of

time before the terrorists got their hands on lethal artificial intelligence. Others also make the

case that given the exponential development of technology in recent times it is not merely the

prospect of terrorist organizations on getting their hands on the lethal artificial intelligence

but much more concerning, the prospect of the terrorist organizations actually generating

these military robots of lethal capabilities that obviously wouldn’t follow any international

protocol regarding endowing the aforementioned robots with moral capabilities. The

development of these weapons in the hands of terrorist organizations certainly poses a threat

to international security as quite simply put it would catalyse the terrorist acts of said

organizations and as such launch an entirely novel form of combat against terrorism whereby

they may

Pertinent International Legal Frameworks

The pertinent international legal frameworks that have enlightened the fields of AI

and Big Data are thankfully abundant and all listed below:

Treaty in Open Skies

Enforced in 2002, the Treaty in Open Skies essentially just provides State

Parties the right to conduct short-noticed, unarmed, observation flights over the

territories of other state parties. This effectively enhances mutual understanding and

transparency in regards to the signatories military activities and as such minimizes

5

Page 6: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

any unexpected surge in the weaponization of artificial intelligence. This

treaty has also notably been ratified by the following 35 states: Belarus, Belgium,

Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia,

Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia,

Lithuania, Kyrgyzstan, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal,

Romania, Russia, the Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey, Ukraine,

the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW)

This convention which also commonly referred to as the Inhumane Weapons

Convention was adopted in 1980 and essentially served the purpose of prohibiting or

in the least decreasing the use of weapons capable of inflicting avoidable or

inexcusable (in that it defies the international laws pertinent to war set out by the

Rome Statute amongst many other legally-binding documents) torment to soldiers as

well as involving civilians with no aim. Of course, the convention is only of legally-

binding application when speaking of situations of international armed conflict.

Major Countries and Organizations Involved

CCW

The CCW persistently convenes in order to discuss this issue and has effectively been

addressing it since 1980 (when they established the first legal framework pertaining to the

issue as a whole). As such, the pertinence of the CCW with respect to this issue is

considerably high.

Russia

Russia is actively participating in what has been dubbed the “Artificial Intelligence

Arms Race”. The commander-in-chief of the Russian air force even stated as early as

6

Page 7: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

February 2017 that Russia had effectively been working on AI-guided missiles with

the capacity of deciding to switch targets half-way through their flight entirely autonomously

predicated on the algorithms that they had been given.

United States of America

In 2014, the former Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel posited the “Third Offset

Strategy” that recognized that rapid advances in Ai technology will pave the way to the future

generation of warfare and thereby implicitly acted accordingly. Their involvement in the

weaponization of AI/Big Data is in fact explicitly demonstrated in the U.S. Department of

Defenses increased investment in Artificial Intelligence, Big Data and cloud computing from

the relatively mere 5.6 billion US dollars in 2011 to 7.4 billion US dollars in 2016, attesting

not merely to their recognition of the military prospect of AI/Big Data but also of their active

involvement in the weaponization thereof.

China

A report published in February of 2019 by Gregory C. Allen, “China's leadership -

including President Xi Jinping- believe that being at the forefront in AI technology is critical

to the future of global military and economic power competition”. In order to obtain more

information on the Artificial Intelligence industry in China, please click here.

Timeline of Events

7

Page 8: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

Source: https://concordacademy.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/CAMUN2019SC-

ArtificialIntelAndNationalSecurity.pdf

Relevant UN Treaties and Events

As previously mentioned, there are multiple treaties of particular pertinence to this issue as a

whole and that have equally been ratified my multiple nations:

● Treaty in Open Skies, 2002

● Inhumane Weapons Convention, 1980

● S/RES/2286, 3rd May 2016

Previous Attempts to solve the Issue

8

Page 9: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

All of the efforts made by the international community to “solve” the issue

are manifested in the above documents and treaties. Of course the issue is multidimensional

and as such in order to solve it, a multilateral approach must be adopted but for the moment

the international community is attempting to establish an internationally ratified and

recognized treaty that requires the endowment of autonomous military robots with moral

capabilities that prevent or in the least minimize undesirable and unethical casualties.

Possible Solutions

In order to solve this issue as a whole it is imperative to address many of the sub-

issues that it is made up of. As such, I have provided a multidimensional approach including

ideas on how to solve the issue and most importantly what needs to be addressed:

● Danger of Artificial Intelligence/Big Data

o Moral Reasoning of AI

▪With regards to moral reasoning it is imperative to establish an

international legal framework that effectively prohibits the endowment

of artificially intelligent in the absence of any moral capabilities that

operate as preventative measures that aren’t overridable by the AI

when they are obstructive to achieving said goal.

● In order to do this, an example could be calling for an

international summit comprised of the members of the CCW

and experts on the issue of AI in order to discuss and ultimately

establish a legal framework that will be abided to by all of the

attendee nations

o Terrorist Organizations

▪ Unfortunately, this repercussion of AI/Big Data is simply inexorable.

All we can do as an international community in order to address this

issue is minimize it by all means possible by doing the following:

9

Page 10: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

● Conducting research and investigations in order to

determine whether said terrorist organizations even have these

aforementioned weapons and if so, determine the level of

technology they are using

● Develop our technology and consistently ensure that in

accordance with the previous bullet point, our AI is of superior

capabilities as to combat the AI utilized by the terrorist

organizations successfully

● Hold accountable any and all perpetrators of the previously

established legal framework (as they are required by

international law to abide by this framework if it is ratified by

the UNSC)

Bibliography

Allen, C., et al. “Critiquing the Reasons for Making Artificial Moral Agents.” Science and Engineering Ethics, Springer Netherlands, 1 Jan. 1970, link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11948-018-0030-8. Accessed 12 Feb. 2020.

“Big Data.” Wikipedia, Wikimedia Foundation, 14 Feb. 2020, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_data#Government. Accessed 12 Feb. 2020.

“Ethics of Artificial Intelligence.” Wikipedia, Wikimedia Foundation, 11 Feb. 2020, en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethics_of_artificial_intelligence. Accessed 12 Feb. 2020.

Marr, Bernard. “Weaponizing Artificial Intelligence: The Scary Prospect Of AI-Enabled Terrorism.” Forbes, Forbes Magazine, 23 Apr. 2018, www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2018/04/23/weaponizing-artificial-intelligence-the-scary-prospect-of-ai-enabled-terrorism/#3e1d479e77b6. Accessed 12 Feb. 2020.

10

Page 11: HagaMUN – 6,7 and 8 March 2020 … · Web viewIntelligent systems use a combination of big data analytics, cloud computing, machine communication and the Internet of Things (IoT)

HagaMUN 2020 | 6th, 7th and 8th of March 2020Empowering the Sustainability Revolution

11


Recommended